Daily picks.

gigilo said:
Kempton 8.20

Queensbrydge 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 skybet/victor/betbright 7/1 lads/10bet/boyles/betfred/betway.

She looks a little exposed now Queensbrydge has been running quite well though bit of an eyecatcher over 7fs three runs ago,got behind staying on to be nearest finish at this track even though only 7th,next time out chased a fast pace she hit the front 3fs out looked like she was going to win going away hard to tell if it was the early pace as stopped verty quickly in last 200 yards,the first three coming from way off the pace.Mudallel and ventura blues the first and second respectable markers fort the form and the race was run in a decent time,last time out she ran at Chelmsford ran ok in fourth behind bumptious,perhaps wants to drop a pound or two but will have a small bet based on her track form.Luke morris usually ridee her instead is on the twice run influent for tom tate,hadn't run for 10 months and won easily over c/d could be nicely handicapped and abandioning queensbrydge speaks for itself only negative could be draw in 11 but really doesn't seen to be too disadvantageous in recent times..Don't know what will happen with queensbrydge as regards betting as there are others lightly raced in here as well,she's worth a small bet..
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Have to say fair play gig feel sick as a dog myself but well done with that one they've certainly had the dough back they left behind at Chelmsford.
 
Can't really say I like much tomorrow will have a couple small ew Trixies
and some small singles..

Lingfield 4.35

Evening hill 4/1 ppower Peace and plenty 6/1 365

The top three in the market look ahead of their marks,easy code wo going away last time out and evening hill and peace and plenty contested a race that was run in a very quick time for grade 1m37.25 for horses rated upto 70 I think across all the handicaps run over a mile at Kempton onky one has been quicker all season.Lingfield is a completely different track going the other way so could not overly confident but at least on the clock they look 80 horses,even if both bomb out completely I will be following the first three from that Kempton race when they all return to the track..

5.05

Character onsie 11/4 365/victor

Character onesie has had plenty of racing hardly ever wins just 3/37,but only 4 on the aw recent 2nd in a 0-85 at wolves looks decent form but that was a ladies race couldn't say the price of 11/4 looks much value with that strike rate and from a poorish draw,may even be the track is too sharp as well but hasn't run in this grade since june 2015.Hopefully shifting star will be off in front and something will take it on looks better on the place side of things,might even drift a bit yet anyway with such a small strike rate...Dreaming time a 3yr old only 5 runs looks the obvious alternative ran well at wolves over 1m 1 1/2fs not staying the trip drops in class tomorrow,might even be worth having a small forecast..or saver looking at their times on the 18th of august they look very closely matched..

3/1 365..

4/1 365/skybet/ppower/betstars/sportsbook probably more realistic price now..11/2 888sport/victor/365

Had a change of heart when I was writing this out,couldn't drag another pick out so just had a couple of token bets I was looking for a 3rd as I thought the place side of bets looked better but had too many marked off...
 
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gigilo said:
Kempton 8.10

Ply 5/4 365 6/5 ppower/sportsbook/sunbets 11/10 skybet evens totesport/corals/betfred/betbright..


Ply looks like going off very short hacked up last time out dipping below 2m3.00 seconds over 1m2fs at kempton on paper timwise looks outstanding but the overall form of the race with horses such as luv u whatever only 9ls behind give it a slightly dubious look.The track was riding as fast as I've ever seen it but did win very easily,looks like one of those that could go off ridiculously short so there's at least a free bet in there decent trade,could see something stupid like 1/2...Steps up a furlong tomorrow and gets the 3yr old concession,he maybe an out and out aw horse so an interesting ryunner..

11/10 victor..

Evens lads/hills..
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gigilo said:
Balmarol handicap

Firmament 25/1 ppower/sportsbook

Firmament is building up a really good profile at ascot has been stuck on a mark of 109 so couldn't say well handicappee but contested loads of good races this season 5th to stamp hill when held up in last finishing strongly in heritage handicap over 7fs at ascot,3rd to flaming spear over a mile at York in another ridiculously competitive handixcap and then again 5th to remarkable over 7fs at ascot held up last again finishing strongly.In 2016 was 2/2/3/3 at ascot off marks of 102,106,108 and 109 was 3rd in this corresponding race last year at 7/1 running on strongly at finish,most of the races he's been beaten in have been over 7fs yet all four wins have been over a mile,ground seems immaterial sand almost looks sure to run with form on track plus most ground.It maybe even the softer ground has been slightly against him and if the ground does turn out goodish could be a slight positive as quite a few hordes he will be running against oor finished behind may prefer that softer ground.Can't really see why he will be 25/1 on the day,in his last 19 runs has gone off double figure prices only twice and those were the runs when 5th to stamp hill unlucky in run and 3rd to flaming spear,could easily go off 12-14/1 with so many positives he has very little to find with this seasons winners in front of him in the betting and with extra distance and pull in weights.The biggest positive is track and almost guaranteed to run with maybe quite a few runners ground dependant..
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Cut to 16s now,is entered on Saturday at ascot over 7fs could probably do with it not running would be a nightmare if it ended up winning will be hoping there's some 20s around at least when other books open to back again..
 
gigilo said:
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Backed it all the way down to 11/2,best speedfigure in race form was rock solid,just a case of whther the unexposed one was anygoofd this thing was hammered as well once the moris one drifted it looked a far better bet,great start to the month more like it!!!:ninja:;)
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Top Work As always G. Much Appreciated.
 
gigilo said:
Can't really say I like much tomorrow will have a couple small ew Trixies
and some small singles..

