Daily picks.

gigilo said:
Some speculative stuff lots of favs heading markets that look unexposed or improving,need them to be flattered for these to figure but at least they have been priced up on those horses,they have ew squeak,will be minimum 1/4 stakes for me..multiples and singles..am not expecting any miracles on these thought i'd just try a few bogger priced ones today.Likelyhood is will be a favs day as strong looking favs.




Wolves 7.45

Ubla 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 11/1 victor Final attack 20/1 ppower/sportsbook 18/1 victor

Ubla and final attack both thoroughly exposed and probably only playing for a place but this is only a 0-55,ublas running off 55 with 7 pound claimer sean kirrane no winners here but has rode three winners in ireland although not best 7 pound claimer around.Ubla was rated 68 in october 2018 and form has been on downward spiral,also has never won over a trip this far probably stays and has run ok last two runs 4th in a 0-60 at lingfield over a mile and last time out a race probably weaker than this staying on 5th in a 0-55,only runs off 48 tomorrow i'd be surprised if it won but could run well has an ew chance.
Final attack hovers around these low 50 marks runs a similar race mostly on a track it likes,last eight runs here has been in first three six times and won off 50 probably needs a decent pace to aim at,last run over c/d was 7/1 and 2nd to my maneniko that was a 0-60 tomorrow back into a 0-55...There are far more obvious winners but again on place side this looks like it should be nearer to 10/1 tops even if it may only finish 4th or 5th looks a decent trade to me likely to be nearer 10/1 or shorter by the off..Favourite seaforth looks the obvious pick with so many unexposed runners

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5.45

Indian affair 28/1 ppower/sportsbook 22/1 victor/boyles Thorntoun lady 28/1 victor 40/1 boyles generally 33/1 boyles and generally..

Front three in betting Mercury had it marked off prices went 7/1 now favourite for Adrian mcguiness looks likeliest winner the improver atyaaf and daring guest been running well especially last time out with first time TB it wouldn't surprise me if they finished 1,2,3 so just a couple of speculative bets on two veterans.Indian affair has been running respectable won over this c/d on january 30th beating dodgy bob thats 8/1 in same race tomorrow and indian affairs better in,ran respectable race after gettiing behind in a 0-60 last time out staying on 5th and is now back in a 0-55 off same winning mark..Am not sure why the visors on,has been a long time since run in it and has never won with it but only three runs and david probert rides again strange jock booking as he has rode it four times but the last time was april 2016 when second,if front three all run to their best then will struggle and drawn poorly in 9 if a couple of them don't run to best then he looks overpriced and may run into a place.
Thorntoun lady is even older and have done her before here,shes only won three races from 49 runs so an unlikely winner,i did her last time out she was fourth and looked like she was going to win was hampered,that was over 7fs which looks her best trip so the 6fs is a negatve but has her best form here and was 5th in a 0-65 back in january over c/d...There looks loads of pace in the race and that will be the only way she could figure,unlikey winner but could run ok wouldn't surprise me if they both just finished out of the frame so hopefully lots will take each other on..fav with kirby does look very obvios but missed prices.

6.15

Top breeze 5/4 365

Top breeze has run twice won and a second,the debut run looked like a decent handicapper couldv'e rated it near 90 on debut run but then flopped at chelmsford if its back to its debut form then would take a lot of beating,may even be one to follow..

7.15

Bobby joe leg 8/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor

Bobby joe leg has lots of decent placed form has won off 70 over 6fs at wolves,and back in november was second off 67 over this c/d in a 0-70 winner zafaranah won again next time out and os now rated 77,last four runs he's been 5/3/2/2 decent ew chance if running to best althiugh looks hard to win with.Off lowest ever mark of 65...





Lingfield 3.0

Evening attire 25/1 hills/victor

Evening attires been disappointing for a while now and on recent runs not much to go on,was tailed off last time out at chelmsford over a mile
i have put the horse up a couple of times mainly because of the 2nd to salute the soldier back in october off 73 in a 0-80,a better race than tomorrows but after that never ran at that level again.Did run over this c.d back in january when sixth of twelve to kodiline staying on after playing up in stalls,running on well a fifth in a 0-85 at chelmsford was ok although beaten 6ls but lsst time out was very poor...An 8yr old has bit to prove now but at least in right grade and a respectable draw,maybe horse has lost interest as the run behnd salute the soldier was gooid enough to be front of market in this race yet only runs off 66 tomorrow lifetime lowest mark.
First link looks the obvious oone,only picked up poor races this season but has looked an improver with racing,still could be more to come..evening attire may be up with the pace so maybe able to get stake back in running,very speculatuve in what is a redhot 0-75..

