Daily picks.

Probably best kept to small very takes till proper soft ground kicks in everywhere as the going reports have been miles out lately at some meetings heavy ground at Hamilton tomorrow and unsure of going at bath,do not want to see soft in the forecast that's for sure..some small ew multiples

4.20 Hamilton

Eastern dragon takes a drop in class may have done his running this season and a ? on heavy ground but obly two races back was 4th over 9fs to lord franklin over 9fs at Hamilton has now dropped to 73 the negative could be the claimer jaie gormley claiming 7 pound takes eastern dragon down to just 66 but has not rodden a winner yet from 13 rides although 4 places.Lowest previous mark to this was winning off 66 same mark at ayr by 5ls so has ew chance if jock isn't too much of a negative..
Rockwood had no decent form on the turf previously,showing big improvement on the aw looking very slow but improvement taking him upto a mark of 73,came back onto turf and finished 4th of 18 at York to woodys bay over 9fs and then penultimate run even though only second was over 1m2fs on desperate ground at ayr so tomorrows ground may suit and again has ew chance.This looks an ultra competitive race so wouldn't be overconfident..

Eastern dragon 11/1 hills

Rockwood 12/1 365/lads

5.25

Rocktherunaway is one of those horses to avoid 7yr old rarely wins hasn't won since 2013 stuck in mid to high 60s but last time out wore first time blinkers
on very slow ground behind sporting yankee form which looks better than these,the big ? is will he do it again at 9/2 that looks a very big price if he can,although does have a welterweight..

Rocktherunway 9/2 365

5.40 Hamilton

A bit like rocvkthe runaway Bahamian sunriose had looked one to avoid but this season has run up a consistent profile 2nds to koptoon on the track,boucvlier and a 3rd to mishraff from a poor draw an notts then finally winning at sandown last time out winning slightly better race than this strictly on ratings although was probably no better.He needs to just reproduce recent runs to be involved.
Going to add in angelito as well yet another horse you'd cross off normally but he is taking drop in class and still tumbling down the weifghts,now down to just 63 was off 69 beginning of the season hasn't won since 2012 so hardly outstanding at prices but last two runs decent and stopped in run behind pensax lad if ground remains no slower than gd would hard to ne able to make a case for more than 4/5..

Bahamian sunrise 7/1 lads/365/coral;s/hills

15/2 365/skybet/victor

Angelito 9/1 hills


2.20 Hamilton

There were two divisions of the same race on the 19th of September they were virtually identical in times with shesnotforturning getting touched off and wahaab beaten over 5/34/s in the other duivision,that run was in first time pieces so looks to have another decent ew chance again..Rock canyon was also in that race in 4th has if he runs tomorrow will be 3rd run in 4 days so a lot to ask but ran in better class race today over 5fs looks in decent form has graham lee riding and could alsio run well and has place chance..

She'snotforturning 11/2 sportsbook 9/2 lads/corals/ppower/victor..

Rock canyon 7/1 365...

3.20 Hamilton

This could be more of an in running bet,jacobs pillow was in that other division runner up to reflation looks like little between them and keenes point,keenes point won that other div strictyly at the weights Jacobs pillow has a length in hand and even last time out I was surprised he went on very sioft ground never mind tomorrows heavy ground.The stalls are down the centre tomorrow,i think danny tudhope will go for the rail from the 10 draw,looked an advantage at last few meetings,there's not too much pace pressure in this race bar hab reeh drawn 2,as long as he gets out quick I could see him going 3-4ls clear in this race and trading odds on at some point and he may not even place in later stages.So might be worth considering something along those lines..

Jacobs pillow 7/2 lads/hills..

Bang on trades 1.23 and gets collared late on will do me,covers most of the day now desperate stuff at Hamilton..

