The 2021 Betfair Hurdle Sun February 21st Newbury

Euronymous said:
I never think of things like that. I was dead impressed with SG at Chepstow and when he lined up at Newbury alongside Dusart I had Betfair's Supreme market up and was gonna back him if he ran well. Obviously ended up on Dusart instead. The plot for today never even occured to me when he was beat at Ascot.
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All the £100K+ handicaps are plot races, as are most of the £50k+ ones too.

How often do we hear connections say after a big handicap when asked about future plans, "That was the plan"?

For example, don't be surprised if NTD wins or goes very close next Saturday's Close Brothers (ex-RP) Chase with one whose form has been iffy for a while.
 
Slim said:
Soaring Glory was an obvious one with only the ground being a little worry. If you couldn't find him upgrade your formbook.

Now can we move on to solving Cheltenham handicaps, this race is dead to me.
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It isn't the form book that requires upgrading. SG didn't have the form in the book to win. What he had was obvious potential. But so did many others. The first five were all 'potential' horses or improvers. There's no way of quantifying how much they'll improve in the race itself. It's all educated guesswork.

Sometimes we guess right sometimes we guess wrong. All we can do is decide whether the odds on offer make the guess worth the risk.

The race isn't 'dead' to me. I will use it to recoup losses.
 
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Slim said:
Soaring Glory was an obvious one with only the ground being a little worry. If you couldn't find him upgrade your formbook.

Now can we move on to solving Cheltenham handicaps, this race is dead to me.
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When they make your biopic I see a young Clint Eastwood in the lead role.
 
Desert Orchid said:
It isn't the form book that requires upgrading. SG didn't have the form in the book to win. It's all educated guesswork. Sometimes we guess right sometimes we guess wrong. All we can do is decide whether the odds on offer make the guess worth the risk.
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You Are right Do, there weren't any clues. The horse's that tie in with his form have since gone up in distance. As with most of Slims tips, they come from his astute ability to read the Market. There was a massive gamble on him in the days leading up to the postponed race, and that ran it's course, despite the other of their horses; Sky Pirate looking to be thrown in.
 
Desert Orchid said:
SG didn't have the form in the book to win. What he had was obvious potential.
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Potential is where the value is in these handicaps. It's no coincidence that novices have such a good record in that race. So many horses were mentioned on this thread and most disgraced themselves.
 
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Maxbet said:
You Are right Do, there weren't any clues. The horse's that tie in with his form have since gone up in distance. As with most of Slims tips, they come from his astute ability to read the Market. There was a massive gamble on him in the days leading up to the postponed race, and that ran it's course, despite the other of their horses; Sky Pirate looking to be thrown in.
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I mentioned the horse before Paul Kealy contracted the price. This was purely based on judging the horses potential.
 
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