The 2024 'Should Be Odds-on' Thread

Desert Orchid

Desert Orchid

Senior Jockey
Joined
Aug 2, 2005
Messages
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I thought a thread already existed for this calendar year but I'm not seeing it anywhere.

If it does exist perhaps the mods can merge it with this?

Wincanton 2.05 Colonel Mustard 11/4 - I'm really not seeing what can beat it other than its not trying.
 
Desert Orchid said:
I thought a thread already existed for this calendar year but I'm not seeing it anywhere.

If it does exist perhaps the mods can merge it with this?

Wincanton 2.05 Colonel Mustard 11/4 - I'm really not seeing what can beat it other than its not trying.
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Fears realised. Very weak in the betting.

I was never happy with the ride CM was getting,especially after the third last when Jacob took it back three lengths for no good reason. I'm not convinced the horse was there to win.

Not a good start to the thread.
 
Apologies -backed into 2/1 joint fav at -got over excited at the start which didn't help.
 
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Totally went out of my head.

Cheers, Trefflcih.

Nice to get the thread back on track between this and Tanlic's a week or so back.
 
Dodged a bullet there. I was trying to back Juneberry when the race started and couldn't get on. 18lbs clear on RPRs so really should have been odds-on.

Beaten by two others for the same owner.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Dodged a bullet there. I was trying to back Juneberry when the race started and couldn't get on. 18lbs clear on RPRs so really should have been odds-on.

Beaten by two others for the same owner.
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How many times does the Godolphin ‘outsider’ win as well. Far from think they’re a gambling yard or up to no good (why would they, they’re billionaires with a capital B’ but I do tend to back their ‘unfancied’ runners at times. Didn’t today though.
 
I do think there is a huge gambling element within Godolphin but wouldn't necessarily cry foul here.

It was a pish-poor race on the AW and exactly the kind of shite that makes me ignore it in the big scheme of things.
 
Hard to believe it's more than two months since I fancied anything enough to put it on this thread.

And even so, it's not far off odds-on anyway!

Saturday, Haydock 1.50 - Live In The Dream 11/10 - Clear top on all the figures that matter and on my own figures the ones closest to him might have other targets in mind so he might not have to have too hard a race to win. He should be good enough to make all and avoid any luck in running issues.

Edit - ignore the 5/4 showing with Hills at the RP card. I tried to back it and got the message 'betting suspended'. When I went back to oddschecker it was in to 10/11 :machinegunner:
 
Last time:

“I couldn't have asked for better. Live In The Dream missed the break by half a beat today, I think that was because the horse next to him was playing up, and he's done everything I wanted to see today. He's having a nice blow and he's going to be a superstar this year. All of those had had runs and the winner is nice. We go to the Coral Charge, we don't go to Ascot because it's too stiff for him. He's performed well at Sandown, it's our home track and he can get some confidence there before he heads into bigger things” - Adam West, trainer.
 
Live in the dream looks to have plenty in hand on form.
Is anyone concerned about the form of the stable?
That's the only negative I can see.
That aside looks a strong bet at around evens.
 
Just had a Betway alert Live in the Dream 2/1 and thought I’d have a few quid on at that. £20 was above the max allowed. So was £10 then £5 and finally £2. Unbelievable 🤬
 
viking said:
Just had a Betway alert Live in the Dream 2/1 and thought I’d have a few quid on at that. £20 was above the max allowed. So was £10 then £5 and finally £2. Unbelievable 🤬
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Look on the bright side, Viking. They've maybe saved you £18 :)
 
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