3.50 Hamilton

Jack dexter gets his conditions but only ran in gold cup just over a week ago,i get the feeling he's going to be unlucky again with the shape of this race if this had been a true test I think he would've had a decent chance of giving the fav a race,just from looking at the pace angle it looks like the race is going to be ridden for turn of foot and not a true test.If that's the case fav will win and jack dexter will be made to look one paced,plugging on at finish probably coming 3rd,i will stick with him at 5/1 though as grounds so desperate only runner with form on it,if something does decide to go on and make it a test he may just give the fav a race..
Goldie will be saving him for that end of season race at Donny and as in the gold cup he doesn't get gioven hard races now if chance has gone,the one slight interesting angle in this race were if he tried to lead which he hasn't done in a long long time certainly never wins that way but they may just try something different on this ground..

Jack dexter 5/1 ppower..
 
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Probably be doing me a favour if abandoned anyway..:ninja: can concentrate on the aw on Tuesday..

What a joke rain at bath and the rail draw now massive disadvantage at Hamilton the complete opposite of last meeting,that time of year when betting is so unpredictable be glad when the aws back..
 
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gigilo said:
Probably best kept to small very takes till proper soft ground kicks in everywhere as the going reports have been miles out lately at some meetings heavy ground at Hamilton tomorrow and unsure of going at bath,do not want to see soft in the forecast that's for sure..some small ew multiples

4.20 Hamilton

Eastern dragon takes a drop in class may have done his running this season and a ? on heavy ground but obly two races back was 4th over 9fs to lord franklin over 9fs at Hamilton has now dropped to 73 the negative could be the claimer jaie gormley claiming 7 pound takes eastern dragon down to just 66 but has not rodden a winner yet from 13 rides although 4 places.Lowest previous mark to this was winning off 66 same mark at ayr by 5ls so has ew chance if jock isn't too much of a negative..
Rockwood had no decent form on the turf previously,showing big improvement on the aw looking very slow but improvement taking him upto a mark of 73,came back onto turf and finished 4th of 18 at York to woodys bay over 9fs and then penultimate run even though only second was over 1m2fs on desperate ground at ayr so tomorrows ground may suit and again has ew chance.This looks an ultra competitive race so wouldn't be overconfident..

Eastern dragon 11/1 hills

Rockwood 12/1 365/lads

5.25

Rocktherunaway is one of those horses to avoid 7yr old rarely wins hasn't won since 2013 stuck in mid to high 60s but last time out wore first time blinkers
on very slow ground behind sporting yankee form which looks better than these,the big ? is will he do it again at 9/2 that looks a very big price if he can,although does have a welterweight..

Rocktherunway 9/2 365

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMM!!!In goes nap of the day,incredible prices on last run it looked an even money shot and they were still laying it on betfair at 5.8 topped up again,cracking enmd to day with the trade and the 12/1 place....won't see a better bet than that for awhile that's for sure...:ninja:

5.40 Hamilton

A bit like rocvkthe runaway Bahamian sunriose had looked one to avoid but this season has run up a consistent profile 2nds to koptoon on the track,boucvlier and a 3rd to mishraff from a poor draw an notts then finally winning at sandown last time out winning slightly better race than this strictly on ratings although was probably no better.He needs to just reproduce recent runs to be involved.
Going to add in angelito as well yet another horse you'd cross off normally but he is taking drop in class and still tumbling down the weifghts,now down to just 63 was off 69 beginning of the season hasn't won since 2012 so hardly outstanding at prices but last two runs decent and stopped in run behind pensax lad if ground remains no slower than gd would hard to ne able to make a case for more than 4/5..

Bahamian sunrise 7/1 lads/365/coral;s/hills

15/2 365/skybet/victor

Angelito 9/1 hills


2.20 Hamilton

There were two divisions of the same race on the 19th of September they were virtually identical in times with shesnotforturning getting touched off and wahaab beaten over 5/34/s in the other duivision,that run was in first time pieces so looks to have another decent ew chance again..Rock canyon was also in that race in 4th has if he runs tomorrow will be 3rd run in 4 days so a lot to ask but ran in better class race today over 5fs looks in decent form has graham lee riding and could alsio run well and has place chance..

She'snotforturning 11/2 sportsbook 9/2 lads/corals/ppower/victor..

