Daily picks.

Guessing really, but because the highs have come up recently at Leicester you have to at least try something..

Been shafted by going reports yet again,almost fast ground at brighton and Leicester was soft last night the times show its good ground wondered why they were drifting and shunning the near side rail,be fortunate to get anything on those goings..
 
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ew trixie


5.20 Kempton

Regicide made debut at lingfield in april the time was one of the fastest maidens ever run there especially for a horse making its debut regicide finishing 2nd to combatitive now rated 90 only had one more run second to shabeeb finishing 4th the winner and 3rd now rated 90,the 5th william hunter beaten anothr 7ls now rated 87.

Regicide 7/4 365

5.50

Two hot looking maidens back to back,when khafoo shemimi won at newbury having mayzoun and al reeh behind that maiden looked very quick on the dasy since that run the favs been beat al reehs been beat as well at yarmouth,the runner up mayzoun had previous experience in that race and was touched off in redcar trophy on saturday.Might be worth giving al reh another chance as that newmarket maiden wasn't much slower than the listed race on the day and rococoa winning the class 3 handicap,lots of horses in this race could be big improvers from decent stables but has to be about on debut form.

Al reeh 11/4 365/hills/victor

3/1 skybet/365

3.30 Nottingham

Outre mer won by 7ls on handicap debut over notts 1m2fs tomorrow gets dropped a furlong,the time was .31 slower than older handicapper save the bees rated 78 the 2yr old carrying 7 pound more so you could have outre mer handicapped in the 80s with older horses and gets in tomorrows 2yr old handicap off just 80.Again lots of unexposed runners from decent stables if thos one gets beat then could be a red hot race worth following..

Outr mer 11/10 sportsbook evens victor/ppower 10/11lads
 
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gigilo said:
Keep to tiny stakes and small ew multiples,as backing draws not form in a few races and the one race draw completely against so minimum stakes..



3.0 Catterick

Top score and masham star were 2nd and 4th in turkey recently in a listed with best soluton rated 102 in 3rd,the form looks a bit dubious as top score had ben beaten off 87 in a nursery previous and masham star so may simply be that listed race was weak or best solution didn't run to form top sets mark has been bumped upto 95 as well the trip should suit but unsure of ground out of hard spun.Current prices of 5/2 and 11/4 maybe worth a token bet,would think if really expected to go well on going over trip then would be heavily backed..

Top score 5/2 skybet/victor 11/4 betway

Top score

5.0

Longroom looks one to keep onside of although again as a few bets i've had recently drawn out in the carpark in 15 but escapes penalty winning apprentice race so still off 50,the time at musselburugh was very intersting faster than 65 rated oneboy winning the better class handicap on same card,the ground wasn't good it was gd/sft not as reported by racing post so ground should be ok.If he does get beat you may see some big prices next time out comparitive to chance as purely based on the times at musselburugh you could be looking at a 65 horse and there maybe more improvement on top of that.Think he will be odds on with simon walker so will probably be overbet as drawn 15,might be worth doing some forecasts with horses previously run well there before as fav could be so short elland ally being one c/d winner won off 59 here last season and on ground,betty boo always runs well here as well and both big prices..
Longrooms very short I thought would open up 2/1 and be overbet going off 8/11 4/6 if he'd been drawn low would've looked a 1/3 shot from the 15 draw then obviously draw could beat him but looks so well handicapped worth putting in some bets and will be following longterm amnyway,may even get free bet out of current prices anyway..

Longroom 13/8 365/skybet/ppower

Longroom

5.10 Brighton

Essaka ran its best race of the season in a hot handicap compared to this last time out actually had virile 6ls behind in that bath race if thats repeated should run well with crowley riding although this season he has been very hit and miss so wouldn't be ovrr confident just last run looked better form.There are two other runners in this race that looked interesting on a bath run as well Oat couture and zippy they both contested a gd/sft ground maiden at bath that race was .70 quicker and .90 quicker than the two class 6 races the same grade as tomorrows races,they potentially could be well handicapped off 60 and 58 Oat couture was in first time blinkers which may explain that run and zippy has only had 4 lifetime runs.Just purely based on draw will have essaka and Oat couture and maybe throw in zippy for forecasts and maybe virile as did win easily last time out over c/d..



