Daily picks.
- Thread starter gigilo
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gigilo
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A couple of token bets tomorrow,havn't got a clue what the going will be at Bath not much rain forecast,but thart was the same forecast at Chepstow and co today,so just some tiny bets..
Bath 7.05
Mr Tyrrell 12/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower/skybet
This is a ridiculously competitve race,only nine runners in a 0-78 but most of them look well handicapped plenty with track form and most of them like gd/fm or good ground,so anything could win although Apex king came back to form on the aw last time out and because Mark Usher only ran him on the aw after his last turf run then his turf mark of 78,is twelve pound lower than when last seen..Third off 90 on good ground at newmarket 12 months ago,would be a certainty in this if anywhere near that form..but is reflected in prices.
All the others look the same,so purely on prices Mr Tyrrell,he has run poorly on last four runs although his run at linggfield last time out wasn't too bad staying on at finish,has never won on the aw ether..He's now running off 79 he's only won 2/26 on turf but both wins were last season first off 77 then won over tomorrows c/d by 6ls off 80,a second in a 0-90 at windsor and a third in a 0-95 at windsor were better runs,then form tailed off..Probably worth following now his marks back down,although couldv'e easily dropped into a easier race,there looks nothing beween the field at their best bar the favourite if it is anywhere near its best.
7.35
Mystic dragon 22/1 hills 20/1 betway/victor/betfred
Put up Magic shuffle last time over this c/d tomorrow 9/2 not 20/1,although still well handicapped on last seasons form he was clear with the prescott favourite last time out and the claimer takes off five,so going to be a pound below that last win obvious chances and Songkran looks well in on Wimpole Hall runner up run and Applebys Competition hacked up here last time out..Wouldn't surprise me if they came 1,2,3 the only other runner that looks open to any sort of improvement maybe Mystic Dragon was running in very poor races on the aw then last time out ran in a 0-68 here over c/d,finishing fourth it may well just be false form but at least there was another 8ls back to the sixth..Trainer hasn't had a winner for 352 days so could only speculative..chuck some coppers on it/
8.05
Rosie royale 14/1 365 12/1 betfred
Veteran Rose royale i did her last time out,she ran ok but was a terrible race,she has 6/36 wins,last win was in 2019 a 0-70 at Chepstow off 58,she was then third over tomorrows c/d off 62 in a 0-70 she also had two other fourths at Bath one a 0-70 another a 0-75..so she normally runs here race here.Anywhere near those runs then decent ew chances with Rossa Ryan riding,her last win was with him riding..Obvious alternatives Espeeggee,won off 68 last season with new trainer Joseph parr, he has already had two wiinners from seven runners and has the same claimer taking off five pound that's riding magic shuffle earier on the card,still running off pound lower than the win..Blue Beirut finished infront of rosie royale last time out and got stopped in run,open to improvement now and dropped in grade another one with decent ew chances..taken 10/1 this morning.
More rain last night,and no proper grpund report says on easy side of good on BHA site disappointing wouldv'e settled for good...
Bath 7.05
Mr Tyrrell 12/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower/skybet
This is a ridiculously competitve race,only nine runners in a 0-78 but most of them look well handicapped plenty with track form and most of them like gd/fm or good ground,so anything could win although Apex king came back to form on the aw last time out and because Mark Usher only ran him on the aw after his last turf run then his turf mark of 78,is twelve pound lower than when last seen..Third off 90 on good ground at newmarket 12 months ago,would be a certainty in this if anywhere near that form..but is reflected in prices.
All the others look the same,so purely on prices Mr Tyrrell,he has run poorly on last four runs although his run at linggfield last time out wasn't too bad staying on at finish,has never won on the aw ether..He's now running off 79 he's only won 2/26 on turf but both wins were last season first off 77 then won over tomorrows c/d by 6ls off 80,a second in a 0-90 at windsor and a third in a 0-95 at windsor were better runs,then form tailed off..Probably worth following now his marks back down,although couldv'e easily dropped into a easier race,there looks nothing beween the field at their best bar the favourite if it is anywhere near its best.
7.35
Mystic dragon 22/1 hills 20/1 betway/victor/betfred
Put up Magic shuffle last time over this c/d tomorrow 9/2 not 20/1,although still well handicapped on last seasons form he was clear with the prescott favourite last time out and the claimer takes off five,so going to be a pound below that last win obvious chances and Songkran looks well in on Wimpole Hall runner up run and Applebys Competition hacked up here last time out..Wouldn't surprise me if they came 1,2,3 the only other runner that looks open to any sort of improvement maybe Mystic Dragon was running in very poor races on the aw then last time out ran in a 0-68 here over c/d,finishing fourth it may well just be false form but at least there was another 8ls back to the sixth..Trainer hasn't had a winner for 352 days so could only speculative..chuck some coppers on it/
8.05
Rosie royale 14/1 365 12/1 betfred
Veteran Rose royale i did her last time out,she ran ok but was a terrible race,she has 6/36 wins,last win was in 2019 a 0-70 at Chepstow off 58,she was then third over tomorrows c/d off 62 in a 0-70 she also had two other fourths at Bath one a 0-70 another a 0-75..so she normally runs here race here.Anywhere near those runs then decent ew chances with Rossa Ryan riding,her last win was with him riding..Obvious alternatives Espeeggee,won off 68 last season with new trainer Joseph parr, he has already had two wiinners from seven runners and has the same claimer taking off five pound that's riding magic shuffle earier on the card,still running off pound lower than the win..Blue Beirut finished infront of rosie royale last time out and got stopped in run,open to improvement now and dropped in grade another one with decent ew chances..taken 10/1 this morning.
