Daily picks.

Hi Colin ,re your comment above , I found the forum through Gigolo on the Betfair forum about 6 months ago .I`ve always followed his selections ever since . In thanking him on the forum I was only being courteous . I`m sure that there are many who just enter the thread to see the selections and move on with their tips , I prefer to at least acknowledge his work . I apologise if you think that I have miss used the forum , this would never have been my intension . In future I will endeavour to use more of the forum and hopefully find more successful contributors like Gigolo . Thank you for bringing this to my attention and hope this reply eases your concerns .Dringwr.
 
2.20 Sandown


Pensax lad might be worth a token bet,has only won twice on turf and his mark is just about as good as he is was an improver on the aw at beginning of jan 2015 when I put him on to follows won off 88 beating hoofalong in jan.His turf foprm he remains around thie mid 70s is now rated 73,he has the worst draw tomorrow in 10 but all his turf runs this season have been respectable bar last run when ran over 6fs the other 4 were in slightly better races 2nd to ladweb off 74,5th to bashiba at Windsor baten just a length 5th tio adams ale on very soft ground and even though only 3rd of 5 at bath was only just behind yestedays winner at Donny singeur.The combination of draw and ground might be to much for him could be softer than forecast, but on overall form this season he's worth a token bet at 12/1 in a race with horses like himself that are exposed favs drawn 9 hopefully will follow him through.He's not really a turf horse but if he gets a decent draw before the end of the season he looks capable of winning a race like this at a decent price.

Pensax lad 12/1 365/victor
 
2.20 Sandown


Pensax lad might be worth a token bet,has only won twice on turf and his mark is just about as good as he is was an improver on the aw at beginning of jan 2015 when I put him on to follows won off 88 beating hoofalong in jan.His turf foprm he remains around thie mid 70s is now rated 73,he has the worst draw tomorrow in 10 but all his turf runs this season have been respectable bar last run when ran over 6fs the other 4 were in slightly better races 2nd to ladweb off 74,5th to bashiba at Windsor baten just a length 5th tio adams ale on very soft ground and even though only 3rd of 5 at bath was only just behind yestedays winner at Donny singeur.The combination of draw and ground might be to much for him could be softer than forecast, but on overall form this season he's worth a token bet at 12/1 in a race with horses like himself that are exposed favs drawn 9 hopefully will follow him through.He's not really a turf horse but if he gets a decent draw before the end of the season he looks capable of winning a race like this at a decent price.

Pensax lad 12/1 365/victor


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!:ninja: Different class to those lot on tgis years best form,bit annoyed now not done any other berts got a dozen marked off but just seems a bit of a guessing game on the ground,doncaster gd/fm they must be having a laugh!
 
Did I not mention the last 3 handicap sprints at sandown have been won by double figure stalls..!!!!!!!!!;)
 
7.2 Wolves

A very speculative bet on flying power has only run three times this summer so something amiss and trainers had nio winners in 2016 last three runs been last and tailed off beaten 66ls,37ls and 36ls so nothing at all to see bar either regressed or had some problem.He is a veteran now at 8 so may explain it but on last years runs over tmorrows c/d you'd be looking at 6/4 not beaten far in four races over m4fs and on last run over that trip off 64 beaten 3/4ls all those runs were different class opposed to tomorrows race,also hass the best times there as well.He usually leads gets the 1 draw tomorrow think the overnight prices will crash will be interesting to see if they hold up tomorrow,he's going to either be tailed off again or run a decent race as only running off 59 and with claimer taking off 3 pound.If he gets the lead you may also get decent lay in running as well.wouldn't be total surprise of jock trys to go clear so possibility of decent trade even if beat before latter stages..

Flying power 25/1 365

22/1 skybet/ 20/1 betfred/sportsbook/hills

22/1 victor/betbright
 
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Ayr gold cup

This years race looks highly competitive quite a strange race as nearly everything around the first fifteen heading the betting have been in great form and will be running off their highest ever marks if the grounds quickish on the day just looks impossible far too many runners with virtually same form all recently produced on decent ground.The race only becomes interesting if the ground does come up testing or soft,most of those 15 in the market have prodiced those recent ratings on fast ground and would be hard to bet bar one or two out of the fifteen that would be guaranteed to run to present marks on softer ground.
If the ground does ride on soft side,then Jack dexter may come into his own 7yr old now but still showing signs he retains ability and coming down in the weights,last couple of seasons ground hasn't come right for him in this race and jim goldie just keeps his campaign light to try and win the race.He's already run two decent races at ascot this season, when 9th of 28 drawn on the farside at ascot when advantage was in middle got stopped in run and probably cost him a length or two off 102,has also been 4th of 18 over 5fs at ascot on gd/fm ground which just shows he is in very good form.
His last run was over 7fs on gd/fm so easy to put a line through that.To give him a realistic chance of winning he is ground dependant,but if it does come up on the easy side, there are lots of doubts surrounding most of the runners off current marks he's actually one of the few runners with a falling mark that likes soft ground.Obviously the bet could be ruined a few days before the race has even run if no cut in the ground,but he would be very unlucky if the ground were to come up fast 90% of the meetings at ayr have been desperate this season.Bit disappointed that the books are only going 25s doesn't look as though any will go 33s now but if the rains come and the ground gets as desperate as this seasons meetings have been would be ideall

Jack dexter 25/1 365/skybet/boyles/victor/888/corals..will keep an eye on books as may get a couple going 33s in next week

Soft good/sft in places currently,if forecast is accurate another 10mm expected tonight and no great weather at track maybe even more rain through week so prices may go tomorrow morning as long as rain arrives..will be having a load more on and be laying some off hopefully...
 
