The 2020 Longshot Thread

Some decent ones there DO.i did cliffs of dooneen 16/1 10 places.

Tomorrow.
Baltic baron 335 I cant believe its drifted to 40/1 so I've gone in again and also 20/1 10 places and a bit of 80/1 2 places.
I could sulking for weeks.
 
First up today is Zhui Feng 20/1 in the opener. He's well-weighted on his best form and well-drawn. He wasn't far behind Bell Rock, one of the favourites for the proper race, last time and is more likely to have been prepping for this rather than trying its heart out then. Martin Dwyer has ridden him in three of his best five RPR performances, two of which were at this course and he's a past Hunt Cup winner (2017) off 6lbs higher and was rated 14lbs higher at his peak. Not my main bet in the race but worth a saver.
 
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2.25 Trumpet Man 25/1 - I think this year more than ever we might need to look beyond the form book. I've long been a believer in interpreting trainers' intentions as much as form in races of this nature, an approach that has served me well, and I latched on to Mark Johnston in this race a long time ago. He tends to go in mob-handed but 'only' has three this time. Unfortunately he's booked Ryan Moore and Frankie for two of them but I'm hoping Joe Fanning was allowed free choice to pick Trumpet Man and with the jockey likely to try and control the pace I'm hoping he can avoid trouble in running. Again, not my main bet in the race; just a hopeful saver.
 
Outsider said:
Baltic baron 335 I cant believe its drifted to 40/1 so I've gone in again and also 20/1 10 places and a bit of 80/1 2 places.
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Joined you at 33/1, Outsider. Decent place prospects and one of many possible winners in the race.

There's another in the race I plan to back but will wait until later as I expect it to drift a bit.
 
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Desert Orchid said:
Joined you at 33/1, Outsider. Decent place prospects and one of many possible winners in the race.

There's another in the race I plan to back but will wait until later as I expect it to drift a bit.
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I'm not having a good day.

The one I've waited for is Petrus which I've taken at 33/1 to 7 places. He didn't drift as I'd hoped but he has a fair combination of form credentials and draw.
 
Good run for the place, Outsider. I'm happy enough with that.

It wasn't a particularly satisfactory race from my point of view in the sense that I found I could make strong cases for nearly all the market leaders and found it difficult to pick one over any of the others so I left them all alone, especially as they all seemed to have tough draws to overcome. BB and Petrus were my only two bets in the race but only because of the prices.
 
Desert Orchid said:
I'm not having a good day.

The one I've waited for is Petrus which I've taken at 33/1 to 7 places. He didn't drift as I'd hoped but he has a fair combination of form credentials and draw.
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I am not having a great week but the meeting is still very young!!!
 
4.40 - I'll probably nibble at a couple in this. Hochfeld 40/1 is first up. He has done me the odd favour in the past and I think he could be chucked in off 98, having once been up to just about winning at this level off 103.
 
Desert Orchid said:
4.40 - I'll probably nibble at a couple in this. Hochfeld 40/1 is first up. He has done me the odd favour in the past and I think he could be chucked in off 98, having once been up to just about winning at this level off 103.
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Added Amazing Red 50/1, also has decent old form.
 
Thursday

1.15 - Bronze River 20/1 - entitled to be on as much of a curve as anything else in the race and the Turnip is an interesting engagement for a stable in flying form.
 
Two outsiders against the field in the Jersey as I'm struggling to enthuse too much about my tracker horse Final Song or indeed the other market leaders:

Mystery Power 22/1 and Symbolize 33/1, both long prices considering their form credentials and stable form. Enhanced places available too.
 
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Britannia - I've taken 28/1 Cherokee Trail to 6 places. It's a tracker horse and should be suited by dropping back in trip but maybe not by the ground, probably a factor in his price, but 28/1 for Gosden-Coolmore-Moore in a handicap?
 
Good to see you back at it D.O after all the trouble with your eyes. Good luck with the thread and the bets in general. Hope you're all well and winning. Still on a break myself but hoping to return to the game for next jumps season providing all's well so I might be popping in a bit more often.
 
Can't resist a small ew at 66/1 King Of Athens, mainly because I don't really fancy the other Coolmore one too much so why are they sending a total rag over in current circumstances?
 
50/1 place on whoever called Symbolise. Thank you.

I know nothing about flat, so following some shouts on here and ain’t doing to bad. So thank you all.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Two outsiders against the field in the Jersey as I'm struggling to enthuse too much about my tracker horse Final Song or indeed the other market leaders:

Mystery Power 22/1 and Symbolize 33/1, both long prices considering their form credentials and stable form. Enhanced places available too.
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Symbolize third 40/1. Another place return for the thread.
 
Friend of mine just had a 20p treble come in on the first three winners that paid £250. Nice.
 
I've decided I can afford a pop at the Chesham so have landed on March Law 28/1. Might be one of the few likely to appreciate the ground and should stay strongly.
 
Well done. I really liked I’m on the way to post. Not as much as I liked Battleground who just oozes quality but I definitely liked him.
 
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