More rain last night,and no proper grpund report says on easy side of good on BHA site disappointing wouldv'e settled for good...
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gigilo
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Can't see any value anywhere,might try some thieving multiples later but just have a small bet on this,should be bigger on recent form.
Newcastle 7.30
Eeh Bah Gum 11/2 365/hills/betway
Not too many reasons to back Eeh bah gum,tim easterby horse that looked progressive in 2018 got upto a rating of 89 that season and was running in 0-105 handicaps,unlucky in the dash last season at epsom when fourth and also fourth in a massive foeld at york fourth to copper knight off 88..
Its last decent run was here over this c/d when fourth off 88 in another 0-105,ran on its own away from the pace so did well to finish fourth,but that was all the way back in june 2019,don't know if there's been some problem three runs since and shown very little,gets dropped into a class 4 tomorrow first time since july 2018,so will have a small bet on it with stable in form,running off just 81...
Newcastle 7.30
Eeh Bah Gum 11/2 365/hills/betway
Not too many reasons to back Eeh bah gum,tim easterby horse that looked progressive in 2018 got upto a rating of 89 that season and was running in 0-105 handicaps,unlucky in the dash last season at epsom when fourth and also fourth in a massive foeld at york fourth to copper knight off 88..
Its last decent run was here over this c/d when fourth off 88 in another 0-105,ran on its own away from the pace so did well to finish fourth,but that was all the way back in june 2019,don't know if there's been some problem three runs since and shown very little,gets dropped into a class 4 tomorrow first time since july 2018,so will have a small bet on it with stable in form,running off just 81...
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gigilo
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Bath 7.05
Mr Tyrrell
2/1 the place wd Andy cheers
Got 6/4 for 4 places as well,terrible ride on Rosie royale,was the only one running on at finish no doubt will be back at bath for the rest of the season..at least Blue Beirut got placed,no doubt they went slow in that race as that ws up there from the off and still managed to get placed even though everythings been winning from off the pace
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gigilo
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Ayr monday 2.20
Noddy Holder 7/2 hills
Bit of a roisk backing a Tim easterby horse three days in advance and end up being on a non trier,inevitablty the betting maybe the pointer three runs this season first over 5fs at beveley was nevrer going to be the right trip,then ran at 6fs where was given a considerate ride behind Eternal Blush winer again since.The second blazing hot next time out was 4th in a 0-85,Noddy holder quite away behind these 6ls,but was stopped in run and ridden condsiderately,i put up Double D's earlier in the week out of that maiden showed nothing,but will maybe give that one another chance..Noddy holder went to haydock for handicap debut next time out 40/1 drawn on the standside in 11 looked impossible to get involved first four all ran up the middle,and he wasn't given a hard race on desperate ground even though beaten 9ls,that was a 0-80..The trip looks the obvious starting point upto 7fs,am not sure about ground but dropped into a 0-65 got to be worth following in these graded races...
Windor 2.10
Nugget 9/2 hills
A very competitive race for horses rated upto 0-85,i suspect the ground will be rattling come racetime even though currently gd/sft hot day tomorrow ad monday so unlikely to water,that doiesn't make this race any easier with most form on decent ground..Nuggets only had four lifetime runs,came back for seasonal debut in a handicap at Donny winning off 80,given a six pound rise then came second in a four horse race,harsh giving the horse another pound rise for that run as did look very flat and was hard to see why,the time was slow so possibly the longer trip run slowly didn't help..Going back to the Donny run,there was a 0-90 run for older horses half an hour earlier on the card that day and the time comparisons were interesting,Teston won off 90 by 6ls and given a rating of 104 and while nuggets race was .70 slower that was only a 0-80 for 3yr olds...Nugget wouldv'e been second in that older handicap by a couple of lengths infront of rousayen rated 87,but nugget carried two pound more,if taken at face value then still looks well handicapped as tomorrow in a 0-85 for all ages but runs of 87 and gets the 3yr old allowance..
There's definitely more races i the horse based on that win,and even if flops i will still be following as i've got a feeling headgears going to come out,but non on monday so will have a small bet,moore riding for hannon..
Noddy Holder 7/2 hills
Bit of a roisk backing a Tim easterby horse three days in advance and end up being on a non trier,inevitablty the betting maybe the pointer three runs this season first over 5fs at beveley was nevrer going to be the right trip,then ran at 6fs where was given a considerate ride behind Eternal Blush winer again since.The second blazing hot next time out was 4th in a 0-85,Noddy holder quite away behind these 6ls,but was stopped in run and ridden condsiderately,i put up Double D's earlier in the week out of that maiden showed nothing,but will maybe give that one another chance..Noddy holder went to haydock for handicap debut next time out 40/1 drawn on the standside in 11 looked impossible to get involved first four all ran up the middle,and he wasn't given a hard race on desperate ground even though beaten 9ls,that was a 0-80..The trip looks the obvious starting point upto 7fs,am not sure about ground but dropped into a 0-65 got to be worth following in these graded races...
