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The 2026 Longshot Thread

Slim said:
It only has two completions over hurdles. It won't be off today
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My bad. I didn't realise the non-completion wouldn't have counted as a run. Just checked the result. Certainly reads like another day is pencilled in somewhere along the line.
 
The Fortune Teller said:
Wolverhampton

5.30 The Caltonian is available at 25/1 which seems very fair for an each way bet. This horse is now on its last winning mark of 88, which was from January last year at Newcastle, where he had We Never Stop and Albasheer behind him, both of whom have won since, and are quite good horses on their day.

I just think if The Caltonian is on a going day, he could run very well. He wants to come through horses late on so hopefully this race might set up nicely for him if they go a proper tempo, and maybe an argument could be made, were he with a bigger trainer he'd be a shorter price. Of course it all depends if he returns to his best form, but at 25/1, I'm happy to pay to find out.
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Won yesterday at 33s.
 
Nonannyimfine said:
Good racing today. Going to back ballynorth ew in the first at Wincanton at 13.33. About 28/1 seems respectable for this stable and jockey combo.
Also going to back for Toby Kanobee at astronomical odds in the 14.33. May the farce be with you!
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Both ran as well as could be expected and will stick them in the notebook. That Nichols horse looks decent to be fair.
 
Generous1991 said:
I had just started to think he might win when he blundered at the second last.
Ran well anyway - one to look out for next time.
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Disappointing that Bleu D'Enfer runs from 7 lbs out of the handicap in the Scottish Champion Chase tomorrow. I thought he was well handicapped, but ...
I guess as a Scot and a big supporter of Scottish racing the owner wants to be well represented on a big day at Musselburgh.

Edit: Or perhaps they'll save him for the Sunday race, in which case I'll have a pop.
 
Last edited:
Island Run 3.42 Kempton.
I was on this the other week at Newbury. Faded on the run in, after looking the likely winner between the last two flights. That was after a little absence + over 3m.
Todays shorter trip ought to suit. He has course form + is well handicapped on it.
He is on the drift, but 28s at Ladbrookes is too big to ignore.
 
Robicheaux said:
Island Run 3.42 Kempton.
I was on this the other week at Newbury. Faded on the run in, after looking the likely winner between the last two flights. That was after a little absence + over 3m.
Todays shorter trip ought to suit. He has course form + is well handicapped on it.
He is on the drift, but 28s at Ladbrookes is too big to ignore.
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Good work to get 28s! 12s best now
 
Some of the drop on Island Run was due to the Skelton horse coming out. But, still, on the face of it, it looked like super-generous odds when Robi posted.

The 'problem' we've got, if there is one, is that Hobbs has been running the horse over 3 miles most of its adult life. You might argue a bit late to drop in distance, though maybe a lightbulb came on after Newbury.

No brainer, though, at the earlier odds.
 

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