Rock canyon 7/1 365...

3.20 Hamilton

This could be more of an in running bet,jacobs pillow was in that other division runner up to reflation looks like little between them and keenes point,keenes point won that other div strictyly at the weights Jacobs pillow has a length in hand and even last time out I was surprised he went on very sioft ground never mind tomorrows heavy ground.The stalls are down the centre tomorrow,i think danny tudhope will go for the rail from the 10 draw,looked an advantage at last few meetings,there's not too much pace pressure in this race bar hab reeh drawn 2,as long as he gets out quick I could see him going 3-4ls clear in this race and trading odds on at some point and he may not even place in later stages.So might be worth considering something along those lines..

Jacobs pillow 7/2 lads/hills..

Bang on trades 1.23 and gets collared late on will do me,covers most of the day now desperate stuff at Hamilton..

3.50 Hamilton

Jack dexter gets his conditions but only ran in gold cup just over a week ago,i get the feeling he's going to be unlucky again with the shape of this race if this had been a true test I think he would've had a decent chance of giving the fav a race,just from looking at the pace angle it looks like the race is going to be ridden for turn of foot and not a true test.If that's the case fav will win and jack dexter will be made to look one paced,plugging on at finish probably coming 3rd,i will stick with him at 5/1 though as grounds so desperate only runner with form on it,if something does decide to go on and make it a test he may just give the fav a race..
Goldie will be saving him for that end of season race at Donny and as in the gold cup he doesn't get gioven hard races now if chance has gone,the one slight interesting angle in this race were if he tried to lead which he hasn't done in a long long time certainly never wins that way but they may just try something different on this ground..

Jack dexter 5/1 ppower..
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5.35Brighton

Hipz started the season off 69 on turf debut this season was 3rd off 69 over c/d and 1 1/4ls infront of tomorrows fav noverre to go,also has track record of 3/1/4/3 has only run one other decent race when 3rd off 63 at Windsor.The hoprse doesn't look in great form and has now slipped to just a mark of 55 joint lowest ever mark actually won off that over c/d last season,they have reverted to pieces as well which are surprisingly kept on tomorrow as well last time out ran ok at Epsom didn't really look like a horse coming back to previous marks but at least showed something.That race was a couple of grades higher than tomorrows race though so off this mark worth a small bet,would be a bit surprised if not quite heavily backed over favourite c/d as would've been 3/1 on early sesson form and as mentioned abive finished infront of fav.Might be worth following for next couple of runs as not convinced the pieces are the answer,but tomorrows race is dire and 9/1 would be very generous anywhere near best..

Hipz 9/1 365/sportsbook/hills/victor/betfred
 
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9.10 Chelmsford

A real dodgepots race probably a race I would totally avoid normally but as the prices look out of line on the running of a race here last time out then worth a token bet,multi quest was cantering over a field here last time out virtually pulled up when getting no run he was drawn 1 that night so was in perfect position tomorrow drawn 9 so a negative there.
Cadland lad and commanche head the market they were both in that race multiquest ran in,just to put into context how bad the race is multiquest would be winning off highest ever mark of 50 so not a great race to be overly involved but 12/1 if running to previous form is obviously a big price if repeated,trainer has very few winners but once replays have been watched will surely not be going off this price..

Multiquest 12/1 365 11/1 skybet..

Think there's a possibility og hugh taylor putting this up if 10s is still there in the morning..
 
