Daily picks.

Kempton 8.50

Lady kaviar 11/2 365 5/1 sunbets/ppower/sportsbook

A classified race for horses rated upto 55 so wouldn't be overly confident although lady kaviar ran a very qiick time in this exact race last time out clocking 1m38 but as I've been saying all season these quick times look exaggerated wuth the forecast slow/standard going wgich it simply isn't.If she can run to previous form off her current mark can't really see why she can't win more races,tomorrow I wouldn't put a line through her if she flops as she drops back a furlong and gets the wiorst draw in 14,so has a fair bit to do but down in same grade.Belgravian and carribbean spring look the obvious alternaticves from their draws amd might be worth doing some forecasts,although would keep minimum stakes in such a dogs dinner of a race...

5/1 corals/10bet/lads
 
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Will have a token bet on wigan warrior,looks a bit exposed off this marj but ran well over c/d behind tomorrows fav musical warrior when 4th,this looks a better race on paper with loads unexposed can see musical warrior running well again just on c/d form and cainhoe stars last run at Kempton over 7fs in a decent time.An impossible looking handicap really,but if this race doesn't turn out better than the race musical art and wigan warrior contested could be about with Josephine Gordon riding..


Chelmsford 7.45

Wigan warrior 28/1 365/lads 25/1 skybet/hills
 
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Wolves 8.45

Joys delight 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/365/sunbets/betway/boyles/betfred/10bet/hills/corals/totesport/marathonbet/victor

A nine race maiden that has shown the odd bit of form best run was when 4th on august the 31st to iftitah in a 0-65 was right out the back throughout and running on quite well at finish to be beaten 2 3/4ls and time of the race was pretty good for grade.Captain swift was just in behind now 6 pound worse off and has won since 11/2 tomorrow the 2nd 3rd 6th and 7th have won out of the race.A couple of big negatives beat next time out at 11/10 although slowly run race at Newcastle but more importantly poor draw in 11 tomorrow and has steve drowne riding,i don't really list jocks as negastives but get the feeling he isn't trying to make money from riding winners nowadays.The price was too big so have to do it regardless easy to make a case for it being 5-6/1 in this race if it could reproduce the run although as yet has never really been backed so looks diffoicult to win with,fire diamond catches the eye decent draw,mark etc but price too short for horse that hasn't showm much yet although last time out ran ok,also als memory veteran at 8 now but off 58 and with form in better races over c/d last season could also run well over this c/d...
Probably will pop up over the winter although with draw and jock tomorrow could not be overly confident,will probably keep backing it if its big prices.

Will have a couple of small ew lucky 15s with joys delight

Wolves 5.45

Hurricane rock beat newstead abbey in a handicap here penultimate run,previously not showing much a very unreliable looking profile,similarly most of the runners in this race the time was ok that day and looked no fluke but probably reliant on a truly run race to show its best as that was a 0-65 handicap.Tomorrows race is a classified stajkes race,there are quite a few that catch they eye on old marks of last season and could easily be one lurking but,hopefully there will be plenty of pace on and will at leadt be involved in the finish..if non of the stables have any confidence in there horses cold well see hurricanr rock going off a lot shorter than 11/4 maybe 6/4 or 5/4 a nice trade.Horses like hisar and princess way are the ones to take note.

Hurrican rock 11/4 sportsbook/ppower 5/2 365/hills/lads/sunbets/corals/betfred/totesport/betway/betstars/befred/10bet/marathonbet/victor


Donny 5.20

Ice dancing 5/1 365 9/2 skybet/betfred/totesport/sportsbook/ppower/sunbets/betway/victor/betstars Tomahawk kid 9/1 365/ppower/ sunbets/totesport/betstars/betway victor 8/1 skybet/betfred/totesport/hills/sportsbook/

An amateur riders race for horses rated upto 75,tomahawk kids dropped to 75 lowest mark since September 2016 generally runs in better races than this has some respectable form over the trip 2nd to toulson off 79 and a recent 5th of 12 to Compton mill on soft ground for horses rated upto 90.Tomorrow gets 2 pound drop and the amateur takes off another 3 pound,jockey maybe a slight negative with a horse to yet win over the trip but at least has decent draw in big field.The other ice dancing only has the seven runs was also 3rd in a 0-90 last time out,although that was on good ground so needs to prove itself on what could be gd/sft ground but still open to improvement off just 74 jock claims another three and has a 16% strike rate so interesting runner.Of the bigger ones wouldn't be surprised if England expects runs well was 3rd in a 0-80 last time out to Canberra cliffs and with jock claiming 5 pound off two pound lower mark at bottom of the handicap...

