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FrogTheBountyMuncher
Guest
Also Gigglo, when rating a cars do you use the fastest time on te card and work out that horses rating then work down from that using how slow the others were off your fastest horse
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Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
Wouldn't have much confidence in amenable till it gets soft ground,the run at catterick was different class that's what I was waiting to see.Did you do the two I sent youyesterday and the fcast!!
May as well put this up but from slightly different angle stew as i've never quite understood the running of it on poly when all its best form is at swell and on soft/heavy ground.Now dropped to 68 has won at swell off 77 and looks like another violet jordan horse running in wrong conditions just to get mark down,actually beat horseradish in september 2009 on that surface.The end of this month will be interesting when swell re opens
KABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOO OOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM Lovely drift for a change!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Only been waoting 9 months for the right conditions!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Win number 2 I wonder how much higher this will get!!!:lol::lol: KABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMM!!!!
Top work again gigs.
I wanted to ask whether u believe certain speed ratings only work at select tracks, it might mean finding a good time but then waiting 5 runs untill it runs on a significant track?
I kno ascot and Kempton speed ratings are the ultimate gold mine going.
Beau mistral
Beau mistral hasn't hit form this season although showed a glimmer of maybe coming back yesterday at haydock,all her best form has been there or chester her favourite track.She doesn't have much form on faster ground so a lot of her form this sesson can be discounted,i've been waiting for her to run at chester preferably on gd/gdsft.She's fallen to a mark of 67 now lowest ever mark,previous lowest was 68 august 2011,last season she won at chester off 69,79 and was runner up off 83 come august September there will 6 fixtures i'm sure she will be aimed at and off this ridiculous looking mark looks the time to bet I wouldn't be surprised if she ran up a few wins at those fixtures in a short period.She may yet run again on the faster ground somewhere and get down to 65 allowing her to win maybe at haydock before running in the chester races but probably unlikely.Have to put her up now as I will be away for a few weeks in august/September so may as well put her up now!,she ran ok yesterday on ground to quick and still only beaten 3ls.She doesn't get to lead on the faster ground and pretty sure that will change with some siofter ground.
captain scooby
phoenix nights
ambitious icarus
Nothing that was hugely eyecatching in yesterdays sprint although guests horse amitious icarus was left 15ls made that ground up to be back of the field.Fitzpatrick wasn't urgent on his ride msybe one to keep a close eye on as lightedly raced.Captain scooby holds no secrets but has got down to a mnew mark,now off lowest since sepember 2011 when wuinning off 76 off present mark of 69 looks well handicapped and nice intrioduction back.
Also the ride from phoenix clubs was quite inyteresting,prominent and then allowed to drop back was beat but the jock made sure he never gave it a race.These races are very competitive as they are so weak but you may see double figure prices on thezse and wortj a few bets.
Fitz flyer
Exposed now and handicappers been unrelenting even though only won 1/38 has now just been dropped a couple of pound enabling him to run in races for horses rated just up to 85.He looked a little unlucky yesterday travelling really well but never getting much of a run in this grade he should be winning as these races will be by far the weakest ever contested.Not even sure Beverley suited all his best form has been on straight tracks even this season 4th to magical macey at newcastel and a 4th to ancient cross at York,loads of good form last season 4th to singeur off 90,3rds to kingsgate choice and tax free last season as well at York and ascot off 89 and 90.Could well get overpriced being on such a long losing run.
Lovesome,liberty. jack
A maiden stakes race yesterday at Leicester these two 11ls clear of the third rated 69 and the time .34 quicker than older handicapper winner askaud rated 80 earlier on the card.A few reasons these could be well handicapped both off 70,they both only have had little racing lovesome the 6 runs,liberty jack the 5 runs.The Newmarket race lovesome contested over a furlong further is working out well mushaakis has come out of lovesomes Newmarket run and run well in better grade.The 6th napindas won,11th not riggs won they both drifted over to the far rail at liecester travelling further than askaud and were also ridden by two very average jockeys in Louis steward and William twiston davis.This form may go underestimated as they could be improvers and off current marks would be very competitive in weak races.
Silverware
Remember putting up silverware last season when he won,ran today at ayr off 75 same last winning mark although had shown promise up to previous wins whereas today was coming back after a break and had been out of form.Off this mark he becomes one to watch out for has three wins on gd/fm all off a mark of 75still only has the 19 runs on turf so reasonable strike rate,going to be overpriced now especially if he can get an uncontested lead!
BANG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!oFF 59!!I've got a very good memory!!!!
I'd include the runner-up, Inchila in future calculations too, didn't have a clear run but would say she was as superior to the rest of the field as AM was to her.
Crew cut was a massive eyecatcher at ascot on penultimate run giving the field 4/5ls start ran an incredible race to be switched right round the field and still running on not quite getting there nearest finish to be third to yeow and democretes.That was off a mark of 84 and he's now on a mark of 85 on that run there's more races to be won as he must've conceded 7/8ls to that field by the end of the race.He looks one to follow,have watched the race before but only noticed last night on replay.Obviously he went to Epsom showed nothing but easily enough to forgive that run especially back over c/d,probably the other most interesting runner is signor sassi 8th on seasonal debut to hallelujah form that now looks very good.Hallelujahs been third to city girl in conditions race,2nd poole harbour 4th to tropics in hot handicap at Windsor,the 3rd seeking magic been third at Epsom in class 2,the 4th burn the boats has won 30 runner handicap at the curragh.The ffth Harrison George has won twice on the bounce and the 6th khubalas won and been 4th to York glory in the Wokingham.Signor sassis only had the eight runs and open to improvement after that debut run as well.
crew cut
Will add on todays runner for to follows,sedate pace in this race and the complete opposite of previous ascot run pretty keen and with the pace.I'd be looking for bigger fields for crew cut with guaranteed pace and looks as though likes running through them.Was also quite a drifter considering previous run there inj a far better race than todays,even just watching the finish today was obvious the race was the complete opposite of what he needs.
That didn't take long KABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMM The ascot form was different class WHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOSSSSHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!:lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:Just popped in to watch a few races took the 8/1!!!
mountiger
A couple of obvious ones mountiger winning at wolves today in a decent time of 1m47.50 although it has to be said the track was extremely quick but was only second run and open to loads of improvement.It's always worth keeping these onside as if they don't show on turf they can return to the aw and be far superior on the surfaces sometimes in comparison to their turf form!!
Hiking
Easy winner at Windsor and by 6ls on debut with loads of improvement to come add in the time only .78 slower than ribot boy winning off 83 but more than likely a 100 horse looking at its previous haydiock time the run of the 2yr old could be even better than first appears.
KABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM The clock never lies evens:lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:Absoluitely relentless!!!!:lol::lol:Has to be close to best ever week!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
if I were a boy
Two very strange rides by martin lane recently riding the mare and eyecatching both times,she had been running well on the aw this was her grade tonight and she should be competitive in these races.She's currently running off 65 and although she doesn't win often is usually overpriced because of trainer .She sluiced up off 63 last season in august over windsors 1m2fs spread-eagling a field of 70 horses behind her and heavily backed,she's worth looking out for in decent ground races at the track as she's up to winning one of these when allowed to run her race!!