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What are you backing Today? Part 2

A couple today:

Anniversary - Donc 6.15 9/2

This one could be decently handicapped , a new trip, the stable's in good nick and the blinkers are on for the first time. Those factors are sufficient to tempt me in.

Two Tribes - 7.17 Donc 4/1

Trying to second guess trainers is a hopeless quest, isn't it?

I'll do this one today but the key is the trip and that's the big unknown. It's not certain whether the 7th furlong will suit. I did wonder whether the Wokingham might be a target and I see he has an entry but he is also entered for the Bunbury over 7f so there are no clues there. I'm willing to back him today but still with an eye to the future.
 
Against you with both of these yorick. I've backed Renato in the 6.15 (I rate Marco as a trainer and this horse was eye-catching behind two decent types at Haydock lto) and Akkadian Thunder in the 7.15 (price gone now) - this horse has turned into a bit of a cliff beast for me but this is his last chance. Big field and softish ground will suit.
 
Euronymous said:
Against you with both of these yorick. I've backed Renato in the 6.15 (I rate Marco as a trainer and this horse was eye-catching behind two decent types at Haydock lto) and Akkadian Thunder in the 7.15 (price gone now) - this horse has turned into a bit of a cliff beast for me but this is his last chance. Big field and softish ground will suit.
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I wouldn't blame you at all for the Renato pick, Euro. I had it between Renato, Anniversary and Many Men. The 7.15 is competitive, alright and, again, I wouldn't put anyone off.

Let's hope we both get decent runs for our money, eh?
 
Euronymous said:
Against you with both of these yorick. I've backed Renato in the 6.15 (I rate Marco as a trainer and this horse was eye-catching behind two decent types at Haydock lto) and Akkadian Thunder in the 7.15 (price gone now) - this horse has turned into a bit of a cliff beast for me but this is his last chance. Big field and softish ground will suit.
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I see what you're saying with AT.
A pair from my notebook are in the same race.
Rhythm Master (been left in notebook for EW / place double purposes). Needs everything just right and timed perfectly. Yard in good shape.
I'm going to have a small bet instead on GLENFINNAN. Didn't run a bad race over the course when short of room, jockey never got to drive the horse and eased down. Figured it may not have been too far behind Dark Thirty (the winner) with a clear run and a few smacks. Dods yard has been seriously out of form, so big concern there, but place SR is starting to pick up for them. Not too keen on Jockey either, but rides older horses at Doncaster OK (statisticially). Got the impression Glenfinnan wouldn't mind a level 7F, but also noted how it loves running uphill. Happy to ignore York run as the ground will have been too quick for it on a level 6 (hence a larger distance between it and Dark Thirty that day), plus Dods yard totally out of form during May (I guess still is, but showing slight positives signs and the deadlock has to be broken at some point).

The only other one today from my book is Party Island down at Lingfield in the 6:37, but the heavens are forecast to open there. Is down to 68 with Jack Callan taking another 7 off. A couple of books paying 3 places 1/5th, but I'd feel like I'd be hoping for a place and praying for a win.

I see current light rain at Donny, with about 1.2 - 1.5mm expected to hit the course, but clearing afterwards (so they say). I wouldn't think it would be much more than GDsft in the straight (though could end up true GDSFT). Can't get serious, but at the odds, I'll stick a small bet on Glenfinnan.
 
I was absolutely pissed to see Aidan Farragher get beat on Novelista earlier. He went way too soon, probably a whole furlong too soon, and fittingly, its cost me a packet on a rollover. The horse had never raced beyond 1M4F, so today over 1M6F he goes for home 2 and a bit furlongs out. Smartest jockey on the day won. Pocket talk ,admittedly. I'm not normally one for pocket talking.
 
Euronymous said:
Against you with both of these yorick. I've backed Renato in the 6.15 (I rate Marco as a trainer and this horse was eye-catching behind two decent types at Haydock lto) and Akkadian Thunder in the 7.15 (price gone now) - this horse has turned into a bit of a cliff beast for me but this is his last chance. Big field and softish ground will suit.
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Blimey, there's money for AT, isn't there.
 
Euronymous said:
Against you with both of these yorick. I've backed Renato in the 6.15 (I rate Marco as a trainer and this horse was eye-catching behind two decent types at Haydock lto) and Akkadian Thunder in the 7.15 (price gone now) - this horse has turned into a bit of a cliff beast for me but this is his last chance. Big field and softish ground will suit.
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AT's won that head in chest, really.

Nice call.
 
Perth 3.57
Annsam looks quite closely matched with Statuario at the weights on C&D running in April and the price difference is too big. I took 16/1 last night and see he’s backed into 11s now but still value at that price. Hopefully the dead 8 stay in
 
Goodwood 3:35
Janey Mackers
Got 9/2 earlier now best priced 3/1.
Acts well on the slop (sorry been watching too much american racing lately).
Goes well on heavy ground like most of David Menusiers horses.
 
viking said:
Perth 3.57
Annsam looks quite closely matched with Statuario at the weights on C&D running in April and the price difference is too big. I took 16/1 last night and see he’s backed into 11s now but still value at that price. Hopefully the dead 8 stay in
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No f*****g surprise there the field’s down to 7
 
viking said:
Perth 3.57
Annsam looks quite closely matched with Statuario at the weights on C&D running in April and the price difference is too big. I took 16/1 last night and see he’s backed into 11s now but still value at that price. Hopefully the dead 8 stay in
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I was tempted by Ansam too, V, because, as you point out, they are closely matched. The going has just tipped it in Staturio's favour, imo. It may be that Ansam would prefer more juice in the ground. Staturio won this last year and is a bit of a course specialist.

I've also backed Aggagio (4.10 Good) given that I've had my eye on him the last twice, the ground has come right and the stable's in form. Sorry to say I missed the price and it's somewhat miserly now but I've backed him anyway.

Let's just they get round safely and give us a run, eh?
 
Slim said:
Punchestown 4.20
One And Only – 9/1 or 8/1 (5 places)

When the yard fancies one, it usually goes forward — and in these races, that’s invariably where you want to be.
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That just wasn't off in the end. Apologies.
 
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