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The 2026 William Hill Handicap Hurdle

When something is heavily drifting on the Exchange, they put a snowflake-looking thing next to it (or a flame when something is heavily shortening)
 
chaumi said:
Thanks Dan, great stuff.

Yeah, my wording was flawed (or left open to misinterpretation, let's say). What I should have said is 'prepared like a preparedy preparedy thing'.

That means since the Warwick bumper in 2023, and (I don't know how long Skelton has actually had her), maybe for a year or two before that.

The thing is...I believe Live Conti would have walked it...with over a stone more than Let It Rain.

And the fact that Skelton likely (along with the bookies and everyone else) believes that Conti will now win the County (before taking next year's Arkle), suggests he already knew he had Saturday's winner and could afford to let Conti stay home in the warm.

The only other likely interpretation I see is he thought there just wasn't quite enough time between Windsor and Newbury, and Windsor all along was actually the County prep. We'll see if Conti pops up in something between now and March.

Like most, thoughts are the current price for Saturday doesn't look attractive. But it will afterwards if she pisses it. What price then the Mares. And, barring those at the top of the market already mentioned, it doesn't look a particularly deep field.

There's a chance she could get the BF icy symbol on Saturday, given the chances on paper of the other two. That might make it look a little more attractive on the day.
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Live Conti OFS , tendon strain.
 
I'm not really getting it how a class 4 handicap at Ascot, in November is going to have a big bearing on this class 1 handicap here. Of the market leaders, Twyston Davis horse obviously had an impossible task trying to give 6lb to Old Grange Star. Third home that day, wasn't beaten far in a G2. He'd be my idea of the winner + I may back it on the day..Happy enough with the 66s on Faivoir ew.
 
Faivoir won't be a surprise if he goes first 5, the Ascot race mid Jan he didn't stay, the one before that may have not been soft enough.

But can we really see an 11 year old winning a race this valuable?

The Skelton yard will surely already know whether Faivoir can get anywhere close to Let It Rain. Yeah, on the face of it, the Ascot Nov race arguably doesn't cut it. I suspect they just didn't want Let It Rain to win that.
 
chaumi said:
Faivoir won't be a surprise if he goes first 5, the Ascot race mid Jan he didn't stay, the one before that may have not been soft enough.

But can we really see an 11 year old winning a race this valuable?

The Skelton yard will surely already know whether Faivoir can get anywhere close to Let It Rain. Yeah, on the face of it, the Ascot Nov race arguably doesn't cut it. I suspect they just didn't want Let It Rain to win that.
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No, but at the price I'm attempting some ew thievery. Reproduces his run in this race last season, or his Greatwood this. He should be in the frame again.
 
Robicheaux said:
I'm not really getting it how a class 4 handicap at Ascot, in November is going to have a big bearing on this class 1 handicap here. Of the market leaders, Twyston Davis horse obviously had an impossible task trying to give 6lb to Old Grange Star. Third home that day, wasn't beaten far in a G2. He'd be my idea of the winner + I may back it on the day..Happy enough with the 66s on Faivoir ew.
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Whilst I wouldn't disagree with you selection as ive said as much in my post above. The class 4 handicap perhaps is fair comment but then whats class got to do with it when it comes to handicapping ? That's perhaps a real question. From that class 4 All in you went on to win a Class 3 with plenty in hand thrashing Hot Fuss in the process who was 2nd in a class 1 before that race and won a class 2 after it. Fwiw Hot fuss is young and progressing and is usually handy he'll run a decent race again. But knocking the front pair on class is something that can be said but that All in you form, is solid enough regardless of what class it was labelled under.
 

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