Ran a cracker she just went off to quick and got done for 4th on the line very unlucky,traded 3.3 in running so nice in running and had a saver on first link at 6s as said in write up looks big improver ,can't believe it drfted to that price was 5/2 last night,nice race to bet if she had ridden with more restraint she couldv're gone close in that.Kicking mysrlf never put it in the multiples now big drift.
4.30

Vin d'honneur 9/1 victor/skybet 17/2 8/1 generallyBonneville 18/1 ppower/sportsbook

Vin d'honneur and bonneville both contested a 1m4f race here two runs ago and vin d/honneur ran on well at finish there were 3ls seperating them bonneville travelled as well as vin d'honneur till the 2furlong pole and has a couple of pound turnaround,they have both run disaappointingly since so hard to be confident and lots of unexposed runners in here from decent stables..Forgive them their last runs and from running in a 0-65 into a 0-55 then would have ew chances,although i'd be surprised if not some better horses in here in handicap debuts from bigger stables..
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Great picking today Andy, good to see you back in form, very well done, just thought you might have added Grey Destiny when your pick a NR.
 
Simpson Jersey said:
Great picking today Andy, good to see you back in form, very well done, just thought you might have added Grey Destiny when your pick a NR.[/QUOTE


Never even looked at the race after stew wish i had as on times of what was left was quickest,i miseed another 2/3 winners as well when thefirst one didn't get in the frame thought it was going to be one of those days again nabbed on the line never looked like eing unplaced..First time in months where things havve looked huge on the place sode,ublas came out of first links race so that stood out a mile in a 0-55 and final attack was never going to go off bigger than 7/1...
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Nonannyimfine said:
Go on the ubla! 14/1 nice one. Shame about final attack getting detached. Finished full of running!
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Was always going to happen it looked banker for 4th at worst with 3 books going 4 places looked monster bet even 10/1 was fine...great trade as write up as well had wo a few hundred on it before it even run..
 
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The multiples were all winners as well did ew lucky 63s almost £800 profit each on the two with 3 winners plus £100 on the next best two and £50 profit on the other four,not a bad days work RELENTLESSjust when it looked like a poor month...no chance.:whistle: although in all honesty the racings been absolutely diabolical this aw season...

Not a bad day 14/1,9/1 and 5/4 winners two places 20/1 and 18/1 csf £78 exacta £93 plus multiples probably returned around 8/1 in tital as well can't do much better than that...
 
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Don't know whats going on with books very few books up and 7pm useless,have been waiting since 3pm hills actualy had some races priced up at 8.30 thid morning just a token bet for me on this one think you may have to waut for a slightly easier race but hinted at maybe coming back to form last time out..Musselburughs on,but no prices up and have just checked the going and it says going stick unreliable ffs some sort of joke...

Wolves 8/0


Fire diamond 10/1 365 8s betfair 11s betfair

Fire diamond hasn't shown anything in recent times,last time out was a glimmer that it could be coming back to form was beaten 4ls over 7fs at wolves got outpaced gradually as the race went on was 10ls behind at one point but at the end of the race ran on again first real signs of coming back to form.Tomorrow runs off 67 and with a 3 pound claim so down to 64,so 6 pound lower than last run and steps up to the mile,hasn't won since this time last year when winning off 75 so on lowest mark since october 2017.This looks a red hot race for a 0-70 any run of the mill 0-70 this might've looked a far better bet so might be one to follow for awhile,horses like international law and decoration of war were 1st and 4th in a 0-80 over tomorrows c/d just 28 days ago,they have the best recent form and favourite lightly raced won easily at kempton.. plus the consiatent dark alliance...

10/1 Betway

Another great month march turned arounf in one day three winners and a big forecast,took the ROI again for month to over 100 was 108% didn't do many bets racing was dire just hoping kit gets better as once the summer night racing starts this year i doubt i will be doing much.
 