Newbury 1.40

George of hearts 2/1 365/sportsbook/sunbets/ppower 9/4 now with sportsbook/ppower/betstars/victor..

George of hearts made debut at this track finishing 4th slight step up in trip tomorrow,debut was on good ground so bit to prove on soft going although sire equally proves as good on softer ground,the 2nd was recently 3rd in the redcar trophy and although the time seemed quite good on the day bar the first 4/5 the form has not worked out.It was an expensive purchase for hughes though 460,000 euros and he's brought it out this late in the season looks an interesting runner although it is a big field maiden fiull of newcomers,hopefully the ground and slight extra distabce will be a positive..betting will be very interesting.

Trades 1.13 in running,made some profit on the race desperate ground there,doncaster forecast ground wrong again been good all week and now changed to gd/sft which looks like a negarive for the two in the last I was hoping on there forecasts all week ground would've dried out not changing it to gd/sft allover complete farce..
 
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gigilo said:
Wolves 8.45

Joys delight 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/365/sunbets/betway/boyles/betfred/10bet/hills/corals/totesport/marathonbet/victor

A nine race maiden that has shown the odd bit of form best run was when 4th on august the 31st to iftitah in a 0-65 was right out the back throughout and running on quite well at finish to be beaten 2 3/4ls and time of the race was pretty good for grade.Captain swift was just in behind now 6 pound worse off and has won since 11/2 tomorrow the 2nd 3rd 6th and 7th have won out of the race.A couple of big negatives beat next time out at 11/10 although slowly run race at Newcastle but more importantly poor draw in 11 tomorrow and has steve drowne riding,i don't really list jocks as negastives but get the feeling he isn't trying to make money from riding winners nowadays.The price was too big so have to do it regardless easy to make a case for it being 5-6/1 in this race if it could reproduce the run although as yet has never really been backed so looks diffoicult to win with,fire diamond catches the eye decent draw,mark etc but price too short for horse that hasn't showm much yet although last time out ran ok,also als memory veteran at 8 now but off 58 and with form in better races over c/d last season could also run well over this c/d...
Probably will pop up over the winter although with draw and jock tomorrow could not be overly confident,will probably keep backing it if its big prices.

Will have a couple of small ew lucky 15s with joys delight

Wolves 5.45

Hurricane rock beat newstead abbey in a handicap here penultimate run,previously not showing much a very unreliable looking profile,similarly most of the runners in this race the time was ok that day and looked no fluke but probably reliant on a truly run race to show its best as that was a 0-65 handicap.Tomorrows race is a classified stajkes race,there are quite a few that catch they eye on old marks of last season and could easily be one lurking but,hopefully there will be plenty of pace on and will at leadt be involved in the finish..if non of the stables have any confidence in there horses cold well see hurricanr rock going off a lot shorter than 11/4 maybe 6/4 or 5/4 a nice trade.Horses like hisar and princess way are the ones to take note.

Hurrican rock 11/4 sportsbook/ppower 5/2 365/hills/lads/sunbets/corals/betfred/totesport/betway/betstars/befred/10bet/marathonbet/victor


Donny 5.20

Ice dancing 5/1 365 9/2 skybet/betfred/totesport/sportsbook/ppower/sunbets/betway/victor/betstars Tomahawk kid 9/1 365/ppower/ sunbets/totesport/betstars/betway victor 8/1 skybet/betfred/totesport/hills/sportsbook/

An amateur riders race for horses rated upto 75,tomahawk kids dropped to 75 lowest mark since September 2016 generally runs in better races than this has some respectable form over the trip 2nd to toulson off 79 and a recent 5th of 12 to Compton mill on soft ground for horses rated upto 90.Tomorrow gets 2 pound drop and the amateur takes off another 3 pound,jockey maybe a slight negative with a horse to yet win over the trip but at least has decent draw in big field.The other ice dancing only has the seven runs was also 3rd in a 0-90 last time out,although that was on good ground so needs to prove itself on what could be gd/sft ground but still open to improvement off just 74 jock claims another three and has a 16% strike rate so interesting runner.Of the bigger ones wouldn't be surprised if England expects runs well was 3rd in a 0-80 last time out to Canberra cliffs and with jock claiming 5 pound off two pound lower mark at bottom of the handicap...

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Got the forecast as well,what a touch looked the main danger after they changed the going,was well worth the waut what an end to the month and season!!:lol::ninja:;)

Newbury 1.40

George of hearts 2/1 365/sportsbook/sunbets/ppower 9/4 now with sportsbook/ppower/betstars/victor..