Windor 2.10
Nugget 9/2 hills
A very competitive race for horses rated upto 0-85,i suspect the ground will be rattling come racetime even though currently gd/sft hot day tomorrow ad monday so unlikely to water,that doiesn't make this race any easier with most form on decent ground..Nuggets only had four lifetime runs,came back for seasonal debut in a handicap at Donny winning off 80,given a six pound rise then came second in a four horse race,harsh giving the horse another pound rise for that run as did look very flat and was hard to see why,the time was slow so possibly the longer trip run slowly didn't help..Going back to the Donny run,there was a 0-90 run for older horses half an hour earlier on the card that day and the time comparisons were interesting,Teston won off 90 by 6ls and given a rating of 104 and while nuggets race was .70 slower that was only a 0-80 for 3yr olds...Nugget wouldv'e been second in that older handicap by a couple of lengths infront of rousayen rated 87,but nugget carried two pound more,if taken at face value then still looks well handicapped as tomorrow in a 0-85 for all ages but runs of 87 and gets the 3yr old allowance..
There's definitely more races i the horse based on that win,and even if flops i will still be following as i've got a feeling headgears going to come out,but non on monday so will have a small bet,moore riding for hannon..
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gigilo
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Trades 1.05 misses the break gives them 4-5ls and gives murphy the run up the rail,incredible how that lost.very poor for someone like moore takes the rail he wins.
Kempton 8.45
Kindergarten Kop 20/1 365 16/1 betway/betfred 14/1 hills/sportsbook
Trainer David Flood has only had five winners from 129 runners and hasn't had a winner for twelve months so obviously speculatuve,the horse has shown nothing last two runs following the trend,last season ran twice at kempton a 4th over c/d and a 3rd over the 7fs,off marks of 68..Won off tomorrows mark of 65 in july 2019 at lingfield,all sorts of headgear being used,blinkers on tomorrow won in them first time,then was unplaced twice in them,then back on october 2019 on the decent third here..That run was its best ever run in a 0-75,off 68 and in a decent time,would have obvious ew chances on that run but there ae lots of negatives stable,the surface looks desperately slow and maybe better over 7fs here instead of this mile..But of keeps goog off 20/1 then worth a small bet..
Probably try some ew thieving bet multiples..
Windsor 1.0
Zamaani 2/1 365
Zamaani was runner upto woodcote winner over c/d but i wouldn't take that at face value,as most of the runners in behind have been beaten and
i think it's probably only around the low 80 mark,anything above average in this race then would be in trouble cox,dascombe,watson and varian all have runners just one of them runs to 85 and they will probably win..Hopefully ground will be rattling like on debut at newmarket behind eye of the tiger,wasn't on the c/d run it's drawn 1 and maybe that could be an advantage,it's one for thieving bets.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Wins 6ls pulling up..
Windsor 1.35
Louise De Palmaa 4/1 sky/hills Aljady 5/1 sky 13/2 365/hills Oroen Wide 8/1 generally
As mentioned earlier hopefully the groud will be rattling and no watering,if it isbn't and they have watered we will have a farce where they are all over the track,Louise De Palma never wins but is very consistent loves fast ground and stuck in the mid 90s on 95 but last six runs all in this class or better and never beaten more than 3ls..Obvious ew chances,led here on last c/d run coming third to Oropen wode,he hasn't looked the same horse this season 2nd in the stewards cup last season off this mark nothing bewteen it and Louise De plama on last years run..Orpen wides track form is incredible especially for a horse that needs to come off a fast pace,1/2/2/2/2/2/3/3/1/2 the way he's been running last few runs looks up against it,but if grounds rattling it might show him in a better light.Aljady has joined the cowell stable,made a great staet has won and been third recently off 93 at haydock in a 0-98,still only twelve lifetime runs four wins and last season was third off 95 in a 0-105 at york,if can take advantage of the 4 draw and it prives to be an advantage then obvious ew chances again..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!As i said wanted the ground rattling,worked out perfect led made all Aljady louise de palma missed the break and Orpen wide no chance with 11 draw,but agai eyecatcher,for the future..track record
3.10
First winter 5/4 365 11/8 hills/skybet
Again First winter to me looks a low 80s horse and in maidens at windsor wouldn't be good enough,similar to Zamaani in thr sprint anything above average and it would look very short,has the best known form but it's only a low to mid 80s although first time pueces..Kymberley could be the main danger,eyecatcher at kempton,although to prove itself on turf definite one to keep an eye on
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!And the forecast ashame it got hammered..
3.40
Casting vote 7/4 365 15/8 hills Propriety 2/1 365 9/4 skybet/hills
Similar to the other maidens,decent debut at haydock Casting vote finished upsides Matthew Flinders the horse that beat First Winter in the above race,so probably another thats looking around the mid 80s maybe higher,was runner upto Alflora that one second in a group 3 on saturday..,but the time of the race was similar to the other maiden on the card..Ground will be totally different tomorrow,but shouldn't make a great deal of difference,the race is full of top trainers any sort of gambles would be telling and Moore rides one of Stoute out of Galileo Propriety have stuck it in in case it's above average.
Surrprised kindergarten kid has been backed like this,trainer no winner for 12 months...at least we got the prices.
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gigilo
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Trades 1.05 misses the break gives them 4-5ls and gives murphy the run up the rail,incredible how that lost.very poor for someone like moore takes the rail he wins.
Kempton 8.45
Kindergarten Kop 20/1 365 16/1 betway/betfred 14/1 hills/sportsbook
Trainer David Flood has only had five winners from 129 runners and hasn't had a winner for twelve months so obviously speculatuve,the horse has shown nothing last two runs following the trend,last season ran twice at kempton a 4th over c/d and a 3rd over the 7fs,off marks of 68..Won off tomorrows mark of 65 in july 2019 at lingfield,all sorts of headgear being used,blinkers on tomorrow won in them first time,then was unplaced twice in them,then back on october 2019 on the decent third here..That run was its best ever run in a 0-75,off 68 and in a decent time,would have obvious ew chances on that run but there ae lots of negatives stable,the surface looks desperately slow and maybe better over 7fs here instead of this mile..But of keeps goog off 20/1 then worth a small bet..
