Daily picks.

Excellent job Andy had a nice EW on Jack Dawkins with reverse fc to boot.

Made up for me looking like a bumhole counting my winnings in the first with Bentley...only a **** hair between em in that photo!!
 
Well done Gig, had an each wayer on that as was a definite place material and anything better was a bonus - and it was!!

Just need another good one for the cheltenham expenses next week...
 
Yep sickening stuff i'm afraid i'm not as big a fan as the pundits about robert tart only done those five races today and did some ew lucky 31v s again this morning with jack dawkins at 8/1.Might have to rub evrryones nose in about goldmachen on betfair told them it was a slowboat,just wait till i find that thread!!!!!!:lol::lol:;)
 
Simpson Jersey said:
Hi Andy, thanks for message.
Think that Amtired has a good chance in the 4.10, ran a lot better than finishing position shows over hurdles lto when ran wide all the way around and let coast home when chance gone, previously heavily backed at Wolver behind Honoured on 1st run for 8 months. Had previously run well here over shorter finishing his races off very well, money this morning, had a bet at 13/2 last night. Agree that Dubawi Island must have a great chance.
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Kaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaabbbbbbbbbbbbbbbboooooooooooooooooooommmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm!:lol::lol:
 
gigilo said:
Swell preview for tomorrows card!!

2.10

A poor race and hard to be overconfident in any of the runners,bentley ran a reasonable race after first run back after 12 months second to sir ivor although beaten 6ls was 6ls back to the third.Has not won for 2 seasons although won 8 on the aw and on lowest mark since sept 2006,time of that race was ok for the grade on previous form the trip looks on the short side but the surface riding on the slowside probably suits.Repeats that run will be involved in the finish!
Mango music another on downgrade and now this is her level,brian mchugh seems to be getting the best runs out of her won on her off 59 in september at newcastle over tomorrows trip of 7fs.She had a poor draw last time out when drawn 11 and was nearest finish over the 6fs back up in trip these two look the most likely winners.
bentley,mango music


2.40

An impossible looking handiocap with quite a few still open to improvement
sleepy blue ocean drops to a mark of 74 allowing him to run off lowest winning mark on the aw since december 2011 off exact same mark.If the more prominent runners in the market don't show improvement could easily figure with a 4/9 record over the c/d.A more speculative runner would be captain scooby he is also on lowest mark since september 2011 and lowest ever aw mark.Has actually got for that ties ion with sleepy blue ocean on two runs over this c/d,january last season finishing infront of sleepy blue ocean the other behind.Will no doubt be winning again this season off current mark and probably need the run tomorrow but would have a chance on even last seasons form off higher marks.
sleepy blue ocean,captain scooby


3.10

Goldmachen will probably win by default has looked an improver but the races she's won have looked very poor,there looks only one danger and thats jack dawkins.Jack dawkins rarely runs a bad race here but beaten 51ls last time out over the 1m4s last season beat transonic by 9ls over the c./d tomorrow in 2m23.61 on that form would be a great bet ew against probavble odds on fav!!

goldmachen,jack dawkins


3.40


Meditarranean sea has never won off 75 would be highest winning mark,has run well off this sort of mark and this is a weak race could well win.The two most interesting runners that have formlines through horses such ss veloso,aaman three white socks ties these three formlines in quite closely,brunellos only had 8 races and omid the 11 i think both of these are open to improvement although brunello hasn't run for 378 days.There are some very interesting formlines with these three,somelines favouring brunello t would have to side with mediterranean sea and omid just because of brunellos lay off but i think he's one to follow .The run behind sistine and aaman maybe better form than first appears i wouldn't be surprised iof he won.
mediterranean sea,omid

4.10


Corn maiden improved for the surface out of refuse to bend has now been second won last time out poor races but should pick up another race and likes this slower surface as its riding.It's difficult to make a case for the other runners as most have no or little course form the danger looks to be rubi dia another coming back after a long lay off has won on the surface when riding slow winning off 63 tomorrow off 58.Linroyale looks interesting off what could still be a great mark looking at the horses he ran against iover a mile here on first two runs has still only had the 6 runs and maybe just an aw horse!!
corn maiden,rubi dia,linroyale lad

