B
Bruce_Savage
Guest
I have to agree, Slim Chance does need looking at more closely from the moderators.
Glad I'm not the first one to pick up on it and his response to EC1 was disgusting.
Road to the 1000 Guineas
- Thread starter Euronymous
- Start date
I have to agree, Slim Chance does need looking at more closely from the moderators.
Glad I'm not the first one to pick up on it and his response to EC1 was disgusting.
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,794
The most interesting run from last season was discourse beating lilys angel by 4 1/2ls discourse couldv'e won 10ls.She ran .80 quicker than captain ramius now rated 100 and looked good for another 5ls,that form would put her upsides the winner.At that point of the season lilys angel looked a big improver for that trip on that ground to follow this season,looking at her previous soft ground times she definitely improved.Quite interesting she finishes only 3ls behind the second in the guineas on ground she is slower on!!
EC1
On a break
i don't see how a horse can fudge sectionals though Slim.
HQ is nearly as good as Attraction on the figures...both ran near identical splits...if she wasn't then after her early exertions she couldn't have run the last 3f in the time she did.
Thats why i love comparing sectionals when they are very similar as in this case.
Attraction ran the first 5f in 59.95..then finished the race in 97.75
HQ first 5f in 60.06..finish in 97.81
that makes Attraction just the better horse...if HQ was a fluke winner then she wouldn't have run a 97.75 after the solid first 5f..she would have wilted.
at end of the day..i'm not saying HQ is any world beater..but she certainly isn't a fluke winner..she ran a decent race which would have taken a 120+ performance to beat..the fact the others have not shown their form isn't her fault
The RPR for HQ is 121 and for what it's worth I think you both have it about right (assuming you are working to similar method on the same scale). I'd be very surprised if she can improve much on this, if at all, although she has clearly achieved this level on merit, having run close to her capacity.
I would also be surprised if Maybe couldn't progress from this and run into the mid-120s later in the season.
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Colin Phillips
At the Start
That's 46 better than her run at the Curragh at the end of March and 15 more than she has ever achieved before.
...It will almost certainly be disappointing if people are expecting her to run better than 120.
You have to wonder what she was feeling before the race.... Looked all over the place from the word go.