An absolute monster day,multiples should pay a few quid again,that 1.05 loser earlier has cost me fortunes,i had confide marked off as well as the johnson ewwinner just too many bet,...luckily there's not a shortage of wheelbarrows in the pandemic..:lol::lol:
Probably try some ew thieving bet multiples..
Windsor 1.0
Zamaani 2/1 365
Zamaani was runner upto woodcote winner over c/d but i wouldn't take that at face value,as most of the runners in behind have been beaten and
i think it's probably only around the low 80 mark,anything above average in this race then would be in trouble cox,dascombe,watson and varian all have runners just one of them runs to 85 and they will probably win..Hopefully ground will be rattling like on debut at newmarket behind eye of the tiger,wasn't on the c/d run it's drawn 1 and maybe that could be an advantage,it's one for thieving bets.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Wins 6ls pulling up..
Windsor 1.35
Louise De Palmaa 4/1 sky/hills Aljady 5/1 sky 13/2 365/hills Oroen Wide 8/1 generally
As mentioned earlier hopefully the groud will be rattling and no watering,if it isbn't and they have watered we will have a farce where they are all over the track,Louise De Palma never wins but is very consistent loves fast ground and stuck in the mid 90s on 95 but last six runs all in this class or better and never beaten more than 3ls..Obvious ew chances,led here on last c/d run coming third to Oropen wode,he hasn't looked the same horse this season 2nd in the stewards cup last season off this mark nothing bewteen it and Louise De plama on last years run..Orpen wides track form is incredible especially for a horse that needs to come off a fast pace,1/2/2/2/2/2/3/3/1/2 the way he's been running last few runs looks up against it,but if grounds rattling it might show him in a better light.Aljady has joined the cowell stable,made a great staet has won and been third recently off 93 at haydock in a 0-98,still only twelve lifetime runs four wins and last season was third off 95 in a 0-105 at york,if can take advantage of the 4 draw and it prives to be an advantage then obvious ew chances again..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!As i said wanted the ground rattling,worked out perfect led made all Aljady louise de palma missed the break and Orpen wide no chance with 11 draw,but agai eyecatcher,for the future..track record
3.10
First winter 5/4 365 11/8 hills/skybet
Again First winter to me looks a low 80s horse and in maidens at windsor wouldn't be good enough,similar to Zamaani in thr sprint anything above average and it would look very short,has the best known form but it's only a low to mid 80s although first time pueces..Kymberley could be the main danger,eyecatcher at kempton,although to prove itself on turf definite one to keep an eye on
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!And the forecast ashame it got hammered..
3.40
Casting vote 7/4 365 15/8 hills Propriety 2/1 365 9/4 skybet/hills
Similar to the other maidens,decent debut at haydock Casting vote finished upsides Matthew Flinders the horse that beat First Winter in the above race,so probably another thats looking around the mid 80s maybe higher,was runner upto Alflora that one second in a group 3 on saturday..,but the time of the race was similar to the other maiden on the card..Ground will be totally different tomorrow,but shouldn't make a great deal of difference,the race is full of top trainers any sort of gambles would be telling and Moore rides one of Stoute out of Galileo Propriety have stuck it in in case it's above average.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Another wheelbarrow monday,did the trixie on the shorties and 3 ew lucky 15s and the second and n/r as well,can't beieve they all hacked up and all smashed,cracking day..
Surrprised kindergarten kid has been backed like this,trainer no winner for 12 months...at least we got the prices.
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gigilo
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A monster day,kindergarten kop gets up for 4th to land some monster multioles as well,that 1.05 loser has cost me absolute fortunes time to get the calculator out..still won five figures on the day but couldv'e been an absolute three skip job/...I'm sure pottsy and splodge wouldv'e congratulated me on the awesome tipping once more..
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Fair play giggs you've still got it mate, unlucky with Nugget the other day, watched the replay today and you can't do much more than pick the best horse in the race, the rest is in the lap of the gods. Keep at it mate the next full house is just around the corner knowing you.
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gigilo
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A couple of mondays back Danny was even closer to a huge win big prices all got done at the finish with 9/1 and 20/1 winners,still returned over five figures wouldv'e been six figures if they had won and they were all beat nks and hds,the only way you will win anything lifechanging is by doing these bets..They changed my life in a period of five years,my stakes go up on the multiples whereas my singles stakes have stayed the same for 15 years,mainly due to restrictions but its only the big prices i want decent bets on.. ambition has always been to win 1/4 million in one hit..Twenty years of trying and have come close maybe 50 times,and usually it's the day i think it might happen when all the big prices are there on the day..Doubt it will happen but certainly possible..will keep trying though fella..
gigilo
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Chepstow 1.20
Swissal 33/1 365 20/1 hills 25/1 ppower/victor/sportsbook
A bit of an eyecatcher last time out over c/d at Chepstow,first run for Johns O'shea was dropped out and just handriding entering last furlong 1 3/4ls behind stablemate Kinglami also in tomorrows race..That was a 0-65 drops into a 0-60 tomorrow,think this is definitely a project horse on that run,as its last three runs have been over 7fs last season won off 62 at brighton in a 0-65,was fifth at chepstow in a 0-70 over a mile,hard to tell if he's quick enough for 6fs...O'shea has seven pound claimer on Kinglami,yet has Ciaran Mckee riding Swissal.he's oly ever had 2 winners from over a hundred rides,so it looks like a run doiwn over the field but as the prces are so big have to have a little bet,could be a ru down the field then basck upto 7fs but at least it looks like the ground may be comking right if no rain overnight an interesting runner from this stable..Don't be surprised if it's dropped out the back and no show but one to follow for future reference ..The two obvious runers are Our Man in Havana runer up to napping at windsor last tie out and that hacked up on next run and Castlrea Tess shouldv'e beaten some of these last run over c/d threw the race away leading and then wandering over to the farside,they stand out on recent runs and handicap marks.
