Cheltenham Festival 2018 Antepost Bets

Supasundae at 20's seems to me- and I am currently getting it wrong most of the time- a stonkingly good bet. JH, one of the most open trainers, has said that the horse will be aimed at staying Hurdle races.The horse is still only 7 yet won the Coral carrying almost top weight. Then ran Yanworth to a length at Aintree over 3 miles, his first time over the distance.

Progressive horse, proven on the course and competitive with the best this year. I took what I could this week to top up.
 
Buveur D'Air CH 7/2 win
Movewiththetimes Ark 25/1 ew
Defi Du Seuil CH 8/1 ew
Samcro BNH 14/1 ew
Ballyandy RSA 25/1 ew
Great Field CC 12/1 ew
Willoughby Court JLT 16/1 ew
Douvan Rya 10/1 win
Unowhatimeanharry 6/1 Stayers win
Might Bite Gold Cup 10/1 ew
Cloudy Dream Rya 20/1 ew
Charbel Rya 20/1
Red Jack SNH 25/1 ew
Ballyoptic RSA 25/1 ew
Finnians Oscar Ark 12/1 ew
Bacardys JLT 12/1 ew
Finians Oscar JLT 10/1 ew
Petit Mouchoir Ark 12/1 ew
Death Duty RSA 16/1 ew
Yanworth JLT 10/1 ew
Un De Sceaux Rya 6/1
Annamix SN 12/1
Charbel Rya 20/1 ew
Our Duke GC 8/1 ew
Blow By Blow AB 25/1 ew
Melon CH 14/1 ew
Gumball TH 12/1 ew



Multiples:
Buveur D’Air CH 5/2
Altior CC 5/4
Unowhatimeanharry WH 6/1
Might Bite GC 8/1
£15 Acca to win £7,441.89
£5 Trebles to win £2,441.25

Might Bite GC 8/1
Buveur D’air CH 5/2
Altior 5/4
£10 treble to win £708.76

Might Bite GC 8/1
Buveur D’Air CH 5/2
£20 double to win £630

Samcro BNH 14/1
Willoughby Court RSA 14/1
£10 double to win £2,250

Movewiththetimes A 20/1
Samcro BNH 14/1
Ballyoptic RSA 25/1
Willoughby Court JLT 14/1
Cloudy Dream RYA 20/1
£0.39ew acca to win £1,006,986.24

Movewiththetimes A 20/1
Samcro BNH 14/1
Ballyoptic RSA 25/1
Willoughby Court JLT 14/1
Cloudy Dream RYA 20/1
£1.50ew four folds to win £1,036,908.60

Movewiththetimes A 20/1
Samcro BNH 14/1
Ballyoptic RSA 25/1
Willoughby Court JLT 14/1
Cloudy Dream RYA 20/1
£2 win trebles to win £145,512.00

Might Bite King George 3/1
Altior CC 5/4
Buveur D’Air 5/2
£30 treble to win £945

Finians Oscar Ark 12/1
Buveur D’air CH 5/2
£20 double to win £910

Finians Oscar Ark 12/1
Buveur D’air CH 5/2
Altior CC 5/4
£10 treble to win £1,023.76

Finians Oscar Ark 12/1
Buveur D’air CH 5/2
Altior CC 5/4
Might Bite GC 8/1
£10 acca to win £9,213.76

Petit Mouchoir Ark 12/1
Red Jack SNH 20/1
£5 double to win £1,365.00

Buveur D’Air CH 5/2
Altior CC 5/4
Unowhatimeanharry WH 6/1
Might Bite GC 8/1
Finians Oscar 10/1
£5 acca to win £27,286.88

Buveur D’Air CH 5/2
Altior CC 5/4
Unowhatimeanharry WH 6/1
Finians Oscar 10/1
£5 acca to win £3,031.88

Petit Mouchoir CC8/1
Buveur D’air CH 5/2
Samcro BNH 5/1
Altior 5/4
Bacardys JLT 12/1
Unowhtimeanharry WH 6/1
Might Bite GC 8/1
£2.87 acca to win £999,562.88

Buveur D’air CH 5/2
Samcro BNH 5/1
Altior 5/4
Petit Mouchoir Ark 8/1
Unowhtimeanharry WH 6/1
£5 acca to win £14,883.75

Buveur D’air CH 5/2
Unowhtimeanharry WH 6/1
Altior 5/4
Petit Mouchoir Ark 8/1
£10 acca to win £4,961.26

Bacardys JLT 12/1
Red Jack SN 20/1
£10 double to win £2730

Bacardys JLT 12/1
Red Jack SN 20/1
Petit Mouchoir 8/1
£5 treble to win £12,285.00

Bacardys JLT 12/1
Red Jack SN 20/1
Finians Oscar Ark 12/1
£5 treble to win £17,745

An update with somemore bets over the last week or two:

Mengli Khan Sup 6/1 win
Claimintakinforgan Sup 10/1 ew
Debuchet Sup 16/1 ew
Footpad Ark 4/1 win
Presenting Percy RSA 12/1 ew
Min CC 5/2 win
Cause of Causes XC 4/1 win
Triumph Espoir D'Allen 10/1 ew


Apples Jade 11/8
Buveur D'Air 2/1
Might Bite 6/1
Min CC 5/2
Cause if Causes 4/1
Un des Sceaux 4/1
£10 fivefolds to win £20781.26

Mengli Khan 6/1
Apples Jade 11/8
Samcro 15/8
Cause of Causes 4/1
£20 acca to win £2389.84

Mengli Khan 6/1
Apples Jade 11/8
Samcro 15/8
Cause of Causes 4/1
Death Duty 6/1
£10 acca to win £16,728.90

