Number Six, I think you'd have to dig the video out again of the only race that Lynch won of those that are alleged to have been laid. His 5 year S/R is 10% so he's down on that, but that could only be seen as an indicative benchmark in any event. It looked to me as if the opposition didn't get to him as he was hardly vigorous on it and seemed to be inviting challenges that never materialised (perhaps the second and third had been laid by other gangs hitherto unknown
).
I tend to agree with Garney that in the same way as jockeys can screw up winning a race, they can equally screw up in trying to lose one if the horse doesn't co-operate, or the effort needed to suddenly stop it, would be so blatant that they just couldn't do it, and hope not to get noticed. If you're going to try and routinely pull such a stunt, your efforts to ride have to look plausible, in order to remain undetected. It almost looked to me as if he resigned himself to the fact that this one had gone wrong, and under the circumstances the best thing to do might be to cut your losses and win the race. At the very least it provides a defence that could be invoked in the future for both parties. Indeed, there's something on the tape where Rogers talks about slipping in one a week, and seems to suggest that perhaps they'd over extended themselves in trying for 3 in a day.
"Don't
WE get ourselves in some fecking trouble"
followed by
"That cost me a winner"
Why the CPS never chose to enhance the bugged recording I don't know? but on the 'balance of probability' the burden of proof for a civil case such as libel, Lynch should surely have been asked "what cost you a winner?". As Garney said, there was a kind of jocular relationship to it, and it sounded like a cock up, but hey, what the hell, no serious damage done now, but that was a near miss - type of conversation.
When Fallon wasn't able to produce the same returns though, they appear to have made a journey from Harrogate to within a mile of his house. Why? Sort of thing we all do periodically isn't it? Fancy a midnight drive? yeah, lets go 100 miles. I hear Newmarket's nice at about 12 o'clock, or more precisely a little village a couple of miles outside of it.
Doubtless the BBC will want to present a certain angle and it isn't necessarily difficult to do.
Perhaps I'm drawing an incorrect paralell, but we've all seen various consumer affairs programmes before now for decades. One thing that always seems to happen is that when the rogue trader gets challenged, they always resort to violence, swearing, or aggresive behaviour. I can't think of hardly any instances where the accussed invites the team in to discuss things in a civil manner. The reaction of the 'layers' was just so consistant with that behavioural pattern.
Still, we'll see if there's any fall out or not, but I should perhaps acknowledge the role played by Betfair. They would stand to lose from this programme in theory, but seem to have played a very co-operative and open hand