What run was Sea The Stars given 136 for does anybody know?
That article from the Rankings Committee is very clear about the difference between international ratings for championship horses, which are an assessment of achievement alone, and handicap marks, which are an assessment not only of what a horse has achieved but also of what extra ability it might hold in reserve.
I'd have liked a bit more explanation, though, about why ratings from the 80s and early 90s are relatively inflated compared with now.
Rip Van Winkle, Paco Boy and the 1000 Guineas winner (mind gone blank on that one!) were missing. But it did not matter as she hammered them so far and with little effort it justifies her rating - that day I think she would have beaten STS over a mile or indeed any other recent top miler.
Rip Van Winkle, Paco Boy and the 1000 Guineas winner (mind gone blank on that one!) were missing. But it did not matter as she hammered them so far and with little effort it justifies her rating - that day I think she would have beaten STS over a mile or indeed any other recent top miler.
Simplistically:
If Aqlaam is 120, then Goldikova = 120 + 6*2 - 3 = 129
If Virtual is 120, then Goldikova = 120 + 11*2 - 3 = 139
So to get less than 130, you have to say that everything else in the race ran below form bar Aqlaam, and then you ignore Aqlaam and Virtual running to within a length of that form when finishing 1st and 3rd in the Moulin a few weeks later. For me, 130 is low on the conservative end of the realistic range for that performance.
2 lbs per length is a common poundage used over a mile. Different handicappers will use different poundages, but most would probably fit somewhere close to that, give or take a quarter of a pound or so.
I don't think anyone has suggested Ghanaati would have beaten Sea The Stars on her Guineas form;
Simplistically:
If Aqlaam is 120, then Goldikova = 120 + 6*2 - 3 = 129
If Virtual is 120, then Goldikova = 120 + 11*2 - 3 = 139
So to get less than 130, you have to say that everything else in the race ran below form bar Aqlaam, and then you ignore Aqlaam and Virtual running to within a length of that form when finishing 1st and 3rd in the Moulin a few weeks later. For me, 130 is low on the conservative end of the realistic range for that performance.