Footpad 4/1
Faugheen 6/4
Min 5/2
Un des Sceaux 4/1
Nichols Canyon 7/1
£10 acca to win £17,500
 
Current bets:

Finian's Oscar Arkle 20s

Melon Champion Hurdle 25s

Min QM 12s

Coney Island Ryanair 41
Top Notch Ryanair 25

Might Bite Gold Cup 14s
Djakadam Gold Cup 42

Finian's Oscar Any Race 9/2

Monalee RSA 10s

Min Any Race 6s

L'ami Serge Stayers 17.5

Yorkhill Gold Cup 12.5
Whisper Gold Cup 23

Recently added:
Sharjah Supreme 12s

Yorkhill Champion Hurdle 10s

On the Blind Side Ballymore 10s

Finian's Oscar RSA 16s
Invitation Only RSA 20s
 
Value looks very thin on the ground in the markets after Xmas. Probably a month to NRNB so this will be a quite period.
 
Franked again today. Was supposed to be out over Xmas but had a small knock. Nothing to worry about according to Nicky.

Edit. What Slim said.

I'm slightly worried that most of the horses I fancy seem to be Henderson's.
 
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Presenting Percy

Surely it is worth taking some 10/1 or 9/1 for the RSA? It's not like there is any superstar in the division to be afraid of?

This RSA is looking a right bag of shite of a race. You'd think they must be very tempted to run Presenting Percy as things stand? 8/1 is hardly a bargain but it's closer to a bet now then it was a month ago.
 
He could win a really bad renewal a la Blaklion but I don't think he's much more than a decent handicapper. I put Invitation Only up, confusing price given connections.
 
I was reading into your comment about it being a hell of a lot for any horse. If I’ve misinterpreted that apologies.


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My Black Corton 33/1 from 2 months ago looking more solid all the time. Fully appreciate average horse and likely place at best, but still solid.

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He could win a really bad renewal a la Blaklion but I don't think he's much more than a decent handicapper. I put Invitation Only up, confusing price given connections.

Agreed on Invitation Only as well.

I thought Presenting Percy was exposed a bit against Jury Duty in terms of the RSA - and I don't see how winning a well run 3m5f handicap chase in bottomless ground changes that myself. Don't think he has the pace for an RSA.
 
Full up to date list including top up's.

Supreme - Sharjah 12/1
Arkle - Finian's Oscar 20/1 :(
Ultima - Singlefarmpayment 16/1
CH - Melon 25/1
CH - Yorkhill 10/1

Ballymore - On the Blind Side 10/1
RSA - Monalee 10/1 and 6/1 NRNB
RSA - Finian's Oscar 16/1
RSA - Invitation Only 10/1 NRNB
RSA - Al Boum Photo 14/1 NRNB
QM - Min 8/1

JLT - Al Boum Photo 9/1 NRNB
JLT - Invitation Only 14/1 and 6/1 NRNB
Ryanair - Top Notch 16/1 and 5/1 NRNB
Ryanair - Disko 10/1 NRNB
Stayers - L'Ami Serge 16/1 and 10/1 NRNB
Stayers - Penhill 10/1 NRNB

Triumph - Farclas 20/1
GC - Might Bite 12/1 and 7/2 NRNB
GC - Yorkhill 12/1 :(
GC - Djakadam 42

Any Race - Finian's Oscar 9/1
Any Race - Min 6/1
Any Race - Al Boum Photo 14/1

Doubles:
UDS (Clarence) Singlefarmpayment (Ultima) 4/6 & 14/1
UDS (Clarence) Fountains Windfall (RSA) 8/11 & 7/1
UDS (Clarence) Supersundae (Stayers) 8/15 & 7/1

Singlefarmpayment (Ultima) Willoughby Court (JLT) 10/1 & 4/1 NRNB
Samcro (Bally) Presenting Percy (RSA) 2/1 & 7/1
Buveur D'air (CH) Death Duty (JLT) 3/1 & 8/1 :(
 
Not sure when I posted my most recent update but these are the festival ante-post bets I've taken since the turn of the year:

Saphir Du Rheu, Gold Cup, ew 66/1, B365 (NRNB/BOG)

Debuchet, Supreme, win 33/1 B365 (NRNB/BOG)

Ch’tibello, Chmpn Hdl, win 70, Bfx
Ch’tibello, Chmpn Hdl, ew 33/1 B365 (NRNB/BOG)
John Constable, Chmpn Hdl, ew 50/1 B365 (NRNB/BOG)

This weekend's trials meeting looks very good. I might take a few more in anticipation of a good run.
 
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Most of my antepost book revolves around either Call me Lord in the champion hurdle market with and without Boover. Double shuffle in the Gold Cup although Blacklion also would be quite a pay out in that too.

The rest is really bits and bobs either small multis or a couple of quid on daft priced exchange horses.

Like top notch or cloudy dream in the Ryan Air but missed any fancy prices so I'll wait for the day.

Like Euro I have a few quid on SFP for the ultima and he's probably in a couple of multiples but I fear he's about to commit handicap suicide on Saturday.
 
Agreed on Invitation Only as well.

I thought Presenting Percy was exposed a bit against Jury Duty in terms of the RSA - and I don't see how winning a well run 3m5f handicap chase in bottomless ground changes that myself. Don't think he has the pace for an RSA.

He jumped fantastic in both his wins, (stand out feature) his second run may have come to soon. He had enough pace to win the Pertemps final off top weight, with Jury Duty half a dozen lengths behind; so if he were to jump as accurate and economical as he has shown, I personally think he's a big player in either of the staying novice chases.
 
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