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9.15 Newcastle

An interesting runner in chip or pellet,going to be interesting to see if the maiden that was run on the same night chip or pellet was4th and the handicap intense starlet won and how those times and weights work out intense starlet won in 59.01 carrying 9-5 and the maiden was won in 59.04 only slightky slower chip or pellet beaten 2 3/4ls casrrying 9-5.Tomorrow at adjusted weights intense starlet carys 9-11 chip or pellet carrys 8-7 so roughly an 18 pound pull for roughly 3ls,there's a possibility off just 47 chip or pellet could be an improver on this surface,so far times and track speeds havn't really worked out so will have a small bet on the tinkler horse and see how close those races compare..Think even if doesn't run well tomorrow I will be following for awhile as that maiden looked ok with far higher rated horses behind,so not one I will dismiss when running at this track..
Just too mention mercers row is absolutely chucked in and ran well in a different class race over 6fs here,but it's impossible to see what its best trip is as looking at recent form looks like needs 6fs at least and when stepped up to 7fs hasn't run as well as expected,tomorrow strangely back over 5fs ran well last season over it is on lowest mark since 2012 and that was on turf and 5 seasons since run in this grade..


Chip or pellet 6/1 365/victor/ppower
 
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Kempton (AW) Result
28 Sep 2016
« 8:10 » 32RED HANDICAP (LONDON MIDDLE DISTANCE SERIES QUALIFIER)
(Class 4) (0-85, 3yo+) 1m3f Standard To Slow
£4,690.02, £1,395.62, £697.45, £348.73
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 9 Banish (USA) 6/1 3 9-5 tb1 Hugo Palmer 85 * *
Jim Crowley


« 2 8 ½ Mohatem (USA) 9/2 4 9-5 Owen Burrows 78 * *
Paul Hanagan


« 3 3 1¼ Charlies Mate 5/2F 5 9-6 John Best 79 * *
George Baker


« 4 11 4 Indulged 6/1 3 9-2 James Fanshawe 82 * *
Tom Queally


« 5 13 1¾ Biotic 14/1 5 9-1 t Rod Millman 74 * *
Frederik Tylicki


« 6 4 shd Hollywood Road (IRE) 5/1 3 9-3 b Don Cantillon 83 * *
F M Berry


« 7 7 2 Fiftyshadesfreed (IRE) 25/1 5 9-9 p George Baker 82 * *
Liam Keniry


« 8 5 1 Ban Shoof 16/1 3 8-11 v1 Ismail Mohammed 77 * *
Tom Marquand


« 9 10 nse Ladurelli (IRE) 8/1 4 9-7 b1 Paul Cole 80 * *
Luke Morris


« 10 2 5 Genuine Approval (IRE) 33/1 3 8-10 Jonathan Portman 81 * *
George Wood5


« 11 1 1 Song Light 33/1 6 9-2 Seamus Mullins 75 * *
Steve Drowne


« 12 6 1¼ Takbeer (IRE) 50/1 4 9-5 p Nikki Evans 83 * *
Callum Shepherd5


« 13 12 12 Dune Dancer (IRE) 8/1 3 9-1 p1 David Lanigan 81 * *
Shane Kelly


« 14 14 26 George Guru 66/1 9 9-4 b John Bridger 77 * *
Danny Brock


14 ran TIME 2m 17.62s (slow by 1.82s)

Mohatem


A decent little race with first three clear of the 4th and more importantly a decent time 2m17.62 almohatems only rated 78 hopefully no rose bigger than 2 pound and keeps it in this grade think its the fastest 11furlong race so far this season and definitely in this grade,been a very slow season on the aw for horses on the clock which is unusual as normally by now would have at least a dozen.The 2yr old races have been abysmal never seen a season like it on the aw,thats why havn't done many to follows this season on the aw or turf just simply been alack of anything worth mentioning,think the turfs been mainly die to the weather but the times havn't been any better on the aw either.This is one of the rare ones recently that have stood out as far as older handicapppers go,even though looked thoroughly exposed charlies mate is still running well and there should be more races even though third tonight.Hopefully the aw will start throwing up some decent times now as it kicks in as turfs been fruitless this season..
 
