Some small interests and multiples,dire cards again fior bettibg on just 1/4 stakes for me 8 runner races will probably be 7 etc,etc..
Wolves 6.10
Foxy forever 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 18/1 marathonbet
Would be a bit of a surprise if foxy forever could win an aw handicap for horses rated upto 0-105 and hasn't won since october 2017 off 87,still off 86 tomorrow was unlucky not to win here in december and 2nd to doctor sardonicus off this mark in December in this grade in that ones 4/1 tomorrow has a 4 pound turnaround for 1 1/4ls..Unlikely winner but has some sort of ew chances,although will have to beat some decent horses still to hit the frame,doctor sardonicus,orvar and improving shamshon.All of those three look better so maybe only 4th best in but small bet at prices.
7.10
War tiger 7/4 365 13/8 betfair.
Showed big improvement last time out over c/d was only third run won easily in a decent time for ease of win 1m58.51 doig all the work from the front i can't weigh the other runners up so will have a small bet on this one as open to improvement and its mark looks ok looking strictly at the time..
Southwell 2.10
Cash n carrie 20/1 sportsbook/ppower 14/1 corals/lads
An impossible looking handicap 3yr olds with weught concessions against older horses with poor profiles,appleby has one in the race thats only started racing since november as a 5yr old,didn't show anything till fourth run when trying to make all at wolves over 1m 1 1/2fs was only 9th of 11 but at least showed some sort of ability in a 0-70..Next time out at wolves over same c/d was 3rd of 7 in a 0-75 beaten 4ls running on with first time pieces looked improved form in race seemed to have no chance off just 55,has run again since over further 1m3fs at kempton beaten easily.
Tomorrow runs on completely different surface over a mile,sire casamento hasn't had many runners at track but a couple of winners,runs off just
51 in a 0-55,may simply not like the surface but its easier than penultimate run and got pieces on again,if applebys galloped it on the track and knows it likes the surface then you'd expect it to be heavily backed at these prices,if not then will have to wait for return to wolvs.
Baron run the 9yr old has the best track form ran in a 0-70 last time out finisdhed 3rd,but there's a question mark over the trip but best recent form just looks ridiculously competitve,i expect the appleby horse will either be smashed off the boards or drift like a barge and back to wolves,a speculative pick.
I'd expect it to be around 6-7/1 if stable think surface will suit tops off this mark..
Hope someone had a saver got 20/1 was 8/1 last night,the besr track form won how it drifted to those crazy prices i don't know don't mind backing best track form in race even if ? over trip at those prices,glad i put it in write up amazing amount of time the other one wins,althiugh think the appleby horse got cut up.
Chelmsford 7.55
White coat 5/4 365 Knife edge 10/30 bigger on betfair,big drift..
Both these runners have decent form at wolves in respectable times,hard to pick between the pair of them as only two runs a piece both open to loads of improvement ..
Appleby horse doubled in price from 11/1 to 22s on betfair in 45 mins,think we can safely assume we won't see this within 20ls today..all drifters today again not too surprised just dire these aw cards been the same for weeks..
he loves this slow surface and 90% o0f horses hate it when itb gets desperate,i put him up when he lasy won and did exactly the same thing on the same surface when it was desperate,i knew it had won straight after the break,ben sandersons absolutelt flying as well i was just keeping finhgers crossed that tyhe temops had dropped and track was really slow..Been waiting for him all sesson to come back whyen irs been really deep worked put perfect...:lol:
