Daily picks.

Some small interests and multiples,dire cards again fior bettibg on just 1/4 stakes for me 8 runner races will probably be 7 etc,etc..

Wolves 6.10

Foxy forever 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 18/1 marathonbet

Would be a bit of a surprise if foxy forever could win an aw handicap for horses rated upto 0-105 and hasn't won since october 2017 off 87,still off 86 tomorrow was unlucky not to win here in december and 2nd to doctor sardonicus off this mark in December in this grade in that ones 4/1 tomorrow has a 4 pound turnaround for 1 1/4ls..Unlikely winner but has some sort of ew chances,although will have to beat some decent horses still to hit the frame,doctor sardonicus,orvar and improving shamshon.All of those three look better so maybe only 4th best in but small bet at prices.


7.10

War tiger 7/4 365 13/8 betfair.

Showed big improvement last time out over c/d was only third run won easily in a decent time for ease of win 1m58.51 doig all the work from the front i can't weigh the other runners up so will have a small bet on this one as open to improvement and its mark looks ok looking strictly at the time..

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Southwell 2.10

Cash n carrie 20/1 sportsbook/ppower 14/1 corals/lads

An impossible looking handicap 3yr olds with weught concessions against older horses with poor profiles,appleby has one in the race thats only started racing since november as a 5yr old,didn't show anything till fourth run when trying to make all at wolves over 1m 1 1/2fs was only 9th of 11 but at least showed some sort of ability in a 0-70..Next time out at wolves over same c/d was 3rd of 7 in a 0-75 beaten 4ls running on with first time pieces looked improved form in race seemed to have no chance off just 55,has run again since over further 1m3fs at kempton beaten easily.
Tomorrow runs on completely different surface over a mile,sire casamento hasn't had many runners at track but a couple of winners,runs off just
51 in a 0-55,may simply not like the surface but its easier than penultimate run and got pieces on again,if applebys galloped it on the track and knows it likes the surface then you'd expect it to be heavily backed at these prices,if not then will have to wait for return to wolvs.
Baron run the 9yr old has the best track form ran in a 0-70 last time out finisdhed 3rd,but there's a question mark over the trip but best recent form just looks ridiculously competitve,i expect the appleby horse will either be smashed off the boards or drift like a barge and back to wolves,a speculative pick.
I'd expect it to be around 6-7/1 if stable think surface will suit tops off this mark..

Took 20/1 on the others mentioned in write uo,the best form won the race and trip made no difference strange bettung was 8/1 last night..hope someone had a saver.


Chelmsford 7.55

White coat 5/4 365 Knife edge 10/30 bigger on betfair,big drift..

Both these runners have decent form at wolves in respectable times,hard to pick between the pair of them as only two runs a piece both open to loads of improvement ..

Appleby horse doubled in price from 11/1 to 22s on betfair in 45 mins,think we can safely assume we won't see this within 20ls today..all drifters today again not too surprised just dire these aw cards been the same for weeks..
 
Some small interests and multiples,dire cards again fior bettibg on just 1/4 stakes for me 8 runner races will probably be 7 etc,etc..

Wolves 6.10

Foxy forever 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 18/1 marathonbet

Would be a bit of a surprise if foxy forever could win an aw handicap for horses rated upto 0-105 and hasn't won since october 2017 off 87,still off 86 tomorrow was unlucky not to win here in december and 2nd to doctor sardonicus off this mark in December in this grade in that ones 4/1 tomorrow has a 4 pound turnaround for 1 1/4ls..Unlikely winner but has some sort of ew chances,although will have to beat some decent horses still to hit the frame,doctor sardonicus,orvar and improving shamshon.All of those three look better so maybe only 4th best in but small bet at prices.


7.10

War tiger 7/4 365 13/8 betfair.

Showed big improvement last time out over c/d was only third run won easily in a decent time for ease of win 1m58.51 doig all the work from the front i can't weigh the other runners up so will have a small bet on this one as open to improvement and its mark looks ok looking strictly at the time..