gigilo said:
9.15 Newcastle

An interesting runner in chip or pellet,going to be interesting to see if the maiden that was run on the same night chip or pellet was4th and the handicap intense starlet won and how those times and weights work out intense starlet won in 59.01 carrying 9-5 and the maiden was won in 59.04 only slightky slower chip or pellet beaten 2 3/4ls casrrying 9-5.Tomorrow at adjusted weights intense starlet carys 9-11 chip or pellet carrys 8-7 so roughly an 18 pound pull for roughly 3ls,there's a possibility off just 47 chip or pellet could be an improver on this surface,so far times and track speeds havn't really worked out so will have a small bet on the tinkler horse and see how close those races compare..Think even if doesn't run well tomorrow I will be following for awhile as that maiden looked ok with far higher rated horses behind,so not one I will dismiss when running at this track..
Just too mention mercers row is absolutely chucked in and ran well in a different class race over 6fs here,but it's impossible to see what its best trip is as looking at recent form looks like needs 6fs at least and when stepped up to 7fs hasn't run as well as expected,tomorrow strangely back over 5fs ran well last season over it is on lowest mark since 2012 and that was on turf and 5 seasons since run in this grade..


Chip or pellet 6/1 365/victor/ppower
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Absolutely hacks up the weights suggested it had 3ls in hand of fav and thats how it won,the layers absolutely clueless filled my boots at 1sand 11.5 as well incredible what a touch...:cool::lol:
 
Part time punter said:
I always kick myself when I go against you. I'm not worthy.
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Been a very long season with additional health problems and still doing everything, form for every single race the barrage of winners that I usually have in a season winning on multiples just hasn't happened this season last year I was averaging 40 winners a month was best ever season by a long way,this season becausev the early months were so mediocre will probably be my smallest winning year in 20.At least the last 3 months have been decent,although whether I will hit one of those crazy winning runs that I would expect looks unlikely now,hopefully when the aw starts proper it will make up for it..
 
gigilo said:
Been a very long season with additional health problems and still doing everything, form for every single race the barrage of winners that I usually have in a season winning on multiples just hasn't happened this season last year I was averaging 40 winners a month was best ever season by a long way,this season becausev the early months were so mediocre will probably be my smallest winning year in 20.At least the last 3 months have been decent,although whether I will hit one of those crazy winning runs that I would expect looks unlikely now,hopefully when the aw starts proper it will make up for it..
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Sorry to hear you have still not been well Andy. I hope you are on the right side of it. Weather has been so inconsistent this year that is often hard to fully understand ground and times and personally I feel a lot of the trainers have struggled. There doesn't feel like there are a few trainers going toe to toe for winners like in recent years. You could always hang your hat on Hannon/Hughes banging a few winners in on a Monday night at Windsor, Fahey/Hanagan, the Easterby's have had a really quiet last two years. It just doesn't feel like the quality horses are out there at the moment.
 
For someone that does 12 hour days everyday minimum in the summer on average day would be having anything between 6-12 bets in height of summer all depending on how far out books are,this season some of it due to my health,weather but probably diluted meetings i'm going days withiout having a bet and betting purely in singles is just a waste of time for me as can't get bets on at the right prices.Every year for the past 19 seasons I've been exploiting the racing in the summer with so many meetings and books making so many mistakes it's always been easy to cherry pick and hit them properly by getting some of the ricks together,can't put my finger on one specific thing perhaps it's just a one off season,because there's no way I could do another summer like this sitting round to see one bet every 3 days then to not get a bet on at right price..
 
Had some tiny interests Saturdays overly competitive don't really interest me just thought these looked better on the place side of things done some ew multiples,want no rain and plenty of fast ground anything worse then wouldn't be liking many of these..might write them up later if have time..

2.0 Ascot

Mise en rose 9/2 365/corals/victor/ppower 5/1 betfred Namroodah 7/1 365/ppower/sportsbook

Mise en rose and namroodah have lots of solid form mise en rose two recent group 3 seconds to spangled and al jazi,namroodah was third in the al jazi race and namroodah as a 5 pound turn around for 3/4l namroodah had previously given red box 8 pound and a beating on this track drawn 12 and 16 no reason why they shouldn't run well on those runs,

2.15 Newmarket

Davids duchess 6/1 365/victor/betfred

This looks a weak race for horses rated upto 95 and if you take the one poor run here over c/d away then davids duchess stil looks quite well handicapped of just 77 2nd here to silver rainbow,3rd to doctor sardonicus and las time out over 5fs trip too short and in centre when highs which have been an advantage recently.Has only won one race but still only 10 lifetime runs will be winning more races aty some point off this mark..