George of hearts made debut at this track finishing 4th slight step up in trip tomorrow,debut was on good ground so bit to prove on soft going although sire equally proves as good on softer ground,the 2nd was recently 3rd in the redcar trophy and although the time seemed quite good on the day bar the first 4/5 the form has not worked out.It was an expensive purchase for hughes though 460,000 euros and he's brought it out this late in the season looks an interesting runner although it is a big field maiden fiull of newcomers,hopefully the ground and slight extra distabce will be a positive..betting will be very interesting.

Trades 1.13 in running,made some profit on the race desperate ground there,doncaster forecast ground wrong again been good all week and now changed to gd/sft which looks like a negarive for the two in the last I was hoping on there forecasts all week ground would've dried out not changing it to gd/sft allover complete farce..
Click to expand...
 
£94 exacta and £72 forecast!!!:lol::lol:

Even the two ew lucky 15s returned over £50 despite the last one not even placing,last proper racing month of the turf will get the yearly figures up
on Tuesday had recorded every month..:cool:
 
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Wolves 8.45

Joys delight 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/365/sunbets/betway/boyles/betfred/10bet/hills/corals/totesport/marathonbet/victor

A nine race maiden that has shown the odd bit of form best run was when 4th on august the 31st to iftitah in a 0-65 was right out the back throughout and running on quite well at finish to be beaten 2 3/4ls and time of the race was pretty good for grade.Captain swift was just in behind now 6 pound worse off and has won since 11/2 tomorrow the 2nd 3rd 6th and 7th have won out of the race.A couple of big negatives beat next time out at 11/10 although slowly run race at Newcastle but more importantly poor draw in 11 tomorrow and has steve drowne riding,i don't really list jocks as negastives but get the feeling he isn't trying to make money from riding winners nowadays.The price was too big so have to do it regardless easy to make a case for it being 5-6/1 in this race if it could reproduce the run although as yet has never really been backed so looks diffoicult to win with,fire diamond catches the eye decent draw,mark etc but price too short for horse that hasn't showm much yet although last time out ran ok,also als memory veteran at 8 now but off 58 and with form in better races over c/d last season could also run well over this c/d...

Probably will pop up over the winter although with draw and jock tomorrow could not be overly confident,will probably keep backing it if its big prices.
should've cleaned up on this race as well fire diamond got pushed out to 8/1 from 11/2 after I posted wins 11/4 and als memory was 3rd as well opened 20/1 sp 12/1 annoying as could've just done the pair with this being a non runner,hope someone took notice and captain hawk what a joke 7/4 unbelievable

Will have a couple of small ew lucky 15s with joys delight

Wolves 5.45

Hurricane rock beat newstead abbey in a handicap here penultimate run,previously not showing much a very unreliable looking profile,similarly most of the runners in this race the time was ok that day and looked no fluke but probably reliant on a truly run race to show its best as that was a 0-65 handicap.Tomorrows race is a classified stajkes race,there are quite a few that catch they eye on old marks of last season and could easily be one lurking but,hopefully there will be plenty of pace on and will at leadt be involved in the finish..if non of the stables have any confidence in there horses cold well see hurricanr rock going off a lot shorter than 11/4 maybe 6/4 or 5/4 a nice trade.Horses like hisar and princess way are the ones to take note.

Hurrican rock 11/4 sportsbook/ppower 5/2 365/hills/lads/sunbets/corals/betfred/totesport/betway/betstars/befred/10bet/marathonbet/victor


Donny 5.20

Ice dancing 5/1 365 9/2 skybet/betfred/totesport/sportsbook/ppower/sunbets/betway/victor/betstars Tomahawk kid 9/1 365/ppower/ sunbets/totesport/betstars/betway victor 8/1 skybet/betfred/totesport/hills/sportsbook/

An amateur riders race for horses rated upto 75,tomahawk kids dropped to 75 lowest mark since September 2016 generally runs in better races than this has some respectable form over the trip 2nd to toulson off 79 and a recent 5th of 12 to Compton mill on soft ground for horses rated upto 90.Tomorrow gets 2 pound drop and the amateur takes off another 3 pound,jockey maybe a slight negative with a horse to yet win over the trip but at least has decent draw in big field.The other ice dancing only has the seven runs was also 3rd in a 0-90 last time out,although that was on good ground so needs to prove itself on what could be gd/sft ground but still open to improvement off just 74 jock claims another three and has a 16% strike rate so interesting runner.Of the bigger ones wouldn't be surprised if England expects runs well was 3rd in a 0-80 last time out to Canberra cliffs and with jock claiming 5 pound off two pound lower mark at bottom of the handicap...

