Looks like Windsor will be abandoned,been raining all day and an inspection was forecast this morning and still raining now,that meeting looked ok as did Hamilton today very frysyrating as looked great betting cards...Now lerft wiith desperate ground with cards i don't like,can'y see anythingat newmarket and goodwood,redcars on my list of meeetings i never bet at but the only meeeting i have some things marked off,i never do any good there so will be very small stakes...
Redcar 3.30
Exalted Leader 5/1 generally Showalong 11/4
Desperate ground soft,maybe heavy at Redcar Exalted Leader 4th on debut here over c/d was quicker than the two divisions of the 2yr old auction races earlier on the card and compare favourably with the class 5..Winner London Palladium was having its second run,today was 3rd off 79 at goodwood and previous to that third off 79 at Chester..With normal progression you would expect Exalted Leader to be better than the winner,was beaten 13/4ls in 4th,what puts me off slightly is the second and third have been beaten since so would only be a small fancy,this could be a really good maiden for redcar as they are usually poor..The easterby horse was only 6th on debut but behind some decent horses a karl burke horse called Selected now rated 105 after coming second to Top Gear at york..the easterby horse was only 10/30 to win that race i suspect the ground was too quick sire stats suggest the ground will suit tomorrow..Also fahey has a runner thats had a run sire stats suggest will go on surface and the newcomer from the karl burke stable Millions out of pivotal so ground will be no problem cost 55,000,a very interesting maiden for redacr..
Probably looking at the place with so many unexposed,decent sire stats on heavy ground c/d form and hopefully the 13 draw will be ab advantage..have now added in easterbys because of draw being a disadvasntafe tp other pick,easterbys drawn in 1..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!
4.05
Chookie Dunedin 14/1 365 18/1 hills (5 places and other firms)
Chookie Dunedin not a turf horse i would follow as only won once,infact has become poorly handicapped because of its aw form,has alreadty finished behind some of these already this season,was rated 91 in the 2018 season got overated the mark came diown to sensible being in the 80
got placed a couple of times in 0-80s..For some reason has gone backwards from its 3yr old marks,only winning on the aw over 7fs off 61 in a Wolves handicap..resumed back on the turf in 0-75s not looking well handicapped..It has one recent run at Ayr on heavy ground where it came 4th in a 0-80,on that run then has an ew chance,i don't know what the draw will be here
Placed in 5th got 2.5 TRADED 1.21 In running..
Jill Rose 13/2 hills 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Somekindasuperstar 14/1 365 12/1 skybet 11/1 ppower/sportsbook NR [/B]
A low grade 0-60 Jill Rose has only won 1/22 or 1/14 on the turf,that was off 56 by three lengths as 3yr old last season,then was running on the aw a decent second in a 0-68 at thirsk on June 29th,tomorrow back in a 0-60 was last of seven over 5fs on last run but on fast groynd at catterick..She's off 58 on only her second ever run on ground thats softer or worse,sire coach house good stats on soft and heavy..
Somekindasuperstar trained by Paul Collins,only trained 4 winners and non fir 471 days so obviously not particularky confident..There are a few positves horse just seven lifetime runs,two runs on sift has run well a third behind War Of Clans over 6fs at donny in a 0-65 off 63,then last time out ran well at Ayr was only fifth of ten in a 0-65 but was stuck on the rail and switched to centre of track so a bit better than final result.
It was a very poor race for the grade,but gets a two pound drop running off 60 sire Fast Company 15% on soft and 16% on heavy..
Viva Voce looks well in off 59 only two lifetime runs on the aw,sire does poorly on sift ground Intense Focus but dtrangely on heavy almost a 25% strike rate,could well suit..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Hope ypu backed the Voce unreal 25% on heavy ground,had a non runner wghich made it easy decision,another right touch inctedible drift 20s on the fair,these sire stats are monstrous WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWGHHHHHHOOOOOSSSSHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!:lol::lol::lol: This is better than last year,absolutely flying. and in my multiples 16/1 sp unbelievable..Also got 1.5 jill rose 4 places and Voce 3s 4 places a thoroughly sumptuous day..
