davewatts50
Amateur Rider
Here are my bets for the UK's all-weather races today. Initial selections are from the Kempton meeting. There may be more to follow later.
Note, the point of writing up these selections is always to illustrate which horses are carrying my personal bets. And those bets are always derived/determined from the processes outlined in the book: UK All-Weather Racing: A Specialist's Guide to Finding Value on
6:30 KEMPTON. Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I) (0-85) (4) 4yo+ 6F
SUPREME KING. He’s an in form 6 year old gelding who’s a course & distance winner. He’s proved that he has the ability to be competitive in this class and distance. He’s won in this class 3 times and 7 times over the distance.
He last ran 14 days ago at Kempton in a Class 4 over 6 furlongs, finishing 1st winning by 0.20 lengths. He’s well handicapped, his highest winning mark is 78 and he runs off 77 today.
Supreme King win this race last year and he
returns to the scene of his last victory with everything in his favour: peak fitness, proven class form, ideal conditions and trip.
INTERVENTION. Is an in form 9 year old gelding and he’s a distance winner. He last won 77 days ago and had 5 races since.
LTO was 12 days ago at Southwell in a Class 4 over 6 furlongs, finishing 7th beaten by 3.10 lengths. That was a bit disappointing but he wasn’t that far away.
It was the race prior to that over C & D on the 11/2/26 in a class 2 that interests me. HE finished 2nd to El Boldon losing by a head. That form is rock solid.
He’s won in this class 3 times and 9 times over the distance. He’s well handicapped as his highest winning mark is 87 and is off 84 today.
The view is he’s declining form horse and he’s inconsistent. However, the race mentioned above shows he does retain ability. If he’s on a going day he’s a danger at a decent EW price.
Due to circumstances I had to back my selections last night so the odds will have most likely have moved.
SUPREME KING. Win @ 4.5
INTERVENTION. EW @ 9.0
(I backed it EW @ 17.0)
Note, the point of writing up these selections is always to illustrate which horses are carrying my personal bets. And those bets are always derived/determined from the processes outlined in the book: UK All-Weather Racing: A Specialist's Guide to Finding Value on
6:30 KEMPTON. Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I) (0-85) (4) 4yo+ 6F
SUPREME KING. He’s an in form 6 year old gelding who’s a course & distance winner. He’s proved that he has the ability to be competitive in this class and distance. He’s won in this class 3 times and 7 times over the distance.
He last ran 14 days ago at Kempton in a Class 4 over 6 furlongs, finishing 1st winning by 0.20 lengths. He’s well handicapped, his highest winning mark is 78 and he runs off 77 today.
Supreme King win this race last year and he
returns to the scene of his last victory with everything in his favour: peak fitness, proven class form, ideal conditions and trip.
INTERVENTION. Is an in form 9 year old gelding and he’s a distance winner. He last won 77 days ago and had 5 races since.
LTO was 12 days ago at Southwell in a Class 4 over 6 furlongs, finishing 7th beaten by 3.10 lengths. That was a bit disappointing but he wasn’t that far away.
It was the race prior to that over C & D on the 11/2/26 in a class 2 that interests me. HE finished 2nd to El Boldon losing by a head. That form is rock solid.
He’s won in this class 3 times and 9 times over the distance. He’s well handicapped as his highest winning mark is 87 and is off 84 today.
The view is he’s declining form horse and he’s inconsistent. However, the race mentioned above shows he does retain ability. If he’s on a going day he’s a danger at a decent EW price.
Due to circumstances I had to back my selections last night so the odds will have most likely have moved.
SUPREME KING. Win @ 4.5
INTERVENTION. EW @ 9.0
(I backed it EW @ 17.0)
