More speculative than anything i wouldn't normally bet so small stakes,gabrial's princess made her debut in june on that run would have expected to be nearer the 70 mark looking at the horses that finished infront of her.
She cost 45,000 yet sits on a mark of 52,obviously isn't going to be any star but i'm going to have a token bet on her on the chester run as her dam was decent and her close relatives.Looking at the chester run and pedigree i think in all probability another step up in trip is what she needs so the drop to 6fs looks strange.I will follow her for her next few runs as she looks well handicapped from her debut.
5.20 Flying trader has the only decent time on the clock,the others are open to improvement but 9/2 in a race where one isn't even guaranteed to get the trip and the others out of slow races the 9/2 was to big.May not win but trade should ensure a profit can see it going off 2nd fav 5/2 mark.
6.20 Arkaim and vanilla rum ran a espectable time for the grade over c/d lto,both open to improvement and hopefully fenton won't piss about and guarantee the pace that they need.Just to mention that yourinthewill ran a very nice race over c/d but followed that up with a poor run,i will add it for fcasts as on that run would have a very good chance.There's a possibility that arkaim and vanilla rum may dominate the market,so i've staked to trade as well as ew.
Like very little tomorrow at lingfield even though there are a couple of better class races,there appears no value,had a little on picansort at 11/1 to trade and ew for on here 10s 365.
1pt trade picansort 10/1 365
.05ptew
Three horses have clocked almost identical times over the c/d and picansort is the biggest priced,reasonable draw and with lots of pace on may suit as he stays 6fs.Dropped down to lowest aw mark since he won off 62 october 2010,may do some fcasts with even bolder and black baccara all three have run virtually identical time at the track.
A bit speculative green earth on recent runs but has been running over 1m2fs,6fs wrong ground on turf and in between those runs a second to conciliatory looks very good in the context of tomorrows race.Sitting on second lowest ever aw mark of 60,the mile is ideal mongan has won on him and likes the track.He won over c/d in october 2010 and that run was the fastest that anything in this race has run over c/d.The 14/1 would look very big if he's spot on in a poor race,looks like he can't beat the fav on lingfield run but that was over 2fs futher plus land hwaks run here over a mile was nothing special.Think this will be well backed or drift like a barge as the 14s should be top big.
First command takes a drop in class and has dropped to a very nice mark of 57,last two runs at wolves has been poorly drawn 10,13 and when 6th to valmina was given a very easy race and finished full of running.The last run the race was run at a slow pace and did not suit and looks well handicapped on penultimate run.He's only had the 4runs on the aw 3 of the over tomorrows trip and last season was second at wolves off 69 to darcey in different class race,trainer had a winner last night at wolves as well.In this poor race if this is trying it could well be heavily backed from his 5 draw.
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