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Got the forecast as well,what a touch looked the main danger after they changed the going,was well worth the waut what an end to the month and season



Newbury 1.40

George of hearts 2/1 365/sportsbook/sunbets/ppower 9/4 now with sportsbook/ppower/betstars/victor..

George of hearts made debut at this track finishing 4th slight step up in trip tomorrow,debut was on good ground so bit to prove on soft going although sire equally proves as good on softer ground,the 2nd was recently 3rd in the redcar trophy and although the time seemed quite good on the day bar the first 4/5 the form has not worked out.It was an expensive purchase for hughes though 460,000 euros and he's brought it out this late in the season looks an interesting runner although it is a big field maiden fiull of newcomers,hopefully the ground and slight extra distabce will be a positive..betting will be very interesting
 
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Wolves 7.40

Buckland beau 14/1 sportsbook/ppower..

Buckland beau might be worth a small bet,hasn't run in this grade since winning opff 76 in January 2016 that was a winning run of three races back to back the first win came over c/d in December 2015 off 72 and finished winning off 79.No wins since but plenty of aw form in slightly better races and some over longer trips and has never won on the turf so can put a line through most of this seasons runs and last time out ran over an inadequate mile,running off 74 tomorrow.The betting will be interesting as shane Kelly rides could be a negative as stevie donohoe usually rides it and that's when it has its best form,also has poor draw in 11 and would need a decent pace to chase as stays further,probably really a Chelmsford horse.It is a drop in grade though,right sort of race and off these marks then its the time to start following it,the fav looks like it's improving my brother mike and berlusca may have been campaigned to get it down to a mark where it's chucked in on last seasons for for new stable..If this one is trying tomorrow you'd really expect it to be half the current price of 14s and in saying that would still need a decent pace to chase,anything around 9-10/1 looks ok..

9/1 just left with 365/victor/betway..
 
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Don't think I've ever backed a horse that's shortened to 13/2 an hour before the off,then drifts out to 17.5 on the off was so predictable obviously no intention of getting involved love the way he whips it when 10ls behind and running wide it's almost puerile it's so obvious..
The good news are this years figures and this months results,highlights were..



Ply 5/4
Roaring forties 13/2R
Queensbrydge 8/1
Evening hill 4/1
Dream jim 9/2
Ballesteros 5/4
Flowing clarets 8/1
Apricot sky 9/2
Tonto's spirit 16/1
Boots n spurs 33/1
Tomahawk kid 9/1

This months ROI 179% have averaged out every month from January to today October 31st and total roi is 158% and that's not including three 2000/1 trebles in varying multiples and numerous other treble figure trebles and four timers,probably around 4x hugh taylors roi and you can actually get some of the prices I put up..ust hope the aw continues in the same vain..And for the brainless one that was going on about p+l points wise around +693 averaging 40 bets a month,:cool: even though the points are completely meaningless...
 
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Can't seem to find much value at the momet,have a few things marked off but draws dampen the picks have some very small staked multiples

Chelmsford 6.25

Mach one 7/2 365 Miss Mirabeau 6/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport/skybet/betway/10bet 13/2 sunbets

Mach one and miss mirabeau were 2nd and 3rd over c/d in a o-65 they both drop into a 0-60 this time the time seemed decent for grade as well,as mentioned though they have poor draws in 12 and 8 so obviously could not be overconfident all depending how race is run..Janouese is worth considering from the 1 draw if the draws beart the others,the maiden it ran in penultimate run over c/d was asgainst far higher rated horses might be worth a saver or some forecasts as we..

Lingfield 2.55

Rum swizzle 11/1 365/sunbets 10/1 skybet/totesport/ppower/sportsbook

Rum swizzle takes on quite a few unexposed 3yr olds so hard to work out the form for them,rum swizzle on a high enough mark of 68 but has wo off 69 over c/d I april,a recent 5th over a trip too far at Kempton shows she's in reasonable form so is in right grade if no improvers,again she has a poor draw which is the negative..

12/1 most books now..

3.30

Choral clan 13/2 365/hills Sir gnet 6/1 sportsbook/hills 7/1 365/skybet 8/1 corals/victor/blacktyppe/boyles

Similar to other division two horses that could be unexposed one from the beckett stable lightly raced well bred and tim Vaughn running a respectable hurdler opening marks of 68 and 69 they won't have to impriove much to beat these.Choral clans always hovering around high 60s low seventys won off 70 last season has won over c/d in the past ran ok here over an inadequate mile beaten 5ls with step up another two furlongs should be thereabouts off 69.Similiarly Sir gnet has been running well is a 10 race maiden and will win a race of some sort a 3rd and 2nd to ice dancing at wolves and Barnaby brook over 1m 1/2fs off 66 were as good as most of the form in this race and another 1/2 furlong should suit off a pound lower mark than those runs..

