Daily picks.

Think it happens often enough when I wreck the prices to know whats really happening,put it this way they won't get a bigger price now that I've got it noted..
 
Grandest returns to swell having been with brian Ellison since july from the one run with roger charlton,appears to have gone backwards only respectable run was 8th of 14 to poeswood at Newmarket although that race was completely different class to tomorrows race.His last two runs over the mile at wolves,appeared to be cantering either blew up or just not put into race was difficult to tell and then last time out missed the breakl over 7fs.
When with john gosden won on second run at swell had play to the whistle almost 16;ls behind in 3rd now rated 70 on the aw and jalingo in the 80s 3 3/4ls behind,time was decent only .31 slower than 74 rated two no bids as a 2yr old that made him look potentially nice handicapper on this surface,conservatively 85+he got a mark of 79 and flopped back on the surface in handicap.
The ? is how much ability does he retain hasn't had that many races and will the surface be the key,tomorrows race is abysmal if the stable think he can run to 65+ then will surely be a huge gamble,he will probably get heavily bet regardless but if stable thinks he will win there's a chance will be smashed off the boards,should be a cracking trade..

Grandest 10/1 sportsbook
 
gigilo said:
Grandest returns to swell having been with brian Ellison since july from the one run with roger charlton,appears to have gone backwards only respectable run was 8th of 14 to poeswood at Newmarket although that race was completely different class to tomorrows race.His last two runs over the mile at wolves,appeared to be cantering either blew up or just not put into race was difficult to tell and then last time out missed the breakl over 7fs.
When with john gosden won on second run at swell had play to the whistle almost 16;ls behind in 3rd now rated 70 on the aw and jalingo in the 80s 3 3/4ls behind,time was decent only .31 slower than 74 rated two no bids as a 2yr old that made him look potentially nice handicapper on this surface,conservatively 85+he got a mark of 79 and flopped back on the surface in handicap.
The ? is how much ability does he retain hasn't had that many races and will the surface be the key,tomorrows race is abysmal if the stable think he can run to 65+ then will surely be a huge gamble,he will probably get heavily bet regardless but if stable thinks he will win there's a chance will be smashed off the boards,should be a cracking trade..

Grandest 10/1 sportsbook
Click to expand...

Another NR, don't know why you put them up so early Giggs, if the owners don't get on they take their ball away!:confused:
 
Another one pulled 2 days on the bounce put up the ricks,unreal and at 1.40 as well beyond a joke..
 
Put them at what I think is value,would never have been 10/1 with other firnms so they simply won't get the prtices anyway same as next time it runs same thing will haopen,if they think its a 65 horse and can win then they have no excuses they should be lumping on ew at all prices from down to 11/4..I shall remember these two for future reference and even if I don;'t get a bet on I will make sure those prices get cut..
 
Wouldn't be surprised to see hedge end run a respectable race at Kempton runs might be worth trying to get some sort of trade out of it,running off lowest mark since winning in 2013 has lots of poor runs but those have been on turf and a mile or slightly further,her record at Kempton 2014 over 1m3fs off 78,80 and 79 was 4/2/4 looking at recent races although regressive the trips have looked to short she wants at least 1m2fs set at decent pace.Watching her run off 67 in November over 1m2fs in a slowly run race,thought she ran a decent race with no pace to come from the back,tomorrow the trips 1m4fs dropped 4 pound since that run and there appears to be ? over everything at the prices, but her course form may see a mini gamble and looks a reasonable trade to me at 12/1 with 365/lads!!Bit of interest on yet another diabolical double bill..
 
Last edited:
interesting seller compared with B race..yesterday G..first two furlong time was near on identical so final time comparison looks valid

Wild Tobacco looks thrown in for a handicap there off current mark..as does Imjin River...wild tobacco was rated 85 at one point and looks to have run to about 73 yesterday..Imjin River gave 6lb ...was a mid 50's horse and looks to have run even above that looking at the time. Will be watching these two in handicaps hopefully at Southwell in coming weeks
 
Last edited:
Bored to tears with these aw cards poor racing not necessarily quality wise but fields are so uncompetitve and far to many races for horses rated upto 55 and 50 havn't seen an aw season like this in 20 years very rarely having a bet and when I do see something can't get a bet on anyway,one more week and I'm knocking it on the head unless cards improve dramatically.Can't even remember the lsst time I did a multiple bet where I had 4 ricks in it,when there should at least 3/4 a week been terrible the aw since December..

