• REGISTER NOW!! Why? Because you can't do much without having been registered!

    At the moment you have limited access to view all discussions - and most importantly, you haven't joined our community. What are you waiting for? Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join Join Talking Horses here!

The 2025 Longshot Thread

Desert Orchid said:
2.30 - Balantina 20/1, 4 pl - I was lucky enough to get 3/1 about the favourite on Wednesday afternoon but I'd always want some kind of back-up so I've gone for this as the longest priced of what appear to be the main dangers on RPRs (I very rarely do juvenile ratings this early in the season) and the yard won this in 2023. Marquand is a plus for me.
Click to expand...

Ran on nicely for third and the added bonus of the 40/1 BOG so the place return is double what I'd hoped for.
 
Candleford 3.05 Ascot tomorrow
Has a very good record fresh and has run well here in the past.
Stable are in good form and he looks a good each way bet at attractive odds.
Currently 25/1.
Good luck if you play👍🏻
 
Desert Orchid said:
3.05 - I have Shadow Of Light at 9/4 in a double with Trawlerman so I'm hoping the Appleby horses are running their races but back-up is also necessary here and I've gone for two longshots:

Sky Majesty 28/1, 5 pl - Haggas has held on to this for two months and the yard is in brilliant form.
Rayevka 25/1, 5 places - Probably overpriced because it is French but as far as I can see it has been supplemented so must be highly regarded.
Click to expand...

Rayevka got third and another place return so keeping losses from the bigger bets down a bit.
 
Desert Orchid said:
It was after I posted this I saw Kevin Blake's draw graphic and it would seem a single-figure one is a negative. For whatever reason, the horse has drifted so I've gone in again at 40/1, 5 places. If I'm gonna get fvckt I met as well get fvckt in style.

Also, I've taken Max Mayhem 150/1, 5 places. It's jt-second-top on my figures on its best form and they've talked Barzalona into taking the ride. Stall 19 might help.
Click to expand...
I've taken Auld Toon Loon too, I would be happy with a place.
 
In the last race, I'm surprised Tashkhan is as big as 28/1.
Probably because he's known for liking a bit of juice in the ground.
However, you could say, his best performance was on this ground in the Gold Cup 3 years ago. Beaten barely 5 lengths by Kyprios + just over 3 by Stradivarius, off 116.
Nothing of that calibre here + he's 10lb lower.
 
Ascot 2.30 - Zooter 125/1 - debutant for a low-profile yard but is by the sire-of-the-moment Australia and Holloway Boy won this on its debut so why not.
 
3.40 - Elite Status 20/1, 4 places - last year I thought this was going to be the best sprinter in the country, at the very least among the 3yos and better than the same owner's Inisherin behind which it ran last month. Interesting that they're coming here after just one pipe-opener.
 
4.20 - Djitari 100/1, 4 places - He was third in the German 2000 Guineas won in hugely impressive style by Matilda who I think might give Field Of Gold a race should they ever meet. Take her out and the winner would probably be put on 110 or thereabouts and Dhitjari was only half a length away so he could be 109. I don’t know what the average rating of a typical winner would be but I reckon I’m in the ball park and this race looks around that kind of level.
 
Wokingham - I've taken the old blunderbuss to the race just in case the main bet blows out. I've backed these 'fun' longshots as well as a couple of shorter cover bets:

Jumby 66/1, 6 pl
Vadream 50/1, "
Twilight Calls 66/1, 5 pl
Desert Cop 100/1, "

(As well as the two already mentioned.)

It's almost as big a field as the National so why not...
 
5.35 - Roosevelt 22/1, 6 places - very weak in the market but it's still Coolmore/Moore and even a 'disappointing' sixth place won't do any harm.
 
Desert Orchid said:
3.40 - Elite Status 20/1, 4 places - last year I thought this was going to be the best sprinter in the country, at the very least among the 3yos and better than the same owner's Inisherin behind which it ran last month. Interesting that they're coming here after just one pipe-opener.
Click to expand...
Aye, wouldn’t surprise me at all to see Elite Status regain the ascendancy. On the other hand it was a super win from Inisherin last time, who was only 80% fit according to Kevin Ryan.
 
I've taken a wee nibble ante-post for the Arc.

Survie 100/1 - she runs at the curragh on Saturday and if she runs well the price will halve. If she goes and wins it will be down to 20s and I just wanted it onside. She was a keeping-on seventh in the Arc last year after losing out in the Diane in a photo and winning a G2. On her reappearance she was a good second to Arc runner-up Aventure so she's maybe improved a bit and I'm interested that they're taking her to the Curragh rather than pick up easy enough races at home.
 

Recent Blog Posts

Back
Top