Both came to win the race came 3rd and 4th and beaten by the two I mentioned in write up,couldv'e done forecasts and trivasts bu never bothered today they wrree only half fancys so wasn't worth the risk and rum sizzler non trier in first rsce drifted like a barge out the back.Poor days racing to bet on really,thats what happens when you bet poor draws they simply don't try...

7.55

Diagnostic 5/6 sportsbook/ppower

Diagnostic looks progressive won in a decent time over 7fs at this track last time out,wouldn't call it a certainty running in a far better race and dropped back a furlong the most interesting runner in the race but if madame bounty takes to the aw and munfallet has come down the weights
similarly first time on aw they could give it a race.Maybe worth doing some forecasts..
 
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Same as today small fancys,i very rarely bet at newcastle as there's just no angle there and again prices are nothing special small ew multis yankees,will have a few days off the aw if things don't pick up and just watch a few meetings as seasons only just started..

Newcastle 6.15

Elegia 7/4 365 11/8 sportsbook/ppower 6/4 betfred/totesport/hills/lads

Decent debut at lingfield a case of bringing the form to Newcastle which is why I rarely bet here hard to predict,time at lingfield was decent although surprisingly farhh has not been a great sire on the aw as of yet,looks the one to beat with broken wings as the danger maybe a reverse forecast.

6.45

Francis Xavier evens 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower 5/6 betfred/totesport

Francis Xavier maybe a horse that will stick to the aw 3rd on debut at lingfield time was decent for debut,all about transferring that form to this totally different track even if this were to get beat tomorrow I will be following as I think its probably going to be a big improver in future if doesn't take to the track..There's a possibility this could go off extremely shortb if nothing else is backed as this could be a potential 90 horse..

8.15

Casterbridge 5/1 ppower/365/hills 9/2 sportsbook Astrophysics 15/2 sportsbook/ppower 8/1betbright 17/2 victor/365

Casterbridge ran well when rd over c/d recently,by far the quickest of the two divisions that was a 0-75 but probably not much better than this race had plenty of racing but only 3 runs on the aw so still interesting back over its c/d run.Astrophysics returns to the aw on a mark of 66,has only had five all weather runs but decent form over this c/d last three runs here been 4/4/3 off marks of 73 so well handicapped if can reproduce that form.Kodicats fav so maybe worth adding in for forecasts and pearl acclaim is well handicapped if coming back to form was infront of astro physics last season over c/d another to add in..


8.45

Windforpower 11/4 365 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills/lads/10bet

Windforpower is 7/37 on the aw great record over this c/d last 10 runs over the c/d 2/3/1/2/4/6/1/3/4/3 second to young tiger in a 0-60 last time out,will probably be overbet for its consistency dropped into a 0-55,dangers would include bond bombshell and racing angel first time blinkers drops in class was 3rd to doctor parkes at Chelmsford off 70 last season off just 50 tomorrow.Maybe worth a saver and some forecasts the three...
 
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gigilo said:
Can't seem to find much value at the momet,have a few things marked off but draws dampen the picks have some very small staked multiples

Chelmsford 6.25

Mach one 7/2 365 Miss Mirabeau 6/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport/skybet/betway/10bet 13/2 sunbets

Mach one and miss mirabeau were 2nd and 3rd over c/d in a o-65 they both drop into a 0-60 this time the time seemed decent for grade as well,as mentioned though they have poor draws in 12 and 8 so obviously could not be overconfident all depending how race is run..Janouese is worth considering from the 1 draw if the draws beart the others,the maiden it ran in penultimate run over c/d was asgainst far higher rated horses might be worth a saver or some forecasts as we..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Saves the day had a little ew on janouesque as well,just missed out on forecasts..will settle for that after some of todays rides..:ninja: Miss Mirabeau 5th as well so stake back there as well,thanks to skybet,run quite well the picks considering some of the rides got stopped in run..trieves a few more quid...

Lingfield 2.55

Rum swizzle 11/1 365/sunbets 10/1 skybet/totesport/ppower/sportsbook

Rum swizzle takes on quite a few unexposed 3yr olds so hard to work out the form for them,rum swizzle on a high enough mark of 68 but has wo off 69 over c/d I april,a recent 5th over a trip too far at Kempton shows she's in reasonable form so is in right grade if no improvers,again she has a poor draw which is the negative..

12/1 most books now..