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gigilo said:
Don't know whats going on with books very few books up and 7pm useless,have been waiting since 3pm hills actualy had some races priced up at 8.30 thid morning just a token bet for me on this one think you may have to waut for a slightly easier race but hinted at maybe coming back to form last time out..Musselburughs on,but no prices up and have just checked the going and it says going stick unreliable ffs some sort of joke...

Wolves 8/0


Fire diamond 10/1 365

Fire diamond hasn't shown anything in recent times,last time out was a glimmer that it could be coming back to form was beaten 4ls over 7fs at wolves got outpaced gradually as the race went on was 10ls behind at one point but at the end of the race ran on again first real signs of coming back to form.Tomorrow runs off 67 and with a 3 pound claim so down to 64,so 6 pound lower than last run and steps up to the mile,hasn't won since this time last year when winning off 75 so on lowest mark since october 2017.This looks a red hot race for a 0-70 any run of the mill 0-70 this might've looked a far better bet so might be one to follow for awhile,horses like international law and decoration of war were 1st and 4th in a 0-80 over tomorrows c/d just 28 days ago,they have the best recent form and favourite lightly raced won easily at kempton.. plus the consiatent dark alliance...

10/1 Betway
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6s bet365 ?

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Southwell 5.25

Luath 14/1 hills 16/1 365/blacktype/sportpesa/skybet/ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred/betway/lads/marathnbet/boyles/888sport/boyles. twenty books goig 16/1 no money for it might get 20/1 iin the morning.

A speculative bet on luath 6yr old has only won two races both at swell off 61 and 57 hasn't won since april 2017 but runs the same sort of race round here last season was running in better class races probably on those runs wouldv'e been 4-5/1 tomorrow...This season came out in an amateur riders race fuinishing 3rd off 53 hadn'tt run for seven months that was the first div of a 0-55 and molten lava won the ssecond div on the same day at tomorrows weights if they ran to that exact for there would be little between them.The price differences are 14/1 and 4/1 although luath was poor last time out and molten lava has a great draw in 1 while luaths drawn 14,would still be overpriced in this grade though if running to that form..After seasonal debut still ran ok when 7th of 13 to bond angel in a 0-60 nothing wring with that run then last time out a strange ride missed the break but was dropped out 20ls had no chance was still beaten 14ls but the winner alpha tauri was different class and won by 3 1/2ls,
He might be able to figure in this 0-55 off lowest ever mark of 48 and if nothing else could be a cracking trade with all books going 16/1 could easily go off 10s so potential nice trade,maybe some forecasts with molten lava port soif..
One interesting runner lone voice out of poets voice a decent sire on this surface had no form but just two races back raced prominent in a 0-60 beaten into 5th by 3ls,that form with chance of improvement on surface might see it run well today dropped in class around 16/1 this morning,was bigger.maybbe add in forecasts enough bets on race.

Will be betting another in the race..

Port soif 5/2 hills/victor/365/ generally 11/4 sportsbook/ppower

Port soif had looked a slowboat even though had won at swell before off 52 in a similar race to this but has been beaten in this grade before and is a very short price tomorrow,moved to scott dixon for last run after being with dianne sayer for one run and was second last time out in a 0-65.
That run was massive improvement on any of its previous eight runs in a 0-65,had far better horses than tomorrows behind like bond angel,baron run rest of the field were well beaten has to back the run up and not from a stable that you like to be betting at short pruces but still an interesting runner on that last run off just 52 with theodore ladd taking off another 5 as well,at worst it could be heavily overbet and freebet decent trade even at current prices...Main negative could be the draw in 9 but travelled well last time out off a decent pace...could easily be a taylor/holding pick tomorrow

4/1 365/victor 7/2 lads/corals/sportsbook/ppower/totesport/betfred/
 
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gigilo said:
Don't know whats going on with books very few books up and 7pm useless,have been waiting since 3pm hills actualy had some races priced up at 8.30 thid morning just a token bet for me on this one think you may have to waut for a slightly easier race but hinted at maybe coming back to form last time out..Musselburughs on,but no prices up and have just checked the going and it says going stick unreliable ffs some sort of joke...

