The 2024 Longshot Thread

Ha bless ya.

It's a weird one, I was considering backing it ante post for today even before that race at Haydock. My thinking was whatever it did at Haydock, he was an improving colt, and I could see it peaking today.

For some reason I never saw it through. Only myself to blame, maybe I went a bit skint at the time I can't remember, but these things happen, they are just happening too often to me for my liking!

I had a the fourth placer in aj each way yankee. Onwards and upwards.
 
1.15 Cheltenham
Bass Rock 28/1 (B365) gets in here off 120 having won off 130 a couple of years ago. It’s a bit of a leap of faith as his runs last season were poor but he’s run well fresh in the past and may just appreciate the change of stable. Worth a small interest each way
 
Back On The Lash 3.35 Cheltenham 100/1
That's exactly what I will be doing if this comes good.
Has run poorly the last 3 or 4 times, but is very well handicapped on the best of his form
The ground, looks ideal, he has won at Cheltenham in the past and the stable are in decent form.
If back on song 100/1 is a huge price.
Good luck everyone.
 
Cheltenham 2.25 - Royal Mer 40/1 - came up a steep curve last year and would be around 12/1 but for a poor final run. Might want it softer but at this time of year it's seldom fast. Second-season chaser and entitled to pick up the curve again.
 
Desert Orchid said:
NR

Assume I dodged a wee bullet.
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That's odd (ish). Had a look earlier. DP said he's been going well at home. All best form looks to be in small fields but, theoretically, 10 ought to have been OK. In the absence of any other info (like a knock or something) have to asssume the ground is faster than first thought.
 
My favourite Saturday escapism has duly arrived, apart from getting slaughtered down the local boozer that is. Let's hope these don't get slaughtered tomorrow. Here's some longshots.

Doncaster 2.05 Walbank has been lightly raced this turf season, having won a race at Meydan after being castrated. His mark is tumbling down and no surprise if he can run a big race here under Billy the kid.

4.25 Quest For Fun is still interesting now dropped in grade. It was a better run last time, when 10th of 21 runners in a class two at York. He's had a poor year overall, but it's possible he is simmering at the right time for a big run here. At 20/1 he's each way material.

Cheltenham 1.45 Hauraki Gulf showed limited ability in some egg and spoon hurdle races, finishing second a few times, while being noted as being unfluent in running. All that tells me is he could do a lot better in future. He won two chases, including one race by about a dozen lengths. He was impressive that day, I was on him then. He had a nice prep run for this last time when second again back over hurdles in a lower class event. He's a 20/1 shot in a five runner race, but I think he'll out run these odds.
 
Marb said:
My favourite Saturday escapism has duly arrived, apart from getting slaughtered down the local boozer that is. Let's hope these don't get slaughtered tomorrow. Here's some longshots.

Doncaster 2.05 Walbank has been lightly raced this turf season, having won a race at Meydan after being castrated. His mark is tumbling down and no surprise if he can run a big race here under Billy the kid.

4.25 Quest For Fun is still interesting now dropped in grade. It was a better run last time, when 10th of 21 runners in a class two at York. He's had a poor year overall, but it's possible he is simmering at the right time for a big run here. At 20/1 he's each way material.

Cheltenham 1.45 Hauraki Gulf showed limited ability in some egg and spoon hurdle races, finishing second a few times, while being noted as being unfluent in running. All that tells me is he could do a lot better in future. He won two chases, including one race by about a dozen lengths. He was impressive that day, I was on him then. He had a nice prep run for this last time when second again back over hurdles in a lower class event. He's a 20/1 shot in a five runner race, but I think he'll out run these odds.
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Hauraki a gallant second, I'll watch out for him in a good handicap hurdle in future.

Walbank a respectable fifth and I'd say he was an eyecatcher for future races.
 
2,55 Cheltenham
Secret Trix 22/1 B365
Hated fences last time and he wouldn’t be the first horse who didn’t handle Cartmel previously
He can outrun these odds today
 
Cangofar 1.55 Redcar 33-1 WH , mid 70s BF but might yet go out.

I'm expecting Tim Easterby's Almanzor colt to be better than shown at some point. TE lined up another Alamanzor - Candonomore - to run 2nd first time up in a York C3 novice last year at a big price. Cangofar has had two runs on heavy ground in goodish class company, may be about ready to show something now. Otherwise, handicaps beckon next year.

Has at least two/three good-looking sorts to beat but the soft ground might level it a bit.
 
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