Ascot 4.25
(Norm 124+)
Short list, taking into account rating and draw:
Edge Closer 120+p (Drawn 14)
Intrepid Jack 122p (7)
Lipocco 124?p (11)
Tombi 118+p (9)
Nota Bene 124+ (1)
Something 126 (3)
Conquest 127?o (27)
King’s Apostle 117+p (23)
Something – not the runner – is going to have to go off like a scalded cat on the far side (high) to get that side into it. The figures suggest the best horses, and therefore probably the pace too, are in the lower half and middle draws will lose a little bit taking one way or the other. This could offset any improvement in Edge Closer and Lipocco. The RP suggests Conquest might make the running on the far side, thereby taking King’s Apostle along to a big run, so they might have a heard a whisper about a change in tactics, since the former isn’t in the habit of front-running. Tamagin (117p (5)) did last time, at a furious pace, but couldn’t get Nota Bene off the bit. It’s not often I have very strong feelings about a race like the Wokingham, even though I have a very good record in the race, but I can see these two dominating the early proceedings and Nota Bene pressing on in the latter stages, with the likes of Intrepid Jack, Tombi and Something closing him down. I reckon 14/1 Nota Bene is a real bit of value. Intrepid Jack and Tombi are about right but Something looks generous too at 22/1 so he’ll carry my saver. I might play about with forecasts and tricasts.