The Strong Form Thread - Flat 2022

https://www.racingpost.com/results/21/goodwood/2022-05-20/810103

This looks really strong form. I tracked Spinaround from it and he won at Chelmsford next start. Since:

Nuvolari wasn't great at Epsom but a lot of horses just don't act there
Wodeton ran well against Outgate and Thunder Legend at Chester this past Saturday
Ascending won well at Goodwood on Friday. Needs cut but was impressive against older horses
I'm tracking Rousay who was third even though I'm not a massive Hannon guy

This was Lawful Command's second victory at Goodwood - the previous win he beat Wodeton again and the fourth that day was Zoom who ran well in the Israr race at Newbury. Zoom has since been second at Donny to a Stoute horse called Migdam who went straight in the tracker.
 
That Sandringham must be sh1t hot form. Fresh Hope was clearly a Fellowes-Turner special and Gosden had said Crenelle would win the Pretty Polly but ultimately they were beaten by two fillies who overcame a week-long draw bias. The winner is clearly G3 at least.

Edit - Thinking about it a bit more, I now wonder if Murtagh set a new trend last year with Create Belief who went on to win a G3. She had been a wide margin winner in the Sandringham. I suspect the Fellowes-Turner filly would be good enough to win an average past renewal but she has been pretty much smashed. I think next year we'll need to look for G3/G2 types getting in on a mark around 95-99.
 
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Giving this thread another go on the basis of a race I've come across.

Ascot Saturday, 5.20 (Raceform race reference #4911)

The time of this race is making the rest of the card positively - or should that be negatively - pedestrian.

If I allocate a going allowance that would enable the winner to run to its new OR of 84, then these are the time ratings the rest of the winners on the card have run to (with RPRs for the race in brackets):

Defence Of Fort 55 (91)
Bague D'Or 58 (99)
Mountain Peak 81 (113)
Chindit 50 (117)
Wild Crusade 57 (104)
Random Harvest 57 (95)

Either the race in question was exceptionally fast or the other races have been exceptionally slow or the truth lies somewhere in between.

The second scenario is highly unlikely so even a conservative application of the latter has to be a positive.Two of the three are fillies and maybe be open to further improvement at this time of year and going forward.

All three have gone into my tracker.

It was an all-age Class 4 handicap with two 3yos beating a 4yo, almost four lengths clear of the fourth.
 
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Course was watered and would have got faster and faster as the day wore on as it dried out?
 
Very likely but it's unusual for that kind of scenario to throw up this kind of difference.

I'm giving the tracker horses three runs each although I'll be slightly wary of the bounce if they reappear too soon.
 
Euronymous said:
This was Lawful Command's second victory at Goodwood - the previous win he beat Wodeton again and the fourth that day was Zoom who ran well in the Israr race at Newbury. Zoom has since been second at Donny to a Stoute horse called Migdam who went straight in the tracker.
Click to expand...

Migdam run from Doncaster below. The third, Adjourn, was very taking winning a similar race also at Doncaster last Saturday. Migdam is in the opener next Wednesday at Goodwood. Ryan Moore booked.
https://www.racingpost.com/results/15/doncaster/2022-06-04/811433
 
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