pernicious
At the Start
- Joined
- Mar 18, 2016
- Messages
- 54
What those two said ^^ Have a great new year mate.
Yes, huge well done Giggs, you are one of the best tipsters around. Again a huge well done.
Lots of runners you could throw some coppers at tomorrow well handicapped runners at swell could easily run well but guessing if that will be day,waiting for more books to come up but just one bet for now may not bother doing anything else yet..
Southwell 3.30
Angel Acclaim 6/1 365 15/2 hills/betfred/totesport
I still think bond angel is going to win more races,i put her up after she hacked up by 8ls alpha tauri runs in same race tomorrow is 19 pounds better in with her fpor 8ls but she looked like she couldv'e won by 12ls,time was very good as well for grade she bombed out when i didv her missed the break then won when coming back to swell..The last race she won was very poor,she has a poor drsw in 11 tomorrow inexperienced claimer although won on her last time out and she steps up a furlong,lots of negatives but wouldn't surprise me if she gets out on terms were to win again, even if she bombed out i'd still want to be betting her here off 59, jock takes off 7 tomorrow so still only off 52...
Angel acclaim ran in a 0-75 over c/d last time out,gave field 12ls start never looked in a rush to be involved jock never picked up whip eventually beat just over 4ls, has won off 62 before but gets a 2 pound drop for that last run and dropped into a 0-60,i can't see a lot of pace in this race so there is a chance bond angel could nick this race even though loads of negatives and that maybe also against angel acclaim but at prices will have a small bet on the ryan horse and will be keeping both of these onside..As mentioned Alpha tauri has big weight pull with bond angel,that still doesn't look good enough but he gets the extra furlong and mile tomorrow which will suit more may get closer and only runs off 53 he has an ew
chance still and would have some forecasts these three..to tiny stakes.
10/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 betfred/totesport/ 7/1 unibet if this is a trier you'd want to be seeing it going off nearer to 4/1-5/1 tops
Lots of runners you could throw some coppers at tomorrow well handicapped runners at swell could easily run well but guessing if that will be day,waiting for more books to come up but just one bet for now may not bother doing anything else yet..
Southwell 3.30
Angel Acclaim 6/1 365
I still think bond angel is going to win more races,i put her up after she hacked up by 8ls alpha tauri runs in same race tomorrow is 19 pounds better in with her fpor 8ls but she looked like she couldv'e won by 12ls,time was very good as well for grade she bombed out when i didv her missed the break then won when coming back to swell..The last race she won was very poor,she has a poor drsw in 11 tomorrow inexperienced claimer although won on her last time out and she steps up a furlong,lots of negatives but wouldn't surprise me if she gets out on terms were to win again, even if she bombed out i'd still want to be betting her here off 59, jock takes off 7 tomorrow so still only off 52...
Angel acclaim ran in a 0-75 over c/d last time out,gave field 12ls start never looked in a rush to be involved jock never picked up whip eventually beat just over 4ls, has won off 62 before but gets a 2 pound drop for that last run and dropped into a 0-60,i can't see a lot of pace in this race so there is a chance bond angel could nick this race even though loads of negatives and that maybe also against angel acclaim but at prices will have a small bet on the ryan horse and will be keeping both of these onside..As mentioned Alpha tauri has big weight pull with bond angel,that still doesn't look good enough but he gets the extra furlong and mile tomorrow which will suit more may get closer and only runs off 53 he has an ew chance still and would have some forecasts these three..to tiny stakes.
10/1 ppower/sportsbook
Not surorised by todays results a couple of very strange drifters like my name is rio and l;acan just bfire the off was 6/1 drufted to 11.5 just total lack of pace race was a complete farce had no chance i would back all of those today again but probably they need to be a bit bigger in prices trainers i would normally avoid,never expect4d them to win thuight they mightv'e been place prospects but still would keep them for notebook.
Wolves 6.15
Grey destiny 14/1 skybet/sportingbet/lads/hills/corals..
If this were a normal 0-60 grey destinys prices would look quite big,but its almost a 0-65 with peachey carnehan in such good form unlucky loser two days ago giving 10ls in a sprint and almost gettng up,hard to see it not running well even if this is a slightly better race..An irish raider nothing to go on ursus belle,appleby has a runner off for 87 days was only beaten 3ls in a 0-75 at newcastle in september only seven liftetime runs if it stays then could be better than these also.Frozen lake similarly is very well handicapped but shown nothing last ffour runs,looks like it may have had injury as hardly raced but its best form is in better class races,it's now fallen below 60 the only time it's done that won off 58 tomorrow off 56,trainer hasn't had a winner for 129 days althouigh only 30 runners still a lot but 33/1 generally,wouldn't stop anyone having some coppers on a horse that wpuld be fav at its best..
Grey destiny would normally be a 6-7/1 shot in a race like this tops especially dropped into a 0-60,.has only won 4/49 on the aw but consistent in right grades last run here was in a 0-65 when regular pieces were left off still not beaten far even though only 8th has a couple of lengths to find with shamlan on that form priced at 7/1 couple of pound turnaround in grey destinys favour,so obviously shamlan has chances as well in a 0-60. Previous run over c/d grey destiny was 3rd at the end of august in another 0-65 off 63,has been competing in all 0-65s for over a year since winning off 57 in one of these 0-60s over c/d,then won very next race over c/d off 61 upped in class..Has had to wait a long time to drop in class,but again tomorrow this will almost definitely be better than an average 0-60,but in this grade then is the time to start betting it back down in class,has terrible draw and needs pace in the race so plenty of negatives if the lightly raced ones turn out to be no good then could still run well if they go quick enough off 58.