Southwell 2.10

Cash n carrie 20/1 sportsbook/ppower 14/1 corals/lads

An impossible looking handicap 3yr olds with weught concessions against older horses with poor profiles,appleby has one in the race thats only started racing since november as a 5yr old,didn't show anything till fourth run when trying to make all at wolves over 1m 1 1/2fs was only 9th of 11 but at least showed some sort of ability in a 0-70..Next time out at wolves over same c/d was 3rd of 7 in a 0-75 beaten 4ls running on with first time pieces looked improved form in race seemed to have no chance off just 55,has run again since over further 1m3fs at kempton beaten easily.
Tomorrow runs on completely different surface over a mile,sire casamento hasn't had many runners at track but a couple of winners,runs off just
51 in a 0-55,may simply not like the surface but its easier than penultimate run and got pieces on again,if applebys galloped it on the track and knows it likes the surface then you'd expect it to be heavily backed at these prices,if not then will have to wait for return to wolvs.
Baron run the 9yr old has the best track form ran in a 0-70 last time out finisdhed 3rd,but there's a question mark over the trip but best recent form just looks ridiculously competitve,i expect the appleby horse will either be smashed off the boards or drift like a barge and back to wolves,a speculative pick.
I'd expect it to be around 6-7/1 if stable think surface will suit tops off this mark..

Took 20/1 on the others mentioned in write uo,the best form won the race and trip made no difference strange bettung was 8/1 last night..hope someone had a saver.


Chelmsford 7.55

White coat 5/4 365 Knife edge 10/30 bigger on betfair,big drift..

Both these runners have decent form at wolves in respectable times,hard to pick between the pair of them as only two runs a piece both open to loads of improvement ..

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Appleby horse doubled in price from 11/1 to 22s on betfair in 45 mins,think we can safely assume we won't see this within 20ls today..all drifters today again not too surprised just dire these aw cards been the same for weeks..
 
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Nice forecast paid me a bit over 5-1. You’d be flying if you just layed all of Ryan Moore’s rides. He has been shocking the past few years.
 
Nice forecast paid me a bit over 5-1. You’d be flying if you just layed all of Ryan Moore’s rides. He has been shocking the past few years.

Massive price difference betwwen the pair purely because he was riding when you think i put up tiger owl earlier and this one had finished behind it in a decent time and the one earlier hacked up,4/1 in a two horse race mad prices..Exacta 6.50 fiorecast 5.43 absolutely cracking race to bet in,ended a veru good day..
 
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Some small bets again on another poor cards 1/4 syakes for me.

Wolves 5.55

A sure welcome 9/1 365/sportsbook/skybet/betway 17/2 betfred/totesport

A regular at track and c/d winner,looks a little exposed now but usually runs its race was 3rd to acclaim the nation and joegogo over c/d in a 0-80
on 29th of jan going off 7/2,so has an ew chance in this 0-75 although is a very competitve race.The negative could be the draw drawn in carpark in 11,the pace will be cut out by it's all a joke won a 0-80 last time out has finished behind a sure welcome earlier in the season over this c/d but tomorrow has the 2 draw..A sure welcome will need something to take it on to show it's best so just a small bet as not totally guarantteed to happen,probably need warriors valley to take it on another pace setter,maybe some forecsasts the three..

6.25

With caution 4/5 generally 5/6 betfair/hills/victor

With caution only beat a 64 rated runner on debut at lingfield so form doesn't look great,time was fairly decent for first ever run 1m11.70 with normal improvement you'd expect that time to dip well into the 1m.10s,that is the best form on the clock shown so far but there are others lighty raced as well..Betting will be interesting as regards the others,if nothings bet against this i wpuldn't be surprised to see it going off 2s on maybe shorter,so option of free bet if nothing else or decent trade.Confidence is slightly dampened by channon horse drawn 1 and with caution has the car park draw in 8,especially if that one comes on for debut run,but purely based on debut run on clock best so far.
 
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Wolves 6.0

Nezar 16/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 14/1 unibet/marathonbet/

Nezars an unreliable type but not impossiblr could run well in this race,although doesn't win too often only 5/52 is a pound above last winning mark which ws over this c/d march 2018 going off 9/4 favourite in this grade off 74 off 75 tomorrow.Not shown much since although ran respectable penultimate run when 3rd to diocles of rome off 76,invariably comes from off the pace and needs a decent gallop to aim at not guaranteed again tomorrow and again drawn wide..Just a small bet at prices,if the go quick could be finishing welll if not then will probably be nearer last than first,hasn't been backed in recent times probably because of running style so might be worth watching..