What would be interesting is if there was piles of money for it,compared to Kinglami..
Swissal 33/1 365 20/1 hills 25/1 ppower/victor/sportsbook
A bit of an eyecatcher last time out over c/d at Chepstow,first run for Johns O'shea was dropped out and just handriding entering last furlong 1 3/4ls behind stablemate Kinglami also in tomorrows race..That was a 0-65 drops into a 0-60 tomorrow,think this is definitely a project horse on that run,as its last three runs have been over 7fs last season won off 62 at brighton in a 0-65,was fifth at chepstow in a 0-70 over a mile,hard to tell if he's quick enough for 6fs...O'shea has seven pound claimer on Kinglami,yet has Ciaran Mckee riding Swissal.he's oly ever had 2 winners from over a hundred rides,so it looks like a run doiwn over the field but as the prces are so big have to have a little bet,could be a ru down the field then basck upto 7fs but at least it looks like the ground may be comking right if no rain overnight an interesting runner from this stable..Don't be surprised if it's dropped out the back and no show but one to follow for future reference ..The two obvious runers are Our Man in Havana runer up to napping at windsor last tie out and that hacked up on next run and Castlrea Tess shouldv'e beaten some of these last run over c/d threw the race away leading and then wandering over to the farside,they stand out on recent runs and handicap marks.
What would be interesting is if there was piles of money for it,compared to Kinglami..
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Nonannyimfine
Apprentice
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- 259
Sickener. Best horse in the race. Great shout all the same
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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That's why he's had two winners from 120 rides,just sat on it never lookede like losing never picked the whip out,why they put him up anyone wouldv'e won on it,had a nice touch on the race but ffs that;s a joke had a couple of savers on the other two as wekll,so nice winning race but wouldv'e been a monster touch if he'd got up..if you watch the head o he was just sat on it cantering and never changed his body movement once...
Somepnes just p'md me went 1.03 in running as well,unbelievable i had a 1.05 on monday as well i did 4 places at evens as well,am amazed O'shea tried with that a well handicapped horses with a jock who shouldn't even be riding,blown mark and prices..
Somepnes just p'md me went 1.03 in running as well,unbelievable i had a 1.05 on monday as well i did 4 places at evens as well,am amazed O'shea tried with that a well handicapped horses with a jock who shouldn't even be riding,blown mark and prices..
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gigilo
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Can't see much value tomorrow will have some tiny interests and some thieving bets...
Ayr 1.50
Epeius 8/1 365 15/2 skybet 7/1 hills
Epeius hasn't run in a class 6 since August 2018,not a horse i like to back but has been running ok and now with a drop in class will have a small bet,lowest mark since july 2018 when won off 63,off 64 tomorrow..On gd/fm has a record of 5/4/1/2/2/2/3/2 so consistent enough but very rarely wins..Last two runs one was here when third to Mr Wagyu in a 0-70,then last time out stopped in run at ponte may have got placed was impossible to tell..the line of form through Mr Wagyu and Almurr suggests Almurr has the beating of Epeius on the Thirsk form of its second so obvious ew chances as well as running in same race tomorrow,so couldn't discount that either and See My Baby Jive open to improvement after running over 5fs at this track last time out..
3.20
Aliento 6/1 365 11/2 hills
Disappointing to see the prices of Aliento,another that rarely wins althoigh has won over the trip and won a 7f race last seasn off 58 at thirsk,it was a 0-70 but a very weak race,was beaten at catterick going off fav in a 0-65 shown nothing for the rest of 2019..Ran ok last time out at Donny over an inadequate 6fs,a far better race than this,a 0-72 and even though only seventh of nine was not losing any ground beaten 3 3/4ls respectable run,now dropped into a poor race..Jack randall looks an obvious danger won over 7fs at haydock a 0-70 for 3yr olds last season and if the ground stays quick then obvious fav chances,along with Lagenda came back to form over c/d last time out and when he did that last season won back to back races..
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Windsor 5.30
Treaty Dingle 8/1 generally hills (4places) 13/2
Treaty dingle looked thoroughly exposed switching from the AW to the turf last time out,ran second over c/d the time looked pretty good for a lowgrade 3yr old handicap,takes on the older horses tomorrow the race is full of horses that if they come back to form could win,it does look a pin job..Am just hoping the grounds very quick like it's last run here so at least has that on its side,unfortunately drawn in the carpark and likes to lead so might be one more for in running as might do too much to early..and In The Red is in the race another front runner so could be a pace collapse..
6.0
Kings Knight 10/30 365/Hills
Kings Knight ran green on debut well beaten by 8 3/4ls,the race it contested was two seconds quicker than the maiden Minori ran in on same card another of tomorrows runners,got a feeling this Kings Knight might just be a handicap project,it was a fair maiden it ran in but i doubt its much better than an 80 horse even though was better than the bare form..so you may see a non trier tomorrow..A lot may depend if the two favs are better than debuts,they contested very good maidens at newmarket and newbury,the one Burke and Wills ran in was over a second quicker than the older 0-75 on the card..He was beaten over 13ls but the third just three lengths infront of it has already come out and won..An interesting race,that mightthrow up a strange result,especially if horses are going for marks.