Lingfield 4.35

Evening hill 4/1 ppower Peace and plenty 6/1 365

The top three in the market look ahead of their marks,easy code wo going away last time out and evening hill and peace and plenty contested a race that was run in a very quick time for grade 1m37.25 for horses rated upto 70 I think across all the handicaps run over a mile at Kempton onky one has been quicker all season.Lingfield is a completely different track going the other way so could not overly confident but at least on the clock they look 80 horses,even if both bomb out completely I will be following the first three from that Kempton race when they all return to the track..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!I did tell you monster spedfigures at Kempton and the right priced one wins relentless stuff,been on tenterhooks waiting for the runners friom that Kempton race to run were chucked in,plus they were always going to be upfront as well!!!:ninja:;)

5.05

Character onsie 11/4 365/victor

Character onesie has had plenty of racing hardly ever wins just 3/37,but only 4 on the aw recent 2nd in a 0-85 at wolves looks decent form but that was a ladies race couldn't say the price of 11/4 looks much value with that strike rate and from a poorish draw,may even be the track is too sharp as well but hasn't run in this grade since june 2015.Hopefully shifting star will be off in front and something will take it on looks better on the place side of things,might even drift a bit yet anyway with such a small strike rate...Dreaming time a 3yr old only 5 runs looks the obvious alternative ran well at wolves over 1m 1 1/2fs not staying the trip drops in class tomorrow,might even be worth having a small forecast..or saver looking at their times on the 18th of august they look very closely matched..
 Nice little saver at 9/2 as well,kicking myself not doing the cross doubles,turning into a very good week...did the forecast doubles as well..
3/1 365..

4/1 365/skybet/ppower/betstars/sportsbook probably more realistic price now..11/2 888sport/victor/365

Had a change of heart when I was writing this out,couldn't drag another pick out so just had a couple of token bets I was looking for a 3rd as I thought the place side of bets looked better but had too many marked off...
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Was such a massive advantage to be up with the pace after seeing the early races the first two picks looked 10x better than last night guaranteed to lead and fav drawn 7 no surprise they were annihilated and similarly the other race the fahey horse drawn 8 the saver drawn low and guaranteed to be with the pace,havn't had a losing race this week.:ninja: I was hoping shady mcoy was going to be a bet I can't back it at 5/1 though very disappointing,been running really well all season wanted double that really at least 8/1 anyway..might be a quiet day as had to go up to sins school this afternoon didn't get back till 4.45 had a few things marked off all prices had already gone,will have a quick look now but doubt there will be anything..
 
Chelmsford 7.45

Indian red 50/1 ppower/sportsbook..40/1 betstars

A token interest,the top one snowy winter has the best time at the track and should comfortably beat indian red on those recent runs over c/d and the formline through macksville winner of indian reds run over 1m6fs at the track suggests has loads to find with the fav and black prince although the races black prince and alternative route were in were slowly run races.Indian red has had 5 runs and last time out ran on looked to be crying out for tomorrows 2 miles beaten 8ls in a 0-70 tomorrow runs in a 0-60,off a mark of 60 open to some sort of improvement although taking on at least two that looked well handicapped,as above with snowy winter has loads to find on the clock but with horses like mr davies priced at 22s indiana red could well improve past that one was quicker than that ones run and running on over same course diatance pn last run.I can see indian red being a bit of a gamble probably sruggling to getb involved in the places but 50/1 will probably end up 20/1 maybe even shorter with doubts about most of the field,the extra 2fs look like they will suit and could easily out run those prices..


All the 50s etc gone,thought the broughtons horse tonight was same runner as tomorrow still think this will worth taking the 25s and ok for a bit of trading..
 