2.50

Muffriha 12/1 corals/victor/lads/hills

As previous race ultra competitive race muffri'ha taking on plenty of unexposed 3yr olds so could be lots lurking in this race but he has strong form ran 3rd in this class agaibnst similar 3yr olds that filled the 1,2 in that race although strictly on paper on previous form shown they had done more than tomorrows runners.That run was also over tomorrows c/d on gd/fm ground and ran quite well previous run even though only 7th to baydar on soft ground over a trip to far,has an ew squeak if the younger horses don't show improvement..
3.25

Sagaciously 8/1 victor/hills

Runner up to chain of daisies on quick ground in decent time at sailsbury again lots of 3yr olds in race unexposed you'd expect at least something to be big improver but at least has some solid fast ground form in the book,could be another really hot race but similar to the earlier race the 3yr olds have to prove themselves so an ew chance again..

4.25 Redcar

Pumaflor 12/1 lads/sportsbook

Another ridiculously competitive handicap,pumaflor keeps improving and won in this grade last time out at haydock in a decent time again,has beaten some of these previously as well over c/d pumaflor was runner up to fuwairt 4 points shorter tomorrow on softer ground over this c/d but there's a 3 pound turnaround.In a wide open race then 12/1 looks perfectly fair probably because of unfashionable trainer and has ew chance.


5.0

Hibou 11/2 365 5/1 lads

Hibou ran well on fast ground at musselburugh behind ginger jack,then ran in a far weaker race coming second over 9fs at musselburugh on softer ground,there's a ? over the trip after that run but looks as though the ground will be the main positive if on quick side and again another ew chance..


Now weather reports have changed from showers and looks like heavy rain right across the south another days work wasted if that happens..roll on the aw season!!
 
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gigilo said:
Had some tiny interests Saturdays overly competitive don't really interest me just thought these looked better on the place side of things done some ew multiples,want no rain and plenty of fast ground anything worse then wouldn't be liking many of these..might write them up later if have time..

2.0 Ascot

Mise en rose 9/2 365/corals/victor/ppower 5/1 betfred Namroodah 7/1 365/ppower/sportsbook

Mise en rose and namroodah have lots of solid form mise en rose two recent group 3 seconds to spangled and al jazi,namroodah was third in the al jazi race and namroodah as a 5 pound turn around for 3/4l namroodah had previously given red box 8 pound and a beating on this track drawn 12 and 16 no reason why they shouldn't run well on those runs,

2.15 Newmarket

Davids duchess 6/1 365/victor/betfred

This looks a weak race for horses rated upto 95 and if you take the one poor run here over c/d away then davids duchess stil looks quite well handicapped of just 77 2nd here to silver rainbow,3rd to doctor sardonicus and las time out over 5fs trip too short and in centre when highs which have been an advantage recently.Has only won one race but still only 10 lifetime runs will be winning more races aty some point off this mark..

2.50

Muffriha 12/1 corals/victor/lads/hills

As previous race ultra competitive race muffri'ha taking on plenty of unexposed 3yr olds so could be lots lurking in this race but he has strong form ran 3rd in this class agaibnst similar 3yr olds that filled the 1,2 in that race although strictly on paper on previous form shown they had done more than tomorrows runners.That run was also over tomorrows c/d on gd/fm ground and ran quite well previous run even though only 7th to baydar on soft ground over a trip to far,has an ew squeak if the younger horses don't show improvement..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!! Had the best form the others were useless,just as well as my other runners wanted it rattling,lovely touch into 11/2 as well!!!:ninja::cool:
3.25

Sagaciously 8/1 victor/hills

Runner up to chain of daisies on quick ground in decent time at sailsbury again lots of 3yr olds in race unexposed you'd expect at least something to be big improver but at least has some solid fast ground form in the book,could be another really hot race but similar to the earlier race the 3yr olds have to prove themselves so an ew chance again..