Wolves 8/0


Fire diamond 10/1 365 8s betfair 11s betfair

Fire diamond hasn't shown anything in recent times,last time out was a glimmer that it could be coming back to form was beaten 4ls over 7fs at wolves got outpaced gradually as the race went on was 10ls behind at one point but at the end of the race ran on again first real signs of coming back to form.Tomorrow runs off 67 and with a 3 pound claim so down to 64,so 6 pound lower than last run and steps up to the mile,hasn't won since this time last year when winning off 75 so on lowest mark since october 2017.This looks a red hot race for a 0-70 any run of the mill 0-70 this might've looked a far better bet so might be one to follow for awhile,horses like international law and decoration of war were 1st and 4th in a 0-80 over tomorrows c/d just 28 days ago,they have the best recent form and favourite lightly raced won easily at kempton.. plus the consiatent dark alliance...

10/1 Betway

Another great month march turned arounf in one day three winners and a big forecast,took the ROI again for month to over 100 was 108% didn't do many bets racing was dire just hoping kit gets better as once the summer night racing starts this year i doubt i will be doing much.
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Shouldv'e doytted up no pace in the race and only finisher nice place though got 3s a place and 2.2 for 4 places,ashame that any pace wouldv'e sluiced up and internationak law won the race i had a bet a 10/1 this afternoon as i said won a 0-80 last time it ran here and was almost a repeat of the way that race was run..They shouldv'e entered fire diamond in a weaker race with more pace,now cats out of the bag..
 
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Oddscjecker not working useless from what i can make out these prices are right by quickly looking at other sites..they could be bigger elsewhere but would need to look at every book..small stakes first on the turf they havn't run for a long time need to see other books..

Windsor 3.50

Essenaitch 9/1 ppower/sportsbook 17/2 betfred/totesport Camakasi 14/1 365/victor/hills/betway/betfred/totesport generally..

Essenaitch is a regulat at windsor last season races five times at the track was 3/2/2/5/5 off marks of 70,69,69,74 and 73 did win at chepstow off 70 has to come back off 129 day break and probably prefers slower ground it maybe too quick for it,unusually for windsor no watering so could be extremely quick,but in general essenaitcghes form has been in slightly better races of fit would have a decent ew chance running off 65.
Camakasi hasn't win for a long time,has only ever won 3/53 so poor strike rate probably wants a buit further and another off a long break,actually finished behind essenaitch over c.d last season in a 0-80 essenaitch second camakasi 4th 1 1/2ls behind with a pound turnaround,last season on turf was 4/4/3/3/2/7/2 very consistent and in slightky better races ended the season with a second to a jacbequick at ffos las in a 0-75 over 4 ls back to the third..If the horse is fit then another with decent ew chance was going off shorter prices in better races than this last season so betting should be indicator..especially first time in 0-70 on the turf for a couple of seasons.
Global style 12/1 has also run well here before and is fit thirteen race maiden but in september was fifth in a 0-75 over 1m3 1/2fs at this track off 72 off 67 tomorrow anoter obvious ew chance off this mark in a weajker race.


Redcar 5.30

Maghfoor 8/1 365


Maghfoors only won 1/14 and again off masive lay off 187 days,ran some decent races last season looks like it prefers gd/fm good ground unless there's rain then that looks like what it will be,last season was a decent third and second over thos trip of marks of 74 went off 3/1f in one of those races.Ran poorly after that althiugh took a rise in the weights and one run was on soft ground,has now come down to a mark of just 68,if fit then has a decent ew chance having never run in a 0-70 before,probably one to follow till it wins on decent ground.Maghfoor looked like it was going to run a big race over c/d back in september in a 0-80 but got stopped in run numerous times so the 10l beating no true reflection of that 5th place so has rack form as well/duke of yorkshire has won both times on lsst seasonal debut and has beaten maghfoor oer further last season at haydock,but went off 100/1 behind it in the redcar race,wouldn't be a shock if it run a decent race,maybe worth a saver around 10/1 ended the season in terrible form but that running fresh is a positive and off decent mark..with claimer taking the 7 off to just 57.


Obviously these are running for first time this season s minmum stakes.
 
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First turf bets of the season and already they are doing it,watering supposedly gd/fm but was nearer gd/sft at both meetings complete farce,just impossible to win unless youre guessing every race slow by 4-5 seconds was obvious after first races the ground was cutting up,but not even a mention of it selective watering apparently..It's been gd/fm all week these meetings and they turned it into near gd/sft pontes been watered tomorrow as well,am not touching this turf stuff when they water,in the end was glad magfhoor got placed as ground was totally against it traded odds on as well/..Am not betting on turf this season unless ground is definitely gd/fm or soft in going as it just becomes a guessing game..
 
