1000 Guineas

It is a very simple point - inexperienced horses tend to struggle in G 1 company and parking Hot Snap on the outside without any cover appeared to lead her to overrace. It is likely that the horse was well below par in any event but the ride was unwise in any event .

As for Aragorn's point - I suggest you go and watch the videos - the Nell Gwyn field came down the rail - as Hot Snap missed the break she got cover and then a great split up the rail - that is totally different to the way the field ran in the Guineas down the centre of the track .

BTB , Queally makes significantly more mistakes than a jockey riding at his level should IMO . The ride he gave Frankel in the St James's Palace Stakes is one of the worst I have ever seen . His recent rides on Noble Mission have been terrible - at Newbury he was criticised for coming too soon and then at Newmarket he sat last off a moderate pace and gave the horse no chance at all .
 
WINS RUNS % 2NDS 3RDS 4THS
2YO 65 594 11 60 62 66
3YO 153 1139 13 139 123 137
4YO+ 179 1350 13 129 123 141
AW 112 924 12 98 105 105
TURF 285 2159 13 230 203 239
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Sorry, I don't know how to make these things more legible. The figures relate to Queally's rides in Britain in the last five years. The reason I wanted to put them up is because they indicate that Queally has more success on older horses than he does on younger, less experienced, ones.

On juveniles he finishes 2nd, 3rd and 4th as often as he wins, but on older horses he wins a lot more often than he finishes 2nd or 3rd.

On horses of all ages he comes 4th a bit more often than he finishes 3rd, which suggests he won't kill a horse to get him placed and he's not one to rely on for an each way bet.

That could be down to the philosophy of the trainers he rides for, who want him to think about the long term when riding their horses.
 
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I'm not sure the difference between 11 and 13 percent is statistically significant in this context Grey. It could easily be explained by any number of factors, for example his employers having 2yos that tend to benefit from a run, rather than him being less good at riding 2yos.

FWIW I am no fan of Queally as a jockey. He seems average rather than outstanding - I don't have him down as a negative but he's certainly not a positive factor either. Lucky man to have been Frankel's jock.
 
BennyB said:
I'm not sure the difference between 11 and 13 percent is statistically significant in this context Grey. It could easily be explained by any number of factors, for example his employers having 2yos that tend to benefit from a run, rather than him being less good at riding 2yos.
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I completely agree that the difference between 11 and 13 per cent is not worth talking about. What I was referring to, though, is that on juveniles he rode roughly the same number of 1sts, 2nds, 3rds and 4ths but as the horses get older the number of 1sts starts to rise compared with 2nds and 3rds.

And like you, I suggested it could be down to the trainers he rides for and the way they want their horses ridden.
 
Still think that's likely to be down to the 2yos he rides being less likely to win first time out, because of the way they are trained.

Or do you think he is less skilled at riding younger horses?

Are there any comparisons we can make? Previous jockeys for owner/trainer?
 
Ardross said:
As for Aragorn's point - I suggest you go and watch the videos - the Nell Gwyn field came down the rail - as Hot Snap missed the break she got cover and then a great split up the rail - that is totally different to the way the field ran in the Guineas down the centre of the track . .
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Drawn 13 in the Nell Gwynn, 14 in the guineas. The only fundamental difference I can see is where the stalls were positioned and that she didn't let herself down/pick up on the quicker ground in the Guineas.

I don't think Queally is a great jock by any stretch but the constant persecution is over the top. FWIW I don't think it's any coincidence that Cecil's resurgence started when Queally arrived. Whether or not its his riding I'm not sure but Queally's quiet unassuming persona seems to suit Cecil and the effect of that has been the Prince sending the better horses to Henry again. Twice Over played a big part as well.
 
Cecil's resurgence must go back to the Passage of Time/Light Shift era which precedes Queally's involvement there.
 
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