Might be worth having a very speculative bet on fen lady,she's been running over a mile on the aw beaten 12ls at swell over a mile and ran quite well over the mile at wolves not beaten far by high 60 rated horses and looked like she was losing no ground.She's out of champs elysee brother to dansili decent fibresand sire and you would think these sort of distances would be more likely to get some improvement out of her even though tailed off at chelmsford.John berry usually better with thse middle distance types and although it's a speculative pick,the race is diabolical may just be useless but at these prices might even be 50s on betfair with that pedigree then worth some coppers,don't think stable backs them but if its 50s and fancied then obviously should shorten

Fen lady 28/1 victor/ppower could easily be bigger than that yet..33/1 betbright..
 
Last edited:
gigilo said:
Wolverhampton (AW) Result
30 Dec 2015
« 7:40 LADBROKES HANDICAP (TAPETA)
(Class 7) (0-50, 3yo+) (7f32y) 7f Standard
£2,911.05, £866.25, £432.90, £216.45
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 5 Fairy Foxglove (IRE) 7/2J 5 9-4 P J F Murphy 47 * *
Tony Hamilton


« 2 2 hd Binky Blue (IRE) 14/1 3 9-6 h Daniel Mark Loughnane 49 * *
George Baker


« 3 4 4 Patron Of Explores (USA) 13/2 4 9-3 Patrick Holmes 46 * *
Jack Garritty


« 4 12 2¼ Lutine Charlie (IRE) 16/1 8 9-2 p Emma Owen 45 * *
Shane Gray


« 5 9 nse Poor Duke (IRE) 20/1 5 9-7 Michael Mullineaux 50 * *
Raul Da Silva


« 6 6 1¼ Machiavelian Storm (IRE) 14/1 3 9-2 p Michael Herrington 45 * *
Paul Mulrennan


« 7 1 1¼ Spoken Words 16/1 6 9-3 e/s John David Riches 46 * *
Kieran O'Neill


« 8 7 ½ Dark Phantom (IRE) 7/2J 4 9-4 Geoffrey Deacon 47 * *
Jim Crowley


« 9 3 ¾ Bionic Indian 4/1 3 9-0 p Michael Easterby 50 * *
Nathan Evans7


« 10 8 3¼ Paradise Spectre 33/1 8 9-5 p Zoe Davison 48 * *
Liam Keniry


« 11 10 5 Salvado (IRE) 20/1 5 8-13 Tony Carroll 49 * *
Rhiain Ingram7


« 12 11 6 Offbeat Safaris (IRE) 16/1 7 9-5 p John Mackie 48 * *
Joey Haynes


12 ran TIME 1m 27.90s (slow by 0.90s)

Fairy foxglove
Binky blue

Couldn't really get a worse race for horses rated upto 50 but the time suggests that they've run better than their marks although the form does look suspect with 5yr old winning first ever race after 24 races and similarly the second also 24 races so the actual form looks highly suspect the clock says not.The earlier times on the card also were a lot slower than recent meetings ran there also pointer for the time of the last being decent for grade,the winner and runner up were only rated 47 and 49 and although there overall profiles are to avoid now they've produced this time then at least over this c/d in such weak races there's no reason why they can't win more races.There was a 7f race on the 22nd of December for horses rated upto 60 which was run at a true pace,the track was probably quicker that night and they ran slightly slower and looking at similar races when track has been slower it's hard to dismiss the time even if they maybe unreliable..
Click to expand...

Pished it..
 
Had a great couple of days cards still aren't up to much ,but with so many overbet horses with formlines that were weak originally at least throwing up some prices can speculate on or trade with,just hope it continues..