4.40


As mentioned with dubawi island has a 10 pound pull for 1/2l with the lockmaster he looked a little bit of value at 7/1 was a false price that day at 11/10 tomorrow looks a 7/2 shot if he repeats that run and with robert tart taking off 7 pound down to a mark of 78.The time of that race fits in well with caledonian prince far quicker and on virtually same going,all depending on how quick he goes and whether piceno takes him on should be involved at the finish.At some point will surely be dropped in trip dubawi island as travels so well looks slightly vulnerable to improvers over the mile but these are similarly exposed.Dubai hills also looks very interesting as he comes back to hos fav track 4/5 here last time he ran here he won off 87 and is only off 82 tomorrow.The ? is the trip although he was second off 85 at donny over the mile in october,another one that looks worth following.

dubawi island,caledonian prince
5.10

Will stick with seamster and greenhead high just from the draw aspect and the fact they both made all last time out,although greenhead high seemed to improve for the visor and thats off again tomorrow.Greenhead highs still reasonably well handicapped on last years swell form and seamster won easily enough although very weak race ,if they repeat those runs then will be involved in the finish.

seamster,greenhead high
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KABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMM ON AT 6S AND 13/2 WHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHOOOOOOOSSSSSSHHHHHHH Another bonanza almost won a kings ransom with the two seconds!!!!!!:lol::lol::lol::cool:;)
 
Almost forgot had fcast in the last as well that fcast double went begging today,7.76 and 7.17!:rolleyes:
 
captain scooby
phoenix nights
ambitious icarus


Nothing that was hugely eyecatching in yesterdays sprint although guests horse amitious icarus was left 15ls made that ground up to be back of the field.Fitzpatrick wasn't urgent on his ride msybe one to keep a close eye on as lightedly raced.Captain scooby holds no secrets but has got down to a mnew mark,now off lowest since sepember 2011 when wuinning off 76 off present mark of 69 looks well handicapped and nice intrioduction back.
Also the ride from phoenix clubs was quite inyteresting,prominent and then allowed to drop back was beat but the jock made sure he never gave it a race.These races are very competitive as they are so weak but you may see double figure prices on thezse and wortj a few bets.
 
Penbryn from the to-follows runs 6.30 Kempton. I know you think he may be better at Lingfield, but must stand a reasonable chance today in an open race. I've taken 8-1.
 
Jonnie skull drops in class has been running well all season in slightly better races and over mainly 6fs has already won off 51 this season,but now has dropped to 50 allowing him into this race for those rated up to 50.The last twice he's run off this mark he's won this time last year over tomorrows c/d by 3/1/2ls,he's 2/9 over the c/d has a decent draw in 4.He looks nicely handicapped to win one of these,it's actually a very strong race for the grade as there are a few in form,but the 12/1 is a massive price in this grade.Last time he ran over this c/d was second to fayr hall off 57 thats better form than any of these his most recent runs over 7fs he's been third to bussa and fourth to macks sister.If he doesn't show tomorrow i'll be following him over the next few weeks especially here as he's capable of better form than these off this mark.Looks 6/1 shot to me.
 
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BennyB said:
Penbryn from the to-follows runs 6.30 Kempton. I know you think he may be better at Lingfield, but must stand a reasonable chance today in an open race. I've taken 8-1.
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Only just seen your post,it was a very competitive race penbryn will still get a chance in something weaker than that,barachiel was infront of it in that lingfield race and was only beaten in third tonight in the same race.And safwaan;)
 
gigilo said:
Jonnie skull drops in class has been running well all season in slightly better races and over mainly 6fs has already won off 51 this season,but now has dropped to 50 allowing him into this race for those rated up to 50.The last twice he's run off this mark he's won this time last year over tomorrows c/d by 3/1/2ls,he's 2/9 over the c/d has a decent draw in 4.He looks nicely handicapped to win one of these,it's actually a very strong race for the grade as there are a few in form,but the 12/1 is a massive price in this grade.Last time he ran over this c/d was second to fayr hall off 57 thats better form than any of these his most recent runs over 7fs he's been third to bussa and fourth to macks sister.If he doesn't show tomorrow i'll be following him over the next few weeks especially here as he's capable of better form than these off this mark.Looks 6/1 shot to me.
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He likes that mark of 50 been backing it all morning ew saw the drift the layers are nuts,a pity as the values gone but another winning day!!
 
birdy boy


Had shown nothing till winning off 45 yesterday at swell over the mile,time seemed reasonable as track is still on the slowside 1m43.36 only .50 slower than aryal winning the maiden later on the card aryal rated 73.Arise of 10 pound looks likely and that would still look a very nice mark if reproducing this form over the c/d there looked a little bit more to come as well.Obvioulsy will be short but would be unlikely to come across anything in this grade to bea\t it.
 
