Dublin Racing Festival

Why i hate bumpers.

Kilcruit looks a weapon and half but wont be running in open company till its nearly retirement age.
 
Desert Orchid said:
These are my short-lists for tomorrow's two handicaps.

They're based on a mixture of form, potential and gut instinct. I've included the best prices a moment ago but, other than taking 8/1 The Shunter earlier, hadn't checked the prices until then.

2.45
A Wave OTS14/1
Aramax10/1
The Shunter7/1
Epson Du Houx6/1

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I've taken AWOTS too now and will think about the others tomorrow. I was hoping both would be much longer prices.

3.50
Blue Sari20/1
Éclair De Beaufeu40/1
Eskylane16/1
Saint D’oroux16/1

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In terms of prices these are more like it but there's an element of the double-edged sword about them as there's always a degree of encouragement in seeing them go blue.
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A Wave OTS14/1won
Aramax10/1
The Shunter7/13rd
Epson Du Houx6/1

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Blue Sari20/1
Éclair De Beaufeu40/16th
Eskylane16/1
Saint D’oroux16/14th

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I decided against backing Aramax and Epson DH but backed all four in the hurdle. Happy enough with the returns in two very difficult races.
 
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Appreciate it wins as he likes tomorrow.
Would have given LE a chance against Monkfish over the trip on better ground but can't see it on ground bordering heavy.
 
Sunday thoughts:

1.40 - Just a race to watch. I half-expect Quilixios to win but suspect he's really just there to see how this field might measure up to Zanahiyr.

2.10 - Appreciate It already has an OR that would be good enough to make the frame in an average Supreme or Ballymore so it would be something of a surprise if he couldn't win. I'll fanny about with the market tomorrow for angles.

3.10 - Monkfish looks a good thing. Again, I'll look for value angles in the minor markets.

3.40 - Kemboy has a very high historical OR, going up to 174 for beating Clan Des Obeaux in the Betfair Bowl and then up again to 177 for beating Al Boum Photo in the Punchestown Gold Cup in 2019. So why is he back down below 170? Is it possible he needed last season to get over those exertions? Is he over them? Will it matter? I'm still a very big Minella Indo fan and fancy this one to put up a really big performance here.

I'll put up my handicap short-list in the morning, if not before.
 
I came on this morning to tip A Wave OTS then noticed DO had already guided you all and I didn't want to plagiarise his work. So rather than be a plagiarist I'll just have to settle for after-timer. 21/1 on exchange. :cool:
 
What a really good days racing that was. 5 winners that were all there to be backed and will run big races at Cheltenham, and Simon Torrens winning on the the two JP plots in the handicaps. The quality today was extremely high. More of the same tomorrow. Happy days.
 
Maruco said:
What a really good days racing that was. 5 winners that were all there to be backed and will run big races at Cheltenham, and Simon Torrens winning on the the two JP plots in the handicaps. The quality today was extremely high. More of the same tomorrow. Happy days.
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Problem is all the JP horses look like plots.
 
Maruco said:
What a really good days racing that was. 5 winners that were all there to be backed and will run big races at Cheltenham, and Simon Torrens winning on the the two JP plots in the handicaps. The quality today was extremely high. More of the same tomorrow. Happy days.
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It was the biggest buzz from a day's racing that I've had for many a day. Some fabulous performances that normally we mightn't see until the month of March. Honeysuckle to me was excellent today, how could you knock her? And Chacun Pour Soi, Energumene and Kilcruit also fully delivered.

Which leads me to wonder: with the Mullins camp committing so much to this festival, can they also peak for Cheltenham and the rest of the spring festivals?
 
Which leads me to wonder: with the Mullins camp committing so much to this festival, can they also peak for Cheltenham and the rest of the spring festivals?
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Of course they can
 
Grey said:
It was the biggest buzz from a day's racing that I've had for many a day. Some fabulous performances that normally we mightn't see until the month of March. Honeysuckle to me was excellent today, how could you knock her? And Chacun Pour Soi, Energumene and Kilcruit also fully delivered.

Which leads me to wonder: with the Mullins camp committing so much to this festival, can they also peak for Cheltenham and the rest of the spring festivals?
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Think that is going to be the biggest factor for the DRF from here on in. There was a 100k handicap chase yesterday with three JPs hammer and tongs over the last. Suggests that there are plenty that are viewing this as the big day.
 
HawkWing said:
Think that is going to be the biggest factor for the DRF from here on in. There was a 100k handicap chase yesterday with three JPs hammer and tongs over the last. Suggests that there are plenty that are viewing this as the big day.
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Only because they are not in JP's Cheltenhan plans.
 
Today's two handicaps - long/short lists.

I've italicised the ones I decided against backing (mainly from a value perspective) so the ones that are left comprise the short lists.

2.40
Heroes Of Renown40/1
The Jam Man12/1
Unexpected Depth11/1
Damalisque5/1
Maze Runner40/1
Frontal Assault10/1

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4.10
Blazer28/1
Trainwreck16/1
Fitzhenry28/1
Farclas6/1
Minella Times15/2
Bapaume14/1
Mortal80/1
Fan De Blues16/1
Crossed My Mind 15/2

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Slim said:
Only because they are not in JP's Cheltenhan plans.
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Perhaps. Mortals would have liked to have Drop the Anchor on your side in a Chelt handicap off yesterday's mark. The point is that these are as valuable as the cheltenham handicaps. And either horses are trained for the minute with this in mind or cheltenham. It will be a very dominant horse that can go to the well twice.
 
HawkWing said:
Perhaps. Mortals would have liked to have Drop the Anchor on your side in a Chelt handicap off yesterday's mark. The point is that these are as valuable as the cheltenham handicaps. And either horses are trained for the minute with this in mind or cheltenham. It will be a very dominant horse that can go to the well twice.
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No that's all fair. Someone out up the winner to me and had a nice touch but I couldn't rule out any of his. That's the genius of JP, they all look like plots and you never know if off/not off and he plays to that.
 
Slim said:
No that's all fair. Someone out up the winner to me and had a nice touch but I couldn't rule out any of his. That's the genius of JP, they all look like plots and you never know if off/not off and he plays to that.
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Not directly related. But when you release the explosive biography, who will be the true genius of the JP empire and how plot heavy do you think he is involved
 
Desert Orchid said:
2.40
Heroes Of Renown40/1
The Jam Man12/1
Unexpected Depth11/1
Damalisque5/1
Maze Runner40/1
Frontal Assault10/1

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Heroes Of Renown40/1
The Jam Man12/1
Unexpected Depth11/12nd
Damalisque5/13rd
Maze Runner40/11st
Frontal Assault10/1

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Good to see the figures and gut performing well.
 
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