If you want a little interest for tomorrow hedge end could turn into a gamble, horse has regressing looking profile but looks to have been running over wrong trips,best form has been at the track over 1m3fs although that was in 2014 off marks of 78,80 and 79 that looks her trip on the aw.Has run plenty of poor races since but when returned to Kempton over 1m2fs was staying on strongly from the back in November off 67 runs off 63 lowest ever mark since winning off it in 2013 when winning by 5ls ,although again probably didn't go quick enough in that 1m2f race tomorrow runs over 1m4fs which should be ok as rarely run at a true pace here so trip should be alright.This is also the first time since that win has run in this grade for horses up to 65,was w/d last time I put it on here don't expect that this time!Be surprised if this doesn't halve in price at 16/1 looks massive..

16/1 lads 14/1 365 Hedge end

16/1 hills
 
Last edited:
Southwell (AW) Result
02 Feb 2016
« 3:30 » LADBROKES MAIDEN STAKES
(Class 5) (3yo+) 1m Standard
£3,234.50, £962.50, £481.00, £240.50
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

1 1 Flymetothestars 5/1 3 8-8 Sir Mark Prescott Bt — * *
Luke Morris


« 2 9 nk Hermitage Bay (USA) 8/13F 3 8-8 John Gosden — * *
Robert Tart


« 3 2 12 Flying Lesson (IRE) 10/1 3 8-8 Mark Johnston — * *
Joe Fanning


« 4 8 shd Playful Dude (USA) 7/2 3 8-8 David Simcock — * *
Oisin Murphy


« 5 7 9 Almutamarred (USA) 40/1 4 9-13 Kevin Morgan — * *
Timmy Murphy


« 6 6 shd Ronaldjamessach (IRE) 33/1 3 8-8 James Bethell — * *
Shane Gray


« 7 4 nk Red Chatterbox (IRE) 33/1 3 8-3 Scott Dixon — * *
Kieran O'Neill


« 8 5 2½ Moonshine Ridge (IRE) 20/1 5 9-8 Alan Swinbank — * *
Ben Curtis


9 3 hd Indibeau 66/1 4 9-8 Garry Moss — * *
Andrew Mullen


« 10 10 19 Dynamo (IRE) 66/1 5 9-13 Richard Hughes — * *
Shane Kelly


10 ran TIME 1m 44.63s (slow by 5.63s

Flymetothestars

An unusual first time out winner for Prescott and backed so probably half decent out of sea the stars and group 3 mare precious gem surface riding really slow yet again so form can be unreliable taken away from this surface and used elsewhere or even coming back here when riding quicker.The time on the day looked very decent the winner on debut running 1.62 seconds quicker than hold firm winning older handicvap rated 62 carrying 7 pound more,conservatively on this surface you would think an 80 horse more l;ikely 85 with improvement to come.The winner looked very game in the finish an old style Prescott horse that maybe one worth following in future handicaps after seeing mark,looking at the stats was first winner for sea the stars on fibresand although can't find anymore runners so not sure that is right,more than likely winner will go on other surfaces as sea the stars has winners on all the aw surfaces with 17% strike rate.Wouldn't go overboard until seeing the mark but maybe one of those Prescott horses that runs up a sequence...
 
gigilo said:
Had a great couple of days cards still aren't up to much ,but with so many overbet horses with formlines that were weak originally at least throwing up some prices can speculate on or trade with,just hope it continues..

If you want a little interest for tomorrow hedge end could turn into a gamble, horse has regressing looking profile but looks to have been running over wrong trips,best form has been at the track over 1m3fs although that was in 2014 off marks of 78,80 and 79 that looks her trip on the aw.Has run plenty of poor races since but when returned to Kempton over 1m2fs was staying on strongly from the back in November off 67 runs off 63 lowest ever mark since winning off it in 2013 when winning by 5ls ,although again probably didn't go quick enough in that 1m2f race tomorrow runs over 1m4fs which should be ok as rarely run at a true pace here so trip should be alright.This is also the first time since that win has run in this grade for horses up to 65,was w/d last time I put it on here don't expect that this time!Be surprised if this doesn't halve in price at 16/1 looks massive..

