Daily picks.

Kempton8.45

Sea the waves 8/1 365..

Just a token bet on this,trained by emma owen 7 winners in 4 seasons usually regardless of how good the form of hers are I would put a line through them and they generally drift like barges and run accordingly.At least this one is lightly raced just four runs,was handicap debut last time out over c/d in this grade a 0-65 a running on 3rd behind coverham won again yesterday,missed the break slightly behind coverham and was difficult to come off the pace in that race on march 23rd,only runner to make up any ground.Trainers had 3 places out of her last 6 runners so maybe the best time if ever to back one,as it's only had the four runs and open to improvement then could run well,couldn't be overconfident with this trainer but probably would've been 5/1 with anyone else..Connemara queen came back from a break also yesterday,had been disappointing on last few runs but this is its class butler has this runner,weloof and mime dance hard to know which is best as Connemara queen has the track form..

The obligatory drift..

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Unbelievable gigs. My bet 365 account is bulging. I continued backing it all the way to SP. when gigilo and the market agree, put the mortgage on it! :D
 
cracking pick yesterday gigs, had a decent single on it and it was also the last selection of a Trixie, 6-1, 6-1, 2-1. superstar...
 
Windsor 4.20

Mobsta 9/4 lads 2/1 sortspress

Will just have a small bet on mobsta,really is very little value due to inconsistency have backed him a few times last season missing break and never getting involved in handicaps when looking well in then other races like when 3rd to tommy taylor at 25/1 lancelot du lac and steady pace rated 108 behind.After that reverted to type beaten a long way in handicaps,came out this season going off a very short price at Donny in a 0-95 looked a very unlucky loser stands side was where all the pace was he was drawn 2 only horse from farside to be involved art finish.On that occasion missed break slightly but was always travelling well,two furlongs out looked to be cantering then got stopped in run and was almost unseated,that form looks very good in context of this race but the ? is the easier track Windsor naturally doesn't look his track and if he misses break then just as likely to finish last as first..
Doncaster de sousa was back on board and there were loads of positives him riding,the track had really good record there and the desperate ground,plus running off just a mark of 88.Will have a small bet not convinced by running at Windsor but as he travelled so well,de souse rides and grounds desperate then will have a small interest,it maybe he needs a better class race to show best but has never runn in this grade before.He's drawn 8 in centre they will go farside looks to be plenty of pace around him so may get a nice lead into race presuming he doesn't give them the 8ls start he has in other races..there is also the possibility with de sousa riding the horse could get backed exclusively to rest of field wouldn't surprise me if went off something like 11/8 maybe even shorter outside possibility of odds on,so you could probably get a free bet out of him anyway and even decent trade..
Most of the runners will head farside as usually the place to be but you might find someone like spencer drawn 1 come stands side and on blaine not really known for this sort of ground but on debut for ron barr won off 94 last season on soft ground now only off 89 just find it interesting as spencer is the one jockey that might try the standside rail...
 
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Windsor 4.20

Mobsta 9/4 lads 2/1 sortspress

Will just have a small bet on mobsta,really is very little value due to inconsistency have backed him a few times last season missing break and never getting involved in handicaps when looking well in then other races like when 3rd to tommy taylor at 25/1 lancelot du lac and steady pace rated 108 behind.After that reverted to type beaten a long way in handicaps,came out this season going off a very short price at Donny in a 0-95 looked a very unlucky loser stands side was where all the pace was he was drawn 2 only horse from farside to be involved art finish.On that occasion missed break slightly but was always travelling well,two furlongs out looked to be cantering then got stopped in run and was almost unseated,that form looks very good in context of this race but the ? is the easier track Windsor naturally doesn't look his track and if he misses break then just as likely to finish last as first..
Doncaster de sousa was back on board and there were loads of positives him riding,the track had really good record there and the desperate ground,plus running off just a mark of 88.Will have a small bet not convinced by running at Windsor but as he travelled so well,de souse rides and grounds desperate then will have a small interest,it maybe he needs a better class race to show best but has never runn in this grade before.He's drawn 8 in centre they will go farside looks to be plenty of pace around him so may get a nice lead into race presuming he doesn't give them the 8ls start he has in other races..there is also the possibility with de sousa riding the horse could get backed exclusively to rest of field wouldn't surprise me if went off something like 11/8 maybe even shorter outside possibility of odds on,so you could probably get a free bet out of him anyway and even decent trade..
Most of the runners will head farside as usually the place to be but you might find someone like spencer drawn 1 come stands side and on blaine not really known for this sort of ground but on debut for ron barr won off 94 last season on soft ground now only off 89 just find it interesting as spencer is the one jockey that might try the standside rail...

