York Ebor Meeting
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Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Just posting a few minor fancies today as I get them on.
In the Strensall, I've taken 10/1 Duke Of Hazzard ew w/o Real World at 10/1. On my figures this is the only one that might be overpriced (I have him jt second-top behind the fav) but the lack of the third place was putting me off a bet. The 10/1 is probably his true price so I'm effectively getting the third place with this bet and if he runs second to the favourite I win a watch (quite a cheap watch, admittedly).
Edit 1 - yesterday morning I thought Safe Voyage was value at 15/2 (Jt top on my figures) so his current 12/1 is a must-bet ew for me, but to modest stakes just in case the ground is too quick.
Edit 2 - 4.45 - Qaader 15/2 - probably my strongest fancy of the day.
Edit 3 - Chester - Deja 10/1 - not a York race but I put it up ante-post for the Ebor and it runs in this easier race so sickness insurance is in order although I've no idea if it's trying.
I reckon that will be it from me for today at the very least. I'll be out until teatime so will have to content myself with catching up on the replays later.
Hope somebody punts the Ebor winner and wish everyone luck today.
In the Strensall, I've taken 10/1 Duke Of Hazzard ew w/o Real World at 10/1. On my figures this is the only one that might be overpriced (I have him jt second-top behind the fav) but the lack of the third place was putting me off a bet. The 10/1 is probably his true price so I'm effectively getting the third place with this bet and if he runs second to the favourite I win a watch (quite a cheap watch, admittedly).
Edit 1 - yesterday morning I thought Safe Voyage was value at 15/2 (Jt top on my figures) so his current 12/1 is a must-bet ew for me, but to modest stakes just in case the ground is too quick.
Edit 2 - 4.45 - Qaader 15/2 - probably my strongest fancy of the day.
Edit 3 - Chester - Deja 10/1 - not a York race but I put it up ante-post for the Ebor and it runs in this easier race so sickness insurance is in order although I've no idea if it's trying.
I reckon that will be it from me for today at the very least. I'll be out until teatime so will have to content myself with catching up on the replays later.
Hope somebody punts the Ebor winner and wish everyone luck today.
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Seconded.
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G-G
Senior Jockey
Galileo /Fantastic Light would be a choice on the flat if picking something, but a long way to go. The huge difference in this century is that everything will be recorded and get to be seen.
Hughie Morrison made an interesting point today.
He's quoted as questioning why Sonnyboyliston was dropped 1lb for the Ebor after finishing sixth the time before at York, when Quickthorn, who finished 8th in the same York race wasn't dropped a pound.
Quickthorn only beaten a head, would it have made a difference?. Quickthorns a nice horse to look forward to in future anyhow. I wonder if he could jump a hurdle?
He's quoted as questioning why Sonnyboyliston was dropped 1lb for the Ebor after finishing sixth the time before at York, when Quickthorn, who finished 8th in the same York race wasn't dropped a pound.
Quickthorn only beaten a head, would it have made a difference?. Quickthorns a nice horse to look forward to in future anyhow. I wonder if he could jump a hurdle?
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Wouldn’t surprise me at all Martin. The dam has foaled a couple of hurdlers and Nathanial has of course sired some good ones. Quickthorn was gelded the back end of last year too, the trainer/owner combination have previous with dual purpose horse Not So Sleepy and he’d be suited by winter ground.
There’s a lot of similarities between him and Not So Sleepy in fact with regards their flat ratings but I’d expect Quickthorn may be a more reliable proposition if he were to go hurdling (assuming he could jump) as he’s not so headstrong and seems a thoroughly likeable horse.
His to-be revised rating will be getting close to making life difficult in handicaps now and he could be one of those stuck between handicaps and graded races so we can but hope…
There’s a lot of similarities between him and Not So Sleepy in fact with regards their flat ratings but I’d expect Quickthorn may be a more reliable proposition if he were to go hurdling (assuming he could jump) as he’s not so headstrong and seems a thoroughly likeable horse.
His to-be revised rating will be getting close to making life difficult in handicaps now and he could be one of those stuck between handicaps and graded races so we can but hope…
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Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Yes. Good thinking re Quickthorn, chaps.
Worth mentioning he beat the 114 rated Berkshire Rocco last night by two lengths giving that horse 4lb in weight, when apparently losing a load of lengths at the start, (haven't watched it yet). Quickthorn is a very interesting horse now.