3.30

Choral clan 13/2 365/hills Sir gnet 6/1 sportsbook/hills 7/1 365/skybet 8/1 corals/victor/blacktyppe/boyles

Similar to other division two horses that could be unexposed one from the beckett stable lightly raced well bred and tim Vaughn running a respectable hurdler opening marks of 68 and 69 they won't have to impriove much to beat these.Choral clans always hovering around high 60s low seventys won off 70 last season has won over c/d in the past ran ok here over an inadequate mile beaten 5ls with step up another two furlongs should be thereabouts off 69.Similiarly Sir gnet has been running well is a 10 race maiden and will win a race of some sort a 3rd and 2nd to ice dancing at wolves and Barnaby brook over 1m 1/2fs off 66 were as good as most of the form in this race and another 1/2 furlong should suit off a pound lower mark than those runs..

Both came to win the race came 3rd and 4th and beaten by the two I mentioned in write up,couldv'e done forecasts and trivasts bu never bothered today they wrree only half fancys so wasn't worth the risk and rum sizzler non trier in first rsce drifted like a barge out the back.Poor days racing to bet on really,thats what happens when you bet poor draws they simply don't try...

7.55

Diagnostic 5/6 sportsbook/ppower

Diagnostic looks progressive won in a decent time over 7fs at this track last time out,wouldn't call it a certainty running in a far better race and dropped back a furlong the most interesting runner in the race but if madame bounty takes to the aw and munfallet has come down the weights
similarly first time on aw they could give it a race.Maybe worth doing some forecasts..
Click to expand...
 
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gigilo said:
Can't seem to find much value at the momet,have a few things marked off but draws dampen the picks have some very small staked multiples

Chelmsford 6.25

Mach one 7/2 365 Miss Mirabeau 6/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport/skybet/betway/10bet 13/2 sunbets

Mach one and miss mirabeau were 2nd and 3rd over c/d in a o-65 they both drop into a 0-60 this time the time seemed decent for grade as well,as mentioned though they have poor draws in 12 and 8 so obviously could not be overconfident all depending how race is run..Janouese is worth considering from the 1 draw if the draws beart the others,the maiden it ran in penultimate run over c/d was asgainst far higher rated horses might be worth a saver or some forecasts as we..

Lingfield 2.55

Rum swizzle 11/1 365/sunbets 10/1 skybet/totesport/ppower/sportsbook

Rum swizzle takes on quite a few unexposed 3yr olds so hard to work out the form for them,rum swizzle on a high enough mark of 68 but has wo off 69 over c/d I april,a recent 5th over a trip too far at Kempton shows she's in reasonable form so is in right grade if no improvers,again she has a poor draw which is the negative..

12/1 most books now..

3.30

Choral clan 13/2 365/hills Sir gnet 6/1 sportsbook/hills 7/1 365/skybet 8/1 corals/victor/blacktyppe/boyles

Similar to other division two horses that could be unexposed one from the beckett stable lightly raced well bred and tim Vaughn running a respectable hurdler opening marks of 68 and 69 they won't have to impriove much to beat these.Choral clans always hovering around high 60s low seventys won off 70 last season has won over c/d in the past ran ok here over an inadequate mile beaten 5ls with step up another two furlongs should be thereabouts off 69.Similiarly Sir gnet has been running well is a 10 race maiden and will win a race of some sort a 3rd and 2nd to ice dancing at wolves and Barnaby brook over 1m 1/2fs off 66 were as good as most of the form in this race and another 1/2 furlong should suit off a pound lower mark than those runs..

Both came to win the race came 3rd and 4th and beaten by the two I mentioned in write up,couldv'e done forecasts and trivasts bu never bothered today they wrree only half fancys so wasn't worth the risk and rum sizzler non trier in first rsce drifted like a barge out the back.Poor days racing to bet on really,thats what happens when you bet poor draws they simply don't try...

7.55

Diagnostic 5/6 sportsbook/ppower

Diagnostic looks progressive won in a decent time over 7fs at this track last time out,wouldn't call it a certainty running in a far better race and dropped back a furlong the most interesting runner in the race but if madame bounty takes to the aw and munfallet has come down the weights
similarly first time on aw they could give it a race.Maybe worth doing some forecasts..
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gigilo said:
Same as today small fancys,i very rarely bet at newcastle as there's just no angle there and again prices are nothing special small ew multis yankees,will have a few days off the aw if things don't pick up and just watch a few meetings as seasons only just started..

Newcastle 6.15

Elegia 7/4 365 11/8 sportsbook/ppower 6/4 betfred/totesport/hills/lads

Decent debut at lingfield a case of bringing the form to Newcastle which is why I rarely bet here hard to predict,time at lingfield was decent although surprisingly farhh has not been a great sire on the aw as of yet,looks the one to beat with broken wings as the danger maybe a reverse forecast.

