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The 2025 Grand National

Confirmed and in the top 34
  1. I Am Maximus
  2. Royale Pagaille
  3. Nick Rockett
  4. Grangeclare West
  5. Hewick
  6. Minella Indo
  7. Appreciate It
  8. Minella Cocooner
  9. Conflated
  10. Stumptown
  11. Hitman
  12. Beauport
  13. Bravemansgame
  14. Chantry House
  15. Threeunderthrufive
  16. Perceval Legallois
  17. Kandoo Kid
  18. Iroko
  19. Intense Raffles
  20. Senior Chief
  21. Idas Boy
  22. Fil Dor
  23. Broadway Boy
  24. Coko Beach
  25. Stay Away Fay
  26. Meetingofthewaters
  27. Monbeg Genius
  28. Vanillier
  29. Horantzau D'Airy
  30. Hyland
  31. Celebre D'Allen
  32. Three Card Brag
  33. Twig
On the cut line

34= Duffle Coat
34= Shakem Up'Arry
34= Roi Mage

Below the cut line

Favori De Champdou
Fantastic Lady
Yeah Man
Mr Vango
Macdermott
Mister Coffey
Chemical Energy
Desertmore House
Malina Girl
Richmond Lake
La Renommee
Stuzzikini
King Turgeon
Surrey Quest
Cruz Control
Apple Away
Busselton
Spanish Harlem
Famous Bridge
Escaria Ten
Where It All Began
Pats Fancy

Not confirmed

L'Homme Presse
Capodanno
Velvet Elvis
Minella Drama
Fontaine Collonges
Quick Wave

Previously scratched

Mr Incredible
 
Generous1991 said:
Looks like Duffle Coat is the last one in? If I'm not mistaken his current mark is higher than Roi Mage and Shakem Up'arry
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I'm basing that on the fact that RP says that in future races Duffle Coat will race off 1 lower than his National mark, while the other two will race off 3 and 2 lower respectively.
 
Generous1991 said:
I'm basing that on the fact that RP says that in future races Duffle Coat will race off 1 lower than his National mark, while the other two will race off 3 and 2 lower respectively.
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According to the Sporting Life the three are in a random draw as they are all rated the same in the current weights for the race.
 
From the Racing post:

Duffle Coat, Shakem Up'Arry and Roi Mage are all due to carry 10st 4lb having been awarded the same handicap rating when the Grand National weights were announced in February.

If needed, the final spot will be determined by which of these three has the highest current handicap mark at the time of elimination, but should two or more horses have the same rating the place will be determined by a random ballot.

The final field for the Aintree showpiece will be decided when declarations are made on Thursday morning, meaning those below the cut-off line still have a chance of lining up should any more horses above them in the weights drop out at that point.

Four reserves will also be nominated on Thursday morning with the deadline for non-runners to be replaced by these horses set at 1pm on the day before the National.​
 
Stop worrying, none of them will frame :LOL:

Thought best to quantify that statement with stats or maybe trends some would say.

2 are 10+ (0/151)

The third, lto was 50-1 only ever been 2/147 that have been 33-1 or more lto and won the Nat.
 
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Generous1991 said:
Looks like Duffle Coat is the last one in? If I'm not mistaken his current mark is higher than Roi Mage and Shakem Up'arry
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Now confirmed he is in.

The other 2 on same mark still have every chance of getting into the race as a few may still drop out if ground does dry up.

Personally, given the nature of the modern National, I would like to see a change to conditions of race to exclude horses over 12 running. Roi Mage and Celebre D’Allen would both be ineligible if that were already the case. You could argue that Roi Mage ran perfectly well in it last year, but I think generally horses of that age are always massive outsiders, often depending on old form for their position in the race. The downside of an incident involving either of these 2 during the race would heap further scrutiny on the race (and probably hasten the end of horses older than 12 running anyway).
 
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For Full Disclosure, your favourite Uncle Smart Arse has added I Am Maximus to his portfolio at the thick end of 14/1 on the machine and will be including him in his 24-bet Tricast/Trifecta and Forecast/Exacta combinations on the day.

He did me a massive turn at 25/1 NRNB ante-post last year and if he wins again and I'm not on I'll want to jump off Tower Bridge.

He won't, though, I can exclusively reveal the result five days in advance as, just to make sure I'd got my calculations right, I travelled to Earth on Sunday 6th April 2025 by TARDIS and had a quick butchers at the result online (too tight to buy a Sunday paper)....

1 Intense Raffles
2 Stumptown
3 Iroko
4 I Am Maximus

....was what it said.

There a 5.7 trillion to one chance I jumped into a parallel universe and got a different result in a different reality, but, that aside, it's safe to say the current drift of Intense Raffles, 2025 Grand National winner in waiting, is utterly inexplicable.
 
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In the absence of Jack Kennedy, Gordon Elliott has snapped up Sean Bowen for Three Card Brag - interesting contender. 28/1 best price.

Bryony a frost can’t ride Stay away Fay, so Jonathan Burke will.
 
The Fortune Teller said:
Surely the clerk of the course will have to get their hosepipe out?

Currently good ground with sunshine forecast all week.
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They've been watering since 17 March.

Today's going stick reading of 4.0 is soft ground regardless of what the going map says. It was more than 4.0 the day of the Midlands National and they were going right in that day and the time was over 40s slow despite the fast pace with the majority pulling up.

1743443325437.png
 
Desert Orchid said:
Have they given a reason?
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Saw the item at the RP site. She told Nicholls she has to stay in France but doesn't expand upon that. She rides for the two-tone green so I can't see them denying her the opportunity to ride in the race. Is it possible there's a big race in France for which she will be on one that's well fancied?
 
Desert Orchid said:
They've been watering since 17 March.

Today's going stick reading of 4.0 is soft ground regardless of what the going map says. It was more than 4.0 the day of the Midlands National and they were going right in that day and the time was over 40s slow despite the fast pace with the majority pulling up.

View attachment 24064
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Tbf, this is the 27th 😂 time Maurice has rightly mentioned this and I've been saying similar.

Plus a friend drove past the track the other day and said the sprinklers were on at full blast.

They will not allow the race to be run on anything quicker than Good to Soft ground and the stick readings confirm this clear intention.

Expect Shark Hanlon to be doing his nut about it afterwards even though he must surely know already there is no way they will let his Hewick, or any other spring-ground horse, get their preferred surface.
 
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