Essaka 7/1 365/skybet/ppower/victor/lads Oat couture 6/1 /365/lads 7/1 betway/victor/skybet


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!And the fcast day salvaged after getting shafted by the ground at Leicester...:ninja:

4.20 Liecester

The high draws have been coming up at leicester recently over trips from 5fs to 7fs unfortunately the best horses on the card are all drawn low
so hard to see anything strong but will have to have a couple of token bets as the bias has been so consistent recently,a couple of real speculative ones based on draws don't have it then was 3rd in this race last sesson off 66 ran ok on aw lsst time out and drawn 15 and will add in lucky louie first time pieces tomorrow been really disappointing after a very good run at sailsbury beind zeeoneandonly.There are far better horses with recent form and in better class races but a few coppers just based on the draw and they have run well on soft ground before..

Lucky louie 16/1 365/victor/ppower/lads/hills 20/1 betway Don't have it then 16/1 victor/ppower/hills

4.50

Elegant annie ran 3rd over c/d last time out probably better horses in the race tomorrow but mainly drawn wide, she was 3rd in what was the quickest of the two divisions that day the other won by intimately run on that same card also in tomorropws race, ground was gd/sft and tomorrow she gets the 12 draw from 18 runners...Again worth a token bet based totally on draw..

Elegant annie 16/1 365/victor/ppower/hills/lads/corals 20/1 betway

8.10

Mazaz no price worth chucking in some multiples just incase ran a pretty decent time last time out at Kempton,was a second slower than group horse muntahaa on the same card looks open to more improvement..

4/11 victor/skybet/sportsbook
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Nothing that winds me up more tha getting done by the ground I knew after the first race at Leicester the ground was nearer gd than soft,couldv'e laid all the bets off and would've if they had been strong fancys still hate throwing money away when you know you're beat before you start.

6.50 Kempton

Will have a token bet on jammy guest hasn't shown much lately although down in class hasn't ru in this grade since winning off 74 in a good time in January also went onto win off this mark at wolves in march, last time he ran off this mark over tomorrows c/d was 4th to mezmaar in another decent time.Jim crowleys been booked so interesting to see if they've got him right for this race.Nothing much in the race has done anything on the clock although quite a few lightly raced 3yr olds and although the 12/1 doesn't look particularly generous in current form most of the field have yet to prove themselves on surface and on clock if he runs to that mark of 80..

Jammy guest 12/1 skybet/lads/victor
 
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gigilo said:
ew trixie


5.20 Kempton

Regicide made debut at lingfield in april the time was one of the fastest maidens ever run there especially for a horse making its debut regicide finishing 2nd to combatitive now rated 90 only had one more run second to shabeeb finishing 4th the winner and 3rd now rated 90,the 5th william hunter beaten anothr 7ls now rated 87.

Regicide 7/4 365

5.50

Two hot looking maidens back to back,when khafoo shemimi won at newbury having mayzoun and al reeh behind that maiden looked very quick on the dasy since that run the favs been beat al reehs been beat as well at yarmouth,the runner up mayzoun had previous experience in that race and was touched off in redcar trophy on saturday.Might be worth giving al reh another chance as that newmarket maiden wasn't much slower than the listed race on the day and rococoa winning the class 3 handicap,lots of horses in this race could be big improvers from decent stables but has to be about on debut form.

Al reeh 11/4 365/hills/victor

3/1 skybet/365

3.30 Nottingham

Outre mer won by 7ls on handicap debut over notts 1m2fs tomorrow gets dropped a furlong,the time was .31 slower than older handicapper save the bees rated 78 the 2yr old carrying 7 pound more so you could have outre mer handicapped in the 80s with older horses and gets in tomorrows 2yr old handicap off just 80.Again lots of unexposed runners from decent stables if thos one gets beat then could be a red hot race worth following..

Outr mer 11/10 sportsbook evens victor/ppower 10/11lads
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!In goes the nap strange betting was expecting an sp of 2s on at best went evens on betfair as well,will do me chucked in!!!:ninja::cool:
 
gigilo said:
ew trixie


5.20 Kempton

Regicide made debut at lingfield in april the time was one of the fastest maidens ever run there especially for a horse making its debut regicide finishing 2nd to combatitive now rated 90 only had one more run second to shabeeb finishing 4th the winner and 3rd now rated 90,the 5th william hunter beaten anothr 7ls now rated 87.

