S
SlimChance
Guest
Gigilo - sent you a mail.
Cammidge trophy Saturday
One of my favourite sprinters jack dexter is in the cammidge again won it in 2013 and been placed in 2014,i put him up in November when he won and he still shows his class was 2nd and 3rd in group 2 last season and this season gets ryan moore on top on a track he really likes could easily win this but as first run of the season going to go for something else this season.Shared equity was in the race jack dexter won in November but that day the ground was absolutely desperate race was slow by 8 seconds and you had horses like links drive lady close up so the form didn't have any substance,so I'd be willing to put a line through shared equitys run.
There was a massive gamble when shared equity won at York 22s -7/1 and slaughtered a field full of decent inform handicappers by 3ls so it was obvious to trainer that shared equity must've easily been a 100+ horse because looking back through previous form would've been impossible to assume that was any better than previous form.
That day at York the ground was gd/sft borderiong on soft he had silver cup winner go far 3ls behind,tatislu and George bowen silver cup winner and runner up 4 1/2 ans 5ls behind,the third nameitwhatyoulike in third went onto win a class 2 next time out was 3 3/4ls behind so the form looked absolutely rock solid and his revised rating of 9 pound looked at least fair.He's now a 5yr old this could be best ever season and a race such as the cammidge there seems no reason why he shouldn't be competitive with more progress to come,has also run well on seasonal debuts and still has only the 15 lifetime runs,the main negative for him could be how bad the ground will be.The going stick is currently 6.2 was 5.4 the race in November he disappointed, but ground is drying all the time and temps are rising with dry weather expected so should dry out a fair bit yet.
Although this is a step up in class that handicap win and the horses he beat so easily and still open to improvement he could yet be even running in group races he looks an interesting runner even if he doesn't show best Saturday I'd still be following him for awhile,the 10/1 looks a bit of value in a race where it looks like 5/6 can win at best..Looking at the profile of the runners in this race with shared equity still open to improvement I would be surprised at double figures if hugh taylor or segal didn't pick it or even both so could turn into a decent trade,keep an eye on books it may just get underestimated and some bigger prices might pop up early afternoon..
Shared equity 10/1 totesport/betfred 9/1 365/hills
11/1 sportsbook
Donny 5.45
Apprentice handicap and hopefully fast ground by the time racing starts looks pretty likely, the rag of the field looks worth a speculative bet at a massive 40/1 for Declan carrioll had 33/1 winner in last at Donny yesterday.Think most of the reasonable fast ground form heads the market with first 4/5 in betting,mysterial gets to run off just 61 tomorrow with claimer,jock has only had 4 rides already had a winner,there's a negative in that he's drawm out in the car park in 20.
The biggest positive must be the ground,you can put a line through lsst 3 runs wrong ground wrong trips and that leaves you with previous form as good as anything in the race,with a record of 1/4/1/4/2/3 over this trip on good and notably second off 71 on gd/fm then finished 2015 season with 3rd of 15 to blue hassar for horses rated upto 85 going off 6/1.This is probably one of the worst races its run in when got its ground and trip any sort of revival inform would be at head of betting and obviously will be a huge gamble if stable have been waiting for this ground or laid out for this race despite the draw,got to be worth a speculative bet at prices..
Mysterial 33/1 365/totesport/victor/ppower/betway/racebets.
Just been logged out after typing up for an age done some ew multiples short prices really can't be bothered to type it all out again
2.30 Beverley
Roaring roary 3/1 365/victor maybe forescast with see vermont
4.20
Longside 6/5 ppower KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMM
6.45 Hamilton
Kingsthistle 5/1 sportsbook 9/2 lads/victor 3RD
7.30 Kempton
Hayward field 3//1 ppower/victor/sportsbook/betfred/totesport 2ND GOT 7/2 Even bigger on betfair
8.30
Dutch art dealer 7/2 corals 3/1 general 2nd got 4/1
9.0
Papa luigi 5/2 ppower/victor /Mazzini 4/1 ppower 3/1 general KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMM
7.20 Windsor
Links drive lady returns to fav c/d record on gd/sft sft 3/1/1/1 runs off 83 lowest mark since winning off 84 at olast season and same mark as when winning off 83 over c/d may 2014 and with the 3 pound claim lowest since October 2012 winning again over c/d.Was 3rd to Englishman back in april off 85 in better race and again i'm expecting a gamble as always gets overbet here and has ideal conditions,also you can put a line through the run at goodwood ground was on the quick side..Will be lovely trade(col) :thumbs ..prices won't last long wouldn't totally surprise if got so overbet went off near fav maybe 7/2 -4/1 tops...
Links drive lady 8/1 lads 13/2ppower/sportsbook 7/1 hills
7.20 Windsor
Links drive lady returns to fav c/d record on gd/sft sft 3/1/1/1 runs off 83 lowest mark since winning off 84 at olast season and same mark as when winning off 83 over c/d may 2014 and with the 3 pound claim lowest since October 2012 winning again over c/d.Was 3rd to Englishman back in april off 85 in better race and again i'm expecting a gamble as always gets overbet here and has ideal conditions,also you can put a line through the run at goodwood ground was on the quick side..Will be lovely trade(col) :thumbs ..prices won't last long wouldn't totally surprise if got so overbet went off near fav maybe 7/2 -4/1 tops...
Links drive lady 8/1 lads 13/2ppower/sportsbook 7/1 hills
Good work gigilo. 9/2 SP.
