The Fortune Teller
Well-known member
- Joined
- Mar 8, 2016
- Messages
- 8,956
13/8 if I'm allowed a guess.My intuition is that he will very much run. And what kind of SP do you think we're looking at?
13/8 if I'm allowed a guess.My intuition is that he will very much run. And what kind of SP do you think we're looking at?
My intuition is that he will very much run. And what kind of SP do you think we're looking at?
I would have said that Gloria Victus should never have run in the Gold Cup due to the fact he jumped markedly right (?) and was therefore jumping away from where there was almost certainly a problem brewing.Analogies are always a bad idea, but with hindsight neither Gloria Victus nor Beef Or Salmon should have run in a Gold Cup. Others will point to the novice that won the race in the meantime.
Corals go 4/7 that he'll run. 5/4 he won'tMy intuition is that he will very much run. And what kind of SP do you think we're looking at?
I would have said that Gloria Victus should never have run in the Gold Cup due to the fact he jumped markedly right (?) and was therefore jumping away from where there was almost certainly a problem brewing.
Anyway, Slim - I have tried to answer your question about horses being asked to jump and can you change it. I think it partly lies with Nico as he will be feeling apprehensive however much schooling he and the horse do at home. It doesn't get away from the fact that on the big stage, it's normal for nerves to kick in - human and equine. And those nerves will be transmitted down the reins. Horses are incredibly perceptive as to the rider on top and will react accordingly. There was a horse running at Badbury yesterday which doddled it's way around the back of the field with a novice rider. His trainer said to me "you should see the difference in the horse when an experienced rider gets on - suddenly wakes up!" But this horse was being used as a schoolmaster and was jumping safely around at the back, giving them much needed experience.
1.75 (8/11) he runs on the machine to the usual buttons in this kind of market.Corals go 4/7 that he'll run. 5/4 he won't
I was just making this point to a friend. The public (excl. racing fans) really don't give a shit about what is going on with Constitution Hill, and if he did fall and die it would not be "the final nail in the coffin" or the gigantic PR disaster that people are acting like it would be. It would be in the news for a day or two, and then the world would move on because they simply just don't care.I think racing is actually creating the hysteria itself
Because ultimately there is nothing in the rules that they have the powers to stop him running.I think it’s more that people who understand and follow racing would be totally horrified and hugely fvcked off, if the worst happened to CH. A few would turn their back and never return again.
This should be a job for the BHA. Why are they taking no responsibility?
Thanks Jinny.Because ultimately there is nothing in the rules that they have the powers to stop him running.
A few years ago I tried to get a horse at a point to point stopped from running. It was 17 and looked like a hairy pony. But there was nothing in the rules that could stop him running. He did a circuit and promptly dropped dead as he was ridden back to the lorry park. It was during Covid so it was "behind closed doors" but had there been a crowd there, people would have been asking why he was allowed to run. I did manage to get a ruling through that ALL horses running in points over the age of 15 must have a full veterinary health certificate before an entry is made. James Given, the BHA chief vet wants it brought down to 13 (as so I) but it's very difficult as trainers have objected. James says there seems to be a magic age deterioration at 13 and they are more prone to heart issues from that age.
I'm probably going on what I have experienced through pointing which of course runs under a different (but still BHA) set of rules. I seem to recall they prevented a horse from running in the Derby a few years ago due to it being so lowly rated? And then changed the rules afterwards. I think potentially they could change them to "a horse must not have fallen more than twice in its last five starts to compete at Cheltenham" After all they police what runs at Aintree?Hi Jinny, there is a catchall rule they can invoke:
The BHA may refuse to allow or prevent any horse from running in a race.”
The Authority may also accept or refuse to accept any submitted, amended or withdrawn entry (“Transaction Notice”), impose such conditions or restrictions as it considers appropriate on any entry, and, in the case of refusing an entry, direct that entry fees be refunded to the owner."
No individual owner should have the final say over something that potentially impacts the entire sport.connections who are contemplating making the unilateral decision to risk the sport's entire reputation by running their high-profile multiple faller in yet another big jumps race.
If you didn't bet with NRNB it would surely be settled as a loser as the horse didn't win the raceIf the BHA did intervene and block CH from running, what would that mean for any antepost bets that weren't placed after the NRNB came into play?
I'd love to answer and say it might depend on the bookmaker, but my guess is they'd be voided same as when a horse is balloted out, but you've used an acronym, Inspector Daniel Of The Yard has evidently got me under constant surveillance and I don't want to be guilty by association by responding.If the BHA did intervene and block CH from running, what would that mean for any antepost bets that weren't placed after the NRNB came into play?
Mea Culpa, but at least I didnt say CH in the CH....I'd love to answer and say it might depend on the bookmaker, but my guess is they'd be voided same as when a horse is balloted out, but you've used an acronym, Inspector Daniel Of The Yard has evidently got me under constant surveillance and I don't want to be guilty by association by responding.
He’d be 1/3 with 0 falls.![]()
Constitution Hill's crucial schooling session to take place on Wednesday with Champion Hurdle fate '50-50'
Nicky Henderson also addressed the 'wacky' Melbourne Cup idea and a potential next Flat targetwww.racingpost.com
The latest
Irish St Leger is above his pay grade. No chance he'd have beaten Al Riffa or KypriosConnections have more to lose than to gain if they choose to run him at Cheltenham - God forbid if owt negative happened to him and the reaction and the damage to the sport as a whole it would create. He owes then nothing and has already won a champion and a supreme. A flat campaign is the sensible target, the Southwell run suggested that he ran to a level of around 100 to 105 , with further improvement a possibility given than was his flat debut at the age of 9. The perfect target in the spring is the Yorkshire Cup in May, any talk of the Melbourne Cup in November is insane as the Going is usually either like a road or like a bog - neither of which suits the horse, and then there is the strict Aussie Vets checks to pass, and that is all providing he has an official rating by then. A late Summer / Autumn target more suitable looks to be the Irish St Leger. Absolutely no need to risk him over hurdles again and anyone backing him over timber would need to ensure they have a good supply of bog paper at hand.