Of course my beloved Wise Eagle runs in the 4.10 too. Not sure what to expect especially as they seem to be running him on unsuitable ground which surprises me. It took him a long time to get over his run at Doncaster ( although that was because he lost a shoe in the race). He’s been freshened up over the summer and has had a great time splashing about in the sea. 28/1 currently. Interesting to see if his price comes in later. He’ll either be out the back and do nothing or come with one of his storming runs at the end.
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The 2025 Longshot Thread
- Thread starter Desert Orchid
- Start date
Jayhawk
Amateur Rider
Silent Film - 8:15 Newcastle, Thursday, 1 mile ( Racing League ). 28/1. Worth doing with Lir Speciale (12/1) just for the sake of it.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Ebor - Subsequent 125/1 - given that it has drifted from 25/1 I have to half-assume it won't run but all season I've had Mount Atlas - runs on Friday - for this race and the other two stable entries almost certainly won't make the cut but Subsequent would be guaranteed a run and Murphy is already jocked up. I'm limited at that price but worth taking what I'm allowed as it won't cost too much if it doesn't run.
Robicheaux
Apprentice
Already had a nibble. Couldn't ignore those odds.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Nunthorpe - Frost at Dawn 20/1
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
Kendo’s 66/1 in the Nunthorpe for me.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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No result in that race will surprise me. I was thinking of sticking something on every horse at 50s and bigger just for the hell of it!
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
Kerdos
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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A couple today (along with reminders that I have, ante-post, 33/1 Estrange for the Arc and 40/1 Blue For You for today), both in the big handicap:
Ancient Rome - 40/1, 5 places - I'm handcuffed to jinnyj (I should be so lucky...) as we follow this one over the cliff.
Julia Augusta - 28/1, 6 pl - second top of my figures for this season.
(Not my main bets.)
Ancient Rome - 40/1, 5 places - I'm handcuffed to jinnyj (I should be so lucky...) as we follow this one over the cliff.
Julia Augusta - 28/1, 6 pl - second top of my figures for this season.
(Not my main bets.)
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
Dont know if you did what you suggested, but to add to my bets on Kerdos and Frost at Dawn, I'm thinking Ain't Nobody is worth a speculative couple of quid. I have, at 150/1 + boost this morning. 3 of his 4 2yo starts were over 5f, but he is yet to tackle the minimum trip this season. He was still in contention at the furlong marker in the Commonwealth Cup and it is quite likely 5f suits him better and first time blinkers might help him race a little better than he sometimes does. He is worth a go as I don't think there are any superstars in here (and they are much of a muchness) and he could be one who is a little better than shown so far.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Yes, I did get 125/1 Aint Nobody to add to the place return on Frost At Dawn so losses on the day are light again.
Len Madeiros
Journeyman
Great call and great reasoning, Mr W!
Robicheaux
Apprentice
Great effort !
Barnestormer
Amateur Rider
Well done.
Sat watching the racing with my wife and son.
My son picked out the winner and my wife picked out Ain't Nobody and of course I didn’t back either!!!
Danny
Journeyman
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Cracking effort!
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
Just starting my research for tomorrow's racing and thought I better stick this one on the Longshot thread whilst he still qualifies.
Checkandchallenge (1.50 York) ran really well in the corresponding race last year when 3rd (less than 2 lengths behind See the Fire) at 33/1. This renewal looks like it might be less difficult than it was then. He also ran really well in his only other start at York. I've backed him at 25/1, but it is now 22/1, so I better stop typing before it dips under 20/1.
Checkandchallenge (1.50 York) ran really well in the corresponding race last year when 3rd (less than 2 lengths behind See the Fire) at 33/1. This renewal looks like it might be less difficult than it was then. He also ran really well in his only other start at York. I've backed him at 25/1, but it is now 22/1, so I better stop typing before it dips under 20/1.
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Robski123
Apprentice
Outstanding effort m8,what a pick,I wouldn't have chosen that horse with 10 picks,before reading you reasoning on it.take a bow as that was a top result.
Robicheaux
Apprentice
Can't ignore that 80/1 Saint Lawrence in the 4.10. Anything like last summers form, he has to be thereabouts.
Ron O. 5.20. Surprisingly 33s to be had.
Ron O. 5.20. Surprisingly 33s to be had.
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
I had to take the 80's Saint Lawrence too. Tom Marquand for Hollie Doyle (who rides Zayer, also for Archie Watson) could be an interesting and positive booking.
Top man.what a pick.
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
I'm hoping to clean up with Sanitiser in the 4.25 at Goodwood tomorrow, currently 25/1.
3 Poor runs this season after 6 months off, which followed 4 runs over hurdles. Prior to those hurdles runs he ran two good races over 1m 4f off 82 and 85 - tomorrow he runs off 65. The first of those two runs was in the Amateurs Derby at Epsom, which I would have thought a very likely target this season, having been beaten by less than 5 lengths in that race in 2024 (at 100/1) when 17lb higher. He is actually still entered in this years renewal of that race next Monday, so if he runs here, that is interesting. Gary (& Josh) Moore get some good winners at Goodwood, and this one looks interesting at the price.
3 Poor runs this season after 6 months off, which followed 4 runs over hurdles. Prior to those hurdles runs he ran two good races over 1m 4f off 82 and 85 - tomorrow he runs off 65. The first of those two runs was in the Amateurs Derby at Epsom, which I would have thought a very likely target this season, having been beaten by less than 5 lengths in that race in 2024 (at 100/1) when 17lb higher. He is actually still entered in this years renewal of that race next Monday, so if he runs here, that is interesting. Gary (& Josh) Moore get some good winners at Goodwood, and this one looks interesting at the price.
Ian_Davies
Conditional
He's wasted here.
Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
Enter Sandman 3.10 Newmarket 25/1.
Only run once and didn’t sparkle, now turns up in £62k Sales race for Richard Spencer. What is interesting is that David Egan rides it, even though Two Tribes, who he won Stewards Cup on, runs at York (albeit Ryan Moore booked for that one). Run Boy Run and Twilight Calls also run at York in same race for Richard Spencer, so he could presumably have ridden one of them. Amo Racing have a runner at York, Goodwood and Windsor and he hasn’t gone to ride any of them.
Speculative, but worth a small bet perhaps.
Only run once and didn’t sparkle, now turns up in £62k Sales race for Richard Spencer. What is interesting is that David Egan rides it, even though Two Tribes, who he won Stewards Cup on, runs at York (albeit Ryan Moore booked for that one). Run Boy Run and Twilight Calls also run at York in same race for Richard Spencer, so he could presumably have ridden one of them. Amo Racing have a runner at York, Goodwood and Windsor and he hasn’t gone to ride any of them.
Speculative, but worth a small bet perhaps.