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gigilo said:
Was such a massive advantage to be up with the pace after seeing the early races the first two picks looked 10x better than last night guaranteed to lead and fav drawn 7 no surprise they were annihilated and similarly the other race the fahey horse drawn 8 the saver drawn low and guaranteed to be with the pace,havn't had a losing race this week.:ninja: I was hoping shady mcoy was going to be a bet I can't back it at 5/1 though very disappointing,been running really well all season wanted double that really at least 8/1 anyway..might be a quiet day as had to go up to sins school this afternoon didn't get back till 4.45 had a few things marked off all prices had already gone,will have a quick look now but doubt there will be anything..
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8s on the machine ....well done
 
gigilo said:
Was such a massive advantage to be up with the pace after seeing the early races the first two picks looked 10x better than last night guaranteed to lead and fav drawn 7 no surprise they were annihilated and similarly the other race the fahey horse drawn 8 the saver drawn low and guaranteed to be with the pace,havn't had a losing race this week.:ninja: I was hoping shady mcoy was going to be a bet I can't back it at 5/1 though very disappointing,been running really well all season wanted double that really at least 8/1 anyway..might be a quiet day as had to go up to sins school this afternoon didn't get back till 4.45 had a few things marked off all prices had already gone,will have a quick look now but doubt there will be anything..
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Hope someone backed it drifted to 8.4 which was far more realistic,was going to put it up for tomorrows 7f race as was entered but had no chance off that mark was only a metter of time efore it won been an eyecatcher all season..
 
Redacr 5.40

Foxtrot knight 12/1 365/victor..10/1 betfred/totesort

Typical Saturday cards like very little,not enough low grade racing with some decent value so having a bet on a track I rarely bet at am not even sure what the going iss not updated properly could be anything from gd/sft to gd/fm looking at going stick.Foxtrot night has not run in this grade for two seasons,has already won off 77 this season at ripon and been 3rd here over this c/d off 79 for horses rated upto 85,tomorrow just a 0-70 not a horse I have backed as very rarely wins 4/47 but can't really see how its going to go off bigger than 6/1 in this grade and seems to go on most grounds to me looks like its going to be nearer to good iof the updates have been correct.Not one I would rely on and the big negative is ruth carr is 0/24 runners and her runners usually run well in clusters so maybe not the best time to back it,but price looks like halving to me in this class so a decent trade so worth doing..

10/1 10bet/betway/corals..11/1 hills
 
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Done a couple of ew lucky 15s,no strong picks small stakes..

Chelmsford 6.15

Alaska 9/2 365

6.45

Rua augusta 4/1 365

8.45

Outlaw torn 16/1 365

9.15

Knight commander 9/2 365 Nepeta 11/2 365
 
Done a couple of ew lucky 15s,no strong picks small stakes..

Chelmsford 6.15

Alaska 9/2 365

Exposed maiden stuck in mid 70s,mitch godwin claims 5 pound at least has run on the aw running on 4th at wolves over 6fs not a great race and some of these are not totally unexposed plus not great draw on 9,looks to be fighting out for the places on what's been shown so far.

6.45

Rua augusta 4/1 365 5/1 ppower

Respectable maiden rua augusta ran ij over c/d although gosden,johnston,haggas has two entrys,appleby,stoute this is potentially a red hot race if one or two are above acerage then rua augusta will be struggling but again looks one that unless very unlucky and running into three decent ones should be fighting out places..

8.45

Outlaw torn 20/1 lads/ppower/sportsbook/hills/corals/10bet

The juggler looks the one to berat in a very poor race,won by 7ls last time out could've been 12 that div was a lot quicker than the one following it won by tomorrows 2nd fav chilli jam plus last season ran over further at this track in higher grade races not getting beat far,the horse potentially could be improving.Outlaw torn hasn't run its best races over this c/d and didn't run great over it on the 5th but from the 10 draw,did run ok on the 21st of September over c/d in a 0-60 when 4th to arcadian sea time of the race was pretty good for the grade.He looks an unlikely winner now the veteran,thoroughly unexposed and there are quite a few unexposed ones in tomorrows race but he maybe a decent back to lay from the 1 draw always races prominently..



9.15

Knight commander 9/2 365/victor Nepeta 11/2 ppower 7/1/sportsbook 13/2 corals/betstars

Knight commander joined olly murphy and has been running over hurdles now rated 110,joined stable from anabel murphy didn't show anything for her in three runs and previous to that was with William knight 0/13 on the turf although ran some respectable races in low 70s and high 60s..He looks an interesting runner back on the flat off 63 with claimer taking off another 7 p0und as well,he's out of sir percy has decent strike rate on the aw and over these 2mile trips sire is currently 10/54 on the aw so decent strike rate,olly murphy has done quite well when switching codes wiyh his horses as well..
Napeta lightly raced 9 runs for johsnton stable has been running in slightly better races on the aw but over shorter trips up to a mile,although last time out ran over 1m4fs finishing 5th sire kittens joy has loads of winners on the aw averaging 20% on most surfaces and trips and equally over 2miles so might find some improvement stepped up again.
If these two bomb out then ballyfarsoon should run well,showed improved form last time out and has run well at the track previously,has never won over the trip but won by 7ls when dropped to this mark over 1m6fs last season..
 
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