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Ripon 4.0

Quick look 18/1 lads 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/corals 14/1 skybet/betfred/totesport / Kupa river 9/1 365 8/1 skybet/10bet/corlas/betfred/corals 15/2 sportsbook 7/1 ppower

Desperate ground at ripon so just having two very small bets in same race over the 6fs,have half the field marked off on this ground in with a chance but as grounds going to be nearer to heavy/soft then will pick a couple from the farside,low draws.Kupa river is lightly raced interesting purchase for roger fell from Ireland just the six runs,likes heavy ground and on handicap debut was 2nd off 87 to maarek in a 0-95,is seasonal debut so hasn't run since October but has the 2 draw on farside.Runs off just 82 so this race is in theory slightly weaker being a 0-85 although that 0-95 probably was weak for grade,but if fit and draw works out then has ground to suit and usually prominent betting will be interesting..
Quick look made seasonal reappearance in a 0-95 at Donny better race than tomorrows,mobstas already come out of that race and won, quick look finished seventh but was a little better than that getting hampered entering final furling so maybe a length two better..Could be flattered by that run as didn't look well handicapped and loads were making their debuts but that was a far better race than this,the ground was desperate at Donny same as at ripon and tomorrow comes from the 6 draw so looks certain to stay there with the fell horse leading from 2 draw.The horse is only five and seventeen runs so could still be improving and if the draw does turn out to be an advantage could run well in this drop in class on ground it will like,another likely to halve in price so evrn if draw turns out to be disadvantageous then could still be nice trade..Also harrison shaw takes off five pound so six pound lower than the Donny run and drop in grade.
Bossipops got the best form at the track drawn 1 tomorrow,was 11/4 fav for a 0-95 over c/d last season think it will be a decent trade at 16/1 could well halve in price,so nice trade there the ? against it is has won on gd/sft and soft ground a case of whther the ground will be heavy which has no recent form on..
 
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Ripon 4.0

Quick look 18/1 lads 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/corals 14/1 skybet/betfred/totesport / Kupa river 9/1 365 8/1 skybet/10bet/corlas/betfred/corals 15/2 sportsbook 7/1 ppower

Desperate ground at ripon so just having two very small bets in same race over the 6fs,have half the field marked off on this ground in with a chance but as grounds going to be nearer to heavy/soft then will pick a couple from the farside,low draws.Kupa river is lightly raced interesting purchase for roger fell from Ireland just the six runs,likes heavy ground and on handicap debut was 2nd off 87 to maarek in a 0-95,is seasonal debut so hasn't run since October but has the 2 draw on farside.Runs off just 82 so this race is in theory slightly weaker being a 0-85 although that 0-95 probably was weak for grade,but if fit and draw works out then has ground to suit and usually prominent betting will be interesting..
Quick look made seasonal reappearance in a 0-95 at Donny better race than tomorrows,mobstas already come out of that race and won, quick look finished seventh but was a little better than that getting hampered entering final furling so maybe a length two better..Could be flattered by that run as didn't look well handicapped and loads were making their debuts but that was a far better race than this,the ground was desperate at Donny same as at ripon and tomorrow comes from the 6 draw so looks certain to stay there with the fell horse leading from 2 draw.The horse is only five and seventeen runs so could still be improving and if the draw does turn out to be an advantage could run well in this drop in class on ground it will like,another likely to halve in price so evrn if draw turns out to be disadvantageous then could still be nice trade..Also harrison shaw takes off five pound so six pound lower than the Donny run and drop in grade.
Bossipops got the best form at the track drawn 1 tomorrow,was 11/4 fav for a 0-95 over c/d last season think it will be a decent trade at 16/1 could well halve in price,so nice trade there the ? against it is has won on gd/sft and soft ground a case of whther the ground will be heavy which has no recent form on..

