Will try some small ew multiples,my confidence is getting undone with overwatering some are riding almost gd/sft while others seem fine seems a bit of a lottery with going reports..could leave the first one out at notts as very short price poor draw in 1 ran well at wolves last time out might be a better aw horses opposed to turf form plus decent trainers in race..
Newbury 3.20
Wind in my sails 10/1 365 7/1 betfred/totesport / Himself 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 12/1 hills/betfred/totesport
Wide open race,wind in my sails hasn't won on turf since 2016 but runs off lowest mark since that win now off just 78 when winning over this c/d,
ran 5th in a 0-95 at Windsor on seasonal debut then disappointed at bath slightly although the second breanski won today at Yarmouth.He was 3rd in this race last season off 82 so likes the track so if back to best would have an ew chance.
Lots of unexposed 4yr olds in the race probably winner will come from one of these lightly raced runners ,himself looks to have an ew chnce been running well on the aw conceded loads of ground at Kempton over a mile last time out finishing well,previous to that was 5th at notts again getting left at start was running on nearest finish sae graded race as tomorrows..
5.10
Hawridge glory 10/1 365 8/1 victor/ 15/2 sunbets/lads/betway/
Hawridge glory exposed but usually runs well in these races and sometimes higher grade went off 9/2 fav in a 0-80 at Windsor recently finishing 3rd to dream machine but then disappointed at goodwood unplaced,patrick millman has won on It both wins highest winning msrk is only 63 but as the 0-80 shows in these 0-70s is more than capable of placing at worst especially with amateur that knows the horse well..
Nottingham 1.40
Finoah 2/1 generally 11/4 corals/lads
Finoahs turf form doesn't look upto much but when swutched tio wolves over 6fs on the aw that looked a decent piece of form,the winner I think could be top class,has something to prove back on the turf race is full of top trainers also has a poor drawn in 1.If it doesn't bring that wolbes form to the turf think it will be a nice one for aw handicaps,already been gambl;es in race so think it might even druft yet anyway..
2.40
Sharamm 4/7 365
Sharamm looked to run a decent time on debut at Donny only .37 above standard over 6fs fastest race on the card,even the class 3 handicap was only 1.18 seconds abiove standard that race won by Spanish city so fior a debut run l;ooked very quick..Open to loads of improvement this could go off 5s on unless there's something special lurking first time out or unless ground has been overwatered.
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3.10
Hallstatt 10/1 betbright 9/1 365/lads/betway/victor/ skybet/totesport/boyles/hills/188bet / Stynes 7/2 ppower/sportsbook/hills/marathonbet/skybet 4/1 unibet
Veteran now halstatt,hasn't won on the turf since 2016 but this is his track quite a few unexposed ones in the race but he has a ew chance off 63 as usually contests slightly better races already been 3rd over this c/d this season in a 0-75 cps were put on last time out so maybe didn't like them ,2016 since last turf win maybe even have to drop lower in grade to get that win but did win two aw races in 2017.A lot might depend on wether he can lay up without expending too much as terrible draw in 11,if he can then place chances in a poor race..
Stynes has been chasing for new trainer and won off 126 at sell recently now off 132 over fences,hasn't run on turf since winning off 52 back in 2016 returns of just 61 back on the level,such a weak race and horse been in such good forn for new stable they are giving the flat ago,hard to judge it on chase form but these are slow don;'t think you will see him again on turf if he doesn't figure in this race..The obvious dangers are spiritoftomintoul and strictly art..
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Yarmouth 5.20
Daring guest 14/1 ppower/sportsbook 16/1 generally now reflected in unreliability / La isla bonita 8/1 sportsbook/ppower
They put plenty of water down at Yarmouth today,am hoping they might put a little more down tonight twio of todays winners at the track will probably be running again tomorrow in this race so they will take some beating,la isla bonita ran here last time out and was slightly weaker race behind wild acclaim winner there today and in this race tomorrow.He was away from the pace when 5th that day, the first four all nearer standside so maybe an excuise and previous run had run on softer ground in better race 4th over c/d again in a 0-70 has only had twelve lifetime runs in this 0-65
Daring guest is a bit of a dodgepot impossible to predict especially on turf misses the break more often than not, never figures then other races like it did at brighton when third behind nutini in a 0-70 recently,have looked through his form and maybe just needs dead ground,similar to todays but hopefully even slower a bit of watering would not go amiss.Won over tomorrows c/d off 65 last season with t tomorrows jock on jane Elliot claiming three lowest ever turf mark.If gets out on terms would be a big price in this race although more often than not loses race at start...
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Realistically looking at places rather than winners have chosen the most competitive races because of 16 runners but no doubt there will be non runners..