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Newbury Hurdle entries.

Don't know if it's just Scottish but 'wide' attributes similar traits those of a 'Bengal Lancer' (ie chancer).

Once on holiday up north, we were at the breakfast table when the waitress came to take our order. My mother-in-law said that rather than the full Scottish, she just wanted egg, bacon and beans. I said, 'Give her the full Scottish and I'll have the rest of it,'to mutterings from Mrs O and Orchidette.

Sharp as you like, the waitress said, 'Ach, you're just a wee wide-o!' which was met with howls of laughter from the rest.

I've never been allowed to forget it.
 
Don't think he's been mentioned yet here, but fully expect Favour and Fortune to run a big race. Nowhere near the sort of price I'd be looking for, indicating too many already in the know. Shame.

Aucunrisque winked at me in the paddock pre-race 2 years ago.
L'eau Du Sud whispered ' something will do me at the last' last year, but I ignored him and went on the nose (at something like 34 (I think, memory is not what it was) on BF. How couldn't you! a ridiculous price.

What 'clues' will Favour give on the walk around, I wonder.

He might just (rather elaborately) say '2 miles, you're having a laugh. That Ayr form was an anomaly. I'm a Soldier Of Fortune. A good one mind, and that's why I got away with it last season. But my day will come, possibly in the Coral Cup or maybe further. But...if I can win here..and win well...you'll half wish you'd got on at around 20s for the County, Chaumi.'

Signed Dr DoChaumi
 
Lump Sum Dylan Johnston (3)
Iberico Lord tbc
Favour And Fortune Tom Cannon
Minella Missile Adam Wedge
Fiercely Proud Ben Jones
Our Champ tbc
Beat The Bat Bryan Carver
Washington Paul O'Brien
Aucunrisque tbc
Givemefive Harry Cobden
Josh The Boss Mr Jamie Neild (7)
Secret Squirrel Sean Bowen
Mirabad Luke Scott (5)
Williethebuilder Kielan Woods
Go Dante James Bowen
Navajo Indy Gavin Sheehan
Joyeuse Nico de Boinville
King William Rufus Charlie Maggs (5)
 
Updated going Soft gd-sft in places going stick 4.0 so which is it ? Rain and snow forecast would you be looking for a mudlark for this ? I reckon you could do worse.
 
Needless to say I am the world's leading authority on the true meaning of going stick readings at different tracks and I'm 16 miles south of Newbury as the sober crow flies - I will believe there will be appreciable rain (4mm max, I'd say) when I see it.

So put your umbrella away, Daniel, "chillax" (check me out with my 21st century terminology) and await further developments - if any.
 
Don't think he's been mentioned yet here, but fully expect Favour and Fortune to run a big race. Nowhere near the sort of price I'd be looking for, indicating too many already in the know. Shame.

I don't know whether else would of noticed but if Gary Nutting flags up one of Alan kings it's always really well backed beyond the bits of tipster puts one up money. I'd bank my left goolie that he has a good connection at the yard.
 
Favour reportedly had a setback some time before the Ascot race. I don't think they were expecting fireworks there. The Betfair was always the next most logical target. And (so far) no rain. I'm in Feltham right now, not a million miles down the M4 from Newbury, slightly damp this morning but generally dry. Might be good to soft if nothing changes, AK has always thought Favour might like it more on better ground.
 
Yes, and before that the word came out just before the County that earlier in the season Saint Roi was their Supreme horse before he met a minor setback. Then he turns up in the County off 137, hacks up and goes up to 151 for it and eventually 156. Irish runners filled the first four places and were nearly four lengths clear of a Hendo job.
I understand that many are partial to a nice hendo job - not just you.
 
I'm one of the world's great innocents...

There's no going map graphic so far at Turftrax but a current going stick reading of 4.0 points to heavy ground. They're also using frost covers which won't allow it dry out much and in any case drying ground tends to be more holding, according to racing lore. I think it might be quite a test of stamina at the trip.