8.0
Arabian Romance 4/1 365
This is a strange betting race,could be an absolutely red hot maiden with unraced SBS with turner riding,and Stoute and Palmer with newcomers,the ones that have run all head the market they look very similar to me although all open to improvement,the Stoute fav was third at lingfield big eyecatcher and a winner has come out of that race already rated in the 80s..That looked a decent maiden to come third on debut,whereas the maiden Arabian Romance.. ran in was far weaker,stoute horse won the race easily so they know where they stand with Arabian romance..Am not going to do loads of picks and multiples as i'm not very confident with so many unknowns,Arabian Romance ran on fast ground on that debut run,the time seemed respectable,i suspect its a low to mid 80s runner but at least could be open to improvement..
8.30
Caribeno 5/6 365 8/13 skybet/hillls/betway
Caribeno won the worst race of all time last time out at catterick,a suspicious looking time on the clock ran faster than the class 5 handicap winner
for older horses 0-75 winner was rated 72 yet he runs off 62 tomorrow in 3yr old handicap..I suspect he's going to go off 2/5 maybe 1/3 so could be some nice trading there even with the odds on prices even if he got beat,ground will be totally different tomorrow..One thats run on quick ground is Lady De Vega,abysmal race at leicester but no worse than this if favourite bombs out should run well..
I suspect the fav will win by 10ls or will completely bomb..
n/r..
Ayr 1.50
Epeius 8/1 365 15/2 skybet 7/1 hills
Epeius hasn't run in a class 6 since August 2018,not a horse i like to back but has been running ok and now with a drop in class will have a small bet,lowest mark since july 2018 when won off 63,off 64 tomorrow..On gd/fm has a record of 5/4/1/2/2/2/3/2 so consistent enough but very rarely wins..Last two runs one was here when third to Mr Wagyu in a 0-70,then last time out stopped in run at ponte may have got placed was impossible to tell..the line of form through Mr Wagyu and Almurr suggests Almurr has the beating of Epeius on the Thirsk form of its second so obvious ew chances as well as running in same race tomorrow,so couldn't discount that either and See My Baby Jive open to improvement after running over 5fs at this track last time out..
3.20
Aliento 6/1 365 11/2 hills
Disappointing to see the prices of Aliento,another that rarely wins althoigh has won over the trip and won a 7f race last seasn off 58 at thirsk,it was a 0-70 but a very weak race,was beaten at catterick going off fav in a 0-65 shown nothing for the rest of 2019..Ran ok last time out at Donny over an inadequate 6fs,a far better race than this,a 0-72 and even though only seventh of nine was not losing any ground beaten 3 3/4ls respectable run,now dropped into a poor race..Jack randall looks an obvious danger won over 7fs at haydock a 0-70 for 3yr olds last season and if the ground stays quick then obvious fav chances,along with Lagenda came back to form over c/d last time out and when he did that last season won back to back races..
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Windsor 5.30
Treaty Dingle 8/1 generally hills (4places) 13/2
Treaty dingle looked thoroughly exposed switching from the AW to the turf last time out,ran second over c/d the time looked pretty good for a lowgrade 3yr old handicap,takes on the older horses tomorrow the race is full of horses that if they come back to form could win,it does look a pin job..Am just hoping the grounds very quick like it's last run here so at least has that on its side,unfortunately drawn in the carpark and likes to lead so might be one more for in running as might do too much to early..and In The Red is in the race another front runner so could be a pace collapse..
6.0
Kings Knight 10/30 365/Hills
Kings Knight ran green on debut well beaten by 8 3/4ls,the race it contested was two seconds quicker than the maiden Minori ran in on same card another of tomorrows runners,got a feeling this Kings Knight might just be a handicap project,it was a fair maiden it ran in but i doubt its much better than an 80 horse even though was better than the bare form..so you may see a non trier tomorrow..A lot may depend if the two favs are better than debuts,they contested very good maidens at newmarket and newbury,the one Burke and Wills ran in was over a second quicker than the older 0-75 on the card..He was beaten over 13ls but the third just three lengths infront of it has already come out and won..An interesting race,that mightthrow up a strange result,especially if horses are going for marks.
8.0
Arabian Romance 4/1 365
This is a strange betting race,could be an absolutely red hot maiden with unraced SBS with turner riding,and Stoute and Palmer with newcomers,the ones that have run all head the market they look very similar to me although all open to improvement,the Stoute fav was third at lingfield big eyecatcher and a winner has come out of that race already rated in the 80s..That looked a decent maiden to come third on debut,whereas the maiden Arabian Romance.. ran in was far weaker,stoute horse won the race easily so they know where they stand with Arabian romance..Am not going to do loads of picks and multiples as i'm not very confident with so many unknowns,Arabian Romance ran on fast ground on that debut run,the time seemed respectable,i suspect its a low to mid 80s runner but at least could be open to improvement..
8.30
Caribeno 5/6 365 8/13 skybet/hillls/betway
Caribeno won the worst race of all time last time out at catterick,a suspicious looking time on the clock ran faster than the class 5 handicap winner
for older horses 0-75 winner was rated 72 yet he runs off 62 tomorrow in 3yr old handicap..I suspect he's going to go off 2/5 maybe 1/3 so could be some nice trading there even with the odds on prices even if he got beat,ground will be totally different tomorrow..One thats run on quick ground is Lady De Vega,abysmal race at leicester but no worse than this if favourite bombs out should run well..