22/1 ppower/unibet bigger on betfair am not really surprised was only speculatuve anyway.
 
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Some small bets again on another poor cards 1/4 syakes for me.

Wolves 5.55

A sure welcome 9/1 365/sportsbook/skybet/betway 17/2 betfred/totesport

A regular at track and c/d winner,looks a little exposed now but usually runs its race was 3rd to acclaim the nation and joegogo over c/d in a 0-80
on 29th of jan going off 7/2,so has an ew chance in this 0-75 although is a very competitve race.The negative could be the draw drawn in carpark in 11,the pace will be cut out by it's all a joke won a 0-80 last time out has finished behind a sure welcome earlier in the season over this c/d but tomorrow has the 2 draw..A sure welcome will need something to take it on to show it's best so just a small bet as not totally guarantteed to happen,probably need warriors valley to take it on another pace setter,maybe some forecsasts the three..

6.25

With caution 4/5 generally 5/6 betfair/hills/victor

With caution only beat a 64 rated runner on debut at lingfield so form doesn't look great,time was fairly decent for first ever run 1m11.70 with normal improvement you'd expect that time to dip well into the 1m.10s,that is the best form on the clock shown so far but there are others lighty raced as well..Betting will be interesting as regards the others,if nothings bet against this i wpuldn't be surprised to see it going off 2s on maybe shorter,so option of free bet if nothing else or decent trade.Confidence is slightly dampened by channon horse drawn 1 and with caution has the car park draw in 8,especially if that one comes on for debut run,but purely based on debut run on clock best so far.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Skip filled:ninja:,another one robbed earlier cantering over the field,a gutter as did an ew double as well desperate stuff the earlier one...looked unbeatable on that last run the tate horse had a bit on forecast as well and exacta £3.70 forecast£ 3.08,picks are running well but takes a week to find some value and get no luck again..
 
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Nice ew double lad :) shame about a sure welcome getting hampered. Luke Morris is another jock who has gone the way of Ryan Moore used to be the king of the all weather. Also nice forecast :)
 
Nice ew double lad :) shame about a sure welcome getting hampered. Luke Morris is another jock who has gone the way of Ryan Moore used to be the king of the all weather. Also nice forecast :)

Backed it again at 1.9 a few times,so frustrating with such few bets to do then you get no luck certainly hasn't equalled out this last few months,another decent month anyway but the cards are truely pathetic..
 
Wolves 6.0

Nezar 16/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 14/1 unibet/marathonbet/

Nezars an unreliable type but not impossiblr could run well in this race,although doesn't win too often only 5/52 is a pound above last winning mark which ws over this c/d march 2018 going off 9/4 favourite in this grade off 74 off 75 tomorrow.Not shown much since although ran respectable penultimate run when 3rd to diocles of rome off 76,invariably comes from off the pace and needs a decent gallop to aim at not guaranteed again tomorrow and again drawn wide..Just a small bet at prices,if the go quick could be finishing welll if not then will probably be nearer last than first,hasn't been backed in recent times probably because of running style so might be worth watching..

22/1 ppower/unibet bigger on betfair am not really surprised was only speculatuve anyway.

Four places will settke for that ashame went off so quick chasing suicidal pace,probably what i was expectong nice thiough got 22s and 25s with ppower and had a little on betfair 4 places,..:ninja: getting lovely consistency with picks placing on the few bets im' doing even thoigh there's hardly been much worth doing.Another good month in the bag..
 
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Newcastle 6.45

Primo's comet 10/1 365..

Primo's comet has hardly run a bad race, especially last four runs running on strongly last twice in two 0-85s eyecatcher both times from poor positions,there looks more races to be won with the horse on the aw 18 runs and 3 wins and still only a 4yr old..He doesn't look as though can beat favourite fendale,that won the race primo's comet was 3rd in penultimate run and no turnaround in weights,fendale was very impressive but at prices looks worth a small bet against the favourite ,looks as good as most of the others in race..
 