Will try an ew multiple,again looked overwatered at ponte supposedly gd/fm small stakes with these meetings being watered..

Nottingham 4.40

Bo samraan 4/1 365/sportsbook/ppower 5/1 hills

De sousa rides the ralph beckett horse in the race while franny norton rides the johnston horse Bo saraam,lots of lightly raced horses most stepping up in trip although bo saraam ended last season running over this trip at newmarket.That race was a class 2 nursery was running off 76 and beaten only 2 1/2ls in fourth,still lightly raced out of sea the stars with 4 runs as long as its fit then should be about dropping into a 0-75 obvious place chance at the worst,betting will be interesting dropping into this grade and compared to other runners that havn't shown that level of form yet.If there's nothing expected to run well first time out then the johnston horse could easily halve in prices so that will probably point to its fitness.. could be a nice teade at worst..
She's apple three runs in slowly run races so a roger charlton horse getting in off 63 from top australian sire,could be the biggest danger wit the beckett horse..

Lingfield 2.20

helfire 11/2 9/2 sportsbook/ppower/corals/betwat/betfred/totesport 5/1 hills/victor

Helfire was rated 77 in 2018 still only 6 but has regressed this looks as good as he is now,started the aw season on 68 and now dropped to just 55 and running in its first ever 0-55 ,has been a little bit of an eyecatcher on a couple of runs but they were very poor races..Penultimate run looked to be cantering entering the straight,couldn't tell if horses didn't go through with run or did not have the turn of foot to win when 3rd to gainsay over c/d although that was a 0-70 so decent run,raced near the pace that day has been getting behind in recent times..Last time out missed break again on saturday,also got stopped in run would never have won anyway but ran ok in 6th may have challenged for third that was also a 0-70,am not totally convinced horse wants to win but as long as the pace is respectable has decent place chances at worst maybe tirn into a good trade wouldn't be titally surprised if it went off near eniough fav and overbet,Three C's the favourite and a horse i;ve been following clement look the obvious two maybe some forecasts...Typically clement came back to form last time out and with new trainer finishing second,so all the value has gone on it now could well win tomorrow but can't bet it at prices..


Kempton 5.10

Masaru 4/6 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower generally 4/5 betfair/unibet


A maiden and hannon runs masaru already sets a decent standard won by 4ls on debut in june 2018 seconds now rated 78 had previous experience although that runner has flopped in recent runs the third horse indian sounds is now rated 89 was over 6ls behind,then went to york and fav for the big yearling stakes race was hampered in final furlong eventually finishing 8th wouldn't have won so could say disappointing,but
could still be open to improvement out of lethal force 7fs should be fine..still an interesting runner..

4/5 generally now.
 
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Good luck Andy, have got Helfire in my own list of horses to watch out for, but think that the current price of 3/1 is too short so i've just put it in an EW Yankee with 3 other shorties, think the race has too many in with a chance to take the current price to win, prefer Bosleys at bigger prices.
 
gigilo said:
Will try an ew multiple,again looked overwatered at ponte supposedly gd/fm small stakes with these meetings being watered..

Nottingham 4.40

Bo samraan 4/1 365/sportsbook/ppower 5/1 hills

De sousa rides the ralph beckett horse in the race while franny norton rides the johnston horse Bo saraam,lots of lightly raced horses most stepping up in trip although bo saraam ended last season running over this trip at newmarket.That race was a class 2 nursery was running off 76 and beaten only 2 1/2ls in fourth,still lightly raced out of sea the stars with 4 runs as long as its fit then should be about dropping into a 0-75 obvious place chance at the worst,betting will be interesting dropping into this grade and compared to other runners that havn't shown that level of form yet.If there's nothing expected to run well first time out then the johnston horse could easily halve in prices so that will probably point to its fitness.. could be a nice teade at worst..
She's apple three runs in slowly run races so a roger charlton horse getting in off 63 from top australian sire,could be the biggest danger wit the beckett horse..

Traded odds on backed in to 2/1 fav,great trade again as was helfire maybe needed the run softer ground,turfs like lightening there today..

