Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 28,146
The brother asked me about the race this evening. I replied:
I don’t want to back anything that doesn’t need to go up to get into the Grand National so I’m wary of anything with an OR of 141 or more (since the UK handicapper will add about 6lbs). The entries for Aintree aren’t out yet so we’re in the dark about what will be targeting this or a festival handicap or even one of the other Nationals, the Irish or the Scottish, maybe even the Whitbread. Conyers Hill looks a doubtful stayer so I’m letting him go. I also want the novices onside. The two first-season novices are both reserves so I’m waiting to see if either Mullins or Elliott takes something out to let them run and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if Townend switched to Uncle Pat if Mullins did.
All that said, Mullins has won seven of the last 14 renewals, usually with his main rider in the saddle so Captain Cody is maybe not going to Aintree, especially if my long-held belief that Quai De Bourbon is their National horse for this year is right, and he’ll be the main bet.
Pied Piper is the one whose chase mark is significantly below his hurdles mark and therefore potentially thrown in. He could, in theory, afford to win this, take a hike in the ratings and still go to Aintree with every chance but the jockey booking is screaming ‘not today’.
I was planning to hold off until the morning to back Captain Cody due to the situation with the reserves but ended up fearing a potential gamble on it so decided to take a wee bit of the 8/1. I can always top it up tomorrow at shorter if the gamble does develop and if it ends up doing an impression of a barge in a storm I can at least accept the potential loss.
Edit - one more comment re Slim: we maybe shouldn't forget that this is not a blokes-only forum and women tend to find the 'c' word much more offensive than blokes. Jinnyj has asked us more than once to cool it on the use of the word and to continue to use it, especially directly towards an individual, is to hold her views in contempt. The same goes for all the other women on here who have expressed similar reservations.
Jinnyj, Moe and Trudij, and, going back far enough, Krizon have been forum stalwarts for as long as I can remember - I think Trudij might even have been a teenager when she first came on here - and deserve every respect. I don't recall any of them directing obscenities towards anyone on here. Mind you, I wouldn't advise anyone to get on the wrong side of Krizon. In my book she'd be long odds-on to win any slanging match with Slim.
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