Daily picks.

1pt trades
whodunit 20/1
rodrigo de freitas 12/1 365
0.05ptew the pair


Might not have time to do all the write ups for them,just trying to get prices.
 
Whodunit was travelling well at kempton coming into the straight and although impossible to say if he wouldv'e picked up he was travelling as well as anything and that race was better than todays the 20s will look massive if he runs to his best.His course record is 2/4 over c/d,shown little on the turf but his last 4 runs over 1m2fs on the aw he's been 5/3/1/2 he's back down to a mark of 58 a pound lower than when winning over c/d by 8ls in a decent time for the grade.I tend not to look at the market on weekend racing as the aw is misread by loads of punters and you get some great value,but i would think if this is anywhere near his best it must be backed.At his best he'd be favourite for this race.
The other is roger de freitas has lots of form in better races but looks difficult to win with again 12s looks big in a race where virtually non of the runners have run to his best lowest ever mark tomorrow.Last time out ran in a better race in this at kempton over a furlong further in a decent time,beaten 5ls the jock looks a negative but has finished second to shernando off 60 finishing 4ls clear of two mid seventy horses.
Will be disappointed at least if these don't produce a trade and if they run to their best could easily figure in a dire race.
 
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Hunters light looks well in on his few runs if he repeats the form of his last run will win and it looks likely will be overbet so have got a trade in as well a a small win bet just incase he doesn't go on the surface.Suits me will lead up
and if on a going day could steal it from the front,but hopefully hunters light will frank its last run having mirror lake 6 3/4ls behind in third and recent winner over principal role.I've had a small saver on circumvent looks like he's really come into form wasted loads of ground at newmarket and still finished well and a decent run behind kirthill at newbury.Last season was third off 107 finishing 10ls infront of suits me although that was on the turf,don't like anything else in the race so had to back it as well.
 
Riggins 3/4 on the aw and this is his surface,november 2010 was 1st off 108 tomorrow only off 94,had chapter and verse in behind 1m36.58 decent time as well.Has shown nothing on the turf but 16s was worth a small bet and there maybe some money for it with such a decent aw record,so put in a trade as well.
 
Wasn't much between secret asset and total gallery recently in france behind iver bridge lad.Secret asset is well in at the weights with the field although sometimes gives the impression of not putting it all in,the faster they go the more chance of the win.Not strong picks but the most likely winners with silaah and norville taking each other on.


If i get a few spare minutes will preview the rest of the card and wolves,up with the baby at the moment nightmare!!
 
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1pt trade cootehill lass .40 pt win 15/8 vchandler reasonable time at kempton.
beggars belief .20ptew 10/30 warden bond 1pt trade.10pt ew 15/2
Both ran upsides each other in what was a reasonable time for the grade.


.40ptew cheherazad 9/4 .20ptew dusty bluebells 9/2
A poor maiden but both showed reasonable forn on last poly runs both clocking in the 1m12s at lingfield and kempton.
 
gigilo said:
.40pt win hunters light 15/8 corals
1pt trade hunters light 15/8 corals (1.81)!!!!!
.05ptew circumvent 10/1 sky,tote,blue
1pt trade riggins 16/1 lads(6.6)!!!!!!!
0.05ptew riggins 16/1 lads.
.20ptew secret asset 3/1 hills
.10ptew total gallery 7/1 corals
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whhhooossssssshhhhhhh:cool:
 
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Phonic ran at kempton last time out in what was a track record,beaten 5ls was always going to be backed after that run and wouldn't surprise me if it went off near fav with doubts around the fav on the surface.The only slight ? is that the track was extremely quick that night but this is a poor race.

Wolves 2.40 castlemorrisking 1pt trade 4/1 and .10ptew hills
sand skier .05ptew 7/1 ppower
 
Castlemorris king has won two weak handicaps but in respectable times for the grade lto beating golestan palace by 4ls,recent third to fascinating that particular horse recently won off 71 at kempton so the form looks solid.
This is a step up in class but many of the runners although better form on the turf still have it to prove on the surface so the 4/1 was fair price for this race as its hard to make a case on aw form for most of the runners.
He looks a worthy fav but one that maybe a danger is sand skier once 90+ rated but over shorter distances,last time out only second run over 1m4fs showed he stayed as the time was ok for the grade and again 7/1 these two stood out at the prices.
 
gigilo said:
Phonic ran at kempton last time out in what was a track record,beaten 5ls was always going to be backed after that run and wouldn't surprise me if it went off near fav with doubts around the fav on the surface.The only slight ? is that the track was extremely quick that night but this is a poor race.