Brockey rise runs in this race,traded 3s in todays race nothing left at finish this should be a harder race but still a runner to watch closely see how its ridden etchopefully will go off quick with viola park and make it a true test..non runner now.needed it to run with no pace in the race explains why no money for grey destiny..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!Incredible prIces and they took each other on,set race up for it,very dangerous in that grade and neverr picked up the whip what a touch never touched him with the whip :lol::lol:RELENTLESS!!!!
Will just have some small interests at swell 1/4 stakes again,not much value in races was looking at hopefully stealing on places main objective..ew multiples..
Southwell 12.20
War and glory 11/4 365/skybet/totesport/betfre 4/1 sportsbook/ppower 6.0 betfair betting maybe reflecting maynot like surface, placed 5/1 sp
Hard to be overconfident on war and glory but only had four runs out of war command no runners in this syrface but out of war front with a 20% strike rate on surface so should go in it,won a 0-70 last time out looked a moderate 0-70 but probably slightly better than this 0-65,obvious place chance at worst..Rusper won a really poor race at chelmsford but is out of dream ahead and sires at 33% on surface so could be open to loads of improvement on surface,the mick easterby horse only three runs out of monsieur bond decent sire on surface been running over shorter trips could well improve for switch from tapeta maybe a tiny saver at 8/1 and peters pudding very exposed but run ok in this grade befo re over 7fs maybe worth some forecasts with others mentioned.
Shouldv'e won by half the track at least it drifted to a decent price,books paying 4 places bet it ew and got 1.8 a place so can't grumble with place side of things as i said in write up was the main objective,frustrating to watxch as looked different gravy to that lot wins another 50 yards..
12.50
Barossa red 6/5 skybet/365 placed 2/1 Harrington 10/30 365 11/4 sportsbook/ppower generallywon
Barossa red run in a sales race last run of the season finishing tenth of staying on tenth of twenty already horse directly behind it big baby bull has won a handicap on next run off 82 so ,has only had three runs that being last run so could still be far better than mark.Question marks are lay off 143 days,plus sire stats tamayuz only 10% on surface but the obvious one to beat...
Definitely look to be races won with the prescott filly Eve harrington she was fourth over c/d on debut,the time was decent compared well to the class 4 on the card,she looked to be travelling best coming into straight but didn't find as much as looked likely and luke morris never picked up the whip,beaten just over 4ls but only 1 1/2ls behind zip,that one followed up in the week winning a class three at newcastle she could well be an 80+ horse as well.She cost 200,000 and the sire has only had five runners on the aw three have won and related to congrats useful sire in US..could wel fight ut finish presuming prescott isn;'t going to get this handicapped..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!What an ew bet that was,cracking bet to bnothing thought lukey boy was going to have the fuirst two wuinners,great result books a long wat out as i said in that formline looked at least 80 plus horse,thats the beauty of aw racing had a reverse just incase it came the other way round,but backed barossa to [place as well at 1.35..can't be bad.thats what you call smashing the market up was amazed the descrepancy in prices last night couldn't be out of the two...exacta 4.30 can't complain with that.
3.0
Dollar value 4/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/totesport/betfred/unibetplaced,baced it in 4 place market as well Bold spirit 25/1 365 28/1 ruined the pruces on this 5th finished full of running ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred/skybet/lads
Dollar value has already won a 0-75 this season at chelmsford off 62 made its debut over 6fs at swell last time out finishing second in a 0-75 drops into a 0-65 if it stays the 7fs at this track then the obvious place chance in the race from decent draw off just 65..Ridiculously competitve as horses like dreamount that head the weughts,only had twelve runs julie camacho very rarely out of form and dreamount like dollar value has been placed in 0-75s has come down in weights tio just 65 first run here last time out was in a 0-75 beaten 7ls behind robero over c/d from poor draw racing prominent no reason couldn't run well in this race maybe worth a small saver at 12/1 with drop into weak race..
Others like queens royale was running well in this class last season has won three times over this c/d last win was off 68 tomorrow off 62 so obvious place chance so for forecasts,then the other main pick bold spirit.
Bold spirit on last years form would be a huge price races off just 60 tomorrow but claimer takes off another 7 cian macredmond,he rides in ireland and has won 3/13 yet zak wheatley the claimer thars recentky been riding bold spirut declan carroll has decided to out him on bea machine zak wheatley yet to have a winner and hasn't looked like riding one either,one place from 18 rudes,so interesting jock bookings..
Last season bold spirt was just tiuched off by queen royale thats pruced at 6/1 tomorrow but bold spirit 7 pound better off for a nk,so easy to see how well in bold spirut is,ran ok with callum shepherd riding on seasonal debut off 65 when beaten 7ls behind angel palanas over c/d so at these pruces in this grade if stable have him right you;'d expect it to be heavily gambled from the 6 draw...I did say penultimate run would be following and will be following till it wins off these marks,can actuially drop in grade next time out and this is a very hard race but pruces are big with hopefully better jock.
Only horses i have done in multis are the ones priced above the races obviously as stated,4 trixies..and tiny singles 1/4 stakes as stated maybe forecasts if prices allow similarly tricasts prices contracting on most so may not be worth doing by the off anyway ..
Three places in two trixies and bold spirit was 5th finished full of running,prices will be ruioned next time out..thats two today that looked best horses in the race money back on trixies two ews placed a winner and a forecas three place bets on the obvious picks had decent day as i saod in wrute up was great day for stealing money in place markets that was the objective,a pity bold spirit hadn't got in the frame could see it going well...These are the sort of cards i like if the racings dire at least you can win in place markets etc plus book paying 4 places makes nice thieving bets..