Regicide 7/4 365

5.50

Two hot looking maidens back to back,when khafoo shemimi won at newbury having mayzoun and al reeh behind that maiden looked very quick on the dasy since that run the favs been beat al reehs been beat as well at yarmouth,the runner up mayzoun had previous experience in that race and was touched off in redcar trophy on saturday.Might be worth giving al reh another chance as that newmarket maiden wasn't much slower than the listed race on the day and rococoa winning the class 3 handicap,lots of horses in this race could be big improvers from decent stables but has to be about on debut form.

Al reeh 11/4 365/hills/victor

3/1 skybet/365

3.30 Nottingham

Outre mer won by 7ls on handicap debut over notts 1m2fs tomorrow gets dropped a furlong,the time was .31 slower than older handicapper save the bees rated 78 the 2yr old carrying 7 pound more so you could have outre mer handicapped in the 80s with older horses and gets in tomorrows 2yr old handicap off just 80.Again lots of unexposed runners from decent stables if thos one gets beat then could be a red hot race worth following..

Outr mer 11/10 sportsbook evens victor/ppower 10/11lads
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And multiple returns stakes,incredible prices of the last two 1/2 and 6/5 unreal although the de souse horse looked massive ew at 3/1 will do me today on crap days raciong..
 
3.45 Goodwood

Not quite sure what the going will be at goodwood hopefully a bit of cut going to have a tiny bet on joey's destiny hardly fantastic value at prices and hasn't won for 3 seasons plus a 127 day lay off and had lightly raced season in 2015,last couple of seasons has just seemed out paced in races looking ver one paced,i did put him on here after his run in the stewards when he was a bit of an eyecatcher running 8th off 95.After that run has not had that much racing and only one place that was this time last year in corresponding meeting when was unlucky loser off 93 when 3rd over c/d on gd/sft,a couple of just mediocre runs this season then big eyecatching run at Windsor off 91 in may appeared to be cantering but got no run.There are plenty of horses in this race with some very good form boy in the bar,charles Molson lincoln etc,the negative around the best recent form horses could be the draw highs usually find it harder in these size fields gets lots of results with winners coming down centre of the track,so more low draws winning I can't see too many i'd like to have from the stalls below 10 so although he'a had a long lay off 127 days does seem strange to bring him back this late in season will have a token bet on him on a track that he does seem to favour..Would be a bit of a surprise with lay off and not won for such a long time,just draw and track form,george baker could well just be lining him up for the Donny meeting in a few weejks time he may even be a big drifter yet as the 16s and 14s is not a big price with that lay off..

Joey's destiny 16/1 365/victor 14/1 generally
 
Ashame that ran a cracker in 5th as said highs big disadvantage not one in first 6 and as usual ground had no soft in it race was ionly slow by .73 seconds so that wouldn't have favoured him either no douibt he will only be same price again next time out which makes him hard to bet in these very competitive races...
 
ew trixie

1.30 Windsor

Star dreams debut behind lockheed probably the single best piece of form from debut run,looks as though that run wasn't expected and reflected in price next time out going off 12/1 so maybe the stable aren't expecting much improvement from the horse,the fact he's been dropped back to 6fs looks a bit of a giveaway after that disappointing run at york.Looking at the lockheed run the form looked relatively solid you could quite easily give him a rating of low 80s on that run so a bit odd with drift on second run,can see this drifting at current prices especially with top one of tuites costing a few quid...

Star dreams 15/8 sportsbook 13/8 generally

Looks like the tuite horse is going to be massive gamble and wouldn't surprise me if went off fav,star dreams was a poor price anyway based on last run hopefully will drift out so at least the place part will be better..


2.10 Yarmouth

Ekhtiyaars debut run over c/d behind battered was respectale run and that maiden was around .60 slower than tropical rock winning the nursery off 77 carrying 9-4 Ekhtiyaar csrried 9-5 so with natural improvement would expect him to be better than the nursery run and could be at least 80+ runner.That would be nothing special but still looks likeliest winner,negative could be the unforeseen rain yey again thats hit the track if has no bearing then would expect Ekhtiyaar to be ods on..the evans horse comes out straight away again after running at York and looks the danger..