Lingfield 2.20

helfire 11/2 9/2 sportsbook/ppower/corals/betwat/betfred/totesport 5/1 hills/victor

Helfire was rated 77 in 2018 still only 6 but has regressed this looks as good as he is now,started the aw season on 68 and now dropped to just 55 and running in its first ever 0-55 ,has been a little bit of an eyecatcher on a couple of runs but they were very poor races..Penultimate run looked to be cantering entering the straight,couldn't tell if horses didn't go through with run or did not have the turn of foot to win when 3rd to gainsay over c/d although that was a 0-70 so decent run,raced near the pace that day has been getting behind in recent times..Last time out missed break again on saturday,also got stopped in run would never have won anyway but ran ok in 6th may have challenged for third that was also a 0-70,am not totally convinced horse wants to win but as long as the pace is respectable has decent place chances at worst maybe tirn into a good trade wouldn't be titally surprised if it went off near eniough fav and overbet,Three C's the favourite and a horse i;ve been following clement look the obvious two maybe some forecasts...Typically clement came back to form last time out and with new trainer finishing second,so all the value has gone on it now could well win tomorrow but can't bet it at prices..

Can't believe clement drifted to 8/1 had saver was 4./1 last night got the forecast as well,couldn't really see much else in the race crazy drifter miles clear the pair as well i said it would win before the end of the season,made a decent forecast anyway..


Kempton 5.10

Masaru 4/6 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower generally 4/5 betfair/unibet


A maiden and hannon runs masaru already sets a decent standard won by 4ls on debut in june 2018 seconds now rated 78 had previous experience although that runner has flopped in recent runs the third horse indian sounds is now rated 89 was over 6ls behind,then went to york and fav for the big yearling stakes race was hampered in final furlong eventually finishing 8th wouldn't have won so could say disappointing,but
could still be open to improvement out of lethal force 7fs should be fine..still an interesting runner..

4/5 generally now.
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Simpson Jersey said:
Unlucky, just caught but presume you've got the F/C at least, well done.
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Backed the winner at 8/1 crazy drifter,was 4/1 last night been following it off a cliff missed it last time out incredible drifter that o'shea must be useless not getting a win out of it..
 
Simpson Jersey said:
Marjorie Fife certainly has a way of bringing back other trainers cast offs.
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I missed the prices on it last time out was 14/1 and was hammered,i presumed it would be around that 4/1 today s,massive drifter 8.4 bfsp great price did exactly the same last season when i put it up i think two best horses in the race and from handicapping perspective..i can see it winning a couple more yert as well..

Exacta £27 abd csf £21 that will do me today anything else a bonus,hope everyone backed clement when it drifted at those prices as i've been going on about it for months,she's different gravy that marjorie fife..this turfs a waste of time they overwareted on mondat at windsor and today at bniotts they have watered and the grunds absolutekly rattling the mile race at notts was fast by over a second...I can't ever rewmember seeing that at notts ever,just shows how impossible it is to judge the going reports especiially after mondays card at windsor..
 
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gigilo said:
Will try an ew multiple,again looked overwatered at ponte supposedly gd/fm small stakes with these meetings being watered..

Nottingham 4.40

Bo samraan 4/1 365/sportsbook/ppower 5/1 hills

De sousa rides the ralph beckett horse in the race while franny norton rides the johnston horse Bo saraam,lots of lightly raced horses most stepping up in trip although bo saraam ended last season running over this trip at newmarket.That race was a class 2 nursery was running off 76 and beaten only 2 1/2ls in fourth,still lightly raced out of sea the stars with 4 runs as long as its fit then should be about dropping into a 0-75 obvious place chance at the worst,betting will be interesting dropping into this grade and compared to other runners that havn't shown that level of form yet.If there's nothing expected to run well first time out then the johnston horse could easily halve in prices so that will probably point to its fitness.. could be a nice teade at worst..
She's apple three runs in slowly run races so a roger charlton horse getting in off 63 from top australian sire,could be the biggest danger wit the beckett horse..

Lingfield 2.20

helfire 11/2 9/2 sportsbook/ppower/corals/betwat/betfred/totesport 5/1 hills/victor

Helfire was rated 77 in 2018 still only 6 but has regressed this looks as good as he is now,started the aw season on 68 and now dropped to just 55 and running in its first ever 0-55 ,has been a little bit of an eyecatcher on a couple of runs but they were very poor races..Penultimate run looked to be cantering entering the straight,couldn't tell if horses didn't go through with run or did not have the turn of foot to win when 3rd to gainsay over c/d although that was a 0-70 so decent run,raced near the pace that day has been getting behind in recent times..Last time out missed break again on saturday,also got stopped in run would never have won anyway but ran ok in 6th may have challenged for third that was also a 0-70,am not totally convinced horse wants to win but as long as the pace is respectable has decent place chances at worst maybe tirn into a good trade wouldn't be titally surprised if it went off near eniough fav and overbet,Three C's the favourite and a horse i;ve been following clement look the obvious two maybe some forecasts...Typically clement came back to form last time out and with new trainer finishing second,so all the value has gone on it now could well win tomorrow but can't bet it at prices..


