Cheltenham 2024 NRNB

Me too. I was pleasantly surprised there was some 10/1 NRNB available shortly after and then 8s held up most of the afternoon before settling on 7s.

If Ballyburn goes to the Baring Bingham then Tullyhill goes off a short priced fav ahead of Mystical Power IMO. He'd be odds on in the admittedly unlikely scenario Mystical Power was also sent for the longer race to keep him an Jeriko apart.

But even if Ballyburn does run in the Supreme, there isn't much between them in terms of profile. At least not enough to justify the price difference.
 
The general assumption appears to be that he could win either race so, if Ballyburn goes to the Supreme, it presumably means that Paul T thinks that Ile Atlantique has a better chance in the BB than Tullyhill in the Supreme. Purely on breeding, Ballyburn would go for the longer race but I gave up Mullins bingo years ago.
 
Outsider said:
Maybe they think it's n9t running.is it on oddschecker with other bookies.
What's the horse/race?
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I have a PP account - it is showing on others - Salver in the Triumph. If they are offering NRNB, which they are, I would have thought they would quote anything with an entry? NOW they are showing him in the betting after I contacted them, but still not sure why he wasn't there in the first place? Thank you.
 
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G-G said:
I have a PP account - it is showing on others - Salver in the Triumph. If they are offering NRNB, which they are, I would have thought they would quote anything with an entry? NOW they are showing him in the betting after I contacted them, but still not sure why he wasn't there in the first place? Thank you.
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Ha ha,I did it nrnb for the Fred winter but winning Saturday might have scuppered that.would have been thrown in off 128.
Probably wait for Aintree from what I've read.
 
Grasshopper said:
I’ve taken a shade over 21/1 about the Tullyhill (Supreme) / Ballyburn (Ballymore) double.

Tullyhill only has the Supreme entry at the Festival, and the theory is that he was sufficiently good today that it allows connections to spring Ballyburn for the longer event.

I confess I was really taken with Tullyhill today, and he seems an ideal type for the Supreme, being a really stout stayer at the trip.
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Tullyhill is the worst priced horse at the Festival. Was given a freebie in front Blood Destiny style by rivals that were either nowhere near good enough or not off (the JP one) and wouldn't run if Willie wasn't so intent on appeasing the CP mob with Allaho and Grangeclear missing. I'm on Ballyburn NRNB for the Supreme and in a rollover for the BB so I'm covered either way but have added Firefox for the shorter race as Mullins ain't winning it if Ballyburn goes elsewhere.
 
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You might be right, Euro, but it’s not a deep Supreme if Ballyburn goes in the BB, and Tullyhill will have his chance, I reckon.

Given his connections, I would certainly expect him to start shorter than the 6/1 I have in the double, and Ballyburn would definitely start shorter than the 9/4 I have for the 2m5f race, so I’m happy enough with the bet.

As I said, it’s a hunch based largely on Tullyhill having only the one entry, and the prevarication around Ballyburn’s target. At the combo price, it’s one I was happy to test knowing it wouldn’t do too much damage regardless. It’s not a bet that will make or break the first-half of Tuesday, let alone the week, but it’s a handy enough return if the theory plays out.
 
I can't be doing with these shithouse Mullins horses who just get easy leads and win nothing races. Look at Saint Sam, that ******'s rated 163. The current beltholder as most pointless horse in training, acquired from Cilaos Emery - Tullyhill or Blood Destiny with their eyes on that prize.
 
Grasshopper said:
You might be right, Euro, but it’s not a deep Supreme if Ballyburn goes in the BB, and Tullyhill will have his chance, I reckon.

Given his connections, I would certainly expect him to start shorter than the 6/1 I have in the double, and Ballyburn would definitely start shorter than the 9/4 I have for the 2m5f race, so I’m happy enough with the bet.

As I said, it’s a hunch based largely on Tullyhill having only the one entry, and the prevarication around Ballyburn’s target. At the combo price, it’s one I was happy to test knowing it wouldn’t do too much damage regardless. It’s not a bet that will make or break the first-half of Tuesday, let alone the week, but it’s a handy enough return if the theory plays out.
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This is my thought as well

Out of the ones at the top of the market Jeriko is the one for me, forget the last run as he hated the ground and he'll need it soft

Every chance there could be a boilover here, we haven't had a double digit odds winner for a few years and are due one
 
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FWIW, Timeform give Tullyhill 144p which puts him 3rd in novice hurdle ratings behind Ballyburn (153p) and Caldwell Potter (147p but doesn’t go to Cheltenham).

Mystical Power and Slade Steel next best - both on 143p.

I agree, Trunch - it wouldn’t be a massive shock if an unconsidered rag won in the absence of Ballyburn.
 
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Kim muir.
I've had an alert for INDIGO BREEZE and i don't remember putting it in my alerts and its not run for 340 days and has left zG.Elliot for
E.M.O'Sullivan.
This trip is an unknown as usually runs over a lot shorter.as a novice though he did put it up to the real whacker over 3m off levels.
Rated 133. And The Real whacker 162.
No other entries.
I've took 33/1 nrnb bet365.hills only go 16/1.
 
DODDIETHEGREAT. M.PIPE. 16/1 boosted to 18/1 ladbrokes NRNB

Could run in the coral cup but I don't think it will get in.
 
Tanlic said:
Gordon Elliott is so taken by Brighterdaysahead he seriously thought about running her in the Mares Hurdle.

However she seems certain now to go for the Mares Novices and apparently they won't hear of defeat.

Brighterdaysahead 11/4 with a run looks like a gift as she will surely start much shorter on the day.
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Like her a lot. In an ideal world even though I too have some 11/4 I wouldn't mind her getting beat if the ground is too lively for her (because that means Banbridge gets a run) and then Dinoblue wins the Mares Chase impressively. In that scenario she likely becomes way overs for next year's Mares Chase which she is made for.

Added Theatre Man for the Plate at 12s
 
Outsider said:
After the farce of a race at clonmel today over 3m William Hill pushed HARVARD GUY out to 16/1 for the coral cup and i used my epic boost so i got 32/1 for the win part of it.
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Not running so I've put my Epic Boost on Mister coffee 40/1 instead of 20s.kim muir.
 
This is what I wrote in my blog about Apple Away:

'Another thought: given her mark of 141, I wonder whether a h/cap might be in the offing.
Another point: she's entered up twice at Cheltenham: the 3m 5f National Hunt and the 3m Browns Advisory. Hmmm....'

Well, she's down to an OR of 137 which, to my mind is just ridiculous. She is entered for two handicap at the festival: the Ultima and the Kim Muir and, I must say, she is at fantastic prices for both in the NRNB market. In last year's Ultima, an OR of 137 would see her carry 10-10 (!) and in last year's Kim Muir she would have carried 11-6.

Now, this is a mare with bundles of class and I'm sure her rating will rise in her second season as a chaser so I think these handicaps look like really good opportunities before they put her into the top graded races.

Lucinda Russel won the Ultima last year with Corach Rambler, didn't she. So she knows only too well what's needed for the race. I see that Apple Away has run in the same two races that Corach did before last year's win. Also the stats point to novices having a decent record in the Ultima.

Anyway, I've backed AA NRNB in both races. Ultima 25/1 Ew 5places, 16/1 Kim Muir Ew 5 places.

Actually, I've just found this link for ultima stats: https://www.gaultstats.com/2-50-ultima-h-cap-chase
 
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