Ekhtiyaar 4/6 365/betfred/victor

3.0 Windsor

Archery peak makers a return after 3 seasons,these sorts either get beat out of sigh or sluice up in 2014 made debut behind commemeorative went onto be rated 107 with runner up decorated hero 112,one second run disappointed and now makes come back after 3 seasons.Will surely be smashed off the boards in a weak maiden if is expected to repeat or better that form,a strange runner so late in the season.

Archery peak..5/2 sportsbook 9/4 skybet/betfred/victor/corals/hills

ew yankee

3.30 Windsor

Hopefully ground will be quick as forecast and not overwatered,invermere has some solid form on fast ground already a 3rd in a race for horses rated upto 95 at newmarket a 4th at musselburugh to ginger jack on fast genuine quick ground hibou in 3rd has franked that form in last three runs.On last run invermere although the run looked ok ground was good which may have been against him,although even that run still gives him decent chance in this weaker race .Adam Mcnamara also takes off 5 pound so just running off 72 lowest ever handicap mark..Thought this would be fav or at least around 5/1 mark..

Invermere 10/1 corals//365/betfred/lads 12/1 sportsbook
 
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5.40 Yarmouth

Topolova has had 7 lifetime runs 6 on the aw shown nothing and one turf run,that was in a better race than tomorrows for 3yr olds rated upto 75 form worked out reasonablty well from that race he was 5th of 10 over 10 furlongs in that Beverley race beaten 5 1/2ls stopped in run a couople of times and running on at finish off a mark of 57.The last two runs have enabled him to come down to just 52 if its turf he needs and stable been waiting for a very poor race like this then can't see why it won't be backed at these prices also wears first time pieces..This could be a big gamble in a very poor race,would not surprise me if even heat wave ran a decent race done nothing on the aw but has one run here when 4th and stopped in run for horses rated upto 65 might be some crazy prices on betfair..

Topolova 12/1 365/victor 11/1 victor 10/1 lads/corals/hills

11/1 Betway 10/1 betfred/ 16/1 betway..

Don't like the drift on this especially with Tompkins being trainer that does well there,interesting to see if money for it later.
 
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3.20 Sailsbury

I thought there was a slight angle with welsh inlet has good record on ground with the word soft in it and at sailsbury decent record and c/d winner,bit like joeys destiny it looks like the ground maybe drying a little to quick and tomorrow the word soft may disappear.Will have a token bet on him as such a poor race and he is a big price if he were to run anywhere near best,he hasn't run in this grade since june 2015 when winning off 60,followed that with another win at brighton off 60 and a 2nd here off 66 over a mile on gd/sft and finished with one of his best lifetime runs off 68 at Windsor 3rd to shifting star.This season has shown little,but dropped back into this grade,get the feeling ground will be to quick by the time this race comes round but race is so poor he's worth a token bet on track he runs well on..
Normally would be good in running lay,as of late not getting to front get the feeling even if he isn't involved at finish from the 4 draw on this track he may trade well enough in running till furlong pole..

Welsh inlet 18/1 victor 20/1 sportsbook 16/1 corals/hills/lads/365...
 
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gigilo said:
ew trixie

1.30 Windsor

Star dreams debut behind lockheed probably the single best piece of form from debut run,looks as though that run wasn't expected and reflected in price next time out going off 12/1 so maybe the stable aren't expecting much improvement from the horse,the fact he's been dropped back to 6fs looks a bit of a giveaway after that disappointing run at york.Looking at the lockheed run the form looked relatively solid you could quite easily give him a rating of low 80s on that run so a bit odd with drift on second run,can see this drifting at current prices especially with top one of tuites costing a few quid...

Star dreams 15/8 sportsbook 13/8 generally

Looks like the tuite horse is going to be massive gamble and wouldn't surprise me if went off fav,star dreams was a poor price anyway based on last run hopefully will drift out so at least the place part will be better..


2.10 Yarmouth

Ekhtiyaars debut run over c/d behind battered was respectale run and that maiden was around .60 slower than tropical rock winning the nursery off 77 carrying 9-4 Ekhtiyaar csrried 9-5 so with natural improvement would expect him to be better than the nursery run and could be at least 80+ runner.That would be nothing special but still looks likeliest winner,negative could be the unforeseen rain yey again thats hit the track if has no bearing then would expect Ekhtiyaar to be ods on..the evans horse comes out straight away again after running at York and looks the danger..