Tried an ew thieving bet hopefully stake back if no winners at worst,will do write up if got time later...

2.25

Amablis evens 365

3.15

Khafoo shememi 5/2 365 11/4 sportsbook

3.50

Yorker 6/5 365 5/4 sportsbook 11/8 corals/victor

5.10

Sword exceed 3/1 365 4/1 sportsbook

2.40

Splash around 7/4 365

Already a non runner,wont be having any singles at these prices just a bet for a bit of interest won't bother writing them up as think they are al self explainatory..not really worth having singles as unsure of the ground although they should be ok looking at weather reports..
 
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Jack dexter smashed since I posted it back up again this morning,actually thought it would go off around 16s but that price already may not shorten anymore but if there's a deluge and it gets really testing will be in his element so tonights rainfall will be very interesting..
 
Ayr gold cup

Looks as though by the weekend jack dexters chances will be lessened again rain didn't come last night and forecasts changed now to decent weather bit disappointing sop at best may get gd/sft,so will have another bet on Ed walkers Aoelus.Aoelus is similarly being backed as ground os currently soft and same reasons as jack dexter has only been competing in group1,2 and 3s sonce 2014,4th to magical memory in a group 1 in april 5th and 6th to profitable over inadequate 5f races in group 2s and 3s and last time out 4th to the tin man on gd/fm.Hopefully will be a little juice ledft in the ground and would gicve it an obvious ew chance based on those runs not quite as reliant as jacjk dexter needing ground as a leveller,at 25s looks perfectly reasonable price on those runs.

Aoelus 25/1 Boyles,betfred,winner.sportsbook..
 
6.50 Chelmsford

Lots of thoroughly exposed handicappers manipura was unlucky behind a few of these last time out and looks the obvious pick,i'm going with a more speculative pick waneen just because of price and think it will be heavily backed so decent trade as well.Waneen is a 13 race maiden but has shown some ability 3rd of 72 at notts over 5fs 5th at sailsbury over 6fs off 72 and an interesting run at wolves on the aw behind papa luigi beaten 3 1/4ls now rated 88,disappointed at redcar but ran wel at bath in a race that has worked out well behind showbizzy.The second and third have both won in the last week and the 4th showmethewayavrilo been runner up at bath.He has a poor draw tomorrow in 10 de souse rides it might be he just needs 5fs not this 6fs but looks well handicapped on that run at bath off just 62 and will be following for awhile on decent ground..

Waneen 16/1 365 25/1 sportsbook..

16/1 ppower/victor/corals/lads

The de souse factor itself will see this going off 7-8/1...

Still 14s 365 12s with victor/ppower/betbright/betway..
 
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5.20 Ayr

Was going to avoid all racing tlll weekend with overwatering etc that seems to be going on but keep coming back to the last race at ayr even though guessing on draw could well come up high although stalls in the middle and unsure of quite how soft the ground is.Go go green hardly looks a bet at 10 but his overall form has been in better races than tomorrows and generally runs well at the track even if never wins never gets beaten far,was 2nd off 72 over 6fs here in may but his mark has now dropped tolifetime low of 58,his last run at musselburugh even that race threw up a 1,2 in astrophysics and royal brave at Beverley today.Obviously predicting him to win is speculative but this is a weaker race than he generally runs in and could run into a place.
Also one boy he has been contesting some far better handicaps than this.,although he hasn't won since 2014 so again probably asking a lot to predict a win he was 2nd off 76 on gd/sft august 2015 over c/d last time out ran in a slightly higher grade drawn 11 at Beverley running on 4th,wouldn't surprise me if this one was a big gamble and even went of fav as has loads of form in better class races generally, off a mark of just 68 stsrted season on 75 could well hit the frame..

One boy 14/1 hills 12s 365/skybet/betfred/lads/corals/betway/betbright

Go go green 18/1 365..

16s left with betfred/totesport..14/1 hills/betway/racebets wouldn't take any shorter
 
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What could've been smashed the markets to pieces decent day though with the ew doubles,one boy went off fav as predicted 6/1 can't believe that rag just won especially with her riding the hugh taylor ''jinx'' strikes again,can't remember the last time I backed one and he put one up and it won infact even placed,decent picks though will have to suffer it..
 
Ground will be against the soft ground horses at the weekend unless any rain tonight,was surprised by the times today a lot quicker than expected if there's no rain will be good on Saturday every year this happens now, goldie must be cursing his luck again especially when you consider the grounds desperate at ayr at 90% of the meetings in a season..Probably means after all speculation with weather its going to favour those at head of the market in the gold cup..
 
Wouldn't want to be taking any short prices at ayr,todays 20 horse 5f race was slower than yesterdays race for horses upto 70 ground must've gone really tacky looks the opposite now couldn't be having horses that rely on faster ground..first 5 home over the 6fs today held up and 4ls in total to 6th going to be loads of horses hating that ground..
 
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