I suspect the fav will win by 10ls or will completely bomb..
n/r..
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gigilo
Senior Jockey
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A good day which shouldv'e been a wheelbarrow job,my main fancy won three got touched off in second one didnt get a run another traded 1.28 and another had to come from the wide draw in the handicap,needed the SBS horse to place not win to make an extra two grand,drifts like a barge and gets beat 20ls,put the other horse i mentioned in the last to have two multiples and that gets withdrawn as well..Another winning day and winning multiples,but ffs three unlucky losers then that thing unplaced in the maiden costing me fortunes.three mondays on the bounce now ..I was going to lay the SBS horse for a place at 1.28 as well,just to clear another £500 as well,feels like i've thrown money away..They also overwatered Ayr and windsor,an absolute joke no way those meetngs were gd/fm,they are now watering good ground and not even getting hot weather,mightv'e hindered some of my picks as well..
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Tiny Clanger
At the Start
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- Jan 23, 2012
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- 383
Unlucky with the Dods runner, was on that doubled with epeius. Not sure why the jock aimed it up the backside of one dropping back. NTO for sure
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Sent from my SM-J701F using Tapatalk
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Bath 7.05
Mr Tyrrell
2/1 the place wd Andy cheers
Placepots to a penny with the tote,is this right greg...
gigilo
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Wolves 3.25
Calins lad 12/1 hills 10/1 365
Calin's lad,has been with john mackie got rid after four runs and then mick appleby then got rid after four runs,if appleby hasn't kept him then probably tells you horse has some sort of problem,actually won and came second on last run for him over this c/d..On at least two or three runs been an eyecatcher,finds trouble or appears unlucky,probably is simply he finds trouble and havig wathed a couple of replays looks like he hanfgs both ways,a nightmare ride..Tomorrow runs off 62,in march ran its best race ever when staying on under hands 'n' heels in a 6f 0-75 here then ran over an inadequate 5fs at newcastle,on both runs looked to hang badly to me,if the could ever stop him doing this then could win races as it is would only be a small fancy in an ultracompetitve race..
The obvious one is critical thinking,used to run in far better races here over c/d,is on downgrade but first time in class 6 since january formlines through molly mai when critical thinking was third in a class 5 last time out here over c./d and another of tomorrows runners the game life suggests there's nothing bewteen them..Also george boughey now trains redemptive,that won over c/d last season,long klay off won in a decent time and horses out of that race fot in with critica thinking and the game lifes form..They are the obvious looking runners in the race and maybe some forecasts because i get the feeling the market will be all over the place in this nightmare looking race..
Smashed into 7/2 fav,been pulled out what a shock.. ffs..
Calins lad 12/1 hills 10/1 365
Calin's lad,has been with john mackie got rid after four runs and then mick appleby then got rid after four runs,if appleby hasn't kept him then probably tells you horse has some sort of problem,actually won and came second on last run for him over this c/d..On at least two or three runs been an eyecatcher,finds trouble or appears unlucky,probably is simply he finds trouble and havig wathed a couple of replays looks like he hanfgs both ways,a nightmare ride..Tomorrow runs off 62,in march ran its best race ever when staying on under hands 'n' heels in a 6f 0-75 here then ran over an inadequate 5fs at newcastle,on both runs looked to hang badly to me,if the could ever stop him doing this then could win races as it is would only be a small fancy in an ultracompetitve race..
The obvious one is critical thinking,used to run in far better races here over c/d,is on downgrade but first time in class 6 since january formlines through molly mai when critical thinking was third in a class 5 last time out here over c./d and another of tomorrows runners the game life suggests there's nothing bewteen them..Also george boughey now trains redemptive,that won over c/d last season,long klay off won in a decent time and horses out of that race fot in with critica thinking and the game lifes form..They are the obvious looking runners in the race and maybe some forecasts because i get the feeling the market will be all over the place in this nightmare looking race..
Smashed into 7/2 fav,been pulled out what a shock.. ffs..
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gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Will have a little ew on Bellatrixa form looks moderate but gregorian as 30% strike rate over 1m2fs,shouldn't really beat the fav on form 3/1 Bellatrixa.
Nice bit of profit got 1.73 for 2 places,will settle fir that..for today!!
Nice bit of profit got 1.73 for 2 places,will settle fir that..for today!!
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gigilo
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Thirsk 8.0
Nat Love 11/2 skbet/365 5/1 victor
A channon cast off,only ever won an Epsom maiden and Steve Gollings trains although he has had two winners from nineteen runners this season,low grade handicapper and one of the more exposed in the race,could easily be a couple in here lurking but will have a small bet just based on the last two runs..Penultimae run,ran at haydock in a 0-70 looking back had no chance of winning that race Queen of silca winning off 65 and now rated 77 placed today at goodwood and returnofthemac in second now rated 79 touched off by another of todays winners glasses up..So beaten 6ls in that 0-70 respectable,then last time out drawn 14 went off really quick and clear at ripon,the time of the race looked quite quick for the grade and although beaten 5ls,the fourth Askona Kastanova a further 5ls behind finished third yesterday in a 0-70 so the form looks ok..A drop of four pounds for those two runs,i think it has to win a race on those races although too many in this race from big stables that are unexposed,think she maybe a better bet at ripon but will follow her for a couple of runs..International lion and celestial wood 2nd and 3rd at ayr recently,look obvious ews even if forms nothing special.