Wolves 2.40 castlemorrisking 1pt trade 4/1 and .10ptew hills
sand skier .05ptew 7/1 ppower
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Out at 3.75:cool:
 
Thursday Kempton 5.20 Purley queen
1pt trade
0.05ptew 14/1 lads back again if bigger other books.
 
Purley queen looks overpriced on her wolves run,she sits on a mark of 65 and although the form hasn't worked out from the first two in that race she finished full of running over the 6fs.The two infront of her were rated 74 and 75 she wouldv'e overhauled them over tomorrows extra furlong and looks a decent trade once everyone has watched the replays.I expect her to be backed and the trade should more than cover the ew if she doesn't produce.
 
swell 1.10

1pt trade mottley crewe .10ptew 9/2 365
1pt trade ezra church .10ptew 6/1 365

Write up later
 
Two looking improvers in mottley crewe and ezras church and they maybe ones to follow for the following aw season.Mottley crewe looks a fibresand natural especially compared to his turf form,last time out having the ever motionless nora looby riding but still managing to run over a second quicker than monsieur jamie winning off 77 in the first division on the card.Dane o'neil is a slight negative in that he's never rode the horse but decent draw and think it will be winning more races this season at swell.
The other is ezra church,again almost certain this will be winning more races and if the price holds up will probably be a hugh taylor pick as last season won over c/d off 9-13 in 1m17.44.Later on the card elhamri won off 70 carrying 9-0 but that handicap was slightly slower,everything in behind was rated 70+.This would put ezra in the 80s on that run but tomorrow runs off74,not forgetting the horse had not run for 4 months either,a very interesting runner and i will be watching this closely as it will be going on to follows for the future regardless of result.
 
Dane o'neil isn't riding mottley crewe,think i was considering doing something with ace of spies which he does ride!
 
gigilo said:
Thursday Kempton 5.20 Purley queen
1pt trade
0.05ptew 14/1 lads back again if bigger other books.
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Purley queen looks overpriced on her wolves run,she sits on a mark of 65 and although the form hasn't worked out from the first two in that race she finished full of running over the 6fs.The two infront of her were rated 74 and 75 she wouldv'e overhauled them over tomorrows extra furlong and looks a decent trade once everyone has watched the replays.I expect her to be backed and the trade should more than cover the ew if she doesn't produce.

Runs tomorrow 5.35 kempton same stakes.
 
Purley queen don't think was there to win tonight,big drift and i'm not sure handled the track,she may not be up to much anyway but will give her a chance if entered at wolves.

1pt trade lockantanks .10ptew 6/1 ladbrokes.

Rated 74 i think this fella is still open to improvement and has better form in better races,this maybe the reason why he hasn't won that often as the drop in grade the slow pace catches him out.Last season at lingfield 2 runs behind follow the flag and one he shouldv'e won behind fanditha and infront of tonights winner ocean legend potentially he could still be a 80+ horse.Those two decent runs were off 77 and 76 given a decent pace to chase he will be winning one or two of these in the near future,a few unexposed ones in tomorrows race but it looks like 4 like to set the pace so maybe ru to suit.
 
1pt trade desert strike 16/1 365,lads
.05ptew
.50pt trade incomparable 14/1 lads
.05ptew
 
gigilo said:
Purley queen don't think was there to win tonight,big drift and i'm not sure handled the track,she may not be up to much anyway but will give her a chance if entered at wolves.

1pt trade lockantanks .10ptew 6/1 ladbrokes.

Rated 74 i think this fella is still open to improvement and has better form in better races,this maybe the reason why he hasn't won that often as the drop in grade the slow pace catches him out.Last season at lingfield 2 runs behind follow the flag and one he shouldv'e won behind fanditha and infront of tonights winner ocean legend potentially he could still be a 80+ horse.Those two decent runs were off 77 and 76 given a decent pace to chase he will be winning one or two of these in the near future,a few unexposed ones in tomorrows race but it looks like 4 like to set the pace so maybe ru to suit.
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That'll do out at 4.2;)
 
Got the lot!!:cool:Confirms what i thought abut him being rated 80+ as well,going to be a good season.
 
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