Knew the draw would come up low,you have to play when grounds like that,getting done by adamas ale one of my favourite horses at ripon a pity that would've been a right tiouch still backed ew at 16/1 and 18/1 ew knew it would get hammered also got a l;ittle trade out of bossipop..
 
Bath 7.45

Monumental man 17/2 sportsbook/ppower..8/1 totesport/betfred.

Can't really have too much confidence in betting the next couple of days,scorching weather on top of soft ground impossible to know how much the tracks will dry out over the next couple of days by race time so maybe have to give them amiss,will keep an eye on going sticks if they update them..Monumental man is just a speculative pick,veteran at 9 now,really an aw horse hasn't won on the turf since 2014 even though still rated in 80s at start of 2017 season.Gets to run off lowest mark since 2012 mark has completely crashed since December was rated 80 december but getting beat off 63 last time out,it looks like he may have just deteriorated especially as not showing anything on the aw but this is only a 0-58 he's been competing in 0-70 and 0-75 ..Last run on turf was 5th off 77 at sandown in september,paddy Bradley was claiming 5 wasn't beaten far,tomorrow runs of just 60 and again paddy Bradley takes off the 5 down to just a mark of 55..Has run well at brighton before,last season ran 3rd there off 79 so bath could suit looks like the ground maybe good/good firm by racetime goes on most turf goings,a terrible race for horses on downgrade a token bet on the veteran,could trade well in running being front runner..
There are a couple of other rags that are in similar profile who told jo jo still only four and only rated 54,has won april time 2016 and 2017 2/9 on turf won at Windsor off 65 last season and big drop in weights but shown little since just to mention one,prominna c/d wionner was 3rd in a 0-70 last season off 62 at lingfield on good ground tomorrow off just 57 hard to see it not running well if fit.
 
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Bath 7.45

Monumental man 17/2 sportsbook/ppower..8/1 totesport/betfred.

Can't really have too much confidence in betting the next couple of days,scorching weather on top of soft ground impossible to know how much the tracks will dry out over the next couple of days by race time so maybe have to give them amiss,will keep an eye on going sticks if they update them..Monumental man is just a speculative pick,veteran at 9 now,really an aw horse hasn't won on the turf since 2014 even though still rated in 80s at start of 2017 season.Gets to run off lowest mark since 2012 mark has completely crashed since December was rated 80 december but getting beat off 63 last time out,it looks like he may have just deteriorated especially as not showing anything on the aw but this is only a 0-58 he's been competing in 0-70 and 0-75 ..Last run on turf was 5th off 77 at sandown in september,paddy Bradley was claiming 5 wasn't beaten far,tomorrow runs of just 60 and again paddy Bradley takes off the 5 down to just a mark of 55..Has run well at brighton before,last season ran 3rd there off 79 so bath could suit looks like the ground maybe good/good firm by racetime goes on most turf goings,a terrible race for horses on downgrade a token bet on the veteran,could trade well in running being front runner..
There are a couple of other rags that are in similar profile who told jo jo still only four and only rated 54,has won april time 2016 and 2017 2/9 on turf won at Windsor off 65 last season and big drop in weights but shown little since just to mention one,prominna c/d wionner was 3rd in a 0-70 last season off 62 at lingfield on good ground tomorrow off just 57 hard to see it not running well if fit.

As predicted if it had been drawn low would've won whos jo jo was 4th as well 20/1 earlier in day,got the ew bit up and rebacked it at 12.5 and laid off in running at 2.7 think it traded 1.29 as well as said for in running was great, very unlucky loser with 2 and 6 draws 1st and 2nd. nice profit on race ..was always going to lead even from terrible draw..did the 5 places on betfair as well..
 
Also looking at the world snooker champioships and buying century breaks,the tables have been a complete farce for several years playing like club tables last week in china open 77 centurys,if the tables are similar set up then will be looking at buying only market so far is betfred 4/5 +80 will wait to see other books first but prices should be up soon..