5.45
My Boy Lewis 11/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook/betfred House Deposit 7/2 365 Mango Chutney 6/1 ppower
Another very poor race,favourite House Deposit doesn't look well in but at least has known soft ground form a recnt third in a 0-65 then last time out looked like a false bit of form when was fifth in a 0-80 at York,don't know where that run came from,obviously on that run would be a very short pruced favourite it looks like false form so interesting to see if it can back it up..stats aren't great relating to extemes of going as well..
My Boy Lewis 1/17 on turf november 2018 over 6fs on soft ground,a third and a fifth off 69 and 70 over a mile in 2019 no more runs on soft and a second here over c/d in this grade,then a second here over a mile in again same grade..Last two runs has become very suspect missed break so much was beaten 99ls at ayr,dod the same previous run so it might be a regular thing now,so could only be minimal stake if he gets out on terms then has obvious ew chances he may just do the same again..Sire Dandy man has a 20% strike rate on heavy ground..
Mango Chuntneys won 5/35,finished last turf season on 70 runs on the aw brought his mark down,but last time out was a decent second on the aw off 57 in a 0-70 has never been allowed to run on very soft ground even though out of Sleeping Indian,is thrown in on best turf form but does need to prove itself on this grpund..Kyllacy dragon the last time it ran on turf it was second off 72 on soft griound,that was 2018 now rated just 62 would add for forecasts at least..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!RELENTLESS!!Was a huge price on those sire stats best soft ground form crazy stiff,as long as he got away!! 11/1 just 10p rule 4 Dandy man stats 20% on heavy twi big pruced winners tonight using the heavy ground sires..nice multis running on as well did all three 4 places so got my house deposit stake backk..as well mango was third as well monster saturday and redcar where i never bet,spent hours on the card and its paid off,and a chance of multi wins..got 16/1 11/4 and 11/1 riule 4 10p running on plus chokie dunedin traded 1.21..
6.45
War Defender 13/8
War defender i don't think he's a dodgepot keeos runninn into one he looks a solid 84-85 rated runner,runner up to throne hall last time out that one git beat yesterday but i suspect even though it got beat of 83 its better than that,the maiden they conested was quicker than the 0-85 on the night at hamilton..
And duly dogs it,annoying as even getting a place wouldv'e won me bombs have never seen the ground so slow anywhere lucky they race there today,i would gove this another chance because its defintely a solid 85 horse might get a decent price next time oput..
7.15
Wondrous Words 5/1 ppower/sportsbook Jacamundo 8/1 hills/365
Wondrous looks reasonably well handicapped on its debut run at haydock on sift ground,beaten over 61/4ls over a mile,winners rated 92 seconds rated 82 Wondrous words was third and Arabic Charm Shouldering and Bellatrixa behind,rated now 77,83 and Bellatrixas been tiuched off by New Chapter ran well in a 0-90 a week ago..Gets in here off 75,Lope De Vega 17% over the trip and 16% and 18% on soft and heavy still an interesting runner..Jackamiundo has been running poorly,3/15 on the turf last season won off 70 and 75 over this trip and was even fifth in a 0-95
off 81, then was trying new trips those runs have brought him down to just 72 again and the claimer takes off seven so off just 65..Ran terrible last time out although hampered but if on a going day then would be clear favourute to win this 0-75..off this mark.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Was absolutely chuckled in that dogs dinner of a race,jackamundos just running diore that wondrours words form and sire stars unreal Lope de vega 17% over the trip and 16 and 18% on heavhy,another monster day on huge winning run,best i can remember in months..Every time i post i muight have one or two poor days but coming straight back with winners big prices multiples,been fantastic won more than ever,gutted that thing bombed out at evens penultimate picj,wouldv'e won me fortunes..My ROI is absolutely huge..I had about another 5/6 winners marked off at other meetings as well just so much work i spent hours on these cards at windsor and redcar,usually i would bin redcar but went straught to sire stats,no doubt about it finding value when the grounds desperate there's no comparison plus far more enjoyable with a bigger edge that most can't be bothered loking through dozens of runners..
Windsors on ffs,i just presumed it was off,unbelievable it rained all day yesterday but only had 4mm of rain,maybe do something there in running but as per ended up on wrong meeting and looks like missed all the value,unreal..