It was in the immediate aftermath Clive.
One of the first questions people ask is Who? The BBC were trotting out "experts" to tell us that this was well planned, and meticulous etc and this naturally led to speculation that it was the work of a well funded and fully trained cell. Some immediately drew the paralells with Mumbai because of the weapons used. Again, they probably carried in the region of 500 rounds between the 3 of them. 12 bodies is a very small total when set alongside Mumbai. My own read on it was that it was closer to the Boston bombing and the work of homegrown. In fairness Hamm pointed out some of the random things they were prepared to leave to chance, and the fact that they seemed to want to survive and escape rather than enter into the glory martyrdom was being missed by the so-called 'experts' (or at least I never heard anyone comment on it). It struck me at the time that this was likely the actions of someone(s) with western influence rather than being die hard jihadists from Tora Bora
That was close to 36 hours ago. We've moved on now, and sure enough, this is the picture that's emerging.
I'd agree that a victim is dead, is dead, is dead, and that it doesn't necessarily matter if its a cell or a freelancer. After you calm down, you'll come to realise that if you want to seek conflict with them, it doesn't matter whether you put them on the end of a snipers bullet, or torture them and feed them to pigs. The result is the same, and you're better off to take the emotion out of it and try and make strategic decisions.
Now you say it doesn't necessarily matter at one level, but at another it most definitely does. If we're talking about a generation starting emerge of homegrown threats from within Europe (and it is of course a massive extrapolation to go that far at this early stage) but that does become a different type of threat. It needs to be remembered that although this was by far the biggest body count, it's actually about the fourth such incident in France in the last month.
France has the largest muslim population in western Europe I think (not sure if German Turks out number them in truth?) France also has the most mature extreme right wing political organisation (can't think of a better word off-hand, but I'm sure you know what I mean? - the NF can't be considered a fringe party in France). France also has greater exposure to the northern African gateway. All things considered, if I were looking for the first tension points in western Europe to tell me that the epicentre was shifting and coming closer to home, then I'd be looking for evidence in France. I believe it's starting to emerge, and sadly, I take a pretty dystopic view of the future.
I think we are on a slide into conflict, and I think Europe will be the battleground in the future. The demographics of Europe will also look different in 30-40 years, and France in particular.
It was mentioned on this thread I believe that Islam needs a reformation. Well yes it does, but it was equally acknowledged it ain't gonna happen. So where is the end game? I'm afraid I take an altogether more dismal view that we will not succeed in embracing this religion/ culture/ mindset in our ways. They are going to fight and seek to destroy us and the whole thing could escalate very quickly. I honestly don't think we're remotely close to being prepared or equipped.
We need a global response to attack radical Islam at source without favour to trading nations. We also need to bring countries who can support that drive into the campaign. Europe might conceivably be able to function as a bloc, but no single European country has the resources to sustain this. Our militaries simply aren't big enough and we continue to hollow them out. Our "military prowess" (to parrot Cameron) is going to be stretched to breaking point defending British streets. Just look how the French are struggling at the moment. It took the American's, (with all their resources) about 3 days to hunt down the Boston bomber
How much more do you think we'll accept? What type of incident might prove a tipping point? And do you not accept that there is a danger that some people will start to lose confidence in the authorities to defend them and start taking unilateral action?