First day 7 centurys already,if they keeo the tables like this should be a walk in the park..will keep updating this number 8 went in earlier still night session to come..Annoying loads being missed in the 90s when frames won and players being casual,thats the problem in tightb matches they don't make sure of the tons..
 
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Windsor 7.50

Hateya 11/1 365/unibet 10/1 sportsbook/ppower/sportsbook/lads

A 0-65 handicap over a mle on softish ground,8/1 the field could well be better horses in the race than hateya its form is nothing special last season running over 7fs twice at Epsom on handicap debut was sixth of eleven in a 0-85 beaten 6ls off 70,was staying on at finish.On this seasons debut at lingfield was out the back outpaced a race run in a slow time,sixth of eight but looked nice tender run back passing runners at finish,drops into a 0-65 and five pound lower than the run at Epsom,still only six runs jim boyles not in great form hasn't had a winner for a couple of months so just a small bet.Was hoping it would be slightly bigger pruce with so many unexposed horses in the race but Kirby rides,probably one to look out for in this grade with maybe less exposed runners but might run ok..

Ponte 3.10

Rasheeq 25/1 ppower/sportsbook 22/1 skybet 22/1 betway 20/1 365/betfred/totesport/boyles/lads

Rasheeq I backed a couple of times last season ran some decent races was third twice in these 0-105 last season seems to act on most grounds,ran boundsy 9/1 to a nck also in tomorrows race and is better off at the weights,was also third at York in a 0-105 to flying pursuit off 2 pound higher mark.Last run of the season was behind boundsy and Atletico strictly on that form cannot beat them,obvioulsy has plenty of ability but looks hard ride,other negatives easterby runs orions bow david allan rides that's chucked in and duran fentiman rides rasheeeq he hardly has any winners, also hasn't run for 177 days and the one run at ponte was terrible plus only win a swell maiden ..Biggest price last season was 12/1,looks unlikely winner in such a competitive race but is double the biggest price it was last season includuing two places in this grade so could run well if fit and out on terms from the 3 draw.

Very small bets for me ..

Typicalyl 5th beaten hd for 4th was main reason for betting it really just looked a big price on the place ashame that,not one I would be following big prices today with 4 places..
 
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Windsor 7.50

Hateya 11/1 365/unibet 10/1 sportsbook/ppower/sportsbook

A 0-65 handicap over a mle on softish ground,8/1 the field could well be better horses in the race than hateya its form is nothing special last season running over 7fs twice at Epsom on handicap debut was sixth of eleven in a 0-85 beaten 6ls off 70,was staying on at finish.On this seasons debut at lingfield was out the back outpaced a race run in a slow time,sixth of eight but looked nice tender run back passing runners at finish,drops into a 0-65 and five pound lower than the run at Epsom,still only six runs jim boyles not in great form hasn't had a winner for a couple of months so just a small bet.Was hoping it would be slightly bigger pruce with so many unexposed horses in the race but Kirby rides,probably one to look out for in this grade with maybe less exposed runners but might run ok..

Ponte 3.10

Rasheeq 25/1 ppower/sportsbook 22/1 skybet 22/1 betway 20/1 365.

Rasheeq I backed a couple of times last season ran some decent races was third twice in these 0-105 last season seems to act on most grounds,ran boundsy 9/1 to a nck also in tomorrows race and is better off at the weights,was also third at York in a 0-105 to flying pursuit off 2 pound higher mark.Last run of the season was behind boundsy and Atletico strictly on that form cannot beat them,obvioulsy has plenty of ability but looks hard ride,other negatives easterby runs orions bow david allan rides that's chucked in and duran fentiman rides rasheeeq he hardly has any winners, also hasn't run for 177 days and the one run at ponte was terrible plus is still a maiden,only win a swell maiden ..Biggest price last season was 12/1,looks unlikely winner in such a competitive race but is double the biggest price it was last season includuing two places in this grade so could run well if fit and out on terms from the 3 draw.
Orion's Bow certainly is chucked in. I reckon he is nailed on. Stall 1 aswell.
 
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Thanks Sam, I have my good moments! I'm looking to start a proper blog soon. A shame Orion's Bow got no luck in running.
 
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