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6.45

Francis Xavier evens 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower 5/6 betfred/totesport

Francis Xavier maybe a horse that will stick to the aw 3rd on debut at lingfield time was decent for debut,all about transferring that form to this totally different track even if this were to get beat tomorrow I will be following as I think its probably going to be a big improver in future if doesn't take to the track..There's a possibility this could go off extremely shortb if nothing else is backed as this could be a potential 90 horse..

8.15

Casterbridge 5/1 ppower/365/hills 9/2 sportsbook Astrophysics 15/2 sportsbook/ppower 8/1betbright 17/2 victor/365

Casterbridge ran well when rd over c/d recently,by far the quickest of the two divisions that was a 0-75 but probably not much better than this race had plenty of racing but only 3 runs on the aw so still interesting back over its c/d run.Astrophysics returns to the aw on a mark of 66,has only had five all weather runs but decent form over this c/d last three runs here been 4/4/3 off marks of 73 so well handicapped if can reproduce that form.Kodicats fav so maybe worth adding in for forecasts and pearl acclaim is well handicapped if coming back to form was infront of astro physics last season over c/d another to add in..


8.45

Windforpower 11/4 365 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills/lads/10bet

Windforpower is 7/37 on the aw great record over this c/d last 10 runs over the c/d 2/3/1/2/4/6/1/3/4/3 second to young tiger in a 0-60 last time out,will probably be overbet for its consistency dropped into a 0-55,dangers would include bond bombshell and racing angel first time blinkers drops in class was 3rd to doctor parkes at Chelmsford off 70 last season off just 50 tomorrow.Maybe worth a saver and some forecasts the three...
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gigilo said:
Same as today small fancys,i very rarely bet at newcastle as there's just no angle there and again prices are nothing special small ew multis yankees,will have a few days off the aw if things don't pick up and just watch a few meetings as seasons only just started..

Newcastle 6.15

Elegia 7/4 365 11/8 sportsbook/ppower 6/4 betfred/totesport/hills/lads

Decent debut at lingfield a case of bringing the form to Newcastle which is why I rarely bet here hard to predict,time at lingfield was decent although surprisingly farhh has not been a great sire on the aw as of yet,looks the one to beat with broken wings as the danger maybe a reverse forecast.

6.45

Francis Xavier evens 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower 5/6 betfred/totesport

Francis Xavier maybe a horse that will stick to the aw 3rd on debut at lingfield time was decent for debut,all about transferring that form to this totally different track even if this were to get beat tomorrow I will be following as I think its probably going to be a big improver in future if doesn't take to the track..There's a possibility this could go off extremely shortb if nothing else is backed as this could be a potential 90 horse..

8.15

Casterbridge 5/1 ppower/365/hills 9/2 sportsbook Astrophysics 15/2 sportsbook/ppower 8/1betbright 17/2 victor/365

Casterbridge ran well when rd over c/d recently,by far the quickest of the two divisions that was a 0-75 but probably not much better than this race had plenty of racing but only 3 runs on the aw so still interesting back over its c/d run.Astrophysics returns to the aw on a mark of 66,has only had five all weather runs but decent form over this c/d last three runs here been 4/4/3 off marks of 73 so well handicapped if can reproduce that form.Kodicats fav so maybe worth adding in for forecasts and pearl acclaim is well handicapped if coming back to form was infront of astro physics last season over c/d another to add in..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Looking ominous for books if i'm backing winners at Newcastle!:lol::lol::ninja:


8.45

Windforpower 11/4 365 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills/lads/10bet

Windforpower is 7/37 on the aw great record over this c/d last 10 runs over the c/d 2/3/1/2/4/6/1/3/4/3 second to young tiger in a 0-60 last time out,will probably be overbet for its consistency dropped into a 0-55,dangers would include bond bombshell and racing angel first time blinkers drops in class was 3rd to doctor parkes at Chelmsford off 70 last season off just 50 tomorrow.Maybe worth a saver and some forecasts the three...
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Yep frustrating still another good day,multiples retutned £64.08 for £44 as well,a winning day at newcastle is always a bonus.thought they'd go close just ashame the 2nd one got beat actually thought it might be a short runner on this track after watching replays,probably come on again for that run as well..
 
Kempton 2.20

Bint dandy 16/1 365/sunbets..

