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2025 Ultima Handicap Chase

Had a look now. Zanahiyr has plenty of back class + is still only 8. Has generally run well at the festival + will appreciate the decent ground. Taking into account the jocks claim, he's on the same mark, when he was a close 3rd in the Galway Plate. 50/1 seems big.
Frero Banbou looks overpriced at 66/1 judged on his Rehearsal chase win.
Those would be my two ew picks.
 
Crebilly was beaten 44 lengths in this race yesterday. If the main target is the Festival Plate Handicap over two and a half miles where he finished second last year off 140 they've done a good job in ensuring that the handicap rating is no higher this time around. Previous two runs have been the two mile handicap chase at Windsor won by Matata with a season-opener over hurdles at Chepstow. Might be a spring horse like Langer Dan
I was expecting Crebilly to run in Thursday's Plate Handicap, but he has been declared for the Ultima instead. Looks to be JP's only runner in this and he has Jagwar (7/1f) still in the Plate and the O'Neills have Springwell Bay in that one too. Crebilly doesn't look a strong stayer. Is he there just to give the owner a runner with the target later on, or have I missed something?
 
I decided a good while ago, probably when it reappeared earlier this season, that I wasn't going to back Crebilly until the festival and would back it in whatever handicap it ran in.

I haven't tabulated my figures yet but I will be backing it regardless. Sickness insurance at the very least.
 
Crebilly won't run unbacked by me, but I agree the jury is out in his stamina.

He finished well last year over the shorter trip, but then appeared not to get home at Aintree.

Drying ground is also a concern for me - I will be watching the stick readings closely.
 
Crebilly won't run unbacked by me, but I agree the jury is out in his stamina.

When you consider how the likes of Corbetts Cross and Inodwayurthinkin (sp?) improved for stepping up in trip, I imagine they will have tested Crebilly somewhere away from the track to know exactly which race to target.
 
Ive narrowed this down to 2

Henry's Friend
Malina Girl

Both will like the better ground, the former looks to be coming to the boil at the right time, and Malina has course form
 
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