This is what it's currently saying at Turftrax:

Newbury
Soft
Good to Soft (in places) Take offs/ landings & vulnerable areas being covered today (Wednesday). (Entire track verti-drained from 16th January & completed ahead of the rain)
 
I've just had a closer look at the final field and the intrigue of the race deepens with the card showing Freddie Gordon not riding any of his father's three but last year's winner Iberico Lord instead, with Freddie Gingell claiming three off old Aucunrisque and Charlie Maggs (5) still on King William Rufus.

I think what the big handicaps last weekend at Leopardstown showed was that the form book can sometimes be thrown out the window with well backed winners like Perceval Legallois, Backtonormal and McLaurey either making considerable improvement or being brought out of the woodwork and this race has a history of similar outcomes, especially where JP McManus is concerned.
 
The RP cards had Rex Dingle riding both earlier (very flexible). I see they’ve changed that now with the other Freddie G (Gingell) up on Aucunrisque. Freddie Gordon rides Press Your Luck for his father earlier at Newbury so a bit puzzling that he’s not on one of the three alright. I guess the chance to ride last year’s winner for JO and NJH is hard to pass up
 
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I'm upgrading my rain prediction from 4mm to 6mm locally at Newbury in the next 24 hours, but even so I wouldn't necessarily be concerned about the ground being certain to be truly Heavy.

I agree the latest stick reading of 4.0 is alarming on paper, but verti-draining can cause artificially-low readings in its immediate wake despite effectively draining the ground.

Last year they verti-drained, the reading was 4.1 over hurdles yet Iberico Lord was only eight seconds slower than standard, circa 0.5 seconds per furlong which is Good to Soft by many measures.

Over fences the stick was 3.5 and yet Edwardstone and Shishkin were only circa half a second per furlong slower than standard too with negligible (11 yards in three races on the card) rail movement.

It was remarkable last year - prolonged rain had left many fields flooded in the general area, but the times suggested the verti-drained track really wasn't that bad despite the alarming stick readings.
 
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I'm upgrading my rain prediction from 4mm to 6mm locally at Newbury in the next 24 hours, but even so I wouldn't necessarily be concerned about the ground being certain to be truly Heavy.

I agree the latest stick reading of 4.0 is alarming on paper, but verti-draining can cause artificially-low readings in its immediate wake despite effectively draining the ground.

Last year they verti-drained, the reading was 4.1 over hurdles yet Iberico Lord was only eight seconds slower than standard, circa 0.5 seconds per furlong which is Good to Soft by many measures.

Over fences the stick was 3.5 and yet Edwardstone and Shishkin were only circa half a second per furlong slower than standard too with negligible (11 yards in three races on the card) rail movement.

It was remarkable last year - prolonged rain had left many fields flooded in the general area, but the times suggested the verti-drained track really wasn't that bad despite the alarming stick readings.

Much appreciated, Ian.

I noted the verti-draining remark in the going report and wondered how often they do that there (first I'd heard of them doing it - I know they did it Ayr many years ago) or whether it had been done before since I don't recall reading it before.

Let it rain, then. It should make no difference to Joyeuse hacking up
 
Fair play to Tanlic for thinking Joyeuse would make the cut when I started this thread. I thought she had no chance.

I still think Mr Davies has been on to something, with his assessment of Navajo Indy.

I mentioned Mirabad in my opening remarks when starting this thread. I think he'll run well for a long way, likely from the front again. It's all about how he see's it out. This is a hotter contest than last time, so he needs to have improved again.

It would be lovely to see Go Dante run a better race wouldn't it. That would set him up nicely for a race like the Imperial Cup at Sandown again.

Good luck all tomorrow.

Hopefully no hard luck stories.
 
I think Freddie Gordon couldn't do the weight for King William.
His lowest weight is 10.3
10.6 - 5lb is 10.1
 
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