Ayr gold cup
This years race looks highly competitive quite a strange race as nearly everything around the first fifteen heading the betting have been in great form and will be running off their highest ever marks if the grounds quickish on the day just looks impossible far too many runners with virtually same form all recently produced on decent ground.The race only becomes interesting if the ground does come up testing or soft,most of those 15 in the market have prodiced those recent ratings on fast ground and would be hard to bet bar one or two out of the fifteen that would be guaranteed to run to present marks on softer ground.
If the ground does ride on soft side,then Jack dexter may come into his own 7yr old now but still showing signs he retains ability and coming down in the weights,last couple of seasons ground hasn't come right for him in this race and jim goldie just keeps his campaign light to try and win the race.He's already run two decent races at ascot this season, when 9th of 28 drawn on the farside at ascot when advantage was in middle got stopped in run and probably cost him a length or two off 102,has also been 4th of 18 over 5fs at ascot on gd/fm ground which just shows he is in very good form.
His last run was over 7fs on gd/fm so easy to put a line through that.To give him a realistic chance of winning he is ground dependant,but if it does come up on the easy side, there are lots of doubts surrounding most of the runners off current marks he's actually one of the few runners with a falling mark that likes soft ground.Obviously the bet could be ruined a few days before the race has even run if no cut in the ground,but he would be very unlucky if the ground were to come up fast 90% of the meetings at ayr have been desperate this season.Bit disappointed that the books are only going 25s doesn't look as though any will go 33s now but if the rains come and the ground gets as desperate as this seasons meetings have been would be ideall
Jack dexter 25/1 365/skybet/boyles/victor/888/corals..will keep an eye on books as may get a couple going 33s in next week