Royal Ascot 2017

Ascot can be a very tough meeting-anyone chasing losses or betting beyond their means could easily find themselves in trouble.I really want to be against Ribchester tomorrow -if he wins he wins I will be happy to watch a recording of the racing every night without knowing the results.I will save a bullet for Winning Ways in the Jersey.
 
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Only asking this for guidance, not contention but why should a Pivotal relish the fast ground? Thanks

20May17 Newbury (8Sft, RPR 116)
I'm very proud of Lightning Spear and I was pleased with him, but he did get tired in the last half-furlong. I'd like to think he'll come on and we'd love to get him back on fast ground 14Jun16 Ascot

Lightening Spear is a very nice horse to have inherited and that was a really nice run. We might put him in a Listed or Group 3 race, just he can enjoy a win, but after that I could see him doing a bit of travelling later in the year. I think on fast ground you'll see him in his true colours - David Simcock, trainer.
24Jun15 Salisbury (8GF, RPR 108)

Just my opinion, but Ribchester is a grinder, rather than a quickener, and fast ground wouldn't be in his favour.
 
The Britannia isn't normally a betting race for me but I was seriously impressed by AFAAK at Doncaster on Saturday, Showed excellent application to come through like he did on soft ground after being a tad keen early on
No reason why better ground won't suit him, One to look out for.

Are you still keen on Afaak in the Britannia, Fonz?

My own fancy Naval Warfare now withdrawn.

A horse that beat Naval Warfare last season, so therefore must be good imho, (Maths Prize), is due to run.

Just to recap my logic...

Naval Warfare beat the massive recent Tim Easterby improver, Golden Apollo, last season, so if Math's Prize has beaten Naval Warfare, she could be very well-handicapped.

Hence I've got it between Afaak and Maths Prize.

There'll be little surprise if Slim comes up trumps with Son Of The Stars though.
 
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Good ride from the jockey, I thought. Clearly judged the pace really well up the middle, being prominent then leaving those around him for dead. I just wonder if they went too fast down the near side.

The far side never looked in it. Might impact upon Hunt Cup deliberations.
 
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I console myself with my ew bit but Spirit of Valor was an absurd price and until the last 50 yards I was jumping up and down . Dream Castle doesn't stay .

I am amazed Jersey isn't a Group 2 . Look at the quality of the field .
 
If this HLAF goes tits up in the QM some of the others are huge prices. I've taken an interest to tiny stakes in a couple of the longest shots inc the French filly and Spencer's.
 
Are you still keen on Afaak in the Britannia, Fonz?

My own fancy Naval Warfare now withdrawn.

A horse that beat Naval Warfare last season, so therefore must be good imho, (Maths Prize), is due to run.

Just to recap my logic...

Naval Warfare beat the massive recent Tim Easterby improver, Golden Apollo, last season, so if Math's Prize has beaten Naval Warfare, she could be very well-handicapped.

Hence I've got it between Afaak and Maths Prize.

There'll be little surprise if Slim comes up trumps with Son Of The Stars though.

Changed my mind, Afaak it is for me.
 
Can't see Simply Verse being out of the first 3 and is worth a sizable EW bet.

As for the rest of the day you'd have to have a death wish for your cash to be backing in those races

Def a day for small bets and sit back and enjoy
 
Really? I thought he rode a real good race...He tucked in behind Ryan watching his every move the when Ryan which isn't a bad idea considering they though AOB's was a good thing.

Ryan went one side of the horse ahead Jamie went the other side (The right side IMO)

Jamie's took a few strides longer to get going than the fav but that's down to the horse not the jockey.

Once the horse picked up the result was never in doubt and he's won by a length and a quarter going away

Maybe he was trying to get an Oscar :0)
 
A couple of layers have lengthened The Tin Man to 14s for the Diamond Jubilee presumably on the back of the perceived draw bias yesterday. He is drawn 3 and today's results suggests that draw is not bad at all.
 
Just killing time while patiently waiting for Mrs O to get herself sorted for going out...

About the Commonwealth Cup:

I had a look at the result to see what kind of figures we were looking at for the principals and recalled Matt Chapman opining that the handicapper couldn't put them up since they'd run close to their respective relative ORs.

He's got a point although I don't imagine the handicapper will take the same view.

It would be interesting to know what kind of figure he had in mind for the American horse who finished fourth and the fifth was rated just 100. Caravaggio, OR 119, gave the latter a 19lbs beating. Blue Point, OR 116, gave him a 15lbs beating.

Interesting.

To me anyway!
 
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