Kempton 5.10

Masaru 4/6 365 8/11 sportsbook/ppower generally 4/5 betfair/unibet


A maiden and hannon runs masaru already sets a decent standard won by 4ls on debut in june 2018 seconds now rated 78 had previous experience although that runner has flopped in recent runs the third horse indian sounds is now rated 89 was over 6ls behind,then went to york and fav for the big yearling stakes race was hampered in final furlong eventually finishing 8th wouldn't have won so could say disappointing,but
could still be open to improvement out of lethal force 7fs should be fine..still an interesting runner..

4/5 generally now.
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Newcastle 7.30

Magical molly joe 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 totesport/betfred/hills/skybet

Magical molly joe hadn't shown a great deal even in these weak races,then four races back won in first time headgear at wolves off this race looks slightly better but did have false id behind that day,tomorrows second fav second run in headgear saddke slipped,then third run a good run over tomorrows c.d when 3rd.That was best ever run and slightly better race than tomorrows a 0-60 again having false id behind,last time out ar wolves in a 0-55 alwayts looked to be travelling well but found loads of trouble and stopped in run..so four runs in headgear a win a decent third and excuses for the other two runs..I wouldn't be overly confident though as is drawn 3 there's loads of pace standside,so highs could be at a big advantage but horse still looks like its going to win another 0-55 at some point,if earlier races show noi draw advantage could be well backed and go off nearer 5/1..Probably one for notebook if draw beats it for another day..Sykvia cliffs looks the obvious one as improving if it goes on the syrface,plenty of others with track form too many to mention that have chances..

9/1 boyles/corals/lads/skybet
 
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gigilo said:
Newcastle 7.30

Magical molly joe 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 totesport/betfred/hills/skybet

Magical molly joe hadn't shown a great deal even in these weak races,then four races back won in first time headgear at wolves off this race looks slightly better but did have false id behind that day,tomorrows second fav second run in headgear saddke slipped,then third run a good run over tomorrows c.d when 3rd.That was best ever run and slightly better race than tomorrows a 0-60 again having false id behind,last time out ar wolves in a 0-55 alwayts looked to be travelling well but found loads of trouble and stopped in run..so four runs in headgear a win a decent third and excuses for the other two runs..I wouldn't be overly confident though as is drawn 3 there's loads of pace standside,so highs could be at a big advantage but horse still looks like its going to win another 0-55 at some point,if earlier races show noi draw advantage could be well backed and go off nearer 5/1..Probably one for notebook if draw beats it for another day..Sykvia cliffs looks the obvious one as improving if it goes on the syrface,plenty of others with track form too many to mention that have chances..

9/1 boyles/corals/lads/skybet
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Chelmsford 5.50

Dukes meadow 25/1 totesport/betfred

Dukes meadow has won 2/52 so is an unlikely winner 8 year old now did win in february 2018 off 49 in a 0-60 over c/d ,hasn't even placed since that win but best two runs since have been last two runs a 4th and a 5th in a 0-55 on 19th march was 4th but wouldv'e been 2nd in the other divsion that night on the clock and infront of seaquinn priced at 14s tomorrow and a 0-60 over c/d last run was just behind mondays winner kilbaha lady,and a couple of dual winners were first and second..This is a classified stakes race just a 0-50 so racing off just 43 is not well in with most of the foeld,clements also entered just a repeat of todays win would be good enough but lingfield has always looked more preferable even though was second here recently in a 0-55 may win again wouldv'e lookecd a good bet at lingfield not so much here..I wouldn't want to trust any of these so a speculative few coppers on a c/d winner paying 4 places with firms above..

Laid clement and place laid it,doesn't run anywhere near its best on track,knew they were an untrustworthy bunch a 50s shot wins,leads al the way ypu'd have to be mad to back anything out of that race at shoprt prices...clement back at lingfield could be worth a bet next time out.
 