16/1 lads 14/1 365 Hedge end

16/1 hills
Click to expand...

This is a phucking joke withdrawn again....
 
gigilo said:
Had a great couple of days cards still aren't up to much ,but with so many overbet horses with formlines that were weak originally at least throwing up some prices can speculate on or trade with,just hope it continues..

If you want a little interest for tomorrow hedge end could turn into a gamble, horse has regressing looking profile but looks to have been running over wrong trips,best form has been at the track over 1m3fs although that was in 2014 off marks of 78,80 and 79 that looks her trip on the aw.Has run plenty of poor races since but when returned to Kempton over 1m2fs was staying on strongly from the back in November off 67 runs off 63 lowest ever mark since winning off it in 2013 when winning by 5ls ,although again probably didn't go quick enough in that 1m2f race tomorrow runs over 1m4fs which should be ok as rarely run at a true pace here so trip should be alright.This is also the first time since that win has run in this grade for horses up to 65,was w/d last time I put it on here don't expect that this time!Be surprised if this doesn't halve in price at 16/1 looks massive..

16/1 lads 14/1 365 Hedge end

16/1 hills
Click to expand...

This is a phucking joke withdrawn again....
 
gigilo said:
Kempton (AW) Result
17 Jan 2016
« 4:10 » 100% RACINGUK PROFITS RETURNED TO RACING HANDICAP
(Class 5) (0-75, 4yo+) 6f Standard
£2,911.05, £866.25, £432.90, £216.45
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 2 Noble Deed 9/1 6 9-0 Michael Attwater 68 * *
Kieren Fox


« 2 3 nse Desert Strike 16/1 10 9-7 p Conor Dore 75 * *
J F Egan


« 3 9 ½ Quintus Cerialis (IRE) 5/1 4 9-6 p Clive Cox 74 * *
Adam Kirby


« 4 10 hd Pour La Victoire (IRE) 6/1 6 9-5 b Tony Carroll 73 * *
Luke Morris


« 5 8 2 Mezmaar 33/1 7 9-4 h Kevin Morgan 72 * *
Shane Kelly


« 6 6 nk Royal Normandy 11/8F 4 9-1 b Andrew Balding 72 * *
Rob Hornby3


« 7 4 ¾ New Leyf (IRE) 16/1 10 9-2 b Jeremy Gask 70 * *
Martin Lane


« 8 1 ½ Generalyse 33/1 7 9-0 b Anabel K Murphy 68 * *
Pat Cosgrave


« 9 5 2 Indian Affair 20/1 6 9-2 tb Milton Bradley 70 * *
William Carson


« 10 11 2 Summersault (IRE) 25/1 5 9-0 Jamie Osborne 68 * *
Timmy Murphy


« 11 7 2 Lucky Di 20/1 6 9-4 Peter Hedger 72 * *
Robert Havlin


11 ran TIME 1m 11.23s (slow by 0.83s)

Mezmaar

A 7yr old returning after 17 month break and only 8 lifetime runs was rated 95 as a 2yr old in 2011 returning today off just 72 over 6fs at Kempton,the psce held up in the race but mezmaar was motoring at finish from way off the pace, looks to retain plenty of ability and may even be better than this grade if he comes on for the run.Hopefully will have gone unnoticed and under unfashionable trainer could see some decent prices on next few runs,very promising run back as these races for horses rated upto 75 are there for the taking..
Click to expand...

Season warming up now at last!!:cool:
 
Annoyed about price as it was getting highlighted everywhere was cut to 10s last night,i was sure it would drift again as it looked like doing but hugh taylor mentioned it with his pick and it held the priuces down would've definitely been a lot bigger..
 
gigilo said:
Play nicely could've won by 30ls the day it won nort 13ls so that finishing time didn't mean anything looked chucked in of 69..
Click to expand...

And wins off 8 pound higher with a stone in hand,two of the most impressive wins I've seen on the finbresand this season..
 
Back
Top