Ekhtiyaar 4/6 365/betfred/victor

3.0 Windsor

Archery peak makers a return after 3 seasons,these sorts either get beat out of sigh or sluice up in 2014 made debut behind commemeorative went onto be rated 107 with runner up decorated hero 112,one second run disappointed and now makes come back after 3 seasons.Will surely be smashed off the boards in a weak maiden if is expected to repeat or better that form,a strange runner so late in the season.

Archery peak..5/2 sportsbook 9/4 skybet/betfred/victor/corals/hills

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!That'll do me some sort of price against those hounds!!!:lol::ninja:

ew yankee

3.30 Windsor

Hopefully ground will be quick as forecast and not overwatered,invermere has some solid form on fast ground already a 3rd in a race for horses rated upto 95 at newmarket a 4th at musselburugh to ginger jack on fast genuine quick ground hibou in 3rd has franked that form in last three runs.On last run invermere although the run looked ok ground was good which may have been against him,although even that run still gives him decent chance in this weaker race .Adam Mcnamara also takes off 5 pound so just running off 72 lowest ever handicap mark..Thought this would be fav or at least around 5/1 mark..

Invermere 10/1 corals//365/betfred/lads 12/1 sportsbook
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gigilo said:
ew trixie

1.30 Windsor

Star dreams debut behind lockheed probably the single best piece of form from debut run,looks as though that run wasn't expected and reflected in price next time out going off 12/1 so maybe the stable aren't expecting much improvement from the horse,the fact he's been dropped back to 6fs looks a bit of a giveaway after that disappointing run at york.Looking at the lockheed run the form looked relatively solid you could quite easily give him a rating of low 80s on that run so a bit odd with drift on second run,can see this drifting at current prices especially with top one of tuites costing a few quid...

Star dreams 15/8 sportsbook 13/8 generally

Looks like the tuite horse is going to be massive gamble and wouldn't surprise me if went off fav,star dreams was a poor price anyway based on last run hopefully will drift out so at least the place part will be better..


2.10 Yarmouth

Ekhtiyaars debut run over c/d behind battered was respectale run and that maiden was around .60 slower than tropical rock winning the nursery off 77 carrying 9-4 Ekhtiyaar csrried 9-5 so with natural improvement would expect him to be better than the nursery run and could be at least 80+ runner.That would be nothing special but still looks likeliest winner,negative could be the unforeseen rain yey again thats hit the track if has no bearing then would expect Ekhtiyaar to be ods on..the evans horse comes out straight away again after running at York and looks the danger..

Ekhtiyaar 4/6 365/betfred/victor

3.0 Windsor

Archery peak makers a return after 3 seasons,these sorts either get beat out of sigh or sluice up in 2014 made debut behind commemeorative went onto be rated 107 with runner up decorated hero 112,one second run disappointed and now makes come back after 3 seasons.Will surely be smashed off the boards in a weak maiden if is expected to repeat or better that form,a strange runner so late in the season.

Archery peak..5/2 sportsbook 9/4 skybet/betfred/victor/corals/hills

ew yankee

3.30 Windsor

Hopefully ground will be quick as forecast and not overwatered,invermere has some solid form on fast ground already a 3rd in a race for horses rated upto 95 at newmarket a 4th at musselburugh to ginger jack on fast genuine quick ground hibou in 3rd has franked that form in last three runs.On last run invermere although the run looked ok ground was good which may have been against him,although even that run still gives him decent chance in this weaker race .Adam Mcnamara also takes off 5 pound so just running off 72 lowest ever handicap mark..Thought this would be fav or at least around 5/1 mark..

Invermere 10/1 corals//365/betfred/lads 12/1 sportsbook
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMM!!It's foprm was on a different level to that lot,these prices are insane would've quite gladly taken the 5/1 that hibou form at musselburugh was completely different class!:cool::D
 
Three winners 4/6 rule 4 10/1 12/1 with sportsbook and 5/2 9/4 generally..the invermere was monstrous price even sp was ok...
 
Couldv'e put 10 other horses instead of that first race diabolical pick although looking at the time looks a race to follow over a cliff for nurseries,original Trixie returned stake the yankee 130 if you did a £ew I redid the Trixie at much shorter prices and it returned £80 that was just for a £ew stake so had a nice touch on multiples today..
 
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