5.10 Hamilton
An absolutely desperate race wth a load of dodgepots that includes Galilee chapel but the 7yr old although rarely wins has dropped to a mark where could run a decent race,last season won by 5ls at newcastle on soft ground off 48 was 3rd off 58 three times after and two of those were over tomorrows c/d.Has a 13 pound turnaround with indian giver on one of those runs when indian giver won,anything like those runs would be a 5-6/1 shot to win this desperate race and gets to run off just a mark of 46 with 7 pound claim as well,the fact he's run two of his better races over this c/d and add in the factgd/ soft ground could even improve chances if runs anything like last runs here.Fav could be chucked in after last weeks run over c/d..
Galilee chapel 12/1 skybet/totesport/betfred
Beverley Result
28 May 2016
« 2:25 » BRIAN YEARDLEY CONTINENTAL TWO YEAR OLD TROPHY CONDITIONS STAKES (PLUS 10 RACE)
(Class 2) (2yo) 5f Good To Firm
£15,562.50, £4,660.00, £2,330.00, £1,165.00, £582.50, £292.50
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR
1 6 Prince Of Lir (IRE) 6/1 2 8-9 Robert Cowell — * *
Luke Morris
« 2 7 1¼ The Last Lion (IRE) 9/4 2 9-2 Mark Johnston — * *
Joe Fanning
« 3 5 2¼ Rainbow Mist (IRE) 10/1 2 9-0 Ann Duffield — * *
P J McDonald
« 4 4 ½ Mailshot (USA) 4/1 2 9-2 Mark Johnston — * *
Graham Lee
« 5 1 shd Logi (IRE) 7/4F 2 8-12 Richard Hannon — * *
Pat Dobbs
« 6 2 8 Springwood (IRE) 16/1 2 9-2 Richard Fahey — * *
Tony Hamilton
6 ran TIME 1m 1.37s (slow by 0.37s
Prince of lir
Lots of interesting runners coming along now,prince of lir winning on debut beating brocklesby winner the last lion running green the form didn't look great but the time suggests decent form,as was quicker than the following Hilary needler by .38 and remembering it was prince of lirs debut.The time was actually quickerthan easton angel won the Hilary neelder on similar going last season,just checking through entries only in Norfolk so far and only priced up at 10/1 so books giving nothing away in a hot race,hopefully will be entered in one of the other races at far bigger prices.This looks like another listed class horse at least with normal improvement and at least has something on the clock.Will be keeping a close on on ante post prices,wouldv'e considered 20s for the Norfolk vbut with the front three looking decent the 10s is to short may get bigger yet when proper runners get declared..
Abe lincoln looks interesting in the Britannia,i mentioned previously when he ran at York that the sire is prolific on the dirt but few winners on turf and has never had a winner on good or soft ground but strangely 2 winners from ten runners on g/fm.On second ever run at lingfield was hacking up behind in lst 2 furlongs got no run looked like would've hacked up and instead of being on a mark of 100 got dropped 2 pound, to 93,he then made his turf debut at York on goodish ground and was outpaced but again full of running entering the final 2 furlongsd had to switch left and was gaining ground under easy ride looked second best horse in race to me.The runner up chief whip was 2nd on Saturday at haydiock behind Garcia and the winner from the lingfield race haalick was unlucky behind oh this is us at goodwood,that leaves abe licoln looking absolutely chucked in he should've beaten both haalick and chief whip and they head the brittania market plus he has 12 pound turnaround with haalick on the aw run and a 12 pound turnaround with chief whip.
If he can repeat that those two runs over the extra furlong could easily make a for being clear favouriyte for this race,the extra furlong should suit,he's less likely to get a troubled run and the ground is highly likely to be quick at the ascot meeting.Looks another runner that wil be heavily backed leading upto the race on only 4th ever lifetime run.
Abe lincoln 12/1 ppower/sportsbook
Couple of ew lucky 31s
1,50
Rebel de lope ran in whaty appeared a slightly abiove average maiden at goodwood,time was quite decent for debut only a second slower than the older handicap on card with normal progression should go close..
Rebel de lope 13/8 365/victor/ppower 7/4 lads/hills
2.55 Ayr
Express himself been very consistent and been slightly improving been running in very competitve races ad tomorrows equally as competitive hopefully will hit the frame at least,good ground would be ideal,the haydock race was 4th in chucked up winners and ran well on debut behind secret brief..
Express himself 6/1 victor 11/2 365/ppower/sjames/corals
4.0 Newmarket
Willamina could turn into a very nice handicapper for martin meade on debut runijng manaboo to 1 1/2ls at goodwood,that winner had run in a decent maiden on debut in a decent time and the maiden they contested at goodwood last time out was run in a decent time as well may give the fav a race tomorrow,hopefully hit the places at least.Definitely one for handicaps
Willamina 11/2 skybet/totesport/betfred 7/1 betbright
6/1 365/victor
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Giggsy knows monster speedfigure ad the winner had theb previous run on debut!! huge prices!!!
6.15 Lingfield
Fearless lad came back into form last time out,that means he's now above highest winning mark if he can reproduce that runthen has best aw form in the race not the most consistent but decent place cghances at worst.Chella thriller would have a reasonable ew chance on last seasons form was second off 62 last season,been poor so far but usually runs well at the track..
Fearless lad 7/2 365/totesport/betfred 4/1 sportsbook Chella thriller 16/1 365 14/1 skybet/totesport/betfred
4/1 365/victor 16/1 victor
8.50 Lingfield
Case key ran ok in a 3yr old handicap behind horses that went onto win again just the lord and discreet hero the time was pretty decent at wolves that day although beaten 5ls was hampered at beginning of race so another that looks to have at least an ew chance..
Case key 10/1 365/totesport/betfred/lads/corals