Novice Chasers 2020 / 2021

Diamond Geezer

Diamond Geezer

Gone But Not Forgotten
Joined
May 2, 2003
Messages
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Presume people have heard about a crucial change in the rules that now allow novices who won for the first time over fences or hurdlers after February 1st this year to remain novices until December 1st. Paul Nicholls has hinted that this opens up more options for horses like McFabulous, Grand Sancy, Thyme White and Southfield Harvest.
 
I hadn't seen this Roger. Thanks for highlighting. There will be others outside of Ditcheat that will have slipped under everyone's radar.

The question is whether the new program really supports these extra non-novices.
 
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Todays 3.05 at Uttoxeter looks a smart little race

Ballyhome did OK to win at Market Rasen but the form looks nothing special and Winter Getaway has a chance at the wights but lacks experience so think it’s between the top 2 in the market

Liked The Butcher Said last year and he's built to be a chaser, but he looked a little bit novicey first time out, unlike Longhouse Sale who looked a natural don’t think either the step up in trip or double penalty will stop him. Think he’ll win and the only downer is the price…
 
Think both of them could be pretty good and definitely better than summer jumpers. The Butcher Said gets a 9/10 for his jumping, but Longhouse gets full marks!
 
The Butchers Said goes in the 13.10 at Bangor. He's a shade of odds on but think 3m will suit and expect him to win...
 
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13.00 at Fontwell looks a reasonable little race…

Second season novice Coolanly has some decent form in the book, including a 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] to Henry VIII winner Esprit Du Large, but think he may be worth taking on as is marginally disappointing in my view

I’m siding with I K Brunel, who’s got a course win, goes well fresh, softer ground’s no problem, just about top rated on hurdles form and supposedly is a “anything he did over hurdles was a bonus” type… What’s not to like!

Post race update: just one more more stride, one....
 
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While the withdrawal of AOB’s Arc runners is unfortunate a more serious [emoji16] consequence of Feedgate is that Joseph’s A Wave of the Sea has been withdrawn from the Like a Butterfly novice chase at Tipperary where he’d surely have given Galvin something to think about in receipt of a stone.


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Field of five for the Listed Novices Chase at Chepstow on Saturday, Fiddlerontheroof, Fusil Raffles, Grand Sancy, Longhouse Sale and Paint The Dream.
 
Smart little 3m chase at Chepstow this afternoon, but am struggling to find a bet

Ask Dillon – strong in the market, yard in form
Enrilo – one of those “always been a chaser in the making…” types
Ofalltheginjoints – bit to find on hurdles ratings, but has a course win and cd be the time to catch him
Red River – PTP background but very disappointing behind Champ on his one goes over fences last year. Given time so maybe worth a chance
The Cashel Man – Best of these over hurdles but flat bred…

Probably just one to watch, but may have a little interest in Enrilo and Red River if the prices drift enough
 
Perpetual said:
Smart little 3m chase at Chepstow this afternoon, but am struggling to find a bet

Ask Dillon – strong in the market, yard in form
Enrilo – one of those “always been a chaser in the making…” types
Ofalltheginjoints – bit to find on hurdles ratings, but has a course win and cd be the time to catch him
Red River – PTP background but very disappointing behind Champ on his one goes over fences last year. Given time so maybe worth a chance
The Cashel Man – Best of these over hurdles but flat bred…

Probably just one to watch, but may have a little interest in Enrilo and Red River if the prices drift enough
Click to expand...

All the money is for Ask Dillon so far. I’ll be interested in seeing how Red River and The Mighty Don perform - but a watching brief only.
 
Enrilo just run out of it. Jumped well but didn’t find much from the last (only saw the closing stages)


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And the winner was the one I didn’t mention :lol:

He did incredibly well to get up as was comfortably out-jumped at most fences & clearly stays well. A likeable performance but can’t believe he’d beat the winner next time if they met under the same conditions

As you say viking, Enrilo jumped great (bar 1) and just got caught after the last. I liked that and think he’ll turn out to be a decent chaser
 
Nice 2 1/2m listed race this afternoon and here’s my brief assessment:

Fiddlerontheroof – top rated hurdler, always going to be a chaser, decent course form (a positive at Chepstow). Almost certain to come on for the run and trainer had an in & out day yesterday
Fusil Raffles – Good hurdler, ground fine and step up in trip should suit. Will improve from Uttoxeter but will have to as wasn’t overly impressed with his jumping. No course form
Grand Sancy – Experienced chaser and taking advantage of extended novice season. Ran in some of the top races last year. Jumps well, back on decent going which is a positive, has a course win and stable started incredibly well
Longhouse Sale – Not quite up to the others on hurdles OR’s, but has had a great summer and looks a complete natural over fences. No course form
Paint the Dream – The most experienced but without a win in 5 goes over fences. Good 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] in the Dipper but that’s not really working out. Ground shd be fine but looks up against it

At the prices will stick with Longhouse Sale’s jumping to get him home, with a saver on Grand Sancy
 
Longhouse Sale looks the value alright. Fusil Raffles didn’t impress on debut and was flattered IMO as the runner up folded approaching the last. Don’t like Grand Sancy over fences and he may be better going right handed anyway


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Bollox. Fusil Raffles taken out so no value on Longhuse Sale


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Right interesting beginners chase at Tipp tomorrow.

Captain guiness is out and taking him on is one that might interest grassy, a half brother to that monkey Great field
 
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