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The 2026 Grimthorpe Handicap Chase

Ian_Davies

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May 7, 2023
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Hampshire
Tbh, this was a bit of a nothing race back in the day - it's been 2m150yds and it's been 4m100yds, but it's evolved into a decent 3m2f Handicap Chase nowadays, the distance the Great Yorkshire in January used to be over.

Anyway, it's got a decent entry - and the betting is open - so I reckon it's worth a thread.

Ante-Post Betting: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-r...ational-hunt/grimthorpe-handicap-chase/winner
 
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I wonder if dual winner of this race Moroder can muster up another effort. Showed a spark of enthusiasm lto. He's certainly handicapped to give it another bash.
 
I took 10/1 on Kelce the other day as it won well for me on its latest start at Musselburgh where it looked the winner throughout the race.
Interesting to see that all three Neil Mulholland horses have stood their ground.
WIll be interesting to see how they price up Mullhollands Rubber Ball in the 2 10 at Newbury. Beat Tutti Quanti this time last year over c/d. Off the same mark now, after showing nothing since.
 
here's a funangle from chatGPT. I loaded last 10 years of trends from Horseracebase. Based on thise, this is what chatGPT came up with.

Strongest Trend Fits (Non-Cheltenham Model)​


🟢 1. Theformismighty (9yo, 118, 32 days, 12/1)​


  • Age ideal
  • Fresh enough
  • Big RPR (147)
  • Mid-range price
  • Not favourite
  • Stayer profile

Most complete trend alignment.




🟢 2. Destroytheevidence (8yo, 12/1)​


  • Slight age negative (8 not ideal but acceptable)
  • OR 134 workable
  • Price sweet spot
  • Trainer Bailey historically strong in this race



🟢 3. Lord Accord (11yo, 20/1)​


  • Age perfect
  • Big price (race allows this)
  • Only concern: 98 days off

If fit, fits race pattern extremely well.
 
For anyone who backed Destroytheevidence, resulting in a too bad to be true disappointment...

The theory looks to be that the previous Wincanton effort in blinkers took too much out of him, and he just didn't want to know this time.

I guess that doesn't paint a good picture for the future, since we won't know if he can bounce back until proven. Shame, but might be worth remembering, if he'd have been up for it there's a good chance we'd be talking about a horse with a Grimthorpe medal.
 
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