A speculative one in Bint dandy she is a bit of a veteran now although her mark has hardly moved in three seasons when I looked at her form could not believe she's only won ine race since march 2015 and that was on the turf yet she was rated 85 in that 2015 race and tomorrow rated 82 handicappers been unrelenting but at least shows she has been consistent and sometimes in better races.She was 5th at Chelmsford behind bumptious in a similar type pf race as tomorrow but there are lots in tomorrows race unexposed 3yr olds,so far they havn't shown anything special in there runs but have hardly had any opportunitys.Bint dandy running off a mark of 82 is lowest since that march win but Nicola currie takes off 7 pound so lowest since December 2014,she hasn't really run at this track much I presume it's not that preferable to her although was second here to absolute blast over c/d last season off 87 so she does go on the track.She's worth a small speculative bet at big prices although it maybe she needs to go back to Chelmsford where she maybe able to make all,more difficult to do here especially against unexposed types.Tai hang dragon has been bumped up the weights after a 4th to tisbutadream in a listed race was rated 82 but given a 7 pound rise,then ran a couple of poor races so dropped back down two pound to 87,returning to a track she's won on if that listed run wasn't a fluke then she could still run well currently 2/5 on the aw..
 
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gigilo said:
Kempton 2.20

Bint dandy 16/1 365/sunbets/sky/lads/corals/totesport/betfred/boyles/vitor/betway/10bet/marathinbet/

A speculative one in Bint dandy she is a bit of a veteran now although her mark has hardly moved in three seasons when I looked at her form could not believe she's only won ine race since march 2015 and that was on the turf yet she was rated 85 in that 2015 race and tomorrow rated 82 handicappers been unrelenting but at least shows she has been consistent and sometimes in better races.She was 5th at Chelmsford behind bumptious in a similar type pf race as tomorrow but there are lots in tomorrows race unexposed 3yr olds,so far they havn't shown anything special in there runs but have hardly had any opportunitys.Bint dandy running off a mark of 82 is lowest since that march win but Nicola currie takes off 7 pound so lowest since December 2014,she hasn't really run at this track much I presume it's not that preferable to her although was second here to absolute blast over c/d last season off 87 so she does go on the track.She's worth a small speculative bet at big prices although it maybe she needs to go back to Chelmsford where she maybe able to make all,more difficult to do here especially against unexposed types.Tai hang dragon has been bumped up the weights after a 4th to tisbutadream in a listed race was rated 82 but given a 7 pound rise,then ran a couple of poor races so dropped back down two pound to 87,returning to a track she's won on if that listed run wasn't a fluke then she could still run well currently 2/5 on the aw..
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Absolutely stonking bet had a failry decent knock on this ew,had the beating of the 1st and 2nd favs on their Chelmsford times on same card traded at 1.79 as well will make a nice winning day for me,think it was a terrible race just stood out a mile on what had been achieved on the aw...

Have a couple of ew lucky 15s

3.20

Ply 2/1 unibets/888sport Desert ruler..14/1 lads 16/1 hills

Plys looked impressive this season showing nice turn of foot,although steps up in class tomorrow should be a very informative race for the aw season,plys only had 7 races but has gone up 17 pound in the handicap so will have tio improve again.On the clock doesn't look a great deal between twop or three of them,just whats been seen so far plys turn of foot has looked the most impressive.
Desert ruler was beaten easily by ply at revised weights really shouldn't turn it around but may still have an ew chance exposed but the times so far on the clock not far behind the ones heading the betting and if ply bombed out or one of the others then prices could look ok on place side..


1.50

Meccabah 2/1 365 15/8 skybet/lads/sunbets/corals/betfred/totesport/10bet

The three heading the market there seems very little between them on the c/d runs although meccabahs form looks slightly better splitting time chaser and thafeera rated 96 time chaser rated 91,has been running well on the turf although does look stuck in limbo a bit regarding mark of 80.
Probably coming back to the aw now to see if can find a bit of improvement after 3rd ever run over c/d,that run previously on the aw would be expected to be well backed but recent turf form suggests not as good looks decent trade to me if the aw form is backed and taken literally..
Sheilas rock looks interesting onmlyb had one run that was in may time looked quite good on the card and might be worth a small saver/forecast might be asking a lot after such a layoff but it's not a great race..

Knew it would get overbet,cracking trade laid a load off at 2.06 he never even got it in the frame,probert seems to be the jock to go to to get them beat..


4.20

Athassel 18/1 365 22/1 hills/365/betstars

Athaseel was ratd 46 in deember 2016 evena got eight wins out of it finishing in may off 78 over this c/d,horse now probably needs dropping in the weights to get back to winning although two runs ago ran well again over c/d after being out the back and finishing up the inside in 4th,when the 1,2,3 finished up the outside..Daves probably got 20 runs down the field for it before he wins with it again :cool: but as he's sending this only runner will give it a chance but would not be overly confident with horses like glenn coco looking thoroughly unexposed in a very competitive looking handicap..
 
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