4.25 Redcar

Pumaflor 12/1 lads/sportsbook

Another ridiculously competitive handicap,pumaflor keeps improving and won in this grade last time out at haydock in a decent time again,has beaten some of these previously as well over c/d pumaflor was runner up to fuwairt 4 points shorter tomorrow on softer ground over this c/d but there's a 3 pound turnaround.In a wide open race then 12/1 looks perfectly fair probably because of unfashionable trainer and has ew chance.


5.0

Hibou 11/2 365 5/1 lads

Hibou ran well on fast ground at musselburugh behind ginger jack,then ran in a far weaker race coming second over 9fs at musselburugh on softer ground,there's a ? over the trip after that run but looks as though the ground will be the main positive if on quick side and again another ew chance..


Now weather reports have changed from showers and looks like heavy rain right across the south another days work wasted if that happens..roll on the aw season!!
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gigilo said:
Had some tiny interests Saturdays overly competitive don't really interest me just thought these looked better on the place side of things done some ew multiples,want no rain and plenty of fast ground anything worse then wouldn't be liking many of these..might write them up later if have time..

2.0 Ascot

Mise en rose 9/2 365/corals/victor/ppower 5/1 betfred Namroodah 7/1 365/ppower/sportsbook

Mise en rose and namroodah have lots of solid form mise en rose two recent group 3 seconds to spangled and al jazi,namroodah was third in the al jazi race and namroodah as a 5 pound turn around for 3/4l namroodah had previously given red box 8 pound and a beating on this track drawn 12 and 16 no reason why they shouldn't run well on those runs,

2.15 Newmarket

Davids duchess 6/1 365/victor/betfred

This looks a weak race for horses rated upto 95 and if you take the one poor run here over c/d away then davids duchess stil looks quite well handicapped of just 77 2nd here to silver rainbow,3rd to doctor sardonicus and las time out over 5fs trip too short and in centre when highs which have been an advantage recently.Has only won one race but still only 10 lifetime runs will be winning more races aty some point off this mark..

2.50

Muffriha 12/1 corals/victor/lads/hills

As previous race ultra competitive race muffri'ha taking on plenty of unexposed 3yr olds so could be lots lurking in this race but he has strong form ran 3rd in this class agaibnst similar 3yr olds that filled the 1,2 in that race although strictly on paper on previous form shown they had done more than tomorrows runners.That run was also over tomorrows c/d on gd/fm ground and ran quite well previous run even though only 7th to baydar on soft ground over a trip to far,has an ew squeak if the younger horses don't show improvement..
3.25

Sagaciously 8/1 victor/hills

Runner up to chain of daisies on quick ground in decent time at sailsbury again lots of 3yr olds in race unexposed you'd expect at least something to be big improver but at least has some solid fast ground form in the book,could be another really hot race but similar to the earlier race the 3yr olds have to prove themselves so an ew chance again..

4.25 Redcar

Pumaflor 12/1 lads/sportsbook

Another ridiculously competitive handicap,pumaflor keeps improving and won in this grade last time out at haydock in a decent time again,has beaten some of these previously as well over c/d pumaflor was runner up to fuwairt 4 points shorter tomorrow on softer ground over this c/d but there's a 3 pound turnaround.In a wide open race then 12/1 looks perfectly fair probably because of unfashionable trainer and has ew chance.


5.0

Hibou 11/2 365 5/1 lads

Hibou ran well on fast ground at musselburugh behind ginger jack,then ran in a far weaker race coming second over 9fs at musselburugh on softer ground,there's a ? over the trip after that run but looks as though the ground will be the main positive if on quick side and again another ew chance..


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Now weather reports have changed from showers and looks like heavy rain right across the south another days work wasted if that happens..roll on the aw season!!
Click to expand...
 
Just the 12s and 7.2 different class!!:D and three of others couldn't possibly win on the ground either...:whistle:
 
Keep to tiny stakes and small ew multiples,as backing draws not form in a few races and the one race draw completely against so minimum stakes..