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Lingfield 2.0

Lacan 14/1 365/sportsbook/ppower

Lacan would've been 5/1 maybe 6/1 on most of its form but hasn't shown much on last couple of runs and has to come off a break of 100 days,6/31 on the aw and is really a chelmsford/kempton specialist before last run at chelmsford had been 5th four times on the bounce but close up in all races
furthest beaten was 2 3/4ls all class 4s..Has run at lingfield before and not even been placed so may just be out for run,or just giving it one chance at the track,tomorrow drops into a class 5 hasn't run in one of these since november 2017 when it won..Runs of 76 tomorrow last win was off 82 march 2018,has a bit to prove now on different track and lay off,is a decent price on the other track form but maybe lingfield won't suit..the one positive could be that callum shepherd rides and he hasn''t rode it last three runs and thrre previous wins he's been on..A speculatuve pick in a competitve race,one i will follow now of winning marks at chelmsford and kempton.

Not a bean for it,looks like out for run keep it in notebooks for kempton/chelmsford..incase i'm not about.


Do me a favour another one done on the line for the place,at first i thought it had got 4th mustv;e got beat a nose right on the line ran ok after sych a long lay off,,still getting no luck in these finishes a place was best i was hoping really,think if he'd seen the one on the outside wouldv'e definytely got 4th thought he'd got dh at worst...
 
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Newcastle 6.45

Primo's comet 10/1 365..

Primo's comet has hardly run a bad race, especially last four runs running on strongly last twice in two 0-85s eyecatcher both times from poor positions,there looks more races to be won with the horse on the aw 18 runs and 3 wins and still only a 4yr old..He doesn't look as though can beat favourite fendale,that won the race primo's comet was 3rd in penultimate run and no turnaround in weights,fendale was very impressive but at prices looks worth a small bet against the favourite ,looks as good as most of the others in race..

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Exacta 17.80 forecast 12.84 turned into a monster month,very few dead vbets even if they havn't won..

Nice month 20bets 6 winners 7 places and 4 forecasts an ROI of 192% plus the swell race the otherday where i had saver on 20/1 shot havn't added in figures was highlighted in write up as best form in race and a couple backed it thats why the write ups are there,been bored to tears in all honesty racings been dire so being selective and still winning trying to find value has been a drag even though its paid off
 
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Wolves 7.30

Thorntoun lady 11/1 365 9/1 ppowr/sportsbook/skybet/lads/victor/corals/ 8/1 boyles

Thorntoun lady 9yr old only won 3/48 so very rarely wins and a very low grade race put her up a couple of races back at newcastle when she came 3rd,she may never win another race but her form looks slightly better here than newcastke,it might be she needs better races to show her best but will have a small bet on her,she's never run in a grade as low as this before a 0-52..Thik you could make a case for nearly every runner in this race,her last two runs here have been a 5th over this c/d off 56 in a 0-75 finishing well ad another staying on 5th in a 0-65 over 6fs here off 55,on those runs this is a big drop in class but she raely backs these runs up plus she has the 1 draw tomorrow always gets left and needs a fast pace so will need luck in running..If she's ever going to win it will be here over this c/d..but could only be a tentative pick in low grade race


6.30

Flood defence 4/1 365/skybet/betway Dream magic 10/1 sportsbook 9/1 365 8/1 corals/betway/betfred/sportsbook

Flood defeknce has looked unlucky a couple of times although a tricky ride,not getting a clear run the last two c/d runs here i think it maybe the lack of psce as thre races back tried to make the running didn't really suit,guaranteed pace tomorrow with dream magic and tetradachm both of which look to have decent chances as well if pace holds up..flood defence might be able to show its best tomorrow.
Dream magic was 2nd in a claimer over c/d last time out probablt not a very good race although time was pretty good 2m36.10 last season won a 0-70 claimer by 10ls and was second off 75 over c/d at least has now shown maybe worth following for a few races as only off 62...so is well handicapped..Has clocked some good times here in the past but tetradachm will probably take it on as well that won by 7ls over c/d as well penultimate run so maybe some forecasts and hope the pace holds up enough for all three to be involved..
If prices hold up just purely based on the times i can see Hugh taylor or Andy holding putting Dream magic up on the time clocked last time out even both of them..could well turn into a decent trade or even in running..

Might do a placepot but must admit the races look like minefields so maybe too many bets.
 