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Lots of gueswork at the moment will try a multiple just looking through the cards prices now...form of first one just advertizrd by winner at newbury..in conditions race.

Newbury 4.25

Raise you 5/4 365 11/8 skybet

Runner up to king ottaker on debut last season on very soft ground on this track,king ottaker won the conditions race on todays card at newbury so raise again could well be something at least 90+ maybe a 100 horse,the third ballymelon in last years maiden is now rated 84 and that one had previous experience and was beaten over 3 3/4ls so the form is backed up..Varian and gosden have two well bred types making their debuts and could be anything the latter costing 625,000 but if raise again has imprived the likelyhood is one of thems going to have to run to a 100 on debut..

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Thirsk 5.25

Senza limiti 4/5 365 5/6 skybet/victor/boyles

Senza limitu won its debut run at sailsbury on goodish ground looked one of the fastest races on the card the runner up had solid previous form and is rated 84,won easily as well so similarky to raise you could be looking at at least 90+ horse,the other runners that have experience hard to weugh up there form doesn'yt look as good on what they've done to date..The danger as per could be the sbs horse great example with josephine gordon riding,maybe a forecast with that one.

Newbury 3.15


Escobar 16/1 skybet/ppower/betfred/totesport Humbert 25/1 skybet/hills/victor


Don't really like anything in the springmile was going tp back red starlight as it looked to be running on well at ascot last year over 7fs on sogft ground and last time out stayed on well again behind sharja prince on seasonal debut could well be the one tp beat..Am just going to have a couple of token bets on the o'meara horses, Humberts form even its second in this last year doesn't look good enough this looks a far better race,but as the grounds dead and on slow side it might stop a few of these..Hasn't show anything in last three runs very poor and joined o'meara stable,was beaten a long way in the lincoln but on reasonably quick ground,tomorrow the conditions look similar to last years when second just look a little quicker but still pretty slow ground.
His other runner Escobar doesn't look well handicapped either crept up the weights finished last season with a second to sharja pribce at ascot which looks dubious form as first run on soft ground,so looks out of line with other form all on faster ground.Intersting thing is the siore famous name ran on all sorts of ground gd/fm and soft and was equally as good so there might be a chance escobars run was improvement even though a mark of 103 first time out might be a lot to ask,kirby rides.Ground will be similar tomorrow to the ascot form,speculatuve picjs with one seemingly out of form and the other on seasonal debut so just a couple of token bets..Been looking at the race for ages,was going to back totally different horses or just leave it,have gone against the more recent form horses and hoping the slower ground will stop a few.

Will leave it at that for now,too much guessing on draws on ground so easy to have 10 guesses and no returns might even have a week off to catch up on replays as anythings winning on the turf and the aw finals next friday..


Thirsk 5.55

Meshardal 14/1 365/skybet/victor/betway/marathonbet/titesport/betfred.


Meshardal hasn't won for two seasons now and on downgrade,but stable might still be trying to land a gamble but am not at all convinced will be tomorrow as for some reason last three runs pieces let off and suspiciously not being put back on again..Once pieces were put on only second run it won then ran up a four timer,and previous to that had not won any of iots previous 22 starts so tomorrow tells you on all known recent stars from last four seasons it won't be winning..It does look bvery strange as now it's dropped into a 0-60 first time since october 2013,last season was still running ok in far better races running in 0-85s early season finishing 4th several times and in a big field handicap ar york last season finishing 4th in a 0-80 nine times in first five not beaten far...On those races would proabably be favourite for this race,is drawn 17 tomorrow would normally be a decent draw if the grounds not been watered plus decent c/d reciord 1/2/7/1,the negative as mentioned looks having no pieces on but i still wouldn't be surprised to see it halve in price so coud be nice for trading anyway...and maybe make a nice few quid on race regardless of result.One thing to watch out for is when pieces get put back on though because eve if not as good as once was ruth carr does well with these older horses and in this grade may win a race or two this season now running off just 57 last seaso started off on 74 and all the better runs were in the high 60s..
There are two similar types in the race lucky beggar another that used to be different class and simply can't win but ridiculously well handicapped and even its form last seasson good enough to figure in this and the maiden danhill desert loads of better form in higher class races simply can't win but again another big drop in class non of these would be a surprise in such a weak race..
 
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