Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 25,037
It's a very quiet day for me, at least in terms of the number of races of interest.
I've only studied two races, the 1.45 and 2.20 at Cheltenham.
1.45 - L’Eau Du Sud should be a good thing, and probably odds-on, to win this. He was a class above these opponents over hurdles and any improvement for going chasing should put him over the horizon. I took him in a win double with Buddy One on Friday but that went out the back of the TV picture and I'm not going in again on such a short price.
2.20 -
I took Il Ridoto at 14/1 ante-post for this anticipating it would halve in price so I’m happy enough with that bet. As per my post on the longshot thread, there’s no evidence Editeur De Gite will stay – it tried unsuccessfully as a younger horse – but it’s now very well handicapped and is actually bred for it so I have to take the chance at the price. Jetoile wouldn’t be 33s if it was trained by a bigger name but it definitely has the form in the book having won last year’s Old Roan off a pound higher. I also think the claimer is value. Lastly, I have to have sickness insurance on Madara who wasn’t off an inch on its recent reappearance, presumably just prepping for this or maybe the Massey-Ferguson (whatever it’s called now). Now, seeing how weak all of the above are I've decided to cover them all with Protektorat (17/2). Looking at my ratings, if the ones at the top of my table aren't expected to run well it blows it wide open and Protektorat is the class act in the race.
(The BO - Best Odds - column is as they were when I compiled my figures on Thursday.)
I've only studied two races, the 1.45 and 2.20 at Cheltenham.
1.45 - L’Eau Du Sud should be a good thing, and probably odds-on, to win this. He was a class above these opponents over hurdles and any improvement for going chasing should put him over the horizon. I took him in a win double with Buddy One on Friday but that went out the back of the TV picture and I'm not going in again on such a short price.
2.20 -
Horse | MON 179+ | Notes | RPR | BO |
Editeur Du Gite | 184 | ? t | 172 | 40/1 |
Il Ridoto | 182 | | 176 | 7/1 |
Jetoile | 180 | | 171 | 33/1 |
Ga Law | 179 | | 170 | 7/1 |
Janidil | 178 | o e d? | 177 | 33/1 |
Fugitif | 178 | +? | 173 | 16/1 |
Protektorat | 177 | | 170 | 12/1 |
Madara | 177 | p nov | 169 | 33/1 |
In Excelsis Deo | 175 | p | 169 | 12/1 |
Lets Go Champ | 175 | p nov? | 164 | 12/1 |
Ginny's Destiny | 174 | p nov | 174 | 3/1 |
Imagine | 172 | nov | 167 | 15/2 |
Hartur d'Arc | 172 | p nov t? | 160 | 20/1 |
Straw Fan Jack | 172 | | 168 | 33/1 |
Weveallbeencaught | 166 | nov d? | 162 | 25/1 |
I took Il Ridoto at 14/1 ante-post for this anticipating it would halve in price so I’m happy enough with that bet. As per my post on the longshot thread, there’s no evidence Editeur De Gite will stay – it tried unsuccessfully as a younger horse – but it’s now very well handicapped and is actually bred for it so I have to take the chance at the price. Jetoile wouldn’t be 33s if it was trained by a bigger name but it definitely has the form in the book having won last year’s Old Roan off a pound higher. I also think the claimer is value. Lastly, I have to have sickness insurance on Madara who wasn’t off an inch on its recent reappearance, presumably just prepping for this or maybe the Massey-Ferguson (whatever it’s called now). Now, seeing how weak all of the above are I've decided to cover them all with Protektorat (17/2). Looking at my ratings, if the ones at the top of my table aren't expected to run well it blows it wide open and Protektorat is the class act in the race.
(The BO - Best Odds - column is as they were when I compiled my figures on Thursday.)