3.0 Catterick

Top score and masham star were 2nd and 4th in turkey recently in a listed with best soluton rated 102 in 3rd,the form looks a bit dubious as top score had ben beaten off 87 in a nursery previous and masham star so may simply be that listed race was weak or best solution didn't run to form top sets mark has been bumped upto 95 as well the trip should suit but unsure of ground out of hard spun.Current prices of 5/2 and 11/4 maybe worth a token bet,would think if really expected to go well on going over trip then would be heavily backed..

Top score 5/2 skybet/victor 11/4 betway

Top score

5.0

Longroom looks one to keep onside of although again as a few bets i've had recently drawn out in the carpark in 15 but escapes penalty winning apprentice race so still off 50,the time at musselburugh was very intersting faster than 65 rated oneboy winning the better class handicap on same card,the ground wasn't good it was gd/sft not as reported by racing post so ground should be ok.If he does get beat you may see some big prices next time out comparitive to chance as purely based on the times at musselburugh you could be looking at a 65 horse and there maybe more improvement on top of that.Think he will be odds on with simon walker so will probably be overbet as drawn 15,might be worth doing some forecasts with horses previously run well there before as fav could be so short elland ally being one c/d winner won off 59 here last season and on ground,betty boo always runs well here as well and both big prices..
Longrooms very short I thought would open up 2/1 and be overbet going off 8/11 4/6 if he'd been drawn low would've looked a 1/3 shot from the 15 draw then obviously draw could beat him but looks so well handicapped worth putting in some bets and will be following longterm amnyway,may even get free bet out of current prices anyway..

Longroom 13/8 365/skybet/ppower

Longroom

5.10 Brighton

Essaka ran its best race of the season in a hot handicap compared to this last time out actually had virile 6ls behind in that bath race if thats repeated should run well with crowley riding although this season he has been very hit and miss so wouldn't be ovrr confident just last run looked better form.There are two other runners in this race that looked interesting on a bath run as well Oat couture and zippy they both contested a gd/sft ground maiden at bath that race was .70 quicker and .90 quicker than the two class 6 races the same grade as tomorrows races,they potentially could be well handicapped off 60 and 58 Oat couture was in first time blinkers which may explain that run and zippy has only had 4 lifetime runs.Just purely based on draw will have essaka and Oat couture and maybe throw in zippy for forecasts and maybe virile as did win easily last time out over c/d..



Essaka 7/1 365/skybet/ppower/victor/lads Oat couture 6/1 /365/lads 7/1 betway/victor/skybet

4.20 Liecester

The high draws have been coming up at leicester recently over trips from 5fs to 7fs unfortunately the best horses on the card are all drawn low
so hard to see anything strong but will have to have a couple of token bets as the bias has been so consistent recently,a couple of real speculative ones based on draws don't have it then was 3rd in this race last sesson off 66 ran ok on aw lsst time out and drawn 15 and will add in lucky louie first time pieces tomorrow been really disappointing after a very good run at sailsbury beind zeeoneandonly.There are far better horses with recent form and in better class races but a few coppers just based on the draw and they have run well on soft ground before..

Lucky louie 16/1 365/victor/ppower/lads/hills 20/1 betway Don't have it then 16/1 victor/ppower/hills

4.50

Elegant annie ran 3rd over c/d last time out probably better horses in the race tomorrow but mainly drawn wide, she was 3rd in what was the quickest of the two divisions that day the other won by intimately run on that same card also in tomorropws race, ground was gd/sft and tomorrow she gets the 12 draw from 18 runners...Again worth a token bet based totally on draw..

Elegant annie 16/1 365/victor/ppower/hills/lads/corals 20/1 betway

8.10

Mazaz no price worth chucking in some multiples just incase ran a pretty decent time last time out at Kempton,was a second slower than group horse muntahaa on the same card looks open to more improvement..

4/11 victor/skybet/sportsbook
 
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