I was at Southwell yesterday and the wife saw Birdy Boy take a dump in the parade ring, good luck according to her, no chance I said but with not much else in the race we stuck a cheeky £25 EW on :). Absolutely hacked up had it won from the bend.

Also Jack Dawkins beating Goldmadchen (again) in the first made it a good day out...albeit bloody cold!
 
;)Was a nice card yesterday,a decent day to go unlike most of the cards there just small ? over the winners at the prices i was to mean to have a bet!!
 
19:45 Doncaster, 19 May 20121m
Frenchgate First For Fashion Handicap (Rnd) (Class 3) (3YO only)
Winner £8,410 - 13 ran
Good


Archive Video
Weighed In

Result Future Form Pos Dist. Silk Cloth / Horse Name (Draw) SP Age / Wt Jockey / Trainer OR
1 9. Bronze Angel (IRE) (14)ATR Tracker 10/1 3 9 - 2p1 Hayley Turner
M P Tregoning
87
close up on outer, ridden to lead inside final furlong, stayed on
2 ¾ 3. Ladys First (4)ATR Tracker 8/1 3 9 - 1 Lee Topliss (3)
R A Fahey
89
in touch, headway to chase leaders over 1f out, effort inside final furlong, not quicken near finish
3 nk 14. Verse Of Love (5)ATR Tracker 25/1 3 8 - 5 L Morris
P D Evans
76
held up, ridden over 2f out, headway over 1f out, effort inside final furlong, stayed on towards finish
4 ¾ 2. Hadaj (13)ATR Tracker 16/1 3 9 - 5 B Doyle
C E Brittain
90
slowly away, in rear, ridden 2f out, ran on final furlong, not reached leaders
5 ¾ 8. Solar Deity (IRE) (6)ATR Tracker 11/2 3 9 - 2 T E Durcan
M Botti
87
keen close up, lost a couple places 3f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on one pace
6 ¾ 7. Shamaal Nibras (USA) (9)ATR Tracker 25/1 3 9 - 0 S M Levey (3)
R Hannon
88
held up, headway over 1f out, ridden and stayed on towards finish, not reached leaders
7 ¾ 12. Savanna Days (IRE) (8)ATR Tracker 12/1 3 8 - 11 Martin Harley
M R Channon
82
towards rear, headway 3f out, chased leaders over 1f out, no impression final furlong
8 nse 1. Mississippi (3)ATR Tracker 5/1 2Fav 3 9 - 7 Martin Dwyer
B J Meehan
92
tracked leader, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra
9 2¾ 6. Dank (12)ATR Tracker 3/1 Fav 3 9 - 3 R L Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
88
in rear, plenty to do 2f out, headway on inside approaching final furlong, not troubled leaders
10 1¼ 13. Bank On Me (1)ATR Tracker 20/1 3 8 - 11t S W Kelly
P J McBride
82
led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened final furlong
11 1¾ 5. Poetic Dancer (10)ATR Tracker 12/1 3 9 - 4 A Kirby
C G Cox
89
held up, headway to chase leaders 2f out, weakened final furlong
12 8 11. Venetian View (IRE) (11)ATR Tracker 25/1 3 8 - 11 R Mullen
G L Moore
82
held up, ridden and outpaced 3f out
13 ½ 10. Elkhart


hadaj

Hadaj was a big eyecatcher in this race last season and looked like he would go on and be at least top class handicapper,held up last to be nearest finish.The form was one of the strongest early season handicaps that worked out through the season 1st now rated 101,2nd 103,3rd verse of love placed today in listed race now rated 86 hadaj conceding a stone,4th solar deity todays winner of that listed race off 95,5th 97,9th 104.Hadaj showed absolutely nothing after this race had four runs two you could excuse two on tracks goodwood,chester and maybe the desperate ground at yarmouth he will be massive prices on that donny run this season.He still only has 9 lifetime runs and with clive brittains horses always underestimated will be worth having a few bets as if he captures the donny form off current mark would be virtually unbeatable!!
 
Going to have a dabble at Naas today. A decent enough Listed hurdle race and a nice complicated h/cap chase to spice things up.

2.10 Zuzka
4.40 Oscar Time & Rich Revival
e/w double on Z and OT
larger e/w double on Z and RR
all betfair multiples
 
amtired,linroyale boy

Times from tuesday suggest that the race amtired won for the grade won off 55 might not have been to bad and running off such low marks on the fibresand maybe worth following to small stakes.Linroyale boy hadn't run for 105 days either but had looked well handicapped on bits of mile form over the track.The third from that race houdini bright beaten 5ls ran ok behind jack dawkins,gold machen and xpress maite next time out although outclassed franked te form of this race with amtired.They won't be much in terms of prices but look well enough handicapped to both win again in what will be poor races over these distances.
 
1.55 Star of rohm looked a decent handicapper on the turf but has been beaten 4 times as favourite three at odds on,last race at loingfioeld was a slowly run race,this looks a terrible race as all the other runners have very poor form and there doesn't look much improvement to come.Star of rohms out of eceed and excel pretty good sire stats on the fibresand if just repeating any of previous form should win this.They kept him away from soft ground so that may not be a good pointer but looks likeliest winner.

STAR OF ROHM

2.30 Alpha tauri came back to form last time out was decent handicapper on the aw was second off 80 last season over c/d and has a c/d record of 4/11 if he repeats last time out run should win could easily make all in the race.


ALPHA TAURI

3.05 Aubretia still looks like she's improving won 4 out of last 5 runs,last time out she beat royal bajan decent 5fswell specialist most of the runners in this race look reklatively exposed and she's beaten a few of them quite easily over tomorrows c/d previously.Ruth carrs victoire de lyphar once rated 103 got him on a mark of 84 showed his first bit of form when second last time out at ayr when rinning second to barkston ash,poor sire stats and turning track(no form on one yet)would be ? against him,but she's had a few runners out lately dubai dynam ran well behind tarooq on saturday.Her horses maybe in form early season and this one looks well handicapped.Sans loi has 15 pound turnaround with aubretia for 5ls,only 11 lifetime runs and was second to esque love last season could well get closer to her this time after 6 months off.


AUBRETIA,SANS LOI,VICTOIRE DE LYPHAR

3.45

Two mile races were run on the same day and tomorrows race with fluctuation,bold marc and minortrangression were in thos races,fluctuation comes out on top of those times run bold marc has a couple of lengths to find,not impossible as will lead from a decent draw and might get to dominate.These two could fighht out the finish.


FLUCTUATION,BOLD MARC
4.25

Shawkantangos had some eyecatching runs this season although adam mclean lets the horse down a little she's 4/9 over this c/d gets to run off 60 ran in better race than this last tiome out nearest finish,she has been notoriously slow stsrter this season and adam mclean will have to get away far quicker as making up ground here has been impossible on recent 5f races.She last ran here off 65 march 2012 previous to that was february when 2nd off 63 she has a decent chance on her recent form as long as she gets away on terms.One at a bigger price molly jones very exposed but only had 2 runs here was 3rd off 55 i october has reasonable draw in 3 william carson rides in first time pieces could run on third attempt at c/d.

SHAWKANTANGO,MOLLY JONES

5.05

Dewala looked to be well ahead of the handicapper but only just looked to get home last time out from stanley rigby she could still be up to winning this race looked to idle slightly infront when going clear and her time previously looked reasonable on the day.Stanley rigby will probably be the biggest danger over this extra furlong,

DEWALA,STANLEY RIGBY

5.40

Amtired could be well ahead of the handicapper the time of the race compared well to jack dawkins winning earlier on the card the second linroyale might also be worth following ss there was 5ls back to houdini bright ran ok next time out when 4th to jack dawkins and goldmachen.Amtired won off 55 runs off 61 tomorrow would be difficult to oppose on that run,maybe still one to follow.

AMTIRED
 
Excellent write up as always Andy. Would be interested on your thoughts in the first at Wolverhampton tomorrow. I'm really sweet on Reginald Claude, especially with Rachael Kneller in the saddle who seems to time him to perfection. Some decent opposition but 11/2 with PP seems reasonable enough.
 
Think its the other way round fella he times her to perfection,argueably was the best horse last time out i wouldn't put you off it looks ridiculously competitve though.
 
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