Diamond Geezer
Gone But Not Forgotten
- Joined
- May 2, 2003
- Messages
- 13,884
Goshen had the same 161p rating as Epatante
Without getting dragged into an argument that has been done to death a thousand times:
re Sectionals - and time more generally - whilst the numbers on the clock are measurable, the ground is always, always a subjective measure, and given the co-dependent relationship between the pair, times can only ever be considered a implicity-accurate measure of performance, rather than an explicitly accurate measure.
Additionally, given the pace can only be subjectively-measured/ guessed-at beforehand, application of Sectionals/Times alone to determine an outcome, is compromised.
To me, it’s just one more factor that you can weight into your calculations or not - depending on taste. The suggestion that it somehow holds the key, or is otherwise a stronger indicator to an outcome, is piffle - for the reasons given above.
I'm mindful of Hendo's remark that Epatante was 'in theory JP's third choice' for the Champion Hurdle, the other being last year's winner.
Can anything he has said about this horse be treated seriously?
Without getting dragged into an argument that has been done to death a thousand times:
re Sectionals - and time more generally - whilst the numbers on the clock are measurable, the ground is always, always a subjective measure, and given the co-dependent relationship between the pair, times can only ever be considered a implicity-accurate measure of performance, rather than an explicitly accurate measure.
Additionally, given the pace can only be subjectively-measured/ guessed-at beforehand, application of Sectionals/Times alone to determine an outcome, is compromised.
To me, it’s just one more factor that you can weight into your calculations or not - depending on taste. The suggestion that it somehow holds the key, or is otherwise a stronger indicator to an outcome, is piffle - for the reasons given above.
Nay Grass, there will always be conjecture on the exact state of the ground, and it's an arbitrary choice what to call it, (though it's partly addressed by the going stick in other spheres).Without getting dragged into an argument that has been done to death a thousand times:
re Sectionals - and time more generally - whilst the numbers on the clock are measurable, the ground is always, always a subjective measure, and given the co-dependent relationship between the pair, times can only ever be considered a implicity-accurate measure of performance, rather than an explicitly accurate measure.
Additionally, given the pace can only be subjectively-measured/ guessed-at beforehand, application of Sectionals/Times alone to determine an outcome, is compromised.
To me, it’s just one more factor that you can weight into your calculations or not - depending on taste. The suggestion that it somehow holds the key, or is otherwise a stronger indicator to an outcome, is piffle - for the reasons given above.
Reet, you will not be at all surprised to hear that my post - as they all do - referred only to the Jumps game.![]()
If the guineas or Derby go ahead Nick, you may have to try a new tipple
Summer abstinence is something I have practised rigorously for about a quarter of a century now, PJ. This year no different from any other - despite the rather unique circumstances.
I've done a fairly rudimentary comparison between the Triumph and the County. I don't think Simon Rowlands published a furlong-by-furlong comparison, focusing instead on the finishing % relative to the whole race.
I have SR running the C&D 26lbs faster than BV.
Assuming Goshen would have won by 10L, SR would have been 9lbs or so faster.
They got to the first hurdle sooner in the County although that's based on the TV clock which might not have started at exactly the same time. Thereafter, I paused the recording as the lead horse was in flight, its withers directly above the hurdle. From there on, the Triumph was very fast-run and at the second-last was 8L in front (ie Goshen was). While Goshen was taking nearly ten lengths off his field from there to the last, the County field were going at pretty much the same speed and Saint Roi sped clear on the run-in.
I think Goshen would have been a very impressive winner but over a modest field while I think the County was a ridiculously hot race, some way better than even a normally hot remewal.
Time will tell, I suppose.
These are my sectional timings taken from the TV recording. Unfortunately, whichever dick in the production team was responsible for the pictures, he needs a toe up the arse because his fancy-dan idea of showing the jockey-cam image in the top left corner of the main screen meant the much-hyped on-screen clock was fuckin hidden!
<tbody>
[TD="align: center"]Sect[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Juv (s)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]County (s)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Diff (s)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Dist (L)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Cum[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H1-H2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]45.17[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]43.56[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-1.81[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-9[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H2-H3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H3-H4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H4-H5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]64.14[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]64.73[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.59[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H5-H6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]27.09[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]27.53[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.44[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]2+[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]4-[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H6-H7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]45.57[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]47.96[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]2.39[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H7-H8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]39.49[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]39.53[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.04[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0+[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H8-WP[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]19.16[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13.95[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-5.21[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]26[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-18[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]BV[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]16.80[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-2.85[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14+[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-6+[/TD]
</tbody>