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AW 3yr old final

Red impression 9/4 lads

Red impression on only second ever run breaking the 2yr old track record at lingfield 1m9.76 a decent time for any age group, but won with ease you could probably shave another half a second off that time with ease of win and that would not put him too far behind the older horses contesting on finals day Kachy etc...I was waiting too see it priced up as originally i liked the first three in betting mubakker,concierge and san donato all having won easily on the aw in decent times,they may well be as good as red impression yet but can only go on what's been done so far and you have to presume red impressions going to improve.Any sort of improvement this makes this a top class aw horse,done it on the clock and the track so although 9/4 looks short with finals day long way off,it's going to take something very good to beat it,maybe worth keeping an eyeout for bigger prices yet only a couple of books up you may see 3/1 in the next week,thats what i was hoping to see ...Thats four ante post bets for finals day,as mentioned previously it's obviously a risk wether they run or not,but if they look the best horses on the clock then you have to do them..

11/4 ppower/sportsbook
 
Kempton 5.30

Woggle 16/1 sportsbook/ppower

Two favs look like improvers so probablt only playing for two places and woggle is a 12 race maiden with just three places,form has shown a little progrssion on kempton runs was 3rd in a 0-55 over 7fs in november then again ran in a c/d maiden which looked slightly better with the 2nd now rated 64 mochalov.Came back to run over c/d again in a 0-55 was badly snatched up after a furlong unlucky loser that was off 50,went to wolves track may not have suited got hampered a couple of times as well,there looks to be a little race somewhere although unlikely tomorrow with two favs
progressing does look a hard ride but would have an ew chance even if only playing for probable two places..Also drops into a 0-50 but thats a bit misleading with two favs,ideally could do with one of the favs not running,shyarch 20/1 could run well as well keeps looking unlucky in running but again probably more the horse than anythung else but has place chances.

Another dire card and only 2 and 3 horse races at lingfield complete farce.

16/1 totesport/betfred/lads/skybet/corals..
 
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Wolves 7.30

Thorntoun lady 11/1 365 9/1 ppowr/sportsbook/skybet/lads/victor/corals/ 8/1 boyles

Thorntoun lady 9yr old only won 3/48 so very rarely wins and a very low grade race put her up a couple of races back at newcastle when she came 3rd,she may never win another race but her form looks slightly better here than newcastke,it might be she needs better races to show her best but will have a small bet on her,she's never run in a grade as low as this before a 0-52..Thik you could make a case for nearly every runner in this race,her last two runs here have been a 5th over this c/d off 56 in a 0-75 finishing well ad another staying on 5th in a 0-65 over 6fs here off 55,on those runs this is a big drop in class but she raely backs these runs up plus she has the 1 draw tomorrow always gets left and needs a fast pace so will need luck in running..If she's ever going to win it will be here over this c/d..but could only be a tentative pick in low grade race


6.30

Flood defence 4/1 365/skybet/betway Dream magic 10/1 sportsbook 9/1 365 8/1 corals/betway/betfred/sportsbook

Flood defeknce has looked unlucky a couple of times although a tricky ride,not getting a clear run the last two c/d runs here i think it maybe the lack of psce as thre races back tried to make the running didn't really suit,guaranteed pace tomorrow with dream magic and tetradachm both of which look to have decent chances as well if pace holds up..flood defence might be able to show its best tomorrow.
Dream magic was 2nd in a claimer over c/d last time out probablt not a very good race although time was pretty good 2m36.10 last season won a 0-70 claimer by 10ls and was second off 75 over c/d at least has now shown maybe worth following for a few races as only off 62...so is well handicapped..Has clocked some good times here in the past but tetradachm will probably take it on as well that won by 7ls over c/d as well penultimate run so maybe some forecasts and hope the pace holds up enough for all three to be involved..
If prices hold up just purely based on the times i can see Hugh taylor or Andy holding putting Dream magic up on the time clocked last time out even both of them..could well turn into a decent trade or even in running..

Might do a placepot but must admit the races look like minefields so maybe too many bets.

Two 4ths dream magic paid with sportsbook and ppower and got 9/1 with boyles 4 places so tiny loss on the day,don't know what jock was doing on dream magic they crawled round and had best speedfigure just turned into a sprint was expecting a relentless gallop.....Thorntoun lady got cut up by winner had ni cjance was nearest finish again..i said in write uop that might happen from the 1 draw
 
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