6.0
Admiralty 7/2 victor 10/30 ppower/sportsbook
Admiralty has become difficult to win with,although has run in very competitive races,[probably more of an ew bet at 7/2 10/3 with four places,last seven runs a record of 1/2/2/3/5/5/2 over 7fs won off 90 over c/d then ran well in all sorts of handicaps in low mid 90s,last time out ran at york second off 89..Gave the field 8ls start although got a nice run up the stands side so no hard luck story,drops into a 0-90 and off lowest mark since the c/d win,plenty of alternatives at big prices Wahoo 20/1 is a c/d winner,won a 0-95 last season at ayr and off lower mark tomorrow only second run back and Shawaamekh,went of very quick at york in Admiraltys race beaten 7ls,but previous to that had run well at redcar in a 0-95 fifth only beaten 1 1/4ls and is a c/d winner wouldn't discount that one either..i can see this going off a stupid price for a horse that hasn't won for thirteen runs don't be surprised if this goes off 15/8 2/1..
Nat Love 11/2 skbet/365 5/1 victor
A channon cast off,only ever won an Epsom maiden and Steve Gollings trains although he has had two winners from nineteen runners this season,low grade handicapper and one of the more exposed in the race,could easily be a couple in here lurking but will have a small bet just based on the last two runs..Penultimae run,ran at haydock in a 0-70 looking back had no chance of winning that race Queen of silca winning off 65 and now rated 77 placed today at goodwood and returnofthemac in second now rated 79 touched off by another of todays winners glasses up..So beaten 6ls in that 0-70 respectable,then last time out drawn 14 went off really quick and clear at ripon,the time of the race looked quite quick for the grade and although beaten 5ls,the fourth Askona Kastanova a further 5ls behind finished third yesterday in a 0-70 so the form looks ok..A drop of four pounds for those two runs,i think it has to win a race on those races although too many in this race from big stables that are unexposed,think she maybe a better bet at ripon but will follow her for a couple of runs..International lion and celestial wood 2nd and 3rd at ayr recently,look obvious ews even if forms nothing special.
6.0
Admiralty 7/2 victor 10/30 ppower/sportsbook
Admiralty has become difficult to win with,although has run in very competitive races,[probably more of an ew bet at 7/2 10/3 with four places,last seven runs a record of 1/2/2/3/5/5/2 over 7fs won off 90 over c/d then ran well in all sorts of handicaps in low mid 90s,last time out ran at york second off 89..Gave the field 8ls start although got a nice run up the stands side so no hard luck story,drops into a 0-90 and off lowest mark since the c/d win,plenty of alternatives at big prices Wahoo 20/1 is a c/d winner,won a 0-95 last season at ayr and off lower mark tomorrow only second run back and Shawaamekh,went of very quick at york in Admiraltys race beaten 7ls,but previous to that had run well at redcar in a 0-95 fifth only beaten 1 1/4ls and is a c/d winner wouldn't discount that one either..i can see this going off a stupid price for a horse that hasn't won for thirteen runs don't be surprised if this goes off 15/8 2/1..
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gigilo
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Goodwood 3.45 Thursday
William Bligh 3/1 Skybet
Can hardly say this looks great value heads the weights off 87 in a nursery,a lot of these runners have only had two runs so impossible to weigh most up,i'm sure the betting will tell the story from nearer the bottom of the handicap..William Bligh had a couple of runs,nothing on debut then got touched off by Master Of The Seas now rated 114 superlative winner,that race not really relative as a very slow time,more interesting would be next run at haydock winning over 7fs on soft ground winning easily..A good start for the sire Territories,fifteen runners so far four winners and seven places,William Bligh didn't beat much at haydock infact nothing has come out of that race and even been placed,but there were three more 7f races on the card this one was the quickest just,faster than the two 3yr old maiden races won by Zezenia rated 79 and Able Grace rated 81 and then the 0-75 for older horses 2ls quicker than Zip rated 75..Not a great fan of using haydock times on soft ground,but it would appear the 2yr old running off 87 with improvement to come if you take these races at face value is on a good mark..the ground will be quick on thursday,very quick
Territories is out of Invincible spirit,am hoping that he improves with faster ground, as IS sire stats point to good on most grounds but more on heavy and strangely gd/fm ..
William Bligh 3/1 Skybet
Can hardly say this looks great value heads the weights off 87 in a nursery,a lot of these runners have only had two runs so impossible to weigh most up,i'm sure the betting will tell the story from nearer the bottom of the handicap..William Bligh had a couple of runs,nothing on debut then got touched off by Master Of The Seas now rated 114 superlative winner,that race not really relative as a very slow time,more interesting would be next run at haydock winning over 7fs on soft ground winning easily..A good start for the sire Territories,fifteen runners so far four winners and seven places,William Bligh didn't beat much at haydock infact nothing has come out of that race and even been placed,but there were three more 7f races on the card this one was the quickest just,faster than the two 3yr old maiden races won by Zezenia rated 79 and Able Grace rated 81 and then the 0-75 for older horses 2ls quicker than Zip rated 75..Not a great fan of using haydock times on soft ground,but it would appear the 2yr old running off 87 with improvement to come if you take these races at face value is on a good mark..the ground will be quick on thursday,very quick
Territories is out of Invincible spirit,am hoping that he improves with faster ground, as IS sire